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The (Augmented) Reality of the Situation: Emerging Trends and Issues
 

The (Augmented) Reality of the Situation: Emerging Trends and Issues

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Augmented reality (AR) is here to stay, causing regulators, politicians and network operators to scramble in order to make sense of this new technology. One thing is certain: AR is not primarily ...

Augmented reality (AR) is here to stay, causing regulators, politicians and network operators to scramble in order to make sense of this new technology. One thing is certain: AR is not primarily about social networking. It is a powerful new communication and business tool that will transform such activities as a local directory search. Service providers, and those who provide their technology, must understand AR and prepare to leverage it for new revenue generation.

Why This Matters to You:

- Learn what AR really is (hint: it isn’t social networking)
- Understand the public policy and regulatory issues associated with AR
- Pinpoint the opportunities in the AR market, specifically how can you make money using AR

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    The (Augmented) Reality of the Situation: Emerging Trends and Issues The (Augmented) Reality of the Situation: Emerging Trends and Issues Presentation Transcript

    • Augmented Reality: Emerging Market TrendsAugmented Reality: Emerging Market Trends and Issuesand Issues ““The Good, the Bad and the Ugly”The Good, the Bad and the Ugly” Mike Jude Ph.D., Program Manager Connected Home August 1, 2013 © 2012 Frost & Sullivan. All rights reserved. This document contains highly confidential information and is the sole property of Frost & Sullivan. No part of it may be circulated, quoted, copied or otherwise reproduced without the written approval of Frost & Sullivan.
    • 2 Today’s Presenter •Over 30 years in Telecommunications and Information Technology: • U S WEST: Network Engineering, Teleprocessing and Public Policy • Sun Microsystems: Customer/Pprocess Metrics and Marketing Strategy •Expertise: • Research Design • Market Analysis • Business Analysis • Decision Analysis Mike Jude, Ph.D., Program Manager Stratecast|Frost & Sullivan
    • 3 Focus Points • Augmented reality is coming (here) • Augmented reality: what is it? • How will augmented reality change the consumer communications market? • How will augmented reality change the network operator business model? • What must service providers do to prepare for augmented reality? • Conclusions/Recommendations
    • 4 Poll Question How important do you think augmented reality is? 1. I don’t know anything about it 2. Very Important: “Transformational” 3. Somewhat important: “AR devices are coming, better prepare for them” 4. Not that important: “AR is just another display technology” 5. Completely irrelevant: “AR is just a fad”
    • 5 Is Augmented Reality Coming? • Politicians think so: • In mid May, the House Privacy Caucus sent a list of their concerns and questions to Google’s CEO • On June 20, privacy commissioners from six countries (Canada, Australia, New Zealand, Mexico, Switzerland, and Israel) sent a letter to Google demanding to know what steps Google has taken to build privacy protection into the Glass device. • Columns and news stories on Google Glass have run in Fox News, CNN, New York Times and most major tech blogs • Augmented Reality (AR) devices and applications are in the consumer space now: the horse has left the barn • Augmented reality WILL fundamentally change consumer communications and computing
    • 6 But what is Augmented Reality? • “AR is a superimposition of a data display on a view of the natural world. This can be done either indirectly, as through the view screen of a smartphone; or directly, as with special head-up displays (HUDs). In practice, this has been the former, rather than the latter.” • What this means is that AR immerses the individual in the virtual world of data • AR is poised to render obsolete all other forms of data access • Example by Keiichi Matsuda : http://vimeo.com/14294054 • It is NOT social networking!!! • And it is not necessarily “wearable computing”
    • 7 Augmented Reality on Smartphones Source: Wikipedia, used under Free Use Policy (Free Software Foundation)
    • 8 Google Glass Source: Google
    • 9 AR will change Consumer Communications • AR devices can conceivably replace all forms of data or content access • Virtual PCs • Virtual Television Sets • Virtual Telephones • AR, not incidentally, also enables the most intrusive personal documentation and surveillance capability in history • AR will exponentially increase the need for wireless bandwidth and service quality • And while AR is found on wearable computing devices (headsup displays, etc.) Wearable computing is not necessarily AR
    • 10 Augmented Reality: A Growing Market Source: Frost & Sullivan
    • 11 Augmented Reality will Change the Operator Business Model • AR is not social networking: Google did not invent Glass to compete with facebook, but to extend their dominance in online advertising!!! • AR is a way to deliver targeted information and entertainment to mobile consumers: think local search/personalized yellow pages • The opportunities are tremendous: • The AR world is characterized by individual virtual bubbles that are generated in real time • Computing requirements will reach super computer levels quickly: logical place to do so is in the cloud • Operators can own the virtual bubble and sell access to it
    • 12 Virtual Bubble Source: Frost & Sullivan Virtual Bubble Telemetry AR Content Y X Z Directory Services Directory Services Directory Services Physical Space Data Tag Data Tag Data Tag Data Tag Data Tag Directory Layer
    • 13 AR will Resonate with Consumers Source: Frost & Sullivan N=1294 North American Directory Assistance Usage
    • 14 What must Carriers do to Prepare for AR? • Fully immersive AR requires: • Low latency • High bandwidth • Cloud Computing • Mobile data sessions will transition from periodic/asynchronous to continuous/synchronous • Networks will need to achieve much higher levels of reliability and connectivity- anything less could be life threatening • One way to do this is to segregate high bandwidth consumption to AR zones enabled by Wi-Fi: retail centers, campuses, businesses, etc.
    • 15 Conclusions/Recommendations • AR is nearly here: certainly by 2014 • Operators are the logical owners of the virtual bubble, but it will take adjustments to the network architecture and service automation • Even if operators do not move to participate in the AR space, there are players who even now are planning to do so and who are planning ways to leverage their AR advantage to capture operator revenue • Foremost: service providers will need to plan for the impact of AR
    • 16 Next Steps Develop Your Visionary and Innovative Skills Growth Partnership Service Share your growth thought leadership and ideas or join our GIL Global Community Join our GIL Community Newsletter Keep abreast of innovative growth opportunities Phone: 1-877-GOFROST (463-7678) Email: myfrost@frost.com
    • 17 Your Feedback is Important to Us Growth Forecasts? Competitive Structure? Emerging Trends? Strategic Recommendations? Other? Please inform us by “Rating” this presentation. What would you like to see from Frost & Sullivan?
    • 18 http://twitter.com/frost_sullivan Follow Frost & Sullivan on Facebook, LinkedIn, SlideShare, and Twitter http://www.facebook.com/FrostandSullivan https://www.linkedin.com/groups?gid=4480787 http://www.slideshare.net/FrostandSullivan
    • 19 For Additional Information Mireya Espinoza Corporate Communications Information & Communication Technologies (210) 247-3870 Mireya.espinoza@frost.com Mike Jude Program Manager: Consumer Communications Services Stratecast (303) 466-2377 Mike.jude@frost.com Mike Suby Vice President of Research Stratecast (720) 344-4860 Mike.suby@frost.com Perry Somers Director of Business Development Stratecast (360) 416-4982 psomers@frost.com