Global Commercial UAS Market Assessment

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- Learn about companies already in position to benefit from the market
- Learn about UAS capabilities of countries around the world
- Learn about uses for commercial UASs

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Global Commercial UAS Market Assessment

  1. 1. Commercial Unmanned Aerial Systems at the Horizon of the Airspace: Airspace: How this Game Changer will Impact Multiple Industries February 4, 2014
  2. 2. Overview • Provide information on current UAS manufacturing and marketing capabilities of countries around the world to include: o Regional UAS production capabilities by region o Regional assessment of receptiveness to commercial UASs flying in national airspace • Provide a competitive assessment of global companies that are well-positioned to take advantage of the commercial UAS market. Topics will include: o Competitive advantages for top companies in each region o Developmental achievements and/or innovations that signal a company’s advanced technological capabilities o Accomplishments that add to company’s viability as a commercial competitor Source: Frost & Sullivan 2
  3. 3. Commercial Uses for UASs Fish and game monitoring/research Aerial video/photography Radiation measuring/atmospheric sampling Oil pipeline inspection Traffic/crowd monitoring Search and rescue Electrical wire monitoring Small package delivery Tunnel detection Infrastructure inspection Terrain mapping/surveying Protection from MANPADS at large airports (Project Chloe) Searching for natural resources Construction site survey/monitoring Charging wireless devices Wildfire detection/suppression Environmental monitoring/protection Airborne wi-fi Storm/natural disaster damage assessment Archeology Communications relays and temporary communications during outages Man-made disaster damage assessment (i.e., oil spills) Volcanology Coastal/beach monitoring Environmental change detection (floods, ice flows, erosion, etc.) Atmospheric monitoring and measuring Mineral detection Flood potential monitoring Hurricane monitoring/prediction Avalanche monitoring/rescue Meteorological study Environmental rule compliance Mining applications Source: Frost & Sullivan 3
  4. 4. Commercial UAS Demand • Missions will drive the need for the types and requirements for UAS platforms and sensors. Gas-powered Fixed Wing • Carries more payload and more payload types than electric VTOL Payload size Gas-powered VTOL • Allow for high endurance and multiple payloads • Can have additional endurance but usually utilized for the additional payload capability in a hover • Generally the most expensive UAS platform type Electric VTOL Electric Fixed Wing • Usually the cheapest option • Utilized when mission drives increased endurance but low cost still required • These platforms will be preferred by recreational users and small business owners • In the future, solar powered atmospheric UASs will be included • Examples: oSearch and rescue oExtended surveillance Endurance Source: Frost & Sullivan 4
  5. 5. North America 5
  6. 6. North American UAS–Indigenous Capabilities Key Established manufacturers/sellers Growing manufacturers/sellers Demonstrated capability to manufacture UAS Flight Restriction Assessment: North America, 2013 Canada Mexico US Military UAS M M H Commercial UAS H L H UAS integration impacts: H = Highly restrictive, M = Medium, or some restrictions, L = Low, or unrestricted Source: Frost & Sullivan 6
  7. 7. Top North American Companies for Commercial UASs Honorable Mentions: • Adaptive Flight (US) – company has provided small UASs to the US’s Bureau of Alcohol, Tobacco, Firearms, and Explosives (ATF) • Altavian (US) – received nearly $1 million in contracts from the Army as part of a small UAS program worth up to $248 million • Brock Technologies (US) – Sinclair Community College in Dayton, Ohio has an FAA COA to fly the company’s Spear UAS • ING Robotic Aviation (Canada) – recently sold its Responder UAS to an undisclosed East African nation • PrecisionHawk (Canada) – recently secured an Angel investment from the co-founder of open source software company, Red Hat • UTC Aerospace Systems (US) – Sinclair Community College has an FAA COA to fly the company’s Vireo UAS Source: Frost & Sullivan 7
  8. 8. Africa 8
  9. 9. African UAS–Indigenous Capabilities Key Established manufacturers/sellers Growing manufacturers/sellers Demonstrated capability to manufacture UAS Flight Restriction Assessment: Africa, 2013 Egypt Ethiopia Kenya Libya Nigeria South Africa Military UAS H L L M L H Commercial UAS L L L L L M UAS integration impacts: H = Highly restrictive, M = Medium, or some restrictions, L = Low, or unrestricted Source: Frost & Sullivan 9
  10. 10. Top African Companies for Commercial UASs Source: Frost & Sullivan 10
  11. 11. APAC 11
  12. 12. APAC UAS–Indigenous Capabilities Key Established manufacturers/sellers Growing manufacturers/sellers Demonstrated capability to manufacture Turkmenistan UAS Flight Restriction Assessment: APAC, 2013 Australia China India Japan New Zealand Russia Military UAS M H M H M H Commercial UAS M H M M M M UAS integration impacts: H = Highly restrictive, M = Medium, or some restrictions, L = Low, or unrestricted Source: Frost & Sullivan 12
  13. 13. Top APAC Companies for Commercial UASs Source: Frost & Sullivan 13
  14. 14. Europe 14
  15. 15. European UAS–Indigenous Capabilities Key Established manufacturers/sellers Growing manufacturers/sellers Demonstrated ability to manufacture Estonia Latvia Lithuania Belarus Ukraine No flight restriction assessment table is provided because Europe is considered one continuous airspace and rates the area’s restrictions for operating military UAS as high and for operating commercial UASs as medium. Source: Frost & Sullivan 15
  16. 16. Top European Companies for Commercial UASs Honorable Mentions • Aermatica (Italy) • Schiebel (Austria) • Quest UAV (UK) • Survey Copter (French company acquired by Airbus’s Cassidian business unit) • Lehmann Aviation (France) Source: Frost & Sullivan 16
  17. 17. Middle East 17
  18. 18. Middle Eastern UAS–Indigenous Capabilities Azerbaijan Armenia Key Established manufacturers/sellers Growing manufacturers/sellers Limited capability UAS Flight Restriction Assessment: Middle East, 2013 Armenia Israel Jordan Oman Saudi Arabia Turkey UAE Military UAS H H H H H H H Commercial UAS H M M M H M M UAS integration impacts: H = Highly restrictive, M = Medium, or some restrictions, L = Low, or unrestricted Source: Frost & Sullivan 18
  19. 19. Top Middle Eastern Companies for Commercial UASs Source: Frost & Sullivan 19
  20. 20. South America 20
  21. 21. South American UAS–Indigenous Capabilities Key Established manufacturers/sellers Growing manufacturers/sellers Limited capability UAS Flight Restriction Assessment: South America, 2013 Argentina Military UAS Commercial UAS Brazil Chile Columbia Ecuador Peru Venezuela Uruguay L H M M M L H M L M M M M L M L UAS integration impacts: H = Highly restrictive, M = Medium, or some restrictions, L = Low, or unrestricted Source: Frost & Sullivan 21
  22. 22. Top South American Companies for Commercial UASs Source: Frost & Sullivan 22
  23. 23. Conclusions 23
  24. 24. Thoughts & Conclusions • The US lags behind several other countries in Europe and APAC when it comes to permitting commercial, for profit, UAS operations. • Africa has many poor nations, but there are still significant opportunities for commercial UAS use in the areas of border patrol, wildlife conservation, and agriculture. • The APAC region has the largest number of commercial UASs in operation mainly because of the large number RMAX helicopters being used for crop spraying in Japan. • Europe has a very structured approach to integrating UASs into commercial airspace. UAS services companies in the region are gaining valuable experience while companies hoping to profit from commercial UAS operations in the US remain at the mercy of the FAA rules making process. • The Middle East region is transitioning from purchasing most of their UAS capabilities to developing a UAS industry base of its own. • South American countries are very receptive to commercial UAS operations and very progressive in the area of precision agriculture. • Overall, the commercial UAS market will be limited by regulations and detractors rather than their potential as money saving devices in a plethora of business areas. Source: Frost & Sullivan 24
  25. 25. Thoughts & Conclusions (continued) • North America, Europe, and APAC currently have the most companies well-positioned for the commercial UAS market. • Many countries, especially in Europe, APAC, and South America have been much more progressive than the US in allowing commercial operation of UAS. • Commercial UASs are most widely used for precision agriculture applications. However, SUASs are quickly gaining popularity in the oil & gas, mining, construction, and local law enforcement markets. • Many of the small UAS manufacturers that exist today will not survive into the next decade. • Manufacturers will stand a greater chance of survival if they also offer a fee-for-service or lease option for UAS services. • Larger communications and defense companies will seek out the best SUAS companies for mergers and acquisitions (M&A). • Atmospheric, solar-powered UASs will take over some missions of communications satellites. Source: Frost & Sullivan 25
  26. 26. Next Steps Develop Your Visionary and Innovative Skills Growth Partnership Service Share your growth thought leadership and ideas or join our GIL Global Community Join our GIL Community Newsletter Keep abreast of innovative growth opportunities Phone: 1-877-GOFROST (463-7678) Email: myfrost@frost.com 26
  27. 27. Your Feedback is Important to Us What would you like to see from Frost & Sullivan? Growth Forecasts? Competitive Structure? Emerging Trends? Strategic Recommendations? Other? Please inform us by “Rating” this presentation. 27
  28. 28. Follow Frost & Sullivan on Facebook, LinkedIn, SlideShare, and Twitter http://www.facebook.com/FrostandSullivan http://www.linkedin.com/groups/Frost-Sullivans-Aerospace-Defence-Security4185579 http://www.slideshare.net/FrostandSullivan http://twitter.com/frost_sullivan 28
  29. 29. Questions? 29
  30. 30. For Additional Information Jennifer Carson Corporate Communications Aerospace, Defence & Security 210-247-2450 Jennifer.Carson@frost.com Michael Blades Research Analyst Aerospace, Defence & Security 210-247-3833 Michael.Blades@frost.com Wayne Plucker Research Manager Aerospace, Defence & Security 210-247-3869 Aman.Pannu@frost.com 30

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