Integrative Risk Management - Walter J. Ammann, CEO, Global Risk Forum GRF Davos, UNISDR STAG Member

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GPDRR 2013 featured event: Applying science and technology to policy and practice in DRR

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Integrative Risk Management - Walter J. Ammann, CEO, Global Risk Forum GRF Davos, UNISDR STAG Member

  1. 1. GP UNISDR Featured EventGeneva, Wednesday 22 May 2013 Walter J. Ammann1FEATURED EVENTAPPLYING SCIENCE AND TECHNOLOGY TOPOLICY AND PRACTICE IN DRRIntroductionWalter J. Ammann,CEO, Global Risk Forum GRF Davos,UNISDR STAG MemberDavos, Switzerlandwalter.ammann@grforum.org
  2. 2. GP UNISDR Featured EventGeneva, Wednesday 22 May 2013 Walter J. Ammann2DRR?• Disaster management (how to deal witha risk which has just become reality)• Risk reduction (how to prevent or limitpotential future disasters)APPLYING SCIENCE AND TECHNOLOGY TOPOLICY AND PRACTICE IN DRR
  3. 3. GP UNISDR Featured EventGeneva, Wednesday 22 May 2013 Walter J. Ammann3HazardsProcessesRISKS: THE HAZARD SIDE
  4. 4. GP UNISDR Featured EventGeneva, Wednesday 22 May 2013 Walter J. Ammann4Values exposed to hazardsRISKS – THE VALUES AND VULNERABILITIES
  5. 5. GP UNISDR Featured EventGeneva, Wednesday 22 May 2013 Walter J. Ammann5ProcessesValuesExposureVulnerabilityDamage potentialRISKRISK – EXISTING VALUES AND DAMAGE POTENTIAL• Risk and opportunities (values) are twins• No development without risks
  6. 6. GP UNISDR Featured EventGeneva, Wednesday 22 May 2013 Walter J. Ammann6What has to be done?Measures to be takenWhat canhappen?Risk AnalysisWhat isacceptable tohappen?Risk AssessmentHazard analysis (hazardintensity and exposureanalysis, vulnerability,Scenarios importantWhat is an acceptedsafety level?(Protection goals,acceptable risk levels)How safe is safe enough?DRR – CONCEPTUAL FRAMEWORKParadigm shift:• Risk based approach (ex-ante): proactivepreventionInstead of:• Disaster centered approach (ex-post): intervention/recovery
  7. 7. GP UNISDR Featured EventGeneva, Wednesday 22 May 2013 Walter J. Ammann7FLOODSSEVERE WINDSTORMSEARTHQUAKES/ TSUNAMISDROUGHTS,DESERTIFICATIONRESOURCE SCARCITIESSOCIAL UNRESTBIOLOGICAL HAZARDSTECHNOLOGICAL HAZARDSGLOBAL CLIMATECHANGETERRORISMLAND DEGRADATIONPANDEMICSFINANCIAL CRISESBIOLOGICAL THREATSMULTI RISK APPROACH – COMPARABILITY?
  8. 8. GP UNISDR Featured EventGeneva, Wednesday 22 May 2013 Walter J. Ammann8LINKING SCIENCE TO POLICY AND PRACTICEScience Policy andPractice:• Politics• Administration• Practitioners• Private Sector• Media• Society• Natural• Social• Engineering• Financial• Medical• …..Technology – Solution drivenResearch – Education – TrainingCapacity Building – Awareness Rising - CommunicationBridging the gaps and bridging the scales
  9. 9. GP UNISDR Featured EventGeneva, Wednesday 22 May 2013 Walter J. Ammann9• A lot of success stories (see the nextpresentations )• Foresight studies - emerging risks• Complex, cascading risks / disasters• Multi risk approach (making riskscomparable)• Vulnerability and resilience assessment• Risk governance fundamentals• Risk based legislation• Etc.WHERE SCIENCE AND TECHNOLOGY CAN HELP
  10. 10. GP UNISDR Featured EventGeneva, Wednesday 22 May 2013 Walter J. Ammann10„People inbetween Change““ Said is not heard -heard is not understood -Understood is not agreed -agreed is not appliedapplied is not maintained”Communication is key – one way information is notsufficientWHERE SCIENCE AND TECHNOLOGY CAN HELPKonrad Lorenz (1903-1989), AustrianNobelprize Winner1973Well done is better than well said.(unknown proverb)

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