Frost & Sullivan Airport Security Analyst Briefing
 

Frost & Sullivan Airport Security Analyst Briefing

on

  • 6,966 views

Frost & Sullivan’s analyst briefing on the airport security.

Frost & Sullivan’s analyst briefing on the airport security.

Statistics

Views

Total Views
6,966
Views on SlideShare
6,932
Embed Views
34

Actions

Likes
6
Downloads
75
Comments
0

6 Embeds 34

http://www.slideshare.net 24
http://topbigideas.blogspot.com 5
http://www.gilcommunity.com 2
http://gilcommunity.com 1
http://topbigideas.blogspot.ru 1
https://www.linkedin.com 1

Accessibility

Categories

Upload Details

Uploaded via as Adobe PDF

Usage Rights

© All Rights Reserved

Report content

Flagged as inappropriate Flag as inappropriate
Flag as inappropriate

Select your reason for flagging this presentation as inappropriate.

Cancel
  • Full Name Full Name Comment goes here.
    Are you sure you want to
    Your message goes here
    Processing…
Post Comment
Edit your comment

Frost & Sullivan Airport Security Analyst Briefing Frost & Sullivan Airport Security Analyst Briefing Presentation Transcript

  • Airport Security Are Advanced Technology Deployments Enough to Grow the Market? David Fishering, Industry Analyst Aerospace & Defense August 28th, 2008
  • Agenda • Market Definitions • Market Forecasts • Market Drivers and Restraints • Market Trends • Market Challenges • Technology Roadmap • Competitive Environment • Market Attractiveness • Frost & Sullivan Info 2
  • Market Definitions Checked Baggage Cargo Screening • Predominately • X-ray, CT, or trace explosives detection systems that can scan systems using CT individual packages as technology well as palletized cargo AIRPORT Checkpoint (Carry-On) SCREENING Checkpoint (Passenger) • Baggage screening • Systems that identify includes legacy X-ray substances or and AT X-ray systems contraband on an individual • Desktop/handheld explosives trace • Technologies include detection are also mm-Wave imaging, Z- included in this segment Backscatter, trace portals and metal detectors 3
  • Summary of Key Findings Airport Screening Markets: Spending Forecast by Segment (U.S.), FY 2007-2012 2.2% 600.0 6.4% Spending ($ Million) 500.0 17.2% 400.0 32.7% 300.0 200.0 100.0 0.0 FY 2007 FY 2008 FY 2009 FY 2010 FY 2011 FY 2012 Year 80.6% Checked Carry-on Passenger Baggage Baggage Screening 60.9% 4.9% 26.0% FY 2007 FY 2012 69.1% FY 2007-2012 Note: All figures are rounded. Source: Frost & Sullivan 4
  • Summary of Key Findings Airport Screening Markets: Spending Forecast for Equipment and Services (U.S.), FY 2007-2012 600.0 Spending ($ Million) 500.0 400.0 300.0 57.1% 200.0 50.9% 100.0 0.0 FY 2007 FY 2008 FY 2009 FY 2010 FY 2011 FY 2012 Year Equipment Procurement Services 42.9% 49.1% 47.7% 52.3% FY 2007 FY 2012 FY 2007-2012 Note: All figures are rounded. Source: Frost & Sullivan 5
  • Market Drivers and Restraints Length of Arrow indicates relative impact Strong High threat perception continues to Drivers drive security TSA’s layered The reactionary spending The demand for nature of the security approach more efficient airport security continues to systems drives market continues provide growth to create Weak opportunities for new technologies opportunities TSA is focusing Weak on secondary Security spending Restraints screening is being siphoned Existing technologies away from DHS pilots rarely technology technology lead to mass deployment is deployment reaching capacity Strong 6
  • Industry Trends FY 2007-2008 FY 2009-2010 FY 2010-2012 Sensor Fusion/ Integration Interoperability Data and alarms from sensors are Sensors communicate findings to analyzed at each station each other providing a holistic view independently of the threat prior to an alarm Source: Frost & Sullivan 7
  • Challenges Airport Screening Market: TSA Budget Breakdown (U.S.), FY 2008 2.9% 3.6% 18.6% Screening Budget 11.6% 5.0% 52.4% 1.5% 4.5% EDS/ETD Checkpoint Air Cargo Training Screener Com pensation Privatized Screening Airports HR Services Aviation Direction and Enforcem ent Note: All figures are rounded. Source: Frost & Sullivan Airport Screening Market: TSA Screening Budget (U.S.), FY 2007-2012 Airport Screening Market: TSA Budget vs. Spending (U.S.), FY 2007-2012 1,400.0 1,600.0 1,200.0 1,400.0 Spending ($ Million) Spending ($ Million) 1,000.0 1,200.0 800.0 1,000.0 600.0 800.0 400.0 600.0 200.0 400.0 0.0 200.0 FY 2007 FY 2008 FY 2009 FY 2010 FY 2011 FY 2012 0.0 Air Cargo 55.0 73.0 122.8 221.0 265.2 278.5 FY 2007 FY 2008 FY 2009 FY 2010 FY 2011 FY 2012 Checkpoint 173.4 250.0 200.0 200.0 200.0 200.0 Budget 997.3 1129.8 1141.2 1257.0 1319.4 1353.1 EDS/ETD 524.4 583.0 621.1 646.6 668.6 685.3 Spending 453.6 408.0 425.2 478.1 506.3 542.5 Note: All figures are rounded. Source: Frost & Sullivan Note: All figures are rounded. Source: Frost & Sullivan 8
  • Challenges - TSA’s Layers of Security Terrorist Paths • TSA’s “Layers of Security” concept Intelligence Customs and Border Protection has provided opportunities for Joint Terrorism task Force multiple technologies – there is no No Fly List and Passenger Screening Crew Vetting silver bullet VIPR Canines Behavior Detection Officers • However, this approach has also Travel Document Checker Checkpoint/TSOs limited real growth because it is Checked Baggage human heavy Transportation Security Inspectors Random Employee Screening Bomb Appraisal Officers Federal Air Marshal Service Federal Flight Deck Officers Trained Flight Crew Law Enforcement Officers Hardened Cockpit Doors Passengers Source: TSA 9
  • Challenges - TSA’s Air Cargo Efforts • There is currently no focus on the deployment of technology for screening air cargo, according to TSA • Without the support from TSA technology deployment is unlikely to happen by the 2010 deadline Source: TSA 10
  • Challenges - The Future of Air Cargo • The near-term focus is going to be on deploying more inspectors and canine teams • Without a clear plan on what technology to employ and more importantly how to employ it, the likelihood of a technology based solution for air cargo is unlikely 11
  • TSA’s Technology Deployment Plans 12
  • Technology and Solution Roadmap 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 Computed Tomography (CT) Checked Baggage Advanced Technology (AT) X-ray X-Ray AT X-Ray Trace Detection Checkpoint Trace Portal Security Backscatter Passive Millimeter Wave/Terahertz Imaging Active Millimeter Wave Metal Detection X-Ray AT X-Ray Air Cargo CT Trace Detection Canine/Authorized Shipper Tech Trend Sensor Fusion and Interoperability Source: Frost & Sullivan 13
  • Competitive Environment Airport Screening Markets: Market Share (U.S.), 2007 Rapiscan Other Reveal 2.2% 3.8% Imaging 8.8% Smiths Detection 9.7% GE Homeland Protection 52.7% L-3 Security and Detection 22.9% 14
  • Most Attractive Market Attractiveness Grid Attractive Least Attractive Most Attractive Markets Checked Checked Baggage Baggage High 2012 2012 2012 2012 2012 2012 Attractiveness 2012 2012 Revenue Air Cargo Air Cargo Security?? Security?? Implementation Decisions in favor of Screening Technology Carry-On Carry-On Screening Screening Decision postponement or a non-tech solution such as Canine teams Passenger Passenger Screening Screening 2012 2012 Low Significant Market Open Barriers Openness Market Source: Frost & Sullivan 15
  • Your Feedback is Important to Us What would you like to see from Frost & Sullivan? Growth Forecasts? Competitive Structure? Emerging Trends? Strategic Recommendations? Other? Please inform us by taking our survey. 16
  • Aerospace & Defense Market Coverage C4ISR Unmanned Systems Homeland Security Commercial Aerospace Training and Simulation 17
  • For Additional Information To leave a comment, ask the analyst a question, or receive the free audio segment that accompanies this presentation, please contact Stephanie Ochoa, Social Media Manager at (210) 247-2421, via email, analystbriefings@frost.com, or on Twitter at http://twitter.com/stephanieochoa. 18