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Presentation to Carbon Finance 2010
                                                      Carbon capital risks & opportunities and mapping sustainable
                                                      investment for ISE Sustainability Index Project


                                                                                                                                              Graham Sinclair
                                                                                                                 Principal + Sustainable Investment Architect
                                                                                                                                                        SinCo
                                                                                                                           graham.sinclair@sinclairconsult.com

                                                                                                                          ISE Sustainability Index [ISESI] project
                                                                                                                                                           Turkey
                                                                                                                                                September 2010

CONFIDENTIAL AND PROPRIETARY Any use of this material without specific permission is strictly prohibited.

 SinCo   | Sustainable Investment Architects   |   The Leading ESG Investment Architect in Emerging Markets   | sinclairconsult.com   ©2010                          1
Carbon Finance: Investment Risks and Opportunities*

    •   Investment Risks and Opportunities
    •   The traditional and emerging risks involved in carbon mitigation project
    •   Overcoming credibility challenges
    •   What types of offsets attract the most investment?
    •   What are the risks of investing in pre- 2012 VERs? How can these be
        addressed?




                                                                                   2
Carbon Finance: Investment Risks and Opportunities

    INVESTMENT OPPORTUNITIES
    • “Climate change investment covers several key areas - clean energy, energy efficiency, agriculture
       and water, and is a secular beneficiary of global growth trends, particularly in developing markets.
    • Overall, clean energy, energy efficiency, water and agribusiness managed to outperform the
       world equity markets from the bottom of the market through the end of 2009. They also exhibit
       out-performance on a three year basis.
    • Market drivers for climate change investments remain robust driven by mandates and innovation
       policy. Our 2010 Outlook is bullish for public markets, private equity / venture capital and
       infrastructure investments.”

    RISKS
    But direct and indirect investors must KNOW the risks
         –    Legal
         –    Project/regulatory
         –    Political/country
         –    Financial markets/carbon pricing


    FOR TURKEY
    • Emerging markets best space for emerging capital especially if with appropriate underwriting.
    • What role for Turkey?



      Sources: Investing in Climate Change: Strategic Asset Allocation Perspective, Deutsche Bank Climate Change Advisors, Jan 2010
                                                                                                                                      3
ISE Sustainability Index Project 2010 - 2011 @ isesi.org




                        Sustainable                                               Turkey Business                                             Istanbul
                        Investment                                                  Council for                                                 Stock
                         Architects                                                 Sustainable                                              Exchange
                    sinclairconsult.com                                            Development                                                 ise.org
                                                                                     tbcsd.org

REGULATORY INFORMATION
No part of this proposal suggests or should understood to suggest endorsement or advice on any investment approach, strategy or offering. The
rights and obligations of the investor are set out in the relevant policy contract. Market fluctuations and changes in rates of exchange or taxation
may have an effect on the value, price or income of investments. Since the performance of financial markets fluctuates, an investor may not get
back the full amount invested. Past performance is not necessarily a guide to future investment performance.

SinCo   | Sustainable Investment Architects   |   The Leading ESG Investment Architect in Emerging Markets   | sinclairconsult.com   ©2010               4
ISE Sustainability Index Project 2010 - 2011 Launch Briefing
               Istanbul Turkey, 10 August 2010
                          isesi.org
About ISE Sustainability Index

    APPROACH                                            KEY MILESTONES
    • Opportunities to attract capital                  • Project launch announced @ ISE on 10
    • Identifying winners in sustainability meta-          August 2010 by Presidents of ISE + TBCSD
       theme; competitive context drives changes        • Briefing to companies, investors and
    • Indices will be used by investment managers          stakeholders in Turkey on project; input on
       to integrate Environmental, Social and              core ESG issues for Turkey, Oct 2010
       Governance criteria into their investment
                                                             –   Further briefings and workshops to develop
       processes for benchmarking, asset allocation.
                                                                 relevant criteria that map to international
                                                                 standards developed for Turkey.
    TEAM                                                     –   Regular updates and reporting online
    • ISE seeking local and international partners:     •   Criteria finalized and first annual rating
         –   TBCSD/WBCSD - company initiative               process begins; companies assessed on ESG
             promoting sustainability, Cheryl Hicks
                                                            factors; rating agency and company
         –   SinCo - sustainable investment architect
         –   SAM - ESG ratings and indexes
                                                            reporting.
                                                        •   Index model tested with company ESG
    ARCHITECTURE                                            profiles based on data/criteria/ranking
    • Universe of ISE-listed companies ranked on
       financial fundamentals and ESG factors e.g.       LAUNCH
       energy efficiency, jobs creation, separation
                                                        • Index modeled and launched by ISE +
       of executive/board positions
                                                           TBCSD around Dec 2011.
    • Index committee of Turkey /investment/
       sustainability experts. Third-party rating
       method with verification, review of ratings
                                                                                                               6
What do investors want? 1/3: global marketplace


            •     Global SIFs identified USD
                  6.7 trillion [2009] is
                  invested in sustainable
                  investment. But where is
                  data for Turkey?
            •     How may we define what
                  the challenges are for
                  investment integrating ESG
                  factors in Turkey today?

            •     “Institutional portfolios with
                  Socially Responsible
                  Investment (SRI) and
                  environmental, social and
                  governance (ESG)
                  mandates have been
                  obvious early adopters and
                  climate change is likely to
                  remain an important
                  theme.”


Sources: Investing in Climate Change: Strategic Asset Allocation Perspective, Deutsche Bank Climate Change Advisors, Jan 2010, AfricaSIF analysis, 2009.
                                           What is the state of responsible investment1 in South Africa in 2007? UNISA/UNEP Fi/NOAH Financial, Oct 2007.   7
What do investors want? 1/3

    •   Institutional GEM:
        –   CalPERS USD 250 bn pension fund USA emerging markets guidelines include 1.
            Promotion of sustainability. Appropriate disclosure on ESG; 2. Dedicated Clean Tech and
            Green Real Estate funds seeking deals
    •   New themes:
        –   US-based fund launched 15 Sept 2010 specializing in markets for ecosystem services such
            as carbon, water and biodiversity; “Capturing Carbon Opportunities.”
        –   Appetite for green bond fund focused on “investing in ‘green’ projects and initiatives that
            support a conversion to a low carbon economy in emerging markets.”
    •   New asset classes:
        –   Private equity: At least 10 private equity funds looking to raise up to USD 3.6 billion, with
            the four cleantech dedicated funds making up USD 1.4 billion of the sum. Actis USD 10
            bn Private Equity goal: to promote sustainable growth in emerging markets to ensure “a
            lasting tangible and positive difference” in target countries. ESG Guidelines, policies and
            methods for monitoring the ESG approach in companies within portfolio and under
            consideration [environmental, climate change]
        –   Green DFI bonds: Allocated capital to existing global development bank green bond
            programs. World Bank/IFC both issued green bonds, new issuers are expected to come to
            market in 2010. Both are AAA rated entities with zero risk weighted capital treatment.
            Investor takes on World Bank or IFC credit and does not face direct/indirect project
            exposure. All project screening is by qualified teams of environment specialists within bank.
            Investments can replace existing exposure to government bond allocations to created a
            “greener” Aggregate Bond Fund

                                                                                                            8
What do investors want? 2/3: mainstreaming through pension funds



     • 2009 influence survey: Asset Owners: do you expect to implement ESG
       policies in your emerging market investments within the next 3 years?



      Yes                                                                                           81.5%



       No                 18.5%




            0     10      20      30           40          50          60          70          80           90        100

            …however 80% also state that they are currently not able to find fund
            managers with the required capacity


                                       Source: IFC/Economist Intelligence Unit, 2009 international investor opinion survey, 2009


                                                                                                                                   9
10
What do investors want? 3/3: indexes offering carbon exposure; driving projects?

    •   Environmental indices represent the           MSCI Global Climate Index
        performance of focused investment             • The MSCI Global Climate Index is an equal
        opportunity sets that reflect specific             weighted index consisting of 100 developed
        environmental themes, such as renewable          market large, mid and small cap companies
        energy or clean technology                       that are leaders in mitigating the causes or
                                                         impact of climate change
    •   MSCI Global Environment Indices include
        developed and emerging market large, mid      •   Constituent companies are classified as
        and small cap companies that have pure-           leaders in one of three themes: Renewable
        play involvement in five environmental             Energy, Future Fuels, or Clean Technology
        themes [A company that derives 50% or             and Efficiency
        more of its revenue from products and
        services from one of the five environmental    •   Criteria for being a leader include market
        industries].                                      share, strategic commitment, investment in
                                                          research and development, intellectual
                                                          property and reputation. Constituents are
    •   The MSCI Index is the aggregation of the          added and removed at Quarterly Index
        five thematic sub-indices                          Reviews
         –   MSCI Global Alternative Energy Index
         –   MSCI Global Clean Technology Index
         –   MSCI Global Sustainable Water Index
         –   MSCI Global Green Building Index
         –   MSCI Global Pollution Prevention Index
                                                                                                        11
Carbon markets

    Compliance markets
    • Cap and trade/“Price on
      carbon”
    • $144 BILLION or 8,625
      MtCO2e in 2009
    • Geographic coverage (mostly
      EU; US regional)
    • 15% Offsets by volume (tons)

    Voluntary markets
    • Differential value/ton based on
       quality and co-benefits of
       reductions (“charismatic” or
       “boutique” carbon)
    • $388m or 94 MtCo2e in 2009
    • Global in supply; demand
       driven by U.S. and EU


                             Sources: Adapted from EKO Asset Management, Sep 2010, correspondence with author   12
Risks & opportunities 1/3
            SIZE                                                                       SELECTION
            • Carbon projects have not existed on the scale                            • Focus on eligible credits; highest value
                necessary to attract large institutional investors.                    • Lack of standardization amongst project
                Developing conservatively sized investment vehicle                         types – scope of “Green Projects” is
                takes into account current regulatory uncertainty                          very wide.
            • Does “aggregator” either ring-fence existing                                    –   Renewable energy systems
                projects or create captive pools of capital.                                  –   Energy efficient retro-fit initiatives
                                                                                              –   Avoided deforestation, reforestation,
                                                                                                  Afforestation
            PROCESS                                                                           –   Methane capture technology
            • Without rigorous investment process marketing                                   –   Global greenhouse gas abatement
               hype and emotion cloud investments
                                                                                       TRENDS
            DIVERSIFICATION
                                                                                       •    Key trends in environmental markets:
            • Hedge risk through portfolio diversified by:
                                                                                             – Trading in compliance AND pre-
                   –    Registry and standard (e.g., CAR, VCS and ACR)
                                                                                                 compliance Carbon market
                   –    Project type (e.g., avoided conversion, reforestation
                        and ag)
                                                                                                 already taking place
                   –    Investment type e.g., options, forwards, project                     – Strong regulatory interest in
                        equity                                                                   “Green Carbon” in OECD
                   –    Geography (by state/province, region and country)                        countries [from why to how?]
            OPTION                                                                           – Long-term: pricing of ecosystems
            • Protect downside exposure to slow-moving                                           and their services will create more
               compliance markets by ensuring credits also have                                  mega-markets
               appeal to high-value (“boutique”) voluntary buyers
Sources: Adapted from EKO Asset Management, Sep 2010, Bill Page CFA in GEOS Strategy Sep 2010 courtesy of Bill Page, Sep 2010, correspondence   13
Risks & opportunities 2/3
                        Legal risks

                                RISK                                                          MITIGATION & MANAGMENT
                                Third party claims ownership to credits                       - Performing due diligence. Warranties in ERPA
                                Litigation affecting project                                  - Due diligence. Warranties
                                Counterparty fails to make payments                           -Due diligence regarding counterparty’s credit
                                                                                              -Third party guarantees obligations (Guarantor)
                                Environmental liabilities                                     - Due diligence. Warranties. Indemnities
                                Failure to obtain/ comply with local                          - Due diligence. Warranties. Indemnities
                                authorizations/ permits

                        Project/regulatory risks
                                Failure to obtain letter of Approval                          - Letter of Approval as precondition in contract. Guarantee
                                                                                              from Host Country. Option to sell credits as “VERs” (Seller)
                                Project fails validation or registration                      - Validation as a precondition. Payment only upon delivery
                                                                                              (Buyer). Option to sell credits as “VERs” (Seller)
                                Methodology fails to be approved                              - Methodology approval as a precondition
                                Project under-performance                                     - ERPA obligation to source replacement credits. Duty to pay
                                                                                              liquidated damages
                                Registry delays / malfunctions                                - Flexible delivery provisions. Force Majeure. Alternative
                                                                                              accounts for delivery
Source: Managing carbon project risks Presented by Adam Shepherd, Regional Workshop on Legal, Institutional and Financial aspects of Carbon Finance, Istanbul, Turkey, 21-22 January 2008
                                                                                                                                                                                            14
Risks & opportunities 3/3

                          Host Country/Political risks                                                      Financial Risk: carbon markets risk
                          • Participants in carbon projects will                                            •      Managing Market Risk:
                             consider political risks in the host
                                                                                                                     – Pricing
                             country prior to making investment
                             decisions                                                                                        • Fixed price
                          • Sample Host Country risks…                                                                        • Floating price with floor/ceiling
                                   – Delays in obtaining Letters of Approval                                         – Secondary sales (forward)
                                   – Uncertainty regarding criteria for
                                                                                                                              • Passing on the market risk
                                     Letters of Approval
                                   – Uncertainty regarding taxes                                                              • What about delivery issues?
                                   – Nationalization of project assets or
                                     carbon credits
                                   – Coup d'état or civil strife
                                   – Strikes: labor, transport

                             “IEA urges Turkey to take on emissions target: Turkey’s fight against climate change should include a carbon
                               market and an emissions target.”
                                                                                                                 - Point Carbon 23 Jul 2010
                             “Turkey eyes domestic carbon trade: Turkey could launch a domestic carbon scheme in a few years’ time, a
                               government official said today.”
                                                                                                               - Point Carbon 28 Sep 2010
Source: Managing carbon project risks Presented by Adam Shepherd, Regional Workshop on Legal, Institutional and Financial aspects of Carbon Finance, Istanbul, Turkey, 21-22 January 2008
                                                                                                                                                                                            15
Investment case for environment: driving carbon finance 1/2

     •    Realities
            – Most countries very slow to establish carbon capital & finance.
            – Carbon finance still too peripheral.
            – Developing countries only beginning to understand how to position and communicate
              investment opportunities…
            – Emerging markets best space for emerging capital; especially if with appropriate
              underwriting. Combining/coherence of ODA. Carbon capital finance based on FTT etc.

     •    Multiple, long-term global catalysts.
            – Rise of sustainability as economic development meets “Tragedy of the Commons”
            – Environmental regulatory direction intact
            – Clean tech is now a competitive advantage

     •    Broad opportunities not recognized by the markets.
            – Beyond the solar horizon
            – New solutions, old benchmarks
            – Most significant environmental externality is pricing




   Sources: Investing in Climate Change: Strategic Asset Allocation Perspective, Deutsche Bank Climate Change Advisors, Jan 2010;
                                             WWF Sep 2010; Bill Page CFA in GEOS Strategy Sep 2010 courtesy of Bill Page, Sep 2010
                                                                                                                                     16
Investment case for environment: driving carbon finance 2/2




•“We will vigorously develop renewable energy and nuclear energy. We will endeavor to increase
 the share of non-fossil fuels in primary energy consumption to around 15% by 2020.”
                               - Chinese President Hu Jintao, address at UN Climate Change Summit, September 22, 2009.

•At least USD 10 trillion dollars of infrastructure investment overall, to be deployed globally into a
 variety of projects over the next 5-10 years, with a significant component going to water (50%),
 power (22%) and critical infrastructure for agriculture such as roads and rails (19%).”
            - Source: Investing in Climate Change: Strategic Asset Allocation Perspective, Deutsche Bank Climate Change Advisors, Jan 2010
                                                                                  Photo courtesy of The Guardian. View from the Shanghai World Financia   17
Carbon Finance: Investment Risks and Opportunities

    INVESTMENT OPPORTUNITIES
    • “Climate change investment covers several key areas - clean energy, energy efficiency, agriculture
       and water, and is a secular beneficiary of global growth trends, particularly in developing markets.
    • Overall, clean energy, energy efficiency, water and agribusiness managed to outperform the
       world equity markets from the bottom of the market through the end of 2009. They also exhibit
       out-performance on a three year basis.
    • Market drivers for climate change investments remain robust driven by mandates and innovation
       policy. Our 2010 Outlook is bullish for public markets, private equity / venture capital and
       infrastructure investments.”

    RISKS
    But direct and indirect investors must KNOW the risks
         –    Legal
         –    Project/regulatory
         –    Political/country
         –    Financial markets/carbon pricing


    FOR TURKEY
    • Emerging markets best space for emerging capital especially if with appropriate underwriting.
    • What role for Turkey?



      Sources: Investing in Climate Change: Strategic Asset Allocation Perspective, Deutsche Bank Climate Change Advisors, Jan 2010
                                                                                                                                      18
Thank you




 Sustainable Investment Architects




  Graham Sinclair
  graham.sinclair@sinclairconsult.com
  sinclairconsult.com


                                        19
EU Emission Trading Scheme cap&trade improves economics of low carbon technologies




                                                                                20
Mechanics in offset market 1/3




                                 21
Mechanics in offset market 2/3




                                 Source: Adapted from Government of Canada Offset markets, 2008; DeAM Analysis, 2009.


                                                                                                                        22
Mechanics in offset market 3/3




                                 Source: Adapted from Government of Canada Offset markets, 2008; DeAM Analysis, 2009.




                                                                                                                        23
Risks & opportunities 4: ISE-listings as entry point

                                                                               STOCK MARKET
                                                                                        BASIC RATIOS
                                                                               AS OF SEPTEMBER 23, 2010
                                                                                       ('000 TL)



                                                                      NET PROFIT      DEPRECIATION
                                             MARKET VALUE         (LAST 4 QUARTERS)(LAST 4 QUARTERS)NET CASH DIVIDEND                        EQUITY             TL(1)

          ISE 100 TOTAL/AVG.                       370,215,158         31,103,339             10,725,114               6,722,178          189,269,696           11.91

          ISE 50 TOTAL/AVG.                        324,397,540         28,553,723              9,259,278               5,994,408          165,209,735           11.36

          ISE 30 TOTAL/AVG.                        288,606,337         26,562,441              8,319,044               5,239,794          149,410,612           10.87

          ISE ALL SHARES TOTAL/AVG.                441,914,271         34,192,121             12,491,812               7,446,409          220,054,926           12.92

MARKETS TOTAL/AVG.
         MARKETS TOTAL/AVG.                        449,682,772         34,300,879             12,559,435               7,490,074          221,581,422           13.10

ELECTRICITY ELECTRICITY
            GAS AND WATER   GAS AND WATER
AKENR                                                 1,375,479             (21,024)                27,537                         ---            762,090          ---

AKSEN                                                 2,829,750             88,363                  98,633                         ---            765,186       32.02

AKSUE                                                    40,257              2,846                     432                     1,065               35,834       14.14

AYEN                                                    356,438             56,886                   8,771                   28,623               241,811        6.27

ZOREN                                                   766,130             (35,069)                65,703                         ---            164,188          ---

          TOTAL / AVERAGE                            5,368,053             92,002                  201,076                  29,688           1,969,109          58.35

          1000                                   5,368,053,432         92,002,027           201,076,379               29,687,541

                                                                                                       Source: Istanbul Stock Exchange ise.org, Sep 2010

                 •   Investment entry points directly thru listed securities in Turkey: ISE-listed utilities offer small
                     renewables exposure
                 •   Energy sector has 5 securities TL 5.38bn [USD 3.5bn] of TL 450bn
                                                                                                                                                           24
Sustainable Investment Architects

                                                                     sinclairconsult.com

REGULATORY INFORMATION
No part of this proposal suggests or should understood to suggest endorsement or advice on any investment approach, strategy or offering. The
rights and obligations of the investor are set out in the relevant policy contract. Market fluctuations and changes in rates of exchange or taxation
may have an effect on the value, price or income of investments. Since the performance of financial markets fluctuates, an investor may not get
back the full amount invested. Past performance is not necessarily a guide to future investment performance.

SinCo   | Sustainable Investment Architects   |   The Leading ESG Investment Architect in Emerging Markets   | sinclairconsult.com   ©2010         25
Who We Are: Sustainable Investment Architect

    •   SinCo at a Glance                                   •   Experienced
         –    SinCo is a boutique investment advisory firm        –   Established boutique in Boston in Q4 2006.
              specializing as an ESG investment architect            Inaugural engagement for Wall St
              for sustainable investment in frontier and             proprietary and third party manager with
              emerging markets.                                      USD 900bn AUM, 200 analysts, mutli-asset
         –    Bespoke investment advisory focused on                 classes
              sustainable investment architecture                –   Sabbatical to establish PRI in Emerging
         –    Architect + 2 analysts with support team               Markets Project for UN Environment
              operating projects with partners in Geneva,            Programme Finance Initiative 2007/8.
              Seattle, London, Nairobi, Washington DC,               Ramped membership in EM 57%
              Cape Town, Istanbul                                –   Since 2006, SinCo has delivered sustainable
         –    Word-of-mouth, below-the-radar approach                investment architecture globally to pension
                                                                     funds, asset managers and international
                                                                     organizations integrating environment, social
    •   Philosophy                                                   and governance (ESG) factors into
         –    SinCo offers the domain knowledge and                  investment practice.
              global experience to help investors
              understand the threats and opportunities of
              the sustainability meta-trend.
                                                            •   Proven Project Leader
         –    SinCo helps clarify questions, design &            –   Multi-year, multi-stakeholder, multi-country
              develop answers, and project manages                   project management experience.
              thinking into action.                              –   Developed framework for 25 country
                                                                     rollout by PRI in EM project.



             Investment architect that believes sustainability + investment are integrated

                                                                                                                     26
Who We Are: SinCo helps leading clients tackle challenges

                •   Developed strategy for assessing innovative financing mechanisms to attract new capital in new
                    ways 2008-. Designed global ESG index architecture for developed, emerging and frontier markets
                    covering nutrition sector 2009-2011.

                •    Prepared strategy and lead the Africa Sustainable Investment Forum (AfricaSIF) project team
                     developing pan-African network for investment stakeholders 2009-.


                •    Supported stakeholder engagement connecting investors, analysts and companies assessing practice
                     of investment valuation globally in 2008.

                •   Designed sustainable investment ESG architecture across trillion-dollar AUM, 200 analyst private
                    equity, equity, fixed income and global real estate asset classes. Provided peer benchmarking for
                    ESG strategy and developed change management program for global ESG roll-out 2006-2009.


                •   Developed strategy for 25 emerging markets in 2007 and launched EM project for sustainable
                    investment by institutional investors. Created network infrastructure, stakeholder relationships and
                    built PRI in EM through 2008.

                •   Conducting seminal study of sustainable investment in sub-Saharan Africa [S.Africa, Nigeria, Kenya]
                    across PE and listed equities in 2010 in partnership with RisCura; conducting primary research
                    interviewing over 130 investors. In PE and listed asset classes inside/outside Africa 2009-2010



                •   Developed investment map and index architecture for Istanbul Stock Exchange/ Turkish Business
                    Council for Sustainable Development covering 100+ ISE-listed stocks on ESG profiles 2010-2011.

                                                                                                                           27
Credentials: testimonials for SinCo…

•     “Graham is an exceptional professional in all that he does. His work is at the crossroads of business intelligence,
      finance and investments and sustainability. His ability to clarify objectives and execute on solutions has demonstrated
      the fruitful success of the business case for sustainability.”
       –   Director and Senior Investment Analyst, global institutional asset manager, New York City.
•     Graham served as a strategic adviser to a large US Asset manager as we worked together on developing their
      sustainable investment strategy. He provided on-going support to their internal team and served as a knowledgeable
      and helpful sounding board as their staff tried to move sustainability forward
       –   - Senior Client Relationship Manager, Global ESG ratings and research provider, London
•     Graham is a very focused, passionate and results driven promoter and believer in the change role that a shift to of
      Responsible Investments can and will effect in our globalising world. He is comfortable with holding a strong opinion
      yet cable of being a consensus builder
       –   - Portfolio Manager, Responsible Investment equity portfolio, Cape Town.
•     "For many investors, getting to grips with ESG issues in emerging markets is a top priority. [He] was crucial in
      encouraging new partnerships in diverse markets..."
       –   Clean tech private equity fund manager and former Executive Director, ASRIA, Hong Kong.
•     Graham has shown a fantastic drive and commitment to the PRI initiative. He clearly helped promote the ESG
      thematic to the top of our priorities.
       –   - Chief Risk Officer, hedge fund-of-funds investment house, Zurich.
•     “Graham is a hard-working, dedicated investment professional. He approaches his work with a creative pragmatism
      and is committed to promoting the importance of ESG thoughout the value chain.
       –   - Project team member, Principles for Responsible Investment, Geneva.
•     "Graham is one of our leading thinkers on SRI. The work that Graham is doing will transform SRI and take it to the
      next level."
       –   Managing Director, equity investment manager, Boston.
•     "Graham Sinclair's work is excellent."
       –   Executive Diretor, billion-dollar global foundation, Philadelphia.

                                                                                                                               28
Who We Are: About Graham Sinclair


       •   Graham Sinclair is a sustainable investment strategist, ESG architect and global project leader at
           Sinclair & Company [SinCo]. Graham has eight years specialist experience in sustainable investment
           globally after eight years in pensions consulting and investment banking in Africa. Recent consulting
           engagements in sustainable investment include:
            –   Leading IFC-funded research into private equity and liquid equity ESG strategies in sub-Saharan Africa in South
                Africa, Kenya and Nigeria to be published in Q2 2010.
            –   Developing innovative financing mechanisms strategy and ESG index architecture for developed, emerging and
                frontier markets for a Swiss-based international organization.
            –   For a global institutional investment firm in New York with a USD 1 trillion AUM portfolio, designing ESG
                architecture across private equity, liquid and global real estate portfolios covering philosophy and process
                innovations and investment strategies.
            –   As consultant to the UN, developed strategy for 25 emerging markets and launched PRI in Emerging Markets
                project in Q3 2007 for UNEP FI, creating a network infrastructure, building relationships with 108 investor
                stakeholders including in Africa through 2008.
            –   Lecturing on ESG in investment strategies at investment practitioner symposia and leading business schools in
                Europe, Africa and the US. Currently developing case studies on ESG investment in emerging markets for his
                forthcoming book.
       •   Before starting his eponymous investment advisory boutique SinCo in 2006, he was Product Manager
           at KLD Research & Analytics, Inc, based in Boston. He is a former contributor to the CSR Initiative at
           Harvard Kennedy School, Distinguished Member of Net Impact, alum of WWF One Planet Leaders
           programme and the Tallberg Forum New Leaders Program. He holds diplomas in retirement funds
           and insurance law, and in 1998 he was one of the youngest ever dual-FILPAs. He currently leads the
           AfricaSIF Project building a not-for-profit Africa Sustainable Investment Forum network.
       •   Graham earned his MBA on scholarship at Villanova University USA where he co-managed the
           Arnone-Lerer SRI Fund equity portfolio in 2004. He holds a B.Com from the University of Natal and
           LL.B from its Howard College School of Law as well as numerous industry specialist certifications.


                                                                                                                                  29
About Project team

       Name        Location                                                             Biography

                              Formerly he was Product Manager at KLD Research & Analytics, Inc, based in Boston. In 2006 he started his eponymous
                              investment advisory boutique SinCo, where he is a sustainable investment strategist, ESG architect, and global project leader. He
Graham Sinclair   Cape Town   currently leads the AfricaSIF Project building an independent, not-for-profit Africa Sustainable Investment Forum network.

                              Mr. Sinclair received his M.B.A. From Villanova where he co-managed the Arnone Lerer SRI Fund equity portfolio in 2004. He
                              holds a B. Com from the University of Natal and LL.B from Howard College School of Law. He holds diplomas in retirement
                              funds and insurance law, and in 1998 he was one of the youngest ever dual-FILPAs.




Pierre Taljaard   Cape Town   Mr Taljaard has been an analyst at SinCo since April where he conducts research and analysis for sustainable investment
                              strategy, processes and indexes. He has since spent a year working as a fund administrator at Close Fund Services, a subsidiary
                              of Close Brothers. He has also been pursuing his CFA Charter and in June 2010 passed the Level III exam. He received his
                              Bachelor of Business Science [Finance Honours] from the University of Cape Town in 2007.



Roselyne Yao        Dakar     Ms Yao is a analyst at SinCo on special projects. Formerly, she was a Research Analyst for JPS Global Investments [a California-
                              based money management company focusing on sustainable investing] and an Intern in the Social Research and Advocacy
                              Team at Walden Asset Management [a Boston-based socially responsible investing company]. She is currently an AfricaSIF
                              Steering Committee member. Ms Yao received her M.B.A. [Finance and Marketing] from the University of Illinois in 2009. She
                              passed the CFA level I exam in June 2009 and plans on sitting for the CFA level II exam in June 2011.




                                                                                                                                                                  30
Sustainable Investment Architects

                                                                     sinclairconsult.com

REGULATORY INFORMATION
No part of this proposal suggests or should understood to suggest endorsement or advice on any investment approach, strategy or offering. The
rights and obligations of the investor are set out in the relevant policy contract. Market fluctuations and changes in rates of exchange or taxation
may have an effect on the value, price or income of investments. Since the performance of financial markets fluctuates, an investor may not get
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SinCo   | Sustainable Investment Architects   |   The Leading ESG Investment Architect in Emerging Markets   | sinclairconsult.com   ©2010         31

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20100928 isesi project_sin_co_carbon_finance_slidedeck.ppt

  • 1. Presentation to Carbon Finance 2010 Carbon capital risks & opportunities and mapping sustainable investment for ISE Sustainability Index Project Graham Sinclair Principal + Sustainable Investment Architect SinCo graham.sinclair@sinclairconsult.com ISE Sustainability Index [ISESI] project Turkey September 2010 CONFIDENTIAL AND PROPRIETARY Any use of this material without specific permission is strictly prohibited. SinCo | Sustainable Investment Architects | The Leading ESG Investment Architect in Emerging Markets | sinclairconsult.com ©2010 1
  • 2. Carbon Finance: Investment Risks and Opportunities* • Investment Risks and Opportunities • The traditional and emerging risks involved in carbon mitigation project • Overcoming credibility challenges • What types of offsets attract the most investment? • What are the risks of investing in pre- 2012 VERs? How can these be addressed? 2
  • 3. Carbon Finance: Investment Risks and Opportunities INVESTMENT OPPORTUNITIES • “Climate change investment covers several key areas - clean energy, energy efficiency, agriculture and water, and is a secular beneficiary of global growth trends, particularly in developing markets. • Overall, clean energy, energy efficiency, water and agribusiness managed to outperform the world equity markets from the bottom of the market through the end of 2009. They also exhibit out-performance on a three year basis. • Market drivers for climate change investments remain robust driven by mandates and innovation policy. Our 2010 Outlook is bullish for public markets, private equity / venture capital and infrastructure investments.” RISKS But direct and indirect investors must KNOW the risks – Legal – Project/regulatory – Political/country – Financial markets/carbon pricing FOR TURKEY • Emerging markets best space for emerging capital especially if with appropriate underwriting. • What role for Turkey? Sources: Investing in Climate Change: Strategic Asset Allocation Perspective, Deutsche Bank Climate Change Advisors, Jan 2010 3
  • 4. ISE Sustainability Index Project 2010 - 2011 @ isesi.org Sustainable Turkey Business Istanbul Investment Council for Stock Architects Sustainable Exchange sinclairconsult.com Development ise.org tbcsd.org REGULATORY INFORMATION No part of this proposal suggests or should understood to suggest endorsement or advice on any investment approach, strategy or offering. The rights and obligations of the investor are set out in the relevant policy contract. Market fluctuations and changes in rates of exchange or taxation may have an effect on the value, price or income of investments. Since the performance of financial markets fluctuates, an investor may not get back the full amount invested. Past performance is not necessarily a guide to future investment performance. SinCo | Sustainable Investment Architects | The Leading ESG Investment Architect in Emerging Markets | sinclairconsult.com ©2010 4
  • 5. ISE Sustainability Index Project 2010 - 2011 Launch Briefing Istanbul Turkey, 10 August 2010 isesi.org
  • 6. About ISE Sustainability Index APPROACH KEY MILESTONES • Opportunities to attract capital • Project launch announced @ ISE on 10 • Identifying winners in sustainability meta- August 2010 by Presidents of ISE + TBCSD theme; competitive context drives changes • Briefing to companies, investors and • Indices will be used by investment managers stakeholders in Turkey on project; input on to integrate Environmental, Social and core ESG issues for Turkey, Oct 2010 Governance criteria into their investment – Further briefings and workshops to develop processes for benchmarking, asset allocation. relevant criteria that map to international standards developed for Turkey. TEAM – Regular updates and reporting online • ISE seeking local and international partners: • Criteria finalized and first annual rating – TBCSD/WBCSD - company initiative process begins; companies assessed on ESG promoting sustainability, Cheryl Hicks factors; rating agency and company – SinCo - sustainable investment architect – SAM - ESG ratings and indexes reporting. • Index model tested with company ESG ARCHITECTURE profiles based on data/criteria/ranking • Universe of ISE-listed companies ranked on financial fundamentals and ESG factors e.g. LAUNCH energy efficiency, jobs creation, separation • Index modeled and launched by ISE + of executive/board positions TBCSD around Dec 2011. • Index committee of Turkey /investment/ sustainability experts. Third-party rating method with verification, review of ratings 6
  • 7. What do investors want? 1/3: global marketplace • Global SIFs identified USD 6.7 trillion [2009] is invested in sustainable investment. But where is data for Turkey? • How may we define what the challenges are for investment integrating ESG factors in Turkey today? • “Institutional portfolios with Socially Responsible Investment (SRI) and environmental, social and governance (ESG) mandates have been obvious early adopters and climate change is likely to remain an important theme.” Sources: Investing in Climate Change: Strategic Asset Allocation Perspective, Deutsche Bank Climate Change Advisors, Jan 2010, AfricaSIF analysis, 2009. What is the state of responsible investment1 in South Africa in 2007? UNISA/UNEP Fi/NOAH Financial, Oct 2007. 7
  • 8. What do investors want? 1/3 • Institutional GEM: – CalPERS USD 250 bn pension fund USA emerging markets guidelines include 1. Promotion of sustainability. Appropriate disclosure on ESG; 2. Dedicated Clean Tech and Green Real Estate funds seeking deals • New themes: – US-based fund launched 15 Sept 2010 specializing in markets for ecosystem services such as carbon, water and biodiversity; “Capturing Carbon Opportunities.” – Appetite for green bond fund focused on “investing in ‘green’ projects and initiatives that support a conversion to a low carbon economy in emerging markets.” • New asset classes: – Private equity: At least 10 private equity funds looking to raise up to USD 3.6 billion, with the four cleantech dedicated funds making up USD 1.4 billion of the sum. Actis USD 10 bn Private Equity goal: to promote sustainable growth in emerging markets to ensure “a lasting tangible and positive difference” in target countries. ESG Guidelines, policies and methods for monitoring the ESG approach in companies within portfolio and under consideration [environmental, climate change] – Green DFI bonds: Allocated capital to existing global development bank green bond programs. World Bank/IFC both issued green bonds, new issuers are expected to come to market in 2010. Both are AAA rated entities with zero risk weighted capital treatment. Investor takes on World Bank or IFC credit and does not face direct/indirect project exposure. All project screening is by qualified teams of environment specialists within bank. Investments can replace existing exposure to government bond allocations to created a “greener” Aggregate Bond Fund 8
  • 9. What do investors want? 2/3: mainstreaming through pension funds • 2009 influence survey: Asset Owners: do you expect to implement ESG policies in your emerging market investments within the next 3 years? Yes 81.5% No 18.5% 0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100 …however 80% also state that they are currently not able to find fund managers with the required capacity Source: IFC/Economist Intelligence Unit, 2009 international investor opinion survey, 2009 9
  • 10. 10
  • 11. What do investors want? 3/3: indexes offering carbon exposure; driving projects? • Environmental indices represent the MSCI Global Climate Index performance of focused investment • The MSCI Global Climate Index is an equal opportunity sets that reflect specific weighted index consisting of 100 developed environmental themes, such as renewable market large, mid and small cap companies energy or clean technology that are leaders in mitigating the causes or impact of climate change • MSCI Global Environment Indices include developed and emerging market large, mid • Constituent companies are classified as and small cap companies that have pure- leaders in one of three themes: Renewable play involvement in five environmental Energy, Future Fuels, or Clean Technology themes [A company that derives 50% or and Efficiency more of its revenue from products and services from one of the five environmental • Criteria for being a leader include market industries]. share, strategic commitment, investment in research and development, intellectual property and reputation. Constituents are • The MSCI Index is the aggregation of the added and removed at Quarterly Index five thematic sub-indices Reviews – MSCI Global Alternative Energy Index – MSCI Global Clean Technology Index – MSCI Global Sustainable Water Index – MSCI Global Green Building Index – MSCI Global Pollution Prevention Index 11
  • 12. Carbon markets Compliance markets • Cap and trade/“Price on carbon” • $144 BILLION or 8,625 MtCO2e in 2009 • Geographic coverage (mostly EU; US regional) • 15% Offsets by volume (tons) Voluntary markets • Differential value/ton based on quality and co-benefits of reductions (“charismatic” or “boutique” carbon) • $388m or 94 MtCo2e in 2009 • Global in supply; demand driven by U.S. and EU Sources: Adapted from EKO Asset Management, Sep 2010, correspondence with author 12
  • 13. Risks & opportunities 1/3 SIZE SELECTION • Carbon projects have not existed on the scale • Focus on eligible credits; highest value necessary to attract large institutional investors. • Lack of standardization amongst project Developing conservatively sized investment vehicle types – scope of “Green Projects” is takes into account current regulatory uncertainty very wide. • Does “aggregator” either ring-fence existing – Renewable energy systems projects or create captive pools of capital. – Energy efficient retro-fit initiatives – Avoided deforestation, reforestation, Afforestation PROCESS – Methane capture technology • Without rigorous investment process marketing – Global greenhouse gas abatement hype and emotion cloud investments TRENDS DIVERSIFICATION • Key trends in environmental markets: • Hedge risk through portfolio diversified by: – Trading in compliance AND pre- – Registry and standard (e.g., CAR, VCS and ACR) compliance Carbon market – Project type (e.g., avoided conversion, reforestation and ag) already taking place – Investment type e.g., options, forwards, project – Strong regulatory interest in equity “Green Carbon” in OECD – Geography (by state/province, region and country) countries [from why to how?] OPTION – Long-term: pricing of ecosystems • Protect downside exposure to slow-moving and their services will create more compliance markets by ensuring credits also have mega-markets appeal to high-value (“boutique”) voluntary buyers Sources: Adapted from EKO Asset Management, Sep 2010, Bill Page CFA in GEOS Strategy Sep 2010 courtesy of Bill Page, Sep 2010, correspondence 13
  • 14. Risks & opportunities 2/3 Legal risks RISK MITIGATION & MANAGMENT Third party claims ownership to credits - Performing due diligence. Warranties in ERPA Litigation affecting project - Due diligence. Warranties Counterparty fails to make payments -Due diligence regarding counterparty’s credit -Third party guarantees obligations (Guarantor) Environmental liabilities - Due diligence. Warranties. Indemnities Failure to obtain/ comply with local - Due diligence. Warranties. Indemnities authorizations/ permits Project/regulatory risks Failure to obtain letter of Approval - Letter of Approval as precondition in contract. Guarantee from Host Country. Option to sell credits as “VERs” (Seller) Project fails validation or registration - Validation as a precondition. Payment only upon delivery (Buyer). Option to sell credits as “VERs” (Seller) Methodology fails to be approved - Methodology approval as a precondition Project under-performance - ERPA obligation to source replacement credits. Duty to pay liquidated damages Registry delays / malfunctions - Flexible delivery provisions. Force Majeure. Alternative accounts for delivery Source: Managing carbon project risks Presented by Adam Shepherd, Regional Workshop on Legal, Institutional and Financial aspects of Carbon Finance, Istanbul, Turkey, 21-22 January 2008 14
  • 15. Risks & opportunities 3/3 Host Country/Political risks Financial Risk: carbon markets risk • Participants in carbon projects will • Managing Market Risk: consider political risks in the host – Pricing country prior to making investment decisions • Fixed price • Sample Host Country risks… • Floating price with floor/ceiling – Delays in obtaining Letters of Approval – Secondary sales (forward) – Uncertainty regarding criteria for • Passing on the market risk Letters of Approval – Uncertainty regarding taxes • What about delivery issues? – Nationalization of project assets or carbon credits – Coup d'état or civil strife – Strikes: labor, transport “IEA urges Turkey to take on emissions target: Turkey’s fight against climate change should include a carbon market and an emissions target.” - Point Carbon 23 Jul 2010 “Turkey eyes domestic carbon trade: Turkey could launch a domestic carbon scheme in a few years’ time, a government official said today.” - Point Carbon 28 Sep 2010 Source: Managing carbon project risks Presented by Adam Shepherd, Regional Workshop on Legal, Institutional and Financial aspects of Carbon Finance, Istanbul, Turkey, 21-22 January 2008 15
  • 16. Investment case for environment: driving carbon finance 1/2 • Realities – Most countries very slow to establish carbon capital & finance. – Carbon finance still too peripheral. – Developing countries only beginning to understand how to position and communicate investment opportunities… – Emerging markets best space for emerging capital; especially if with appropriate underwriting. Combining/coherence of ODA. Carbon capital finance based on FTT etc. • Multiple, long-term global catalysts. – Rise of sustainability as economic development meets “Tragedy of the Commons” – Environmental regulatory direction intact – Clean tech is now a competitive advantage • Broad opportunities not recognized by the markets. – Beyond the solar horizon – New solutions, old benchmarks – Most significant environmental externality is pricing Sources: Investing in Climate Change: Strategic Asset Allocation Perspective, Deutsche Bank Climate Change Advisors, Jan 2010; WWF Sep 2010; Bill Page CFA in GEOS Strategy Sep 2010 courtesy of Bill Page, Sep 2010 16
  • 17. Investment case for environment: driving carbon finance 2/2 •“We will vigorously develop renewable energy and nuclear energy. We will endeavor to increase the share of non-fossil fuels in primary energy consumption to around 15% by 2020.” - Chinese President Hu Jintao, address at UN Climate Change Summit, September 22, 2009. •At least USD 10 trillion dollars of infrastructure investment overall, to be deployed globally into a variety of projects over the next 5-10 years, with a significant component going to water (50%), power (22%) and critical infrastructure for agriculture such as roads and rails (19%).” - Source: Investing in Climate Change: Strategic Asset Allocation Perspective, Deutsche Bank Climate Change Advisors, Jan 2010 Photo courtesy of The Guardian. View from the Shanghai World Financia 17
  • 18. Carbon Finance: Investment Risks and Opportunities INVESTMENT OPPORTUNITIES • “Climate change investment covers several key areas - clean energy, energy efficiency, agriculture and water, and is a secular beneficiary of global growth trends, particularly in developing markets. • Overall, clean energy, energy efficiency, water and agribusiness managed to outperform the world equity markets from the bottom of the market through the end of 2009. They also exhibit out-performance on a three year basis. • Market drivers for climate change investments remain robust driven by mandates and innovation policy. Our 2010 Outlook is bullish for public markets, private equity / venture capital and infrastructure investments.” RISKS But direct and indirect investors must KNOW the risks – Legal – Project/regulatory – Political/country – Financial markets/carbon pricing FOR TURKEY • Emerging markets best space for emerging capital especially if with appropriate underwriting. • What role for Turkey? Sources: Investing in Climate Change: Strategic Asset Allocation Perspective, Deutsche Bank Climate Change Advisors, Jan 2010 18
  • 19. Thank you Sustainable Investment Architects Graham Sinclair graham.sinclair@sinclairconsult.com sinclairconsult.com 19
  • 20. EU Emission Trading Scheme cap&trade improves economics of low carbon technologies 20
  • 21. Mechanics in offset market 1/3 21
  • 22. Mechanics in offset market 2/3 Source: Adapted from Government of Canada Offset markets, 2008; DeAM Analysis, 2009. 22
  • 23. Mechanics in offset market 3/3 Source: Adapted from Government of Canada Offset markets, 2008; DeAM Analysis, 2009. 23
  • 24. Risks & opportunities 4: ISE-listings as entry point STOCK MARKET BASIC RATIOS AS OF SEPTEMBER 23, 2010 ('000 TL) NET PROFIT DEPRECIATION MARKET VALUE (LAST 4 QUARTERS)(LAST 4 QUARTERS)NET CASH DIVIDEND EQUITY TL(1) ISE 100 TOTAL/AVG. 370,215,158 31,103,339 10,725,114 6,722,178 189,269,696 11.91 ISE 50 TOTAL/AVG. 324,397,540 28,553,723 9,259,278 5,994,408 165,209,735 11.36 ISE 30 TOTAL/AVG. 288,606,337 26,562,441 8,319,044 5,239,794 149,410,612 10.87 ISE ALL SHARES TOTAL/AVG. 441,914,271 34,192,121 12,491,812 7,446,409 220,054,926 12.92 MARKETS TOTAL/AVG. MARKETS TOTAL/AVG. 449,682,772 34,300,879 12,559,435 7,490,074 221,581,422 13.10 ELECTRICITY ELECTRICITY GAS AND WATER GAS AND WATER AKENR 1,375,479 (21,024) 27,537 --- 762,090 --- AKSEN 2,829,750 88,363 98,633 --- 765,186 32.02 AKSUE 40,257 2,846 432 1,065 35,834 14.14 AYEN 356,438 56,886 8,771 28,623 241,811 6.27 ZOREN 766,130 (35,069) 65,703 --- 164,188 --- TOTAL / AVERAGE 5,368,053 92,002 201,076 29,688 1,969,109 58.35 1000 5,368,053,432 92,002,027 201,076,379 29,687,541 Source: Istanbul Stock Exchange ise.org, Sep 2010 • Investment entry points directly thru listed securities in Turkey: ISE-listed utilities offer small renewables exposure • Energy sector has 5 securities TL 5.38bn [USD 3.5bn] of TL 450bn 24
  • 25. Sustainable Investment Architects sinclairconsult.com REGULATORY INFORMATION No part of this proposal suggests or should understood to suggest endorsement or advice on any investment approach, strategy or offering. The rights and obligations of the investor are set out in the relevant policy contract. Market fluctuations and changes in rates of exchange or taxation may have an effect on the value, price or income of investments. Since the performance of financial markets fluctuates, an investor may not get back the full amount invested. Past performance is not necessarily a guide to future investment performance. SinCo | Sustainable Investment Architects | The Leading ESG Investment Architect in Emerging Markets | sinclairconsult.com ©2010 25
  • 26. Who We Are: Sustainable Investment Architect • SinCo at a Glance • Experienced – SinCo is a boutique investment advisory firm – Established boutique in Boston in Q4 2006. specializing as an ESG investment architect Inaugural engagement for Wall St for sustainable investment in frontier and proprietary and third party manager with emerging markets. USD 900bn AUM, 200 analysts, mutli-asset – Bespoke investment advisory focused on classes sustainable investment architecture – Sabbatical to establish PRI in Emerging – Architect + 2 analysts with support team Markets Project for UN Environment operating projects with partners in Geneva, Programme Finance Initiative 2007/8. Seattle, London, Nairobi, Washington DC, Ramped membership in EM 57% Cape Town, Istanbul – Since 2006, SinCo has delivered sustainable – Word-of-mouth, below-the-radar approach investment architecture globally to pension funds, asset managers and international organizations integrating environment, social • Philosophy and governance (ESG) factors into – SinCo offers the domain knowledge and investment practice. global experience to help investors understand the threats and opportunities of the sustainability meta-trend. • Proven Project Leader – SinCo helps clarify questions, design & – Multi-year, multi-stakeholder, multi-country develop answers, and project manages project management experience. thinking into action. – Developed framework for 25 country rollout by PRI in EM project. Investment architect that believes sustainability + investment are integrated 26
  • 27. Who We Are: SinCo helps leading clients tackle challenges • Developed strategy for assessing innovative financing mechanisms to attract new capital in new ways 2008-. Designed global ESG index architecture for developed, emerging and frontier markets covering nutrition sector 2009-2011. • Prepared strategy and lead the Africa Sustainable Investment Forum (AfricaSIF) project team developing pan-African network for investment stakeholders 2009-. • Supported stakeholder engagement connecting investors, analysts and companies assessing practice of investment valuation globally in 2008. • Designed sustainable investment ESG architecture across trillion-dollar AUM, 200 analyst private equity, equity, fixed income and global real estate asset classes. Provided peer benchmarking for ESG strategy and developed change management program for global ESG roll-out 2006-2009. • Developed strategy for 25 emerging markets in 2007 and launched EM project for sustainable investment by institutional investors. Created network infrastructure, stakeholder relationships and built PRI in EM through 2008. • Conducting seminal study of sustainable investment in sub-Saharan Africa [S.Africa, Nigeria, Kenya] across PE and listed equities in 2010 in partnership with RisCura; conducting primary research interviewing over 130 investors. In PE and listed asset classes inside/outside Africa 2009-2010 • Developed investment map and index architecture for Istanbul Stock Exchange/ Turkish Business Council for Sustainable Development covering 100+ ISE-listed stocks on ESG profiles 2010-2011. 27
  • 28. Credentials: testimonials for SinCo… • “Graham is an exceptional professional in all that he does. His work is at the crossroads of business intelligence, finance and investments and sustainability. His ability to clarify objectives and execute on solutions has demonstrated the fruitful success of the business case for sustainability.” – Director and Senior Investment Analyst, global institutional asset manager, New York City. • Graham served as a strategic adviser to a large US Asset manager as we worked together on developing their sustainable investment strategy. He provided on-going support to their internal team and served as a knowledgeable and helpful sounding board as their staff tried to move sustainability forward – - Senior Client Relationship Manager, Global ESG ratings and research provider, London • Graham is a very focused, passionate and results driven promoter and believer in the change role that a shift to of Responsible Investments can and will effect in our globalising world. He is comfortable with holding a strong opinion yet cable of being a consensus builder – - Portfolio Manager, Responsible Investment equity portfolio, Cape Town. • "For many investors, getting to grips with ESG issues in emerging markets is a top priority. [He] was crucial in encouraging new partnerships in diverse markets..." – Clean tech private equity fund manager and former Executive Director, ASRIA, Hong Kong. • Graham has shown a fantastic drive and commitment to the PRI initiative. He clearly helped promote the ESG thematic to the top of our priorities. – - Chief Risk Officer, hedge fund-of-funds investment house, Zurich. • “Graham is a hard-working, dedicated investment professional. He approaches his work with a creative pragmatism and is committed to promoting the importance of ESG thoughout the value chain. – - Project team member, Principles for Responsible Investment, Geneva. • "Graham is one of our leading thinkers on SRI. The work that Graham is doing will transform SRI and take it to the next level." – Managing Director, equity investment manager, Boston. • "Graham Sinclair's work is excellent." – Executive Diretor, billion-dollar global foundation, Philadelphia. 28
  • 29. Who We Are: About Graham Sinclair • Graham Sinclair is a sustainable investment strategist, ESG architect and global project leader at Sinclair & Company [SinCo]. Graham has eight years specialist experience in sustainable investment globally after eight years in pensions consulting and investment banking in Africa. Recent consulting engagements in sustainable investment include: – Leading IFC-funded research into private equity and liquid equity ESG strategies in sub-Saharan Africa in South Africa, Kenya and Nigeria to be published in Q2 2010. – Developing innovative financing mechanisms strategy and ESG index architecture for developed, emerging and frontier markets for a Swiss-based international organization. – For a global institutional investment firm in New York with a USD 1 trillion AUM portfolio, designing ESG architecture across private equity, liquid and global real estate portfolios covering philosophy and process innovations and investment strategies. – As consultant to the UN, developed strategy for 25 emerging markets and launched PRI in Emerging Markets project in Q3 2007 for UNEP FI, creating a network infrastructure, building relationships with 108 investor stakeholders including in Africa through 2008. – Lecturing on ESG in investment strategies at investment practitioner symposia and leading business schools in Europe, Africa and the US. Currently developing case studies on ESG investment in emerging markets for his forthcoming book. • Before starting his eponymous investment advisory boutique SinCo in 2006, he was Product Manager at KLD Research & Analytics, Inc, based in Boston. He is a former contributor to the CSR Initiative at Harvard Kennedy School, Distinguished Member of Net Impact, alum of WWF One Planet Leaders programme and the Tallberg Forum New Leaders Program. He holds diplomas in retirement funds and insurance law, and in 1998 he was one of the youngest ever dual-FILPAs. He currently leads the AfricaSIF Project building a not-for-profit Africa Sustainable Investment Forum network. • Graham earned his MBA on scholarship at Villanova University USA where he co-managed the Arnone-Lerer SRI Fund equity portfolio in 2004. He holds a B.Com from the University of Natal and LL.B from its Howard College School of Law as well as numerous industry specialist certifications. 29
  • 30. About Project team Name Location Biography Formerly he was Product Manager at KLD Research & Analytics, Inc, based in Boston. In 2006 he started his eponymous investment advisory boutique SinCo, where he is a sustainable investment strategist, ESG architect, and global project leader. He Graham Sinclair Cape Town currently leads the AfricaSIF Project building an independent, not-for-profit Africa Sustainable Investment Forum network. Mr. Sinclair received his M.B.A. From Villanova where he co-managed the Arnone Lerer SRI Fund equity portfolio in 2004. He holds a B. Com from the University of Natal and LL.B from Howard College School of Law. He holds diplomas in retirement funds and insurance law, and in 1998 he was one of the youngest ever dual-FILPAs. Pierre Taljaard Cape Town Mr Taljaard has been an analyst at SinCo since April where he conducts research and analysis for sustainable investment strategy, processes and indexes. He has since spent a year working as a fund administrator at Close Fund Services, a subsidiary of Close Brothers. He has also been pursuing his CFA Charter and in June 2010 passed the Level III exam. He received his Bachelor of Business Science [Finance Honours] from the University of Cape Town in 2007. Roselyne Yao Dakar Ms Yao is a analyst at SinCo on special projects. Formerly, she was a Research Analyst for JPS Global Investments [a California- based money management company focusing on sustainable investing] and an Intern in the Social Research and Advocacy Team at Walden Asset Management [a Boston-based socially responsible investing company]. She is currently an AfricaSIF Steering Committee member. Ms Yao received her M.B.A. [Finance and Marketing] from the University of Illinois in 2009. She passed the CFA level I exam in June 2009 and plans on sitting for the CFA level II exam in June 2011. 30
  • 31. Sustainable Investment Architects sinclairconsult.com REGULATORY INFORMATION No part of this proposal suggests or should understood to suggest endorsement or advice on any investment approach, strategy or offering. The rights and obligations of the investor are set out in the relevant policy contract. Market fluctuations and changes in rates of exchange or taxation may have an effect on the value, price or income of investments. Since the performance of financial markets fluctuates, an investor may not get back the full amount invested. Past performance is not necessarily a guide to future investment performance. SinCo | Sustainable Investment Architects | The Leading ESG Investment Architect in Emerging Markets | sinclairconsult.com ©2010 31