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CRISIS ON ASIMOV: A VISION OF 2085 - Dr. Sheila Ronis - A Potential Future Based on DoD "Visioning" Processes

by on Dec 15, 2008

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CRISIS ON ASIMOV: A VISION OF 2085 ...

CRISIS ON ASIMOV: A VISION OF 2085

Visioning Processes:
A Futurist's Strategic Perspective
Dr. Sheila R. Ronis

The following discussion is about the many processes that constitute "visioning." Automotive Industries magazine published a part of the following scenario here in the United States and the Financial Times Automotive World published it in London. It is called "Crisis on Asimov." It is based on one of the visioning processes described. It uses elements of a U.S. Department of Defense visioning process which I had the privilege of working on and helping to further develop. One visioning process, or the series of techniques that created Asimov tests the assumptions made in it. This discussion also explores the rationale behind why visioning is an important tool in the corporate planning cycle.

There are an infinite number of potential futures, so a vision of the future is not a forecast or a prediction but a planning tool to think about events that could happen in the future before they occur.

A vision is actually a description of a future state and the role an organization will play in that future. For that reason, the future state needs to be, what I call, a 360 degree look at life in a particular time frame. One of the easiest ways to do that is to create a family in the future and explore their life. That way, you usually can see what role your product or service will play in their lives. It is a customer view of the future, and you can watch and learn. In Asimov, it is the role of Benson Chadwick, his wife, Yoshiko, and their two children, Peter and Anna that are fully explored with regard to everything. We not only look at transportation, but also medicine, manufacturing, education, telecommunications, business, leisure, food, politics, and the values of the time.

Visioning is part of strategic management. Done correctly, visioning is a disciplined process that helps organizations answer the questions they need to ask themselves in order to be prepared for the future. If a CEO cannot answer these questions, it is likely that his organization is not prepared for the future.

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  • GHHLLC Global HeavyLift Holdings, LLC at Global HeavyLift Holdings, LLC Thanks Incantation; we agree. It is indeed fascinating, and quite doable.

    We are firm believers in an ancient axiom: 'If humans can envision it, it can be done'...

    Be well.

    Myron
    3 years ago
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  • Incantation Incantation Fascinating stuff! You just wonder how long it will take for this technology to really kick in. Read an article last week about the flying car that is engineered by MIT students, so you can definitely see that big changes are on the way.:D
    http://www.hollandshirt.info
    3 years ago
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  • GHHLLC Global HeavyLift Holdings, LLC at Global HeavyLift Holdings, LLC We strongly recommend reading of this extraordinary work 'Crisis On Asimov: A Vision of 2085' that delves into the intricacies of a possible future, where the laws of physics have changed as a result of heightened understanding and application thereof, cars no longer have wheels, living is either below ground or in massive orbital floating cities, and colonies have been established on the Moon and Mars.

    Enjoy, with a good libation... Cheers, ASIMOV52
    4 years ago
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  • epressreleases SEO Press Release Distribution at Press Release Distribution Omkar Motors Manufacturer of Engine Valve From India. 5 years ago
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CRISIS ON ASIMOV: A VISION OF 2085 - Dr. Sheila Ronis - A Potential Future Based on DoD "Visioning" Processes CRISIS ON ASIMOV: A VISION OF 2085 - Dr. Sheila Ronis - A Potential Future Based on DoD "Visioning" Processes Document Transcript