Karl Hallding: Kina, USA och framtidens energi"

968 views

Published on

A presentation held by Mr Karl Hallding, SEI, at a journalist seminar on the 4th of October 2011.

0 Comments
0 Likes
Statistics
Notes
  • Be the first to comment

  • Be the first to like this

No Downloads
Views
Total views
968
On SlideShare
0
From Embeds
0
Number of Embeds
2
Actions
Shares
0
Downloads
2
Comments
0
Likes
0
Embeds 0
No embeds

No notes for slide

Karl Hallding: Kina, USA och framtidens energi"

  1. 1. Kina, USA och framtidens energi<br />En omöjlig kombination?<br />
  2. 2.
  3. 3. Klimatförändringar<br />?<br />?<br />Efter floden<br />Sammanbrott och minskad befolkning<br />Öar av återhämtning<br />Brun dystopi<br />Auktoritarism <br />Fortress world<br />Alarmerande klimatpåverkan<br />Begränsad tillgång till fossila bränslen<br />Kraftig ekonomisk volatilitet<br />Moderata energipriseökningar<br />?<br />?<br />Är litet vackert?<br />Slutet för det globala samhället<br />Jordbrukskollaps<br />Grönt hopp<br />Global fördelning<br />Grönt strategiskt beteende<br />Begränsad klimatpåverkan<br />
  4. 4. Climate Change<br />?<br />?<br />Wake of the Flood<br />Reduced populations<br />Islands of recovery<br />Brown dystopia<br />Authoritarianism<br />Fortress world<br />Alarming impacts<br />Increasing competition for fossil energy<br />Dramatic price increases<br />Moderate price increases<br />?<br />?<br />Is Small Beautiful?<br />End of globalisation<br />Dramatic agricultural impacts<br />Green hope<br />Global equity<br />Green strategic behaviour<br />Limited impacts<br />
  5. 5.
  6. 6.
  7. 7.
  8. 8.
  9. 9. Climate Change<br />?<br />?<br />Wake of the Flood<br />Reduced populations<br />Islands of recovery<br />Brown dystopia<br />Authoritarianism<br />Fortress world<br />Alarming impacts<br />Increasing competition for fossil energy<br />Dramatic price increases<br />Moderate price increases<br />?<br />?<br />Is Small Beautiful?<br />End of globalisation<br />Dramatic agricultural impacts<br />Green hope<br />Global equity<br />Green strategic behaviour<br />Limited impacts<br />
  10. 10.
  11. 11.
  12. 12.
  13. 13.
  14. 14. Climate Change<br />?<br />?<br />Wake of the Flood<br />Reduced populations<br />Islands of recovery<br />Brown dystopia<br />Authoritarianism<br />Fortress world<br />Alarming impacts<br />Increasing competition for fossil energy<br />Dramatic price increases<br />Moderate price increases<br />?<br />?<br />Is Small Beautiful?<br />End of globalisation<br />Dramatic agricultural impacts<br />Green hope<br />Global equity<br />Green strategic behaviour<br />Limited impacts<br />
  15. 15.
  16. 16.
  17. 17.
  18. 18.
  19. 19. Climate Change<br />?<br />?<br />Wake of the Flood<br />Reduced populations<br />Islands of recovery<br />Brown dystopia<br />Authoritarianism<br />Fortress world<br />Alarming impacts<br />Increasing competition for fossil energy<br />Dramatic price increases<br />Moderate price increases<br />?<br />?<br />Is Small Beautiful?<br />End of globalisation<br />Dramatic agricultural impacts<br />Green hope<br />Global equity<br />Green strategic behaviour<br />Limited impacts<br />
  20. 20.
  21. 21.
  22. 22.
  23. 23.
  24. 24. Climate Change<br />?<br />?<br />Wake of the Flood<br />Reduced populations<br />Islands of recovery<br />Brown dystopia<br />Authoritarianism<br />Fortress world<br />Alarming impacts<br />Increasing competition for fossil energy<br />Dramatic price increases<br />Moderate price increases<br />?<br />?<br />Is Small Beautiful?<br />End of globalisation<br />Dramatic agricultural impacts<br />Green hope<br />Global equity<br />Green strategic behaviour<br />Limited impacts<br />
  25. 25.
  26. 26.
  27. 27.
  28. 28.
  29. 29.
  30. 30. Peak oil inträffar nu<br />
  31. 31. Marginalkostnad för oljeproduktion<br />
  32. 32. Oljeberoende (Mb/d)<br />54%<br />63%<br />52%<br />
  33. 33. (M b/d)<br />
  34. 34. Kina<br />107 Btu<br />USA<br />98 Btu<br />
  35. 35. The American way of life is not up for negotiation<br />George Bush (sr)Rio 1992<br />
  36. 36.
  37. 37. USA:s kostnad för oljeberoende<br />3,5% an BNP<br />4,5% av BNP<br />
  38. 38. USA Energianvändning<br />
  39. 39.
  40. 40. Kinas oljepeak<br />
  41. 41. Peak coal?<br />
  42. 42.
  43. 43. Letour position be absolutelyclear: An attempt by anyoutside force to gaincontrol of the Persian Gulf region will be regarded as an assault on the vital interests of the United States of America, and such an assaultwill be repelled by anymeansnecessary, includingmilitary force.<br />Jimmy CarterState of the Union, 1980<br />
  44. 44.
  45. 45. Show me your number<br />谢谢<br />
  46. 46. Totalt mervärde från cleantech(miljarder EUR)<br />
  47. 47. Relativt mervärde från cleantech(% av BNP)<br />
  48. 48. Hög absolut tillväxt i cleantech är avgörande för konkurrenskraft<br />

×