International affairs deck version b - august 2011Presentation Transcript
International Affairs in 2011 Global and American Public Opinion Landscape
Current Political Landscape …………………………………………………………2
Current Events in International Affairs…………………………………………9
Global Views on the U.S. …………………………………………………………….13
Special Report: Muslims in America……………………………………….......16
2 CURRENT POLITICAL LANDSCAPE
GROWING SENSE THAT COUNTRY IS HEADING ON THE WRONG TRACK 3 WRONG TRACK 76% RIGHT DIRECTION 13% Source: Pollster.com Aggregate Data. Latest poll on August 29, 2011.
FOREIGN POLICY ISSUES NOT THE MOST IMPORTANT PROBLEMS FACING THE U.S. 4 What do you think is the most important problem facing this country today? Foreign policy issues do not rank on the top of most important problems Source: Gallup, August 11-14, 2011.
DECLINE IN AMERICANS’ SATISFACTION WITH COUNTRY’S DIRECTION MIRRORS SLUMP IN ECONOMIC CONFIDENCE INDEX 5 U.S. Satisfaction vs. Rating of Current Economic Conditions, Oct. 2000- June 2011 Source: Gallup, June 9-12, 2011.
OBAMA’S JOB APPROVAL CONTINUES TO DECREASE IN AUGUST 6 Disapprove 53.9% 41.7% Approve Source: Pollster Aggregate Data. Latest poll August 29, 2011.
OBAMA IS STRONGEST ON TERRORISM AND FOREIGN AFFAIRS, WEAKER ON DOMESTIC PRIORITIES 7 Do you approve or disapprove of the way Barack Obama is handling… terrorism foreign affairs unemployment economy deficit Source: Quinnipiac University Poll, July 5 – 11, 2011
8 RECORD-LOW 21% SAY MOST IN CONGRESS DESERVE RE-ELECTION Please tell me whether you think each of the following political office-holders deserves to be re-elected, or not. How about – most members of Congress? * Based on registered voters Unsure 14% Source: USA Today/ Gallup Poll, August 4-7, 2011
MAJORITY BELIEVES THERE WILL BE WIDESPREAD VIOLENCE IN LIBYA AND THAT THE U.S. SHOULD NOT OFFER ASSISTANCE 10 Do you think the U.S. should be involved in Libya’s attempts to form a civilian government and restore order in that country, or do you think the people of Libya should do that on their own with no assistance from the United States? Just your best guess – what do you think will happen in Tripoli and other areas of Libya in the next few weeks? Do you think it is more likely that civil order will be restored, or do you think it is more likely that there will be the kind of widespread violence that Iraq experienced after Saddam Hussein was removed from power in 2003? Source: CNN/ORC Poll, August 24-25, 2011.
MOST ARE WORRIED ABOUT WHAT LIES AHEAD FOR LIBYA- BUT OPPOSE U.S. FINANCIAL AID TO HELP 11 Do you favor or oppose the commitment of U.S. financial aid to help rebuild Libya’s business and educational infrastructure? Thinking about the current situation in Libya, do you personally feel each of the following: Source: CNN/ORC Poll, August 24-25, 2011.
OVER A THIRD OF AMERICANS ARE VERY CONFIDENT THAT GADHAFI WILL BE CAPTURED OR KILLED 12 How confident are you that each of the following will happen in Libya -- very confident, somewhat confident, not too confident, or not confident at all: Source: CNN/ORC Poll, August 24-25, 2011.
13 GLOBAL VIEWS ON THE U.S.
KENYANS AND JAPANESE GIVE HIGHEST OPINIONS OF THE UNITED STATES 14 Please tell me if you have a very favorable, somewhat favorable, somewhat unfavorable or very unfavorable opinion of the United States. Percent responding favorable (2011) Source: Pew Global Attitudes Project, 2011.
JAPAN HAS MOST FAVORABLE OPINION OF AMERICANS; PAKISTAN THE LOWEST 15 Please tell me if you have a very favorable, somewhat favorable, somewhat unfavorable or very unfavorable opinion of the American people Percent responding favorable (2011) Source: Pew Global Attitudes Project, 2011.
SPECIAL REPORT: MUSLIMS IN AMERICA
AMERICAN MUSLIMS CONTINUE TO REJECT EXTREMISM BY LARGE MARGINS 17 In your opinion, how much support for extremism, if any, is there among Muslims living in the U.S.? Source: Pew Research Center, survey conducted April 11-July 14, 2011. Report released August 30, 2011.
MORE MUSLIM AMERICANS BELIEVE THAT U.S. EFFORTS TO REDUCE TERRORISM ARE SINCERE, BUT STILL REPORT NEGATIVE EXPERIENCES 18 % of Muslim Americans who say U.S. efforts to combat terrorism are sincere % of Muslim Americans who have experienced each of the following in the last year Do you think the US effort to combat terrorism is a sincere effort to reduce international terrorism or don’t you believe that? Here are a few things that some Muslims in the U.S. have experienced. As I read each one, please tell me whether or not it has happened to you in the past twelve months. Source: Pew Research Center, survey conducted April 11-July 14, 2011. Report released August 30, 2011.
MAJORITY OF MUSLIM AMERICANS ARE DEMOCRATS, LIBERAL AND MORE SATISFIED WITH DIRECTION OF COUNTRY % who say they are satisfied with the way things are going in the U.S. % of U.S. Muslims who identify as… % who say they prefer a bigger government with more services Overall, are you satisfied or dissatisfied with the way things are going in this country today? If you had to choose, would you rather have a smaller government providing fewer services, or a bigger government providing more services? In politics TODAY, do you consider yourself a Republican, Democrat, or independent? 19 Source: Pew Research Center, survey conducted April 11-July 14, 2011. Report released August 30, 2011.
MUSLIM AMERICANS IDENTIFY WITH GOD AND COUNTRY 20 % who saying “very strongly” and “extremely strongly” identify with… How strongly do you identify with each of the following groups? Extremely strongly, very strongly, moderately strongly, only a little, or not at all? Source: Gallup Poll, survey conducted Feb. 10-March 11, 2010 and Oct. 1-21, 2010. Report released August 3, 2011.
MOST MUSLIM AMERICANS SEE NO JUSTIFICATION FOR VIOLENCE 21 Some people think that for the military to target and kill civilians is sometimes justified, while others think that kind of violence is never justified. Which is your opinion? Some people think that for an individual person or a small group of persons to target and kill civilians is sometimes justified, while others think that kind of violence is never justified. Which is your opinion? Source: Gallup Poll, survey conducted Feb. 10-March 11, 2010 and Oct. 1-21, 2010. Report released August 3, 2011.
22 GPG Research GPG has a full-scale internal research team offering the full complement of qualitative and quantitative public opinion research services. We use research to inform message development and communication strategy, as well as to help clients assess and monitor critical issues and track the effectiveness of strategic communication campaigns. GPG has a deep experience conducting research about complex international affairs topics with diverse audiences. We go beyond the standard Q&A, using innovative, projective techniques to uncover key insights. The result is actionable research that helps shape our clients’ messaging and strategy. For more information about this presentation or to find out more about GPG’s research capabilities contact: Jason Boxt (Jboxt@gpgdc.com)