Giles Wrench - African Century Urbanisation and Real Estate

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Giles Wrench of Jones Lang LaSalle's presentation on The African Century of Urbanisation and Real Esate. The presentation highlights include; 10 African cities to watch, Africa's evolving urban network, and Grade A office rents.

For more information about Africa visit Jones Lang LaSalle's informational website http://www.jll.eu/Africa

Published in: Real Estate, Business
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Giles Wrench - African Century Urbanisation and Real Estate

  1. 1. The African Century Urbanisation and Real Estate November 21, 2013
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  3. 3. GDP Growth, 2013-2017 Sub-Saharan Africa GDP growth compares favourably with other major emerging markets Ethiopia China Ghana Nigeria India Kenya Indonesia Sub Saharan Africa Mexico Turkey South Africa Brazil 0 5 % pa 10 Source: IHS Global Insight, September 2013 3
  4. 4. Africa - Sizing the Opportunity GDP (PPP) North Africa 2013 $2.8 tn $2.2 tn $2.0 tn $3.5 tn Sub-Saharan Africa Germany UK France Africa North Africa 2020 $3.1 tn $2.6 tn $2.2 tn $5.0 tn Sub-Saharan Africa Note: US$. Source: IHS Global Insight, September 2013
  5. 5. Working-Age Population Billions Fastest growth in Africa 1.5 2010 2040 1.0 0.5 0.0 North America Latin America Europe Southeast Asia China India Africa Working-Age Population defined as 15-64 age cohorts Source: UN World Population Prospects, 2012 5
  6. 6. FDI Inflows, 2007-2012 +42% Latin America +41% Sub-Saharan Africa +18% Asia Pacific Middle East -35% North America -36% -52% North Africa -70% Europe -80 Source: World Investment Report, UNCTAD, 2012 -60 % change -40 -20 0 20 40
  7. 7. Africa’s Commercial Real Estate Stock North Africa Offices Shopping malls 4 million sq m2 Sub-Saharan Africa* 2 million m2 South Africa 15 million m2 21 million m2 1 million m2 0.5 million m2 210 million Population 830 million 52 million Excluding South Africa. Relates to modern offices and shopping malls Source: Jones Lang LaSalle, Emerging Markets Consultants, SACSC, IHS Global Insight 7
  8. 8. Grade A Office Rents, Q3 2013 African markets are among the world’s most expensive Luanda London Hong Kong Moscow Geneva Beijing Lagos Paris Zurich Shanghai Tokyo New York Rio de Janeiro Sydney Singapore Sao Paulo Rents US$/m2/pa 0 250 500 750 1,000 1,250 1,500 1,750 2,000 2,250 Based on local definitions of prime Grade A rents. Source: Jones Lang LaSalle, October 2013 8
  9. 9. Africa’s Evolving Urban Network 40 Cities – Our Watch List North Africa Casablanca, Rabat, Marrakesh, Tangier, Algiers, Tunis, Tripoli, Cairo, Alexandria, Khartoum East Africa West Africa Accra, Abidjan, Dakar, Lagos, Abuja, Port Harcourt, Kano, Ibadan, Douala, Libreville, Malabo, Kinshasa, Luanda, Brazzaville Nairobi, Mombasa, Addis Ababa, Kampala, Dar es Salaam, Kigali, Port Louis Southern Africa Source: Jones Lang LaSalle, 2013 Lusaka, Harare, Maputo, Windhoek, Johannesburg, Cape Town, Durban, Port Elizabeth, Gaborone 9
  10. 10. 10 African Cities to Watch Casablanca Cairo Mature Johannesburg, Cape Town Durban Emerging Cairo, Casablanca, Nairobi, Accra, Lagos Addis Ababa Accra Lagos Nairobi Luanda Early Adopter Luanda, Addis Ababa Johannesburg Cape Town Durban Source: Jones Lang LaSalle, 2013 10
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  12. 12. For more information on Africa: Giles Wrench Managing Director International Desk + 1 212 418 2656 giles.wrench@am.jll.com Access our interactive Africa map: www.jll.eu/Africa-Map Visit our Africa site: www.jll.eu/Africa This presentation is the sole property of Jones Lang LaSalle IP, Inc. and must not be copied, reproduced or transmitted in any form or by any means, either in whole or in part, without the prior written consent of Jones Lang LaSalle IP, Inc. The information contained in this publication has been obtained from sources generally regarded to be reliable. However, no representation is made, or warranty given, in respect of the accuracy of this information. We would like to be informed of any inaccuracies so that we may correct them. Jones Lang LaSalle does not accept any liability in negligence or otherwise for any loss or damage suffered by any party resulting from reliance on this publication.
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