GAO STRATEGY- USED OFARMOURED FIGHTINGVEHICLES (AFVS)BUSINESS INNOVATION RESEARCHDEVELOPMENTgsradjou@outlook.comBIRD
Indicator for crisisAre members of a community willing toact -regulation, policy, Evidence basedTotal recovery (physically...
T1T2QuickphaseQuickphaseIntermediate phaseLast phaseK (equilibrium)ToT*1a1a 1b1b2b 2a 1a1b3a 3a3a3b 3bExternal+ External –...
1- Strategic Analysis of the balance of forces (A)2- Hyogo Framework of Action (HFA) (C)2a- International stakeholder regu...
Tsunami SouthEast Asia 2005,Dec. 247Costs of recoveryand reconstruction($ billions)Assets,recovery &reconstructionHaiti ea...
turetarmouredAFV: Armoured Fighting VehicleSeriouslywilling toengage in thebattlefieldImportance of armoursaccording to ro...
Niger RiverSiege ofGao withAFVsMalitroopsNigertroopsAlgeriantroopsAFVspenetrations(lights)Siegeof Gao(AFVsnormalwith turet...
BUSINESS INNOVATION RESEARCHDEVELOPMENTIn fact, the same elements of my strategies were combining with Serval operations,b...
The compromise, which has been made to win the warRenouncing to the strategy and adapting to the terrorist threatsScenario...
Estimates of needs(for recovery and reconstruction)Optimistic (Bruxelles Donors)€3,000,000,000Pessimistic (Diuncounda trao...
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Use of af vs in gao strategy

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Use of Armoured Fighting Vehicles- It is a comparative advantage between my strategy and Serval Operations-

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Use of af vs in gao strategy

  1. 1. GAO STRATEGY- USED OFARMOURED FIGHTINGVEHICLES (AFVS)BUSINESS INNOVATION RESEARCHDEVELOPMENTgsradjou@outlook.comBIRD
  2. 2. Indicator for crisisAre members of a community willing toact -regulation, policy, Evidence basedTotal recovery (physically fit andmentally fit)- assets, livlyhoodproperties, wellbeingAdministration are they engaged -willingand an attitude- Emergency planning,resouce allocationLevel Lowest degreeUppermost degreeGoalarchievementNotover-reactingIs there an hybrid organization betweenthe top and the bottom of theorganizations -consultant, diplomate....Operational, task force, managerswork teamsEWS – MEDIA – JOURNALIST- VIRTUAL ENTITIESCRISISORGANIZATIONBIRD Gao Strategy 2013 Source: authorB U S I N E S S I N N O V A T I O N R E S E A R C HD E V E L O P M E N T
  3. 3. T1T2QuickphaseQuickphaseIntermediate phaseLast phaseK (equilibrium)ToT*1a1a 1b1b2b 2a 1a1b3a 3a3a3b 3bExternal+ External –Internal + Internal –(A)(B)(C)31 2 3 4 5 6 7BIRD Gao Strategy 2013 Source: authorB U S I N E S S I N N O V A T I O N R E S E A R C HD E V E L O P M E N T
  4. 4. 1- Strategic Analysis of the balance of forces (A)2- Hyogo Framework of Action (HFA) (C)2a- International stakeholder regulation2b- The regional intervention– Communty resilienceB) Role of investment in post recovery operation-engagingtoward change: B-- → B+K3b3bCosts ofinactionMaximumMinimum(gains:development)Average – TerrorismInvestmentFor occupying MaliCost = 0(losses: Costsincrease)Southern costsEfforts madeWar costsNorthernCostsAssistanceTo the North€1 billion(Diouncoude Traoureassessment) - includingKidale-1a1b Without KidaleMaliCost for Servalintervention -whopays (is it incudedin the € 3billionsBIRD Gao Strategy 2013 Source: authorB U S I N E S S I N N O V A T I O N R E S E A R C HD E V E L O P M E N T
  5. 5. Tsunami SouthEast Asia 2005,Dec. 247Costs of recoveryand reconstruction($ billions)Assets,recovery &reconstructionHaiti earthquake11 Jan. 2011300,000deads, lossesof properties,livelihoods(Overestimates)13Underestimates10(Actual)ABCMali(predicted)ACCurrency Exchangerate €1 = $ 1.31.3DiouncoudaTraoure3.9BruxellesDonors CAMali(actual)DBIRD Gao Strategy 2013Source: authorB U S I N E S S I N N O V A T I O N R E S E A R C HD E V E L O P M E N T
  6. 6. turetarmouredAFV: Armoured Fighting VehicleSeriouslywilling toengage in thebattlefieldImportance of armoursaccording to role andthe direction of atttackNo armour:reconnaissance vehiculeGeneric Model of AFVWheelsTrackerweaponeryNo weaponery → reconnaissanceMachine gun → self-defenceHeavy gun → engagementSketch of a AFV, vehicule capableof ambitious operations (adapteddrawning from wikipedia)BIRDBUSINESS INNOVATION RESEARCHDEVELOPMENT
  7. 7. Niger RiverSiege ofGao withAFVsMalitroopsNigertroopsAlgeriantroopsAFVspenetrations(lights)Siegeof Gao(AFVsnormalwith turetsand gunsNigerMaliAlgeriaHumanitarians(for basicneeds duringthe siege andfor surrenders)Organization of the siege of GAO withAFVs penetrations and humanitarianservice for surrendering and access tobasic needs for the free/fred civilians(on the information I had given by Frenchmedia)Motivation of the GAO strategy and the use of AFVsThe Known factors- what was planned- the freedomof cities would rely on African armies themselvesFrance would ensure the logistic -and not directinterventionThe real operations were based on ServalOperation (France) and the use of Aircraft andinfantry– The logistic was ensured by USA orBruxelles/BelgiumKNOWNS (In the media-before the war) UNKNOWNS by the mediaBIRD GAO Strategy 2013 Source: authorBUSINESS INNOVATION RESEARCHDEVELOPMENT
  8. 8. BUSINESS INNOVATION RESEARCHDEVELOPMENTIn fact, the same elements of my strategies were combining with Serval operations,but in different places and a different timeline.The difference came from the fact, I knew war is the kingdom of uncertainties (20%known and 80% unknowns)The war according to the media, took everybody by surprise- the day before theintervention in Mali and Serval nobody imagined terrorist would attempt to go toBamako- Media siad that President Holland called it a characterized aggression -itneeded 24 hours for Mali Transition president to call France for military assistance inthe Framework of UNSept-2012Ban Khi Moon and UNresolution on Mali forousting the terrorist andreunifyin gNorth and South-(Mali National Integrityresolution)North MaliOccupation byterroristgroupsFeb.2012UN implementation of thersolution in Oct 2013Issues:+ training of Mali roops+ enrol African Armies+ weather conditions(intervention would be duringthe summer/after the rainyseasons)Oct. 201311 Feb. 2013:terroristaggression12 Feb. 2013France andServalinterventionP SL CA EN NN AE RD IOACTUAL DATA, WHICH CHANGED THE STRATEGYBIRD GAO Strategy 2013 Source: author
  9. 9. The compromise, which has been made to win the warRenouncing to the strategy and adapting to the terrorist threatsScenario(abandonned)ChadChad based aircraft, which arelong date operational aircraftsable to project in various AfricanCountries in real timeMaliAircrafts(missilelaunchers(Fr.)ServalFranceTerroristcharacterizedaggressionInfantrytransport(Fr.)Questio/Answers:Personnaly, I think the media and politician sent wrongsignals in oderd to minimize the risk as the UN was notready to intervene is Mali nothing was prepared (noresources- The media created noises -and possibly, thishas strenghten terrorist to speed up the instability in theinstability- due to the complexity of the situation(?)- I haveno evidence, but I think terrorist were informed likeanybody from the western media- as they knew UN had astrategy end of 2013- This infromation prompted theinvasion of South Mali-Unfortunatly for them- France usedan automatic response build on a long date on itspartnership agreement between African countries whichallocated military bases to France-So, the shortlead time between the characterisedaggression and the short lead-time of responsivenessFrom France after Mali asked assistance is a sign thatthe French militarians were well awared they could usetheir comarative advantage and projection 24/24, 7/7 and365/365- which is the best wasy to reduce uncertaintyNew project inthe instant of theattack- less methink that thebattle wasalready incontrol -before it startedBIRD GAO Strategy 2013 Source: authorBUSINESS INNOVATION RESEARCHDEVELOPMENT
  10. 10. Estimates of needs(for recovery and reconstruction)Optimistic (Bruxelles Donors)€3,000,000,000Pessimistic (Diuncounda traoure)€1,000,000,000167, 000 peoplecompensatations56, 000 peoplecompensationsN1 (F1)+N2 (F2) + N3 (F3) + N4 (F4)B U S I N E S S I N N O V A T I O N R E S E A R C HD E V E L O P M E N TBIRD Gao Strategy 2013 Source: author

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