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Xtreme Continuous Change - Antifragility Strategies
 

Xtreme Continuous Change - Antifragility Strategies

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Xtreme Continuous Change - Antifragility Strategies

Xtreme Continuous Change - Antifragility Strategies
from fragility --> agility
what if extreme continuous change is the new ‘stable state’

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    Xtreme Continuous Change - Antifragility Strategies Xtreme Continuous Change - Antifragility Strategies Presentation Transcript

    • finding antifragility strategies from fragility --> agility what if xtreme continuous change is the new ‘stable state’ WARNING: work-in-progress gar@inspiringarchitects.com @aspiringarc
    • Your job (later) today? 1.  Find me 2.  Share a story 3. Challenge my hypothesis open innovation in action
    • My hypothesis
    • (what if we are wrong?)
    • it was a sunny spring morning in Berlin
    • & 250 other likeminds
    • Rita Gunther McGrath, Professor Columbia Business School
    • Rita made me question my assumptions? What if…. 1.Industry isn’t stable & understandable 2. Advantages aren’t sustainable 3. Stability isn’t the stable state
    • What if the new normal is about TRANSIENT COMPETITIVE ADVANTAGE 1.  2.  3.  We surf short-lived waves (get in & get out) We compete in arenas (arena = market + segment + offer + location) We accept that change is the stable state (design for change)
    • If this was news to business people Hmm!!
    • then IT must be in the dark
    • “denial is the most predictable of all human emotions”
    • I started to question the wisdom of some our actions Agenda
    • (but before we go there)
    • Steve Blank, UC Berkeley Business School
    • Eric Ries, Entrepreneur in Residence Harvard Business School
    • Steve & Eric made me question the way we approach change 1. Use scientific methods & measures 2. Use structured change processes Lean Change Canvas – leanchange.org 3. Move from rationalism -> to incrementalism
    • Brian Solis Altimeter Group
    • Brian tells us that our customers are mutating
    • Brian also says experience is everything Zero Moment Of Truth Ultimate Moment Of Truth
    • (what else is happening)
    • let’ meet the 4 horsemen of the s digital apocalypse
    • and finally disruptors fragile debt-ridden complex rigid
    • Oh wait I forgot the march of the milennials 47% by 2020
    • a workforce of digital problem solvers *MYOA
    • a question today… What capabilities are essential for? (xcc) Are their patterns? Are their anti-patterns?
    • the stability dilemma
    • In a turf war, someone always loses
    • dynamic competition is ‘the new normal’ Industry B Industry A
    • I started to question the wisdom of some our actions Agenda
    • in the end it’s all about capability
    • what is an antifragility architecture? “wind extinguishes a candle & energizes fire” OR V(X, fΛ, K,s`) http://arxiv.org/pdf/1208.1189.pdf
    • in the end your architecture either enables or constrains your business model
    • so what’s stopping you?
    • well…you need to break out of the vicious merry-go-round BAR SRP PPP SD FF TIM PM EAM
    • My hypothesis cont.
    • 3 Takeaways 1.  Change is the new stable state 2.  Build people; provide tools 3.  Assumptions aren’t knowledge
    • “If you want to teach people a new way of thinking, don't bother trying to teach them. Instead, give them a tool, the use of which will lead to new ways of thinking.” ― Richard Buckminster Fuller
    • “Change is the law of life; those who look only to the past or present are certain to miss the future.” JFK http://www.brainyquote.com/quotes/authors/j/john_f_kennedy.html#cWKIWigxSBrHvgq1.99
    • gar@inspiringarchitects.com @aspiringarc http:/ /ie.linkedin.com/in/garmaccriosta www.iasa.ie | www.ivi.ie | www.ics.ie
    • Research worlds are colliding