1. Global Forum 2012 Smart and innovative visions for the future Gérald Santucci, Head of UnitEuropean Commission, DG CONNECT 02 – Knowledge Sharing SHAPING A CONNECTED DIGITAL FUTURE Visions, Challenges, Opportunities for Organizations and People in a Smart World Monday 12th & Tuesday 13th November 2012, Stockholm
2. Political framework: Europe 20207 flagshipsDigital Agenda for Europe • Youth on the move • Innovation Union • An industrial policy for the globalisation era • New skills for jobs • European Platform against poverty • Resource efficient Europe
3. Digital Agenda for Europe: background• Digital Agenda for Europe (DAE) - key strand of the Commissions EU2020 strategy.• DAE: to establish sustainable economic growth and social benefits via digital technologies.
4. What is the Digital Agenda about?Single European Market in digital sphere Interoperability & standards Basic broadband for all Europeans by 2013 and Trust & security online faster rollout of high speed internet ICT research & innovation E-skills for all Europeans ICT solutions for ageing, climate change, cleaner transport, e-government, e-health …
5. ICT boosts productivity Sources of average annual labour productivity growth, 2000-2007•Investment in ICT generates a bigger return to productivity growth•than most other forms of capital investment. •(Source: Oxford Economics, Capturing the ICT Dividend, 2011)
6. Broadband drives competiveness Correlation Fixed Broadband Penetration and Competitiveness 5.8 5.6 Sweden WEFs Global Competitive Index score Finland Japan US UK Germany Netherlands 5.4 Denmark 5.2 Belgium Austria France 5 Luxembourg Korea 4.8 Ireland 4.6 Estonia Czech Rep. Spain Poland Portugal Lithuania Italy 4.4 Cyprus Hungary Slovenia Malta 4.2 Bulgaria Latvia Slovakia 4 Romania 0.1 0.15 0.2 0.25 0.3 0.35 0.4 0.45 Fixed broadband lines per 100 population European Commission, 2011 A 10% increase in the broadband penetration rate results in 1 to 1.5% increasein annual GDP per-capita. Faster broadband = higher GDP growth. (Czernich et al. - University of Munich, 2009)
7. Still Europe is lagging in going digital
8. Increase regular use from 60% to 75% - Halve the % of the population that have never used the internet by 2015 Regular Internet users and non-users in % of population 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 0% PT AT LT T R IT LU O LV FI PL U Y FR E K K Z L SI BG 27 IE ES SK EE BE SE M N C C D U D G H R EU Regular Internet users never use the Internet
9. Confidence/trust in IT skills is low, especially those related to work and privacy and security % of people feeling confident in performing certain computer and internet activities, 2011 (Scoreboard) Protect private computer from virus or other computer infection …only Protect personal data 53% of the active Look for a job or change job labour within a year force Communicate over the internet 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70%
10. e-Commerce – not enough cross-border purchases Target: 20% of the population should buy cross border online by 2015 eCommerce: citizens 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 0% CY PL NL EU27 CZ SI FI MT LV EE ES SK IE BE DE DK SE UK FR LU GR HU RO BG IT LT PT AT bought online cross-border bought online
11. Cross-border e-commerce
12. Basic and high-speed broadband penetration: needs to increase 45,0% 40,0% 35,0% 30,0% 25,0% 20,0% 15,0% 10,0% 5,0% 0,0% RO BG SK PL LV PT EL HU IT LT CZ IE SI ES CY AT EE EU FI MT UK LU SE BE DE FR DK NL Basic High-speedSource: Commission services based on COCOM Total number of subscription by households and enterprises divided bypopulation.
13. Digital Agenda Scoreboard• Annual state of play of progress in all 101 Digital Agenda actions in all 27 EU Member States• Overall progress good: • 38 actions completed • 49 on track • 14 actions behind schedule, but delivery dates in 2012 • Forthcoming DAE Review will provide analysis
14. DAE Review: on-going• Why review: fast moving area, new developments, new virtuous cycles of ICT use and savings both in public and private sector – need to refocus DAE: • Very Fast Internet • Cloud Computing • Internet security • Entrepreneurship and ICT for Jobs & Skills • Digital Single Market, including online public services • A strategic research and innovation agenda
15. Technological futures & related challenges (ver. 07/12) Challenges/Issues Resource Trans-humanism Climate ~Immortality Sustainability efficiency Property, changes Balanced Ownership resource GovernanceFinancial Interim/beta status Trust sharing crisis Participative Healthy Security Governance decision Body/mind adaptation ageing privacy Cloud Cognitive and Complex Implanted/ Embedded computing soft robots Technologies systems “Organic” (bio-neuro-cogno-nano) Bionics modeling computing Internet and cyborgs Energy Energy Quantum Internet “Play & efficient Virtualisation positive Rewind” “Conventional” ICT (Silicon based, Future foundatinos: Foundations Packet switching, Boolean, …) ICT-Bio-Nano-Neuro-Cogno- Quantum convergence 2015-20 2040-50 15/10
16. Stakeholder engagement Online stakeholder engagement platform https://ec.europa.eu/digital-agenda/Monitoring country Digital Agenda Assembly Connecting withprogress – explore local stakeholdersopen data
17. Concluding Remarks• DAE progress positive – but room for improvement. DAE Review identifies solutions to barriers to Europes digital transformation.• Going Local, DAA and online platform are important sources for acquiring stakeholder feedback and input – we will continue to engage.• Commitment - political and financial - vital to secure Europes place in a globally competitive digital future.