Progressing the Concept of Resilience in Risk Reduction and Disaster Management

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Presentation given by Charles Dowdall, PhD at GRF Davos, at the Dealing with Disasters International Conference in Newcastle hosted by the Northumbria University.

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Progressing the Concept of Resilience in Risk Reduction and Disaster Management

  1. 1. Progressing the concept of resilience in risk reduction and disaster management Charlie Dowdall Global Risk Forum GRF Davoswww.grforum.org
  2. 2. Resilience; the capacity of a system towithstand shocks due to internal or externalforcing, to rebuild itself with efficiency, andto improve on the pre-existing statewherever possible www.grforum.org
  3. 3. The phases of a disaster cycle www.grforum.org
  4. 4. Schematic of Resilience Event Resilience is high if A is small (Vulnerability) Functionality AFunctionality Loss in Robustness Recovery Time Time t event t recovery www.grforum.org
  5. 5. Resilience VulnerabilityFunctionality Recovery Time t event Time t recovery www.grforum.org
  6. 6. Resilience Vulnerability ResilienceFunctionality Recovery Time t event Time t recovery www.grforum.org
  7. 7. Resilience VulnerabilityFunctionality Recovery Time t event Time t recovery www.grforum.org
  8. 8. Resilience Vulnerability ResilienceFunctionality Recovery Time t event Time t recovery www.grforum.org
  9. 9. Resilience Robustness Vulnerability ResilienceFunctionality Recovery Time t event Time t recovery www.grforum.org
  10. 10. Conclusions• Present thinking on risk reduction, disaster management and climate change adaptation would be better served if they were to harmonise more effectively• The challenge going forward for resilience theory will be to achieve such an holistic direction, and to more readily understand and better explain the nature of uncertain futures• Resilience measures are implemented during all phases of the disaster cycle, enabling societies to be more adaptable to future shock• Resilience theory has great potential to strengthen sustainability and to contribute enormously to a more safe and secure future www.grforum.org

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