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GIL 2013: Latin America - Healthcare Track: Mega Trends, Mega Opportunities
GIL 2013: Latin America - Healthcare Track: Mega Trends, Mega Opportunities
GIL 2013: Latin America - Healthcare Track: Mega Trends, Mega Opportunities
GIL 2013: Latin America - Healthcare Track: Mega Trends, Mega Opportunities
GIL 2013: Latin America - Healthcare Track: Mega Trends, Mega Opportunities
GIL 2013: Latin America - Healthcare Track: Mega Trends, Mega Opportunities
GIL 2013: Latin America - Healthcare Track: Mega Trends, Mega Opportunities
GIL 2013: Latin America - Healthcare Track: Mega Trends, Mega Opportunities
GIL 2013: Latin America - Healthcare Track: Mega Trends, Mega Opportunities
GIL 2013: Latin America - Healthcare Track: Mega Trends, Mega Opportunities
GIL 2013: Latin America - Healthcare Track: Mega Trends, Mega Opportunities
GIL 2013: Latin America - Healthcare Track: Mega Trends, Mega Opportunities
GIL 2013: Latin America - Healthcare Track: Mega Trends, Mega Opportunities
GIL 2013: Latin America - Healthcare Track: Mega Trends, Mega Opportunities
GIL 2013: Latin America - Healthcare Track: Mega Trends, Mega Opportunities
GIL 2013: Latin America - Healthcare Track: Mega Trends, Mega Opportunities
GIL 2013: Latin America - Healthcare Track: Mega Trends, Mega Opportunities
GIL 2013: Latin America - Healthcare Track: Mega Trends, Mega Opportunities
GIL 2013: Latin America - Healthcare Track: Mega Trends, Mega Opportunities
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GIL 2013: Latin America - Healthcare Track: Mega Trends, Mega Opportunities

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  • 1. HC Track: Mega-trends, Mega-opportunitiesPresented at the F&S 2013 GIL Latin America31st January 2013 1
  • 2. 1.Demographics 2.Disease 3. Health 4. Technology 5. New Business2013 Brazil HC Trends Burden Expenses Model 2
  • 3. Demographics 3
  • 4. By 2020 Lati A eri a’s Esti ated Populatio Will e Millio .Urban Population Will Account for 80% Population: Breakdown by Age Range (Latin America), 2010 & 2020 10.6% in 2020 8.4% in 2010 700 Demographic Age Shifts and Ties to Disease 65 Years and 600 Prevalence Above 500 Prevalence in Latin AmericaMilions of People 35-64 (2020): 400 Hypertension +80 M Asthma +55 M 300 Diabetes +30 M 15-34 200 100 0-14 0 2010 2020 4
  • 5. Mega CitiesIn 2025, 69 Cities in Latin America will have more than one million inhabitants encompassing 224 million people 5
  • 6. Disease Burden 6
  • 7. Healthcare ExpenditureHealthcare expenditure in Latin America to grow 30% from 2011 to 2015, reaching $580 billion 7
  • 8. Population with Diabetes in South and Central America will grow59% by 2030 and reach 40 millions Population with diabetes (20-79 years) 2011 2030 Global Country Millions Global Country Millions Rank Rank 5 Brazil 12.4 4 Brazil 19.6 7 Mexico 10.3 6 Mexico 16.4 • Brazil and Mexico consolidate as countries with a high burden of diabetes. • The main driver is the increasing prevalence of OVERWEIGHT: 67% of men and 74% of women in Brazil, by 2015. • In South and Central America, 12.3% of all deaths are due to diabetes. 8
  • 9. Technology 9
  • 10. Healthcare becomes e-Healthcare Telehealth MatrixProfessional HIE Core Telehealth EMR/EHR Traditional Healthcare Robotic and Telemedicine Telepresence Tele- Simulation/ Tele-pharmacy imaging Training Sleep Apnea Remote Mobile Telemedicine Video Consultation ECG Monitoring Mobile Health Software Remote Mobility/Tablets Diabetes Monitoring Customer Monitoring Focus Mobile Info Gathering Medication and Delivery Dispensing PHR Activity Monitoring Patient Portals Fitness Apps PERS Consumer/Non-healthcare Approaching Telehealth Wellness Systems Wellness AppsConsumer Health Coaching Information Healthcare Communication Industry Focus Technologies 10
  • 11. e-Healthcare becomes mobile-HealthConsumer Devices and Service Ecosystem • The mHealth Consumer Devices and Services value chain is complex, as new emerging software and connected-device innovations are continually being introduced • mHealth application growth is dependent on increasing smartphone penetration • Wireless Service • Consumer-Paid Providers App Downloads • Application • • Application Platform Store Providers Developers Providers • New Business Model Participants • Device i.e.: Payer Manufacturers Supported, Pharma Supported 11
  • 12. New Business Model 12
  • 13. Mega Trend Matrix Implications of Key Mega Trends within Latin America Future Mega Trend Matrix, Latin America, 2025 Economic Urbanization High Growth Connectivity and Convergence Generation Y Degree of Impact on Latin American Economy Smart is the Infrastructure New Green “She-conomy” Development The Middle Bulge Rise of Migration Multilatinas Health, Wellness, and Well-Being Innovating to Zero Business Process New Business Renewable Power Outsourcing Model Generation Social Programs Low Low Degree of Certainty HighNote: The size of the bubble represents the scale of opportunity. The Mega Trends have been plotted according to quantitative and qualitative reasoning. 13
  • 14. Prevention vs. InterventionThe end of BIG PHARMA as we know itToday’s world Wellness HealthcarePersonal Communication/ Preventive Education Physical Disease Clinical DiagnosticsCoaching Information Services Exams Management & Therapeutics Services Healthcare today Healthy Vulnerable Affected Sick Future healthcareFuture system Wellness HealthcareConsumer Products Medical Health Complementary and Integrated Health Shops Alternative Medicines Solutions 14
  • 15. Virtual Hospitals Shifting the Financial Gravity of the System100% Healthy, Independent Living Healthy, Independent Living Community Clinic Community Clinic HOME Chronic Disease Chronic Disease CARE Management Management Doctor’s Office Doctor s Office Quality of life Assisted Living Assisted Living RESIDENTIAL Specialty Clinic Specialty Clinic CARE Skilled Nursing Skilled Nursing Facility Facility Community ACUTE Community Hospital Hospital CARE ICU ICU 0% $1 $10 $100 $1,000 $10,000 Cost of care per day 15
  • 16. IT Convergence and ConnectivityMajor Areas of OpportunityRemote Patient Monitoring • High Blood PressureWellness monitoring and home/self-diagnostics of chronic • Blood Glucose Monitorsconditions. • Insulin Pumps • Home DiagnosticsAdherence and ComplianceTechnology aimed at ensuring the optimal administration • Emergency Responseof treatments. • Health AppsPatient Management • EMR - Electronic MedicalEnd-to-end management systems for patient records: Recordsadmission, panels, treatments, study results, imaging • PACS - Picture Archivingarchive, reimbursement, discharge. Communication System 16
  • 17. Who will put these altogether?Who will drive this Mega Trend?The technology exists… someone WILL connect the dots and disrupt the market 17
  • 18. Healthcare Mega Trends Latin AmericaKey Takeaways Healthcare resources will migrate from Intervention to Prevention Information Technology will dramatically change how patients receive health care: outpatient setting plus remote monitoring Personalized, targeted, real-time health care delivery 18
  • 19. Extracted from “New Mega Trends: Implications for our Future Lives”Author: Sarwant SinghPublisher: Palgrave Macmillan 19

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