Global Earthquake Model: Calculating and Communicating Seismic Risk

1. Global Earthquake Model: calculating and communicating seismic risk Rui Pnho Secretary General, GEM Foundation

2. Over half a million people died in the last decade due to earthquakes and tsunamis, most of these in the developing world, where the risk is increasing due to rapid population growth and urbanization [many of today’s megacities lie near plate boundaries]. But in many earthquake-prone regions no hazard models exist, and even where models do exist, they are often inaccessible. Better risk awareness can reduce the toll that earthquakes take by leading to better construction, improved emergency response, and greater access to insurance. Ganges Plain India Istanbul Turkey THE NEED

5. PRIVATE PARTNERS 5 Mill. € 3 Mill. € 1 Mill. € 1 Mill. € 1.6 Mill. € GEM is looking to expand private participation within GEM by entering into partnerships with more organisations from a variety of sectors. Currently negotiations are ongoing with several corporations for GEM sponsorship. Founders Sponsors Platinum sponsor

6. PUBLIC PARTNERS GERMANY ITALY SINGAPORE FRANCE BELGIUM Are expected to adhere soon: Have formally adhered: Negotiations are ongoing with: Bulgaria, Chile, Haiti, Portugal, Luxembourg, Azerbaijan, Tawain.. NORWAY TURKEY USA INDIA CHINA JAPAN SWITZERLAND NEW ZEALAND AUSTRALIA UK RUSSIA

7. ASSOCIATE PARTNERS OECD Organization for Economic Cooperation and Development WORLD BANK UN-ISDR United Nations International Strategy for Disaster Risk Reduction UNESCO United Nations Educational, Scientific and Cultural Organization IASPEI International Association of Seismology and Physics of the Earth’s Interior IAEE International Association of Earthquake Engineering

8. GLOBAL INVOLVEMENT GEM is a community effort; participation of individuals and institutions worldwide ensures that the model reflects the needs and knowledge of the global community and creates a sense of global ownership.

9. BUILDING GEM GEM1 : A pilot project to develop the initial model infrastructure and GEM’s first preliminary products. Global Components : The scientific modules of GEM that are developed at a global scale to provide standards, models, tools and data. Addressed by international consortia that respond to Requests for Proposals (RfPs) released periodically by the Scientific Board. Regional Programmes : Independent projects that sign a cooperation agreement with GEM, agreeing to trial and test the standards and software from the global components, providing necessary feedback and data. GEM Model Facility : Assembles and maintains global and regional data, provides capability to compute, analyse and communicate global seismic hazard, risk and socio-economic impact estimates. Executive Committee : Includes experts in hazard, risk, socio-economic impact, and IT. Coordinate the integration of output from the global components and regional programmes into the model, and the linkage with the Model Facility.

12. GLOBAL COMPONENTS The GEM model consists of 3 modules: Seismic Hazard, Seismic Risk and Socio-Economic Impact. For each of these modules there are various global components that will constitute the ‘core of the model’.

17. RPs REGIONAL OVERVIEW Active Regional Programmes can be found in Europe (SHARE and SYNER-G) and the Middle-East (EMME). Programmes being prepared in Central Asia, South Asia, South-East Asia, North-East Asia, sub-Saharan Africa and South America. GEM is cooperating with the CAPRA programme in Central America and the Caribbean.

21. www.globalquakemodel.org FURTHER INFORMATION