Xtreme Continuous Change - Antifragility Strategies
Upcoming SlideShare
Loading in...5

Like this? Share it with your network


Xtreme Continuous Change - Antifragility Strategies



Xtreme Continuous Change - Antifragility Strategies

Xtreme Continuous Change - Antifragility Strategies
from fragility --> agility
what if extreme continuous change is the new ‘stable state’



Total Views
Views on SlideShare
Embed Views



0 Embeds 0

No embeds



Upload Details

Uploaded via as Adobe PDF

Usage Rights

CC Attribution-ShareAlike LicenseCC Attribution-ShareAlike License

Report content

Flagged as inappropriate Flag as inappropriate
Flag as inappropriate

Select your reason for flagging this presentation as inappropriate.

  • Full Name Full Name Comment goes here.
    Are you sure you want to
    Your message goes here
Post Comment
Edit your comment

Xtreme Continuous Change - Antifragility Strategies Presentation Transcript

  • 1. finding antifragility strategies from fragility --> agility what if xtreme continuous change is the new ‘stable state’ WARNING: work-in-progress gar@inspiringarchitects.com @aspiringarc
  • 2. Your job (later) today? 1.  Find me 2.  Share a story 3. Challenge my hypothesis open innovation in action
  • 3. My hypothesis
  • 4. (what if we are wrong?)
  • 5. it was a sunny spring morning in Berlin
  • 6. & 250 other likeminds
  • 7. Rita Gunther McGrath, Professor Columbia Business School
  • 8. Rita made me question my assumptions? What if…. 1.Industry isn’t stable & understandable 2. Advantages aren’t sustainable 3. Stability isn’t the stable state
  • 9. What if the new normal is about TRANSIENT COMPETITIVE ADVANTAGE 1.  2.  3.  We surf short-lived waves (get in & get out) We compete in arenas (arena = market + segment + offer + location) We accept that change is the stable state (design for change)
  • 10. If this was news to business people Hmm!!
  • 11. then IT must be in the dark
  • 12. “denial is the most predictable of all human emotions”
  • 13. I started to question the wisdom of some our actions Agenda
  • 14. (but before we go there)
  • 15. Steve Blank, UC Berkeley Business School
  • 16. Eric Ries, Entrepreneur in Residence Harvard Business School
  • 17. Steve & Eric made me question the way we approach change 1. Use scientific methods & measures 2. Use structured change processes Lean Change Canvas – leanchange.org 3. Move from rationalism -> to incrementalism
  • 18. Brian Solis Altimeter Group
  • 19. Brian tells us that our customers are mutating
  • 20. Brian also says experience is everything Zero Moment Of Truth Ultimate Moment Of Truth
  • 21. (what else is happening)
  • 22. let’ meet the 4 horsemen of the s digital apocalypse
  • 23. and finally disruptors fragile debt-ridden complex rigid
  • 24. Oh wait I forgot the march of the milennials 47% by 2020
  • 25. a workforce of digital problem solvers *MYOA
  • 26. a question today… What capabilities are essential for? (xcc) Are their patterns? Are their anti-patterns?
  • 27. the stability dilemma
  • 28. In a turf war, someone always loses
  • 29. dynamic competition is ‘the new normal’ Industry B Industry A
  • 30. I started to question the wisdom of some our actions Agenda
  • 31. in the end it’s all about capability
  • 32. what is an antifragility architecture? “wind extinguishes a candle & energizes fire” OR V(X, fΛ, K,s`) http://arxiv.org/pdf/1208.1189.pdf
  • 33. in the end your architecture either enables or constrains your business model
  • 34. so what’s stopping you?
  • 35. well…you need to break out of the vicious merry-go-round BAR SRP PPP SD FF TIM PM EAM
  • 36. My hypothesis cont.
  • 37. 3 Takeaways 1.  Change is the new stable state 2.  Build people; provide tools 3.  Assumptions aren’t knowledge
  • 38. “If you want to teach people a new way of thinking, don't bother trying to teach them. Instead, give them a tool, the use of which will lead to new ways of thinking.” ― Richard Buckminster Fuller
  • 39. “Change is the law of life; those who look only to the past or present are certain to miss the future.” JFK http://www.brainyquote.com/quotes/authors/j/john_f_kennedy.html#cWKIWigxSBrHvgq1.99
  • 40. gar@inspiringarchitects.com @aspiringarc http:/ /ie.linkedin.com/in/garmaccriosta www.iasa.ie | www.ivi.ie | www.ics.ie
  • 41. Research worlds are colliding