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WTM Global Trends Report
The latest trends from around the world
Travel Happiness
Index

Next Gen
Peer-to-Peer Travel
EUROPE

UK

Fight for Cruise
Control in China
ASIA

Professional
Aunts No Kids

The Travel Social
Shake Up

AMERICAS

INDIA

Mobile
Concierge
TRAVEL TECHNOLOGY

Vacancy on
Demand:
Chasing the 24
Hour Traveller
GLOBAL
VILLAGE

Low Cost Goes
Upmarket
The Big Five
with Your
Little One
AFRICA

In association with

MIDDLE EAST
Official Partner

WTM. Means Business
4-7 November 2013• ExCeL LONDON

World	
  Travel	
  Market	
  
Global	
  Trends	
  Report	
  2013	
  

2
Official Partner

WTM. Means Business
4-7 November 2013• ExCeL LONDON

Global Trends Report - Key Findings
	
  
Americas: PANKs – A New Demographic The travel industry is starting to cater to the ‘Professional Aunt, No Kids’
demographic.
UK: Travel Happiness Index

Routehappy.com provides a unique measurement of customer
satisfaction via its happiness scores for airlines.

Europe: Next Generation Peer-to-Peer

Peer-to-peer travel services are recording strong growth in Europe,

Travel

offering authentic experiences at affordable prices.

Travel Technology: Mobile Concierge

Travel companies are increasingly using mobile channels to satisfy
customers’ needs before, during and after the trip.

Middle East: Low-Cost Goes Upmarket

Middle Eastern consumers have a penchant for luxury, which has led
LCCs to introduce business class-style services.

3
Official Partner

WTM. Means Business
4-7 November 2013• ExCeL LONDON

Global Trends Report - Key Findings
	
  
Africa: The Big Five with Your Little One

Child-focused safaris in Africa are becoming more popular, driven by
demand for multi-generational holidays.

Global Village: Vacancy on Demand –

Microstays have emerged as an attractive means of boosting hotel

Chasing the 24-hour Traveller

revenues, by targeting business travellers on the move.

Asia: Fight for Cruise Control in China

China is set to become a key market for cruise companies as this new
type of holiday rises in popularity.

India: The Travel Social Shake-Up

Indian online travel players are using social media more effectively to
target young urban consumers.

4
Official Partner

WTM. Means Business
4-7 November 2013• ExCeL LONDON

World Travel Market
The WTM Global Trends Report 2013, in association with Euromonitor International, highlights the emerging
trends in the global travel and tourism industry.
The GTR has been at the forefront of predicting major trends in the travel and tourism industry since its launch
in 2006.
The 2013 report is no different forecasting a number of trends I’m sure will bear fruit over the coming years.
I would like to thank Euromonitor International for compiling the WTM Global Trends Report 2013.
I hope you find the report useful and interesting and wish you a thought-provoking and productive WTM 2013.

	
  

Simon Press, Senior Exhibition Director, World Travel Market
5
Official Partner

WTM. Means Business
4-7 November 2013• ExCeL LONDON

Euromonitor International

	
  

The Global Trends Report 2013 reveals how travel players are differentiating and innovating their products and
services, all while embracing social media.
Non-traditional demographic groups are emerging with PANKs ‘Professional Aunt, No Kids,’ a new target
market in the US, while child-friendly and multi-generational safaris in Africa are growing more popular.
We see that business models are adapting to suit customers’ needs, where low-cost carriers are going
upmarket in the Middle East and hotels offer microstays. Peer-to-peer continues to make inroads despite
legislative hurdles. The lure of the East grows apace with cruise operators diving into the Chinese market.
Social media channels are important to improving the customer experience, as seen with the emergence of the
mobile concierge, while in India, social channels are giving online travel companies’ sales a welcome boost.
Routehappy goes one step further in providing happiness scores for airlines. Ultimately, if your customer is
happy, you should be too!

Head of Travel and Tourism Research, Euromonitor International
6
GLOBAL OVERVIEW
Official Partner

WTM. Means Business
4-7 November 2013• ExCeL LONDON

Global Overview - A Healthy Travel Industry
•  The global economy is expected to record 3.1% growth in 2013, a stable performance
compared to 2012.
•  The IMF predicts global GDP to grow by 3.8% in 2014, thanks to positive growth in the
Eurozone, the economy picking up in the US and a further increase in emerging markets.
•  The long-term economic potential of the BRICs and other emerging markets remains solid
and is expected to drive positive performance of the global economy over 2015-2017.
•  Global tourist arrivals and inbound spending are predicted to continue to be vital over the
2012-2017 period, boosted by increasing demand from emerging markets.
•  Advanced markets are recovering after the difficulties experienced since the crisis with
tourism flows and spending from the US, Japan and Europe returning to growth.
•  Online travel agencies are growing in importance, with Expedia and Priceline dominating this
space. Players from emerging markets are also gaining ground, like the Chinese online travel
agency Ctrip.
•  Mobile travel bookings are becoming significant globally, reaching double-digit shares of
online sales for some key players in the online travel agency and hotel categories in 2012.

8
WTM. Means Business

Official Partner

4-7 November 2013• ExCeL LONDON

Global Overview - Steady Growth Ahead
World	
  Economy	
  and	
  Travel	
  Performance	
  %	
  Value	
  Growth	
  2012-­‐2017	
  
14	
  
Real	
  GDP	
  Growth	
  

% value growth

12	
  
10	
  

Incoming	
  Receipts	
  

8	
  
6	
  

Arrivals	
  

4	
  
Online	
  Travel	
  

2	
  
0	
  
2012	
  

2013	
  

2014	
  

2015	
  

2016	
  

2017	
  

Offline	
  Travel	
  

Source: Euromonitor International
Note: Travel comprises car rental, travel accommodation, transportation and tourist attraction sales, based on US$
at constant 2012 prices

9
AMERICAS -­PANKS: A NEW DEMOGRAPHIC
Official Partner

WTM. Means Business
4-7 November 2013• ExCeL LONDON

Americas - Overview
Americas: Key Performance Indicators 2012-2014
% growth

2012

2013

2014

Real GDP Growth

2.2

1.9

2.6

Arrivals (Trips)

5.2

3.7

3.6

Incoming Tourist Receipts Value (US$)

7.0

6.7

6.3

Air Transport Value (US$)

4.0

7.4

6.5

Hotels Value (US$)

5.2

6.2

5.2

Travel Retail Value (US$)

5.3

6.8

5.6

Source: Euromonitor International

• 
• 
• 

Despite bumpy economic conditions, demand growth is likely to outpace supply expansion,
pushing prices up and driving value sales.
Incoming tourism will be a bright spot with strong growth in regional and long-haul travellers.
Industries that have been consolidating, such as car rental and airlines, are expected to do
well over the forecast period.
11
Official Partner

WTM. Means Business
4-7 November 2013• ExCeL LONDON

Americas - PANKs Filled with Potential
•  PANKs stands for ‘Professional Aunt, No Kids’. These are women over the age of 18 with no
children, but have a close relationship with children of friends or relatives.
•  As of 2010, in the US, 42.6% of women between the ages of 15-44 were childless, up from
40.1% in 2002, as women have children at older ages or choose not to have children at all.
•  Research by Savvy Auntie – a US-based website community for aunts and godmothers
estimates that there are 23 million PANKs in the US who spend US$9 billion annually on
children (baseline of one child per PANK).
Travel Ideal Product for PANKs
•  Travel is a great way to foster these relationships. According to Savvy Auntie, 48% of PANKs
enjoy travelling with nieces and nephews.
•  This figure is likely to grow as the travel industry begins to target this segment more.
•  In 2013, Intrepid Travel targeted the PANK market for its extended range of family adventure
tours with web content, social media, dedicated emails and advertorials.

12
Official Partner

WTM. Means Business
4-7 November 2013• ExCeL LONDON

US	
  %	
  of	
  Childless	
  Women	
  June	
  2010	
  
100	
  

“The PANK market is sizeable, has huge
potential, and has yet to be exploited,
especially in the travel vertical.”
Jared Alster, Director of Marketing, Intrepid
Travel

90	
  
80	
  
70	
  
%	
  populaMon	
  

“PANKs want to have meaningful
experiences with the children in their lives
and develop strong bonds with them,
which makes travel an ideal product for
this demographic.”
Melanie Notkin, CEO, Savvy Auntie

60	
  
50	
  
40	
  
30	
  
20	
  
10	
  
0	
  
15-­‐19	
   20-­‐24	
   25-­‐29	
   30-­‐34	
   35-­‐39	
   40-­‐44	
  
years	
  	
  	
   years	
  	
  	
   years	
  	
  	
   years	
  	
  	
   years	
  	
  	
   years	
  	
  	
  
Source: US Census Bureau, Current Population Survey

13
Official Partner

WTM. Means Business
4-7 November 2013• ExCeL LONDON

Americas - Catering to PANKs
•  The travel industry has to market to this demographic carefully, appealing to them in
marketing and creating products that suit their needs.
•  Lisa Bauer, Executive Vice President for Global Sales and Marketing at Royal Caribbean,
says it focuses on females in advertising because women make most travel-related decisions.
•  However, Royal Caribbean does not address them as mothers since the company wants
women to draw their own relationship with the female population in the advertisements.
•  Based on Intrepid Travel’s research in 2013, PANKs are interested in domestic travel,
particularly Disney resorts and Hawaii, as well as Europe, especially the UK.
Long-term Demographic Trend
•  Women will likely continue to wait longer to have children, with some opting to remain
childless. Thus PANKs are expected to grow in number, both in the US and globally.
•  The travel industry has great expertise in creating and marketing family products and will reap
the benefits by expanding the term ‘family’ to PANKs and other non-traditional family types.

14
UK: TRAVEL HAPPINESS INDEX
WTM. Means Business

Official Partner

4-7 November 2013• ExCeL LONDON

UK - Overview
UK: Key Performance Indicators 2012-2014
% growth

2012

2013

2014

Real GDP Growth

0.2

0.6

1.4

Arrivals (Trips)

-0.3

0.3

1.1

Incoming Tourist Receipts Value (US$)

4.8

5.1

4.6

Air Transport Value (US$)

2.4

3.9

2.5

Hotels Value (US$)

1.2

0.7

1.1

Travel Retail Value (US$)

1.6

2.6

2.5

Source: Euromonitor International

• 
• 
• 

The UK’s economy continues to expand slowly. Real GDP is expected to grow by 0.6% in
2013, attributed to the government’s programme of austerity and the bleak outlook for exports.
Unemployment was 7.9% in 2012 and it will remain at that level in 2013. The average
household income is still below levels prior to the recession in 2008-2009.
Consumer expenditure per capita in the country was £15,307 (US$24,260) in 2012. It is
expected to grow by 0.6% in real terms during 2013.

16
Official Partner

WTM. Means Business
4-7 November 2013• ExCeL LONDON

UK - Travel Happiness Index
•  A new flight metasearch site, www.routehappy.com, was launched in April 2013, combining
traveller experience with low prices and flight availability.
•  The start-up differs by providing flight Happiness Factors and Happiness Scores on a scale of
one to ten to help consumers select flights based on comfort and suitability.
•  Consumers are able to select higher quality in-flight service based on incentives such as
earplugs, Wi-Fi, in-seat entertainment and leg room, amongst others.
Price is Not All
•  Routehappy uses ‘Flightpad’, a proprietary ‘Product Attribute Database’, which studies airlines
and airplanes globally to build an accurate database of flight product attributes.
•  With more than 100,000 unique visitors at launch and over 30% of visitors returning in July
2013, the site is a unique offering with the UK as the leading European source of demand.
•  No other companies view transportation in this way. Alternatives are metasearch sites such as
Kayak.com and Hipmunk.com, which lack Happiness Scores.
•  The UK air transportation segment will record 2% growth over 2012-2017, to reach £31 billion
air travel retail sales by 2017.

17
Official Partner

WTM. Means Business
4-7 November 2013• ExCeL LONDON

Routehappy.com	
  Web	
  Visits	
  	
  
by	
  Region	
  July	
  2013	
  
80%	
  
70%	
  
60%	
  
%	
  share	
  of	
  web	
  visits	
  

“Our Happiness Score is very
important to airlines. Why? Airlines
are working hard to move away from
air travel being a commoditised,
price and schedule-only decision.”
Robert Albert, Founder and CEO,
Routehappy

50%	
  
40%	
  
30%	
  
20%	
  
10%	
  
0%	
  
Americas	
   Europe	
  

Asia	
  

Oceania	
  

Africa	
  

Source: Routehappy.com

18
Official Partner

WTM. Means Business
4-7 November 2013• ExCeL LONDON

UK - The TripAdvisor for Airlines
•  The Routehappy.com business model paves the way for de-commoditisation of the flight sale,
emphasising happiness as a key measurement.
•  Studies show people are happier for longer when they spend money on experiences.
•  Routehappy.com can become the airline industry benchmark for customer satisfaction,
featuring its Happiness rating that airlines and travellers can adhere to.
•  The aim for higher customer satisfaction/experience also resonates with the popularity of
aircraft such as the Dreamliner and its differentiated products among customers.

	
  
Quest for Customer Satisfaction
•  Routehappy.com works with some of the main GDS players, including Amadeus. The website
tracks 180 types of planes, 4,000 airports and receives over 70,000 customer reviews.
•  The advertising power of its Happiness Scores can be explored by both customers and trade
who can use the classification as a means of achieving the perfect travel experience.
•  Other transportation modes such as bus and cruising, as well as hotel and travel retail
players, can follow suit and adopt the ‘Happiness Score’ approach.
19
EUROPE: NEXT GENERATION PEER- TO-PEER
TRAVEL
Official Partner

WTM. Means Business
4-7 November 2013• ExCeL LONDON

Europe - Overview
	
  

Europe: Key Performance Indicators 2012-2014

% growth

2012

2013

2014

Real GDP Growth

0.3

0.4

1.6

Arrivals (Trips)

3.1

2.7

2.7

Incoming Tourist Receipts Value (US$)

1.4

2.4

2.8

Air Transport Value (US$)

1.6

1.7

1.8

Hotels Value (US$)

-1.3

-0.2

0.2

Travel Retail Value (US$)

-0.2

1.4

1.6

Source: Euromonitor International

• 
• 
• 

Europe continues to struggle with low GDP growth in 2012 and 2013.
However, tourist arrivals and incoming receipts have started to pick up thanks to increasing
flows from both advanced and emerging markets.
Hotels sales are still suffering stagnation as austerity and consumer caution remains. Lowcost carriers are driving better performance in air transport.
21
Official Partner

WTM. Means Business
4-7 November 2013• ExCeL LONDON

Europe - Next Gen Peer-to-Peer Travel
•  Recent developments in online commerce and social media have made sharing travel
services easier, leading to new business models involving peer-to-peer options.
•  As Europeans seek cheaper travel options to counteract the continued austerity, the sharing
economy offers opportunities at lower prices than ever before.
•  Value for money is crucial as is the superior authenticity of the holiday experience offered.
Wide Range of Peer-to-Peer Sites Now on Offer
•  Rental accommodation offerings have become more numerous and diverse with Airbnb,
HouseTrip and HomeAway meeting a larger set of consumer demands.
•  Tours, guide services and unique travel experiences are also offered by sites such as
Touristlink and Vayable where travellers can get in touch with local residents.
•  Car sharing services are also growing in Europe. In August 2013, Blablacar.com had over 3
million members in 10 European countries with 600,000 members travelling monthly.
•  TripAdvisor embraced the concept by acquiring FlipKey, as well as listing HouseTrip and
Airbnb as trusted partners for rentals.
•  Avis bought car sharing company Zipcar for US$500 million in 2013.

22
Official Partner

WTM. Means Business
4-7 November 2013• ExCeL LONDON

“The future of peer-to-peer holiday rentals
really depends on legislation, but I believe
that there are very good prospects. Hosts
earn extra money for their pocket and guests
get more value from their travel dollar, so it is
an attractive proposition.”
Arnaud Bertrand, CEO, HouseTrip

“This is what we do, which is empowering
people to make a living doing what they love,
monetising their resources and showing
travellers a unique experience they would
never have been able to access in
guidebooks or through traditional tour
operators.”
Jamie Wong, CEO, Vayable

Private	
  Travel	
  AccommodaMon	
  in	
  UK,	
  
France,	
  Italy	
  and	
  Spain	
  	
  
%	
  CAGR	
  2012-­‐2017	
  	
  
Spain	
  
France	
  
UK	
  
Italy	
  
0	
  

5	
  
Outlets	
  2012-­‐2017	
  

10	
  
%	
  CAGR	
  

15	
  

20	
  

Retail	
  Value	
  2012-­‐2017	
  

Source: Euromonitor International
Note: CAGR signifies compound annual growth rate

23
Official Partner

WTM. Means Business
4-7 November 2013• ExCeL LONDON

Europe - Sharing Economy Expanding
•  Forbes magazine estimates revenues across the sharing economy to grow by 25% in 2013.
•  Travel services are expected to play a significant role in this performance. Value sales of
private travel accommodation in Europe are forecast to reach US$15.4 billion by 2017.
•  In cities like New York and Amsterdam, authorities tried to limit peer-to-peer accommodation
services through regulations due to issues concerning local taxes and residents’ rights.
•  However, these attempts are unlikely to succeed due to the strong popularity of the peer-topeer trend amongst consumers globally, which seems difficult to stop through regulation.
Large Travel Players to Join the Movement
•  It is likely more major travel retail and car rental companies will enter this category following
the success of sharing services in the travel industry.
•  Today holiday rental sites pose only a small threat to the hotel industry but hotels will need to
keep an eye on how the category will develop in the next few years.
•  The emergence of websites specialising in peer-to-peer travel is expected in the future.
•  These are predicted to cater for all types of travel services including accommodation,
transportation, car rental, tours and activities.
24
TRAVEL TECHNOLOGY: MOBILE CONCIERGE
WTM. Means Business

Official Partner

4-7 November 2013• ExCeL LONDON

Travel Technology - Overview
	
  

Travel Technology: World Key Performance Indicators 2012-2014

Internet value % growth (US$)

2012

2013

2014

Car Rental

4.9

9.6

7.8

Air Transport

8.0

12.3

8.7

Other Transportation

6.4

12.7

9.1

Hotels

10.5

13.0

9.9

Travel Retail Products

8.2

12.1

9.7

Source: Euromonitor International

• 
• 
• 

Online travel sales recorded another strong performance in 2012 growing by 8.4% globally to
reach US$524 billion, or 25% of global travel and tourism value sales.
Online travel growth was especially sharp in emerging markets, with Asia Pacific recording
the highest increase at 19% in 2012.
World online travel growth is expected to continue steady in the next five years at a 9.5%
CAGR.
26
Official Partner

WTM. Means Business
4-7 November 2013• ExCeL LONDON

Travel Technology - The Mobile Concierge
•  Mobile internet devices represented a revolution for the travel industry as they introduced a
new reservation channel but they also increased customer service expectations.
•  Travel companies’ customers expect real-time answers and a higher level of customisation
of services wherever they are and at any time, before, during and after the trip.
•  Mobile concierge services are beneficial for travellers allowing them to improve their holiday
experience and for travel companies, which can deepen relationships with customers.
Addressing the New Needs of Mobile Travellers
•  TUI Travel’s Digital Assistant app offers customers advice prior to their departure, during
their holiday and on their return.
•  TUI Travel plans to make the Digital Assistant app a concierge service helping customers
with the holiday they booked but also a source of inspiration for their next trip.
•  YourSingapore Guide app by the Singapore Tourism Board enables visitors to enjoy their
personalised Singapore experience as smoothly as possible.
•  InterContinental Hotels’ Concierge Insider Guides app offers insights provided by company
concierges in its 127 world locations.

27
Official Partner

WTM. Means Business
4-7 November 2013• ExCeL LONDON

1,600	
  
1,400	
  
1,200	
  
1,000	
  

Million	
  units	
  

“Mobile is revolutionising customer
relationships…
“We have developed a new product
called the Digital Assistant. This is a
tool where we think we can really build
that intimacy of relationship of treating
the customer as an individual and that
is very different from the way typically
today travel providers work.”
Peter Long, CEO, TUI Travel Plc

Forecast	
  Global	
  Sales	
  Volume	
  of	
  Internet	
  
Access	
  Devices	
  by	
  Type	
  2012-­‐2017	
  

800	
  
600	
  
400	
  
200	
  
0	
  
2012	
   2013	
   2014	
  
Smartphones	
  
Tablets	
  

2015	
  

2016	
  
Laptops	
  

2017	
  

Desktops	
  

Netbooks	
  
Source: Euromonitor International

28
Official Partner

WTM. Means Business
4-7 November 2013• ExCeL LONDON

Travel Technology - Mobile at the Core of Customer Relationship
•  Due to the mobile nature of travel, smartphones and tablets are expected to become the key
customer service tool in the industry within the next five years.
•  Euromonitor International forecasts global smartphone volume sales will post a 17% CAGR
over 2012-2017, while sales of tablets are forecast at 14% CAGR.
•  By 2017, the mobile channel is expected to account for over 30% of online travel value sales.
•  The areas expected to grow most within mobile concierge services include personalised advice
and customer assistance requests and feedback.
Key Competitive Tool
•  Travel players will need to quickly adopt mobile concierge services in the next few years to
answer the growing need of their customers and not to lose out on business.
•  Hotels are expected to use a mix of on-site and mobile concierge services in the future.
Personalised services will be increasingly offered based on customer stored preferences.
•  Airlines’ customer service through mobile apps is expected to develop to offer personal
assistance 24/7 throughout the entire trip from planning and logistics to emergency assistance.

29
MIDDLE EAST: LOW COST GOES UPMARKET
Official Partner

WTM. Means Business
4-7 November 2013• ExCeL LONDON

Middle East - Overview
Middle East: Key Performance Indicators 2012-2014
% growth

2012

2013

2014

Real GDP Growth

4.0

4.3

4.8

Arrivals (Trips)

4.3

6.7

6.9

Incoming Tourist Receipts Value (US$)

4.3

9.3

10.0

Air Transport Value (US$)

6.5

7.7

8.8

Hotels Value (US$)

6.6

9.2

9.6

Travel Retail Value (US$)

3.0

10.8

10.2

Source: Euromonitor International

• 
• 
• 

There is a visible recovery in travel and tourism across the Middle East in 2012, with a 4.3%
increase in the number of inbound trips, despite the ongoing unrest.
2013 should see further growth, although there is a shift away from destinations such as
Egypt, Syria and Lebanon towards the Gulf markets which have benefited from the crisis.
However, ongoing hostilities in Syria, coupled with renewed tensions leading to violence and
escalating sectarian strife in Egypt, remain a source of concern for future growth.

31
Official Partner

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4-7 November 2013• ExCeL LONDON

Middle East - Low Cost Goes Upmarket
•  Middle East and Africa was the second most dynamic region for value growth of luxury goods
over 2007-2012, reaching US$15.2 billion, predicted to grow 37% over 2012-2017.
•  Luxury brands are important, and high-end experiences offering comfort and personalised
entertainment are favoured among Middle Eastern consumers.
•  The penchant for luxury explains the widespread domination of four- and five-star hotels in
key destinations, such as Dubai, where over 40% of hotels are luxury hotels.
•  It is also evident in the large investments by regional airlines such as Qatar Airways and
Emirates Airlines in their world-class business class operations.
LCCs Embrace Luxury
•  A less expected outcome of the luxury orientation of Middle Eastern travellers is the
introduction of luxury services aboard low-cost carriers.
•  Jazeera Airways was the first to introduce a business class in 2009, straying away from the
low-cost model altogether, yet keeping lower prices and achieving good profitability.
•  In 2013, flydubai is following suit with its new business class services.

32
Official Partner

WTM. Means Business
4-7 November 2013• ExCeL LONDON

Low Cost Carriers in the Middle East 2012
Airline, Country

Passengers 2012

Notes on Business Model

Air Arabia, UAE

5.3 million

Follows typical LCC model

Jazeera Airways, Kuwait

1.1 million

Shifted to full-service model including business class

Nas Air, Saudi Arabia
Flydubai, UAE

3 million
5.1 million

RAK Airways, UAE

250,000

Follows LCC model, 2013 first profitable year since 2007
Introduced business class at lower price
“Value for money" model, between low cost & traditional airline

Source: Euromonitor International

“A new business model had to be
adopted, whereby the airline moved
away from the low cost model.
Jazeera cancelled the “pay for food”
model, and introduced duty-free onboard as well as a business class.”

Stefan Pichler, former CEO
Jazeera Airways and Virgin,
Thomas Cook and Lufthansa

33
Official Partner

WTM. Means Business
4-7 November 2013• ExCeL LONDON

Middle East - Creating Affordable Luxury
•  While the Jazeera shift towards a traditional model was the result of low profitability, the 2013
Flydubai business class tells another story, one of an LCC adding a luxury edge.
•  ‘Affordable luxury’ aboard planes appears to be an attractive segment, as business class
tickets introduced by these LCCs would be cheaper than traditional airlines’ business class.
•  This way, LCCs would lure economy customers away from traditional airlines, who can afford
a slightly more expensive ticket for a higher-end experience.
Possible Contagion?
•  Contagion can go two ways with this trend:
–  Other categories may adopt affordable luxury e.g. budget hotels offering some higher-end rooms.
–  LCCs from other regions could adopt the “hybrid model,” blending low cost and luxury, the most
likely being Asia where luxury is favoured.

•  Sceptics find it difficult to believe in the hybrid model, as it is seen having a negative impact
on airlines’ profitability because of the higher costs incurred.
•  The Flydubai experience will reveal how sustainable and contagious the model really is.

34
AFRICA: THE BIG FIVE WITH YOUR LITTLE ONE
WTM. Means Business

Official Partner

4-7 November 2013• ExCeL LONDON

Africa - Overview
	
  

Africa: Key Performance Indicators 2012-2014

% growth

2012

2013

2014

Real GDP Growth

4.7

5.4

6.1

Arrivals (Trips)

5.8

6.0

5.5

Incoming Tourist Receipts Value (US$)

2.2

5.9

6.5

Air Transport Value (US$)

1.0

5.0

5.9

Hotels Value (US$)

-2.2

4.0

4.6

Travel Retail Value (US$)

-5.5

2.5

2.1

Source: Euromonitor International

• 
• 

Strong economic growth, particularly in East Africa, is helping grow business tourism
throughout the region, while rising incomes and urbanisation are driving domestic travel.
Source markets are changing and moving away from the traditional Europe and US focus,
with visitors from the BRICs and the Middle East becoming more important.

36
Official Partner

WTM. Means Business
4-7 November 2013• ExCeL LONDON

Africa - The Big Five with Your Little One
•  With multi-generational holidays where parents, grandparents and children all travel together
seeing growth globally, the potential of family-friendly safaris is finally being realised.
•  The popularity of films and shows such as Madagascar and The Lion King amongst children
across the world plays an important role in promoting African safari holidays for families.
•  Long considered unsuitable for young children, safaris in Africa now offer itineraries altered to
suit younger attention spans by avoiding long game drives.
Wide Choice of Destinations
•  South Africa is a key destination for family safaris as southern locations can offer malaria-free
expeditions.
•  Kenya, Malawi, Zambia and Tanzania are also jumping on board with many child-friendly
options.
•  Companies such as Africa on Foot and Rhino Africa organise child-friendly safaris throughout
Africa, with the latter providing lodges, camps and activities catering specifically for children.

37
Official Partner

WTM. Means Business
4-7 November 2013• ExCeL LONDON

Inbound	
  Arrivals	
  to	
  Top	
  Safari	
  
DesMnaMons	
  2012/2017	
  

"For each of the past three years, our
family safari bookings have nearly
doubled. People are getting more and
more adventurous, and want more
exciting experiences with their children.
Not only parents, but grandparents too."
Ben Morison, Managing Director,
Imagine Africa

South	
  Africa	
  
Zimbabwe	
  
Botswana	
  
Kenya	
  
Uganda	
  
Namibia	
  
Zambia	
  
Tanzania	
  
Malawi	
  
	
  -­‐	
  	
  	
  	
  

	
  2,000	
  	
   	
  4,000	
  	
   	
  6,000	
  	
   	
  8,000	
  	
   	
  10,000	
  	
  
Trips	
  (‘000)	
  
2012	
  

2017	
  

Source: Euromonitor International

38
Official Partner

WTM. Means Business
4-7 November 2013• ExCeL LONDON

Africa - Growing Number of BRICs Families
•  As growing numbers of visitors from the BRIC countries head to Africa, child-friendly safaris
will become more numerous as many of these visitors travel in large family groups.
•  Chinese visitors are now the fourth largest group of arrivals in South Africa with over 132,000
visitors in 2012 and is expected to reach over 180,000 by 2017.
•  Indian visitors are also embracing safaris, with many lodges offering Indian food and opening
their kitchens to guests wishing to prepare their own food.
More Multi-Generational Holiday Options
•  In the next few years, African hotels and travel retailers will need to expand the services to
cater for the needs of this growing consumer segment.
•  Combining family safaris in traditional locations like South Africa with activities in a different
country such as Mozambique is a new concept, already embraced by Cedarberg Travel.
•  Multi-generational holidays in Africa could expand in the next few years from safaris to
volunteerism and more sustainable holidays, as well as cruises.

39
GLOBAL VILLAGE: VACANCY ON DEMAND -­
CHASING THE 24HR TRAVELLER
WTM. Means Business

Official Partner

4-7 November 2013• ExCeL LONDON

Global Village - Overview
	
  
Global Village: World Key Performance Indicators 2012-2014
Value % growth (US$)

2012

2013

2014

Car Rental

1.6

7.1

6.2

Hotels

2.2

6.9

5.1

Other Travel Accommodation

0.8

5.5

3.8

Source: Euromonitor International

• 
• 
• 

While 2012 saw a slow recovery across key indicators, 2013 is set to end on a very positive
note, with as much as 6.9% growth in hotel value sales, and 7.1% in car rental value sales.
Growth should stabilise at a lower level in 2014, and new emerging trends in leisure and
business travel will help sustain positive growth.
Hotels are pushing value sales growth via a number of innovative techniques, services and
designs.

41
Official Partner

WTM. Means Business
4-7 November 2013• ExCeL LONDON

Global Village - Vacancy on Demand – Chasing the 24-hour Traveller
•  Hotels have learnt to adapt to difficult times and generate revenue from services such as
spas, food and beverages, technologies and more recently from business travellers.
•  Business travel has recorded a healthy rise since the downturn across the globe in 2009, to
reach 212 million arrivals in 2012.
•  Businesses continue to globalise, and despite the rising trend of video-conferencing, face-toface meetings are also still favoured for high-profile business meetings.
•  According to Westin Hotels in the US, 75% of the workforce is on the move, with frequent
travel and the global workforce is following suit.
Day-use Fills the Gaps
•  Hotels are reimagining their event spaces and time frames to rent out throughout the day
when not in use, thus generating additional revenue.
•  More business guests are seeking day-use rooms for a chance to relax between
appointments and flights or workspaces for meetings at the hotels.
•  Leisure tourists also take advantage of the flexibility, to get away from it all for a few hours.
•  Hotels offer complementary services such as free access to printers and faxes.
42
WTM. Means Business

Official Partner

4-7 November 2013• ExCeL LONDON

Dayuse Hotels: Key Performance Indicators 2012/2013
2012

2013

Number of hotels

200

250

Bookings per day

n/a

250-300

% growth in bookings

120

270

2.2 million

4 million¹

Revenues (€)
Source: Dayuse Hotels
Notes: ¹ estimate

“We see significant opportunities for
growth in light of the increase in
bookings and revenues.
Our next move will be to target
secondary cities in countries already
serviced, including Washington,
California, Baltimore and Miami, and
new markets like Brazil, Russia and
Canada.”
David Lebbé, CEO and Founder,
Dayuse Hotels

43
Official Partner

WTM. Means Business
4-7 November 2013• ExCeL LONDON

Global Village - Microstays: How and Where
•  While office-like and work spaces can be rented out to mobile businesses for US$50 an hour,
room rates vary between US$95-200 for day-use of periods from 3-12 hours globally.
•  These hours are generally chosen to match cleaning shifts.
•  The cost of a room is 30-70% lower than an overnight stay. For example, InterContinental
Hotels in France charges €150 for rent or day-use, instead of €400-500 for an overnight stay.
•  Regionally speaking, the US and UK markets are the most advanced for business-related
microstays, but the trend is catching on in many more markets in Western Europe.
Offices of the Future
•  Founded in 2010, Aggregator Dayuse Hotels has seen significant growth in sales with
aggregators like Between5and9.com and ByHours.com offering similar services.
•  Westin is testing an office concept called Tangent at Westin. Tangent provides upscale
meeting space for small groups, and will also drive microstays at the hotel.
•  Marriott introduced Workspace on Demand, an online platform allowing users to book
workspaces across the US on an hourly basis. This is based on the assumption hotels will
become “offices of the future”, and this is very much likely to become a global trend.

44
ASIA: FIGHT FOR CRUISE
CONTROL IN CHINA
Official Partner

WTM. Means Business
4-7 November 2013• ExCeL LONDON

Asia - Overview
	
  

Asia: Key Performance Indicators 2012-2014
% growth

2012

2013

2014

Real GDP Growth

5.3

5.3

5.8

Arrivals (Trips)

7.0

5.6

5.5

Incoming Tourist Receipts Value (US$)

5.1

5.7

5.9

Air Transport Value (US$)

7.4

7.6

7.3

Hotels Value (US$)

5.5

5.9

5.9

Travel Retail Value (US$)

7.5

5.8

5.6

Source: Euromonitor International
Note: GDP refers to Asia Pacific only, all others refer to Asia including Australia

• 
• 
• 

Asia remains the leading global region for economic growth, with all tourism categories
showing consistent increases for the next few years.
Online travel is shaking up the industry in the region, as growing consumer confidence
combines with numerous internet opportunities within travel and tourism.
Low-cost airlines are thriving, encouraging intra-regional travel.
46
Official Partner

WTM. Means Business
4-7 November 2013• ExCeL LONDON

Asia - Fight for Cruise Control in China
•  Cruising in China is relatively new, with consumer awareness still undeveloped yet registering
healthy growth, as Chinese travellers show a strong appreciation of the concept.
•  The Chinese government has declared 2013 as Marine Tourism Year, with the latest five-year
plan dictating cruising should be encouraged.
•  In 2012, there were 285 cruise ship arrivals at ports in China, up by 8.8% on 2011.
International Cruise Operators Head to China
•  International cruise companies vastly expanded their offerings in the region in 2012 and 2013.
Carnival has opened offices in five Chinese cities to support its Princess Cruises brand.
•  The number of Chinese passengers at Royal Caribbean quadrupled from 25,000 to 100,000
between 2011 and 2012, with numbers predicted to reach 200,000 for 2013.
•  2013 saw HNA, a Chinese airline, hotel and property group, launch its first passenger cruise
in January.
•  One of the main challenges the Chinese government faces is ensuring the integration of
airports, rail and roads to secure easy access for passengers to cruise terminals.

47
Official Partner

WTM. Means Business
4-7 November 2013• ExCeL LONDON

“The market potential for cruising in
Asia is huge as the total potential
number of cruise passengers could
reach 3.7 million by 2017, and double to
over 7 million by 2020.”

300	
  
250	
  
Number	
  of	
  ships	
  

“There’s good weather here, lots of
islands to visit and a lot of experiences.
Southeast Asia is not too different from
the Caribbean in terms of these basic
conditions.”
Pier Luigi Foschi, Chairman and CEO,
Carnival Asia

InternaMonal	
  Cruise	
  Ships	
  Received	
  by	
  
Chinese	
  Ports	
  2009-­‐2012	
  

200	
  
150	
  
100	
  
50	
  
0	
  
2009	
  

2010	
  

2011	
  

2012	
  

Source: Chinese Cruise and Yacht Industry

48
Official Partner

WTM. Means Business
4-7 November 2013• ExCeL LONDON

Asia - Chinese Cruise to Become World’s Second Largest
•  Industry sources predict China will become the second largest global cruise market after the
US by 2017.
•  Currently only 6-7% of global cruise passengers are from Asia, expected to increase to 20%.
•  Carnival Asia expects at least seven million cruise passengers to come from Asia by 2020.
•  Lack of infrastructure is the biggest impediment to growth, requiring government intervention
to improve and ensure a more integrated transportation solution.
Unchartered Territories to Explore
•  International companies are leading the charge into the Chinese market but need to take into
account specific local preferences, including dining, shopping and leisure options.
•  Hong Kong is a leading destination with its new US$1 billion Kai Tak Cruise Terminal.
•  The Asian Cruise Association identified 80 further cities as potential Asian cruise stops,
including destinations in China, Myanmar, Malaysia, South Korea and Vietnam.
•  Destinations further afield in Europe, the US and the Caribbean are predicted to be the next
focus area for development.

49
India: The Travel Social
Shake-Up
WTM. Means Business

Official Partner

4-7 November 2013• ExCeL LONDON

India - Overview
	
  

India: Key Performance Indicators 2012-2014

% growth

2012

2013

2014

Real GDP Growth

3.8

4.2

6.0

Arrivals (Trips)

11

10.7

10.5

Incoming Tourist Receipts Value (US$)

4.3

11.7

10.1

Air Transport Value (US$)

5.0

15.6

15.7

Hotels Value (US$)

1.4

9.2

8.3

Travel Retail Value (US$)

2.8

10.4

11.3

Source: Euromonitor International

• 
• 
• 

After a slight decline in growth in 2012, India’s travel and tourism industry is rebounding with
strong results for 2013.
Inbound travel is benefiting from the rupee’s devaluation, recording very robust growth.
Air travel is a key success story, with increasing numbers of travellers taking to the skies
especially with low-cost carriers.
51
Official Partner

WTM. Means Business
4-7 November 2013• ExCeL LONDON

India - The Travel Social Shake-Up
•  While only 12% of the Indian population is online, Facebook claims to have 82 million users in
the country, which makes India its third largest global market after the US and Brazil.
•  The vast majority of users are young urban consumers targeted by online travel companies,
which are using social media to engage with them and encourage bookings.
Southeast Asia Reaps the Benefits
•  Proximity and lower costs are helping young Indian netizens opt for Southeast Asian
destinations such as Thailand, Vietnam, Cambodia and Bhutan.
•  These are being promoted extensively by online travel companies through social media.
•  Expedia India has led the way, advertising 50% off holiday prices to Thailand via Facebook.
•  The company also launched the contest “travel like a boss”, where participants can win a free
trip to Bangkok by sharing on the site.
•  MakeMyTrip is also very active on Facebook, with over 1.2 million likes. Recent promotions by
the Indian OTA included budget package trips to Thailand, Singapore and Malaysia.

52
Official Partner

WTM. Means Business
4-7 November 2013• ExCeL LONDON

Online	
  Travel	
  %	
  Value	
  Sales	
  Growth	
  	
  
in	
  India	
  2012-­‐2017	
  

“Leads through social media have risen
from nil about two years ago to about 20%
now.”
Arjun Sharma, Managing Director, TUI India

20	
  

%	
  value	
  growth	
  

“Social media gives the power to the
customer; that is a clear-cut advantage
over traditional media. Social media
engagement with the customer is now
imperative for any business that wishes to
be seen as modern and new age.”
Pratik Mazumder, Head of Marketing,
Yatra.com

25	
  

15	
  
10	
  
5	
  
0	
  
2012	
  

2013	
  

Transportaon	
  

2014	
  

2015	
  

2016	
  

2017	
  

Travel	
  Accommodaon	
  

Travel	
  Retail	
  
Source: Euromonitor International

53
Official Partner

WTM. Means Business
4-7 November 2013• ExCeL LONDON

India - Social Media Changing the Travel Scene
•  India is predicted to have over 300 million internet users by 2017, with more than 75% active
on social media.
•  Online travel retail sales in India are forecast to reach US$14.7 billion in 2017, following a
19% CAGR from 2012.
•  As smartphones and tablets become more mainstream among Indian travellers, the mobile
booking channel is expected to take off.
•  MakeMyTrip saw over 1 million downloads of its mobile travel app by May 2013.
Government on Board
•  The Indian Ministry of Tourism recently started using social media to promote tourism sites
throughout the country. It joined Facebook in January 2013.
•  70% of all 4- and 5-star hotels in first-tier cities in India had established their presence in
social media by August 2013.
•  Leading Indian airline Jet Airways put social media at the centre of its marketing, involving 10
different departments in its social media activities targeting consumers.

54
Official Partner

WTM. Means Business
4-7 November 2013• ExCeL LONDON

For more information:
Caroline Bremner
Head of Travel and Tourism Research
Euromonitor International
caroline.bremner@euromonitor.com
@CarolineBremner
@Euromonitor
www.euromonitor.com/travel-and-tourism
www.linkedin.com/groups?about=&gid=4316858
Paul Nelson
Press & PR Manager
World Travel Market
paul.nelson@reedexpo.co.uk
www.wtmlondon.com
	
  
Publisher’s note: At a time of macroeconomic instability, forecast data for 2013-2017 used for the purpose of this report are
provisional and are subject to revision before publication in Euromonitor International’s Passport Travel and Tourism 2014 edition

55
Official Partner

WTM. Means Business
4-7 November 2013• ExCeL LONDON

WTM Global Trends Report 2013

In association with

56

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World Travel Market 2013 Global Trends Report

  • 1. WTM Global Trends Report The latest trends from around the world Travel Happiness Index Next Gen Peer-to-Peer Travel EUROPE UK Fight for Cruise Control in China ASIA Professional Aunts No Kids The Travel Social Shake Up AMERICAS INDIA Mobile Concierge TRAVEL TECHNOLOGY Vacancy on Demand: Chasing the 24 Hour Traveller GLOBAL VILLAGE Low Cost Goes Upmarket The Big Five with Your Little One AFRICA In association with MIDDLE EAST
  • 2. Official Partner WTM. Means Business 4-7 November 2013• ExCeL LONDON World  Travel  Market   Global  Trends  Report  2013   2
  • 3. Official Partner WTM. Means Business 4-7 November 2013• ExCeL LONDON Global Trends Report - Key Findings   Americas: PANKs – A New Demographic The travel industry is starting to cater to the ‘Professional Aunt, No Kids’ demographic. UK: Travel Happiness Index Routehappy.com provides a unique measurement of customer satisfaction via its happiness scores for airlines. Europe: Next Generation Peer-to-Peer Peer-to-peer travel services are recording strong growth in Europe, Travel offering authentic experiences at affordable prices. Travel Technology: Mobile Concierge Travel companies are increasingly using mobile channels to satisfy customers’ needs before, during and after the trip. Middle East: Low-Cost Goes Upmarket Middle Eastern consumers have a penchant for luxury, which has led LCCs to introduce business class-style services. 3
  • 4. Official Partner WTM. Means Business 4-7 November 2013• ExCeL LONDON Global Trends Report - Key Findings   Africa: The Big Five with Your Little One Child-focused safaris in Africa are becoming more popular, driven by demand for multi-generational holidays. Global Village: Vacancy on Demand – Microstays have emerged as an attractive means of boosting hotel Chasing the 24-hour Traveller revenues, by targeting business travellers on the move. Asia: Fight for Cruise Control in China China is set to become a key market for cruise companies as this new type of holiday rises in popularity. India: The Travel Social Shake-Up Indian online travel players are using social media more effectively to target young urban consumers. 4
  • 5. Official Partner WTM. Means Business 4-7 November 2013• ExCeL LONDON World Travel Market The WTM Global Trends Report 2013, in association with Euromonitor International, highlights the emerging trends in the global travel and tourism industry. The GTR has been at the forefront of predicting major trends in the travel and tourism industry since its launch in 2006. The 2013 report is no different forecasting a number of trends I’m sure will bear fruit over the coming years. I would like to thank Euromonitor International for compiling the WTM Global Trends Report 2013. I hope you find the report useful and interesting and wish you a thought-provoking and productive WTM 2013.   Simon Press, Senior Exhibition Director, World Travel Market 5
  • 6. Official Partner WTM. Means Business 4-7 November 2013• ExCeL LONDON Euromonitor International   The Global Trends Report 2013 reveals how travel players are differentiating and innovating their products and services, all while embracing social media. Non-traditional demographic groups are emerging with PANKs ‘Professional Aunt, No Kids,’ a new target market in the US, while child-friendly and multi-generational safaris in Africa are growing more popular. We see that business models are adapting to suit customers’ needs, where low-cost carriers are going upmarket in the Middle East and hotels offer microstays. Peer-to-peer continues to make inroads despite legislative hurdles. The lure of the East grows apace with cruise operators diving into the Chinese market. Social media channels are important to improving the customer experience, as seen with the emergence of the mobile concierge, while in India, social channels are giving online travel companies’ sales a welcome boost. Routehappy goes one step further in providing happiness scores for airlines. Ultimately, if your customer is happy, you should be too! Head of Travel and Tourism Research, Euromonitor International 6
  • 8. Official Partner WTM. Means Business 4-7 November 2013• ExCeL LONDON Global Overview - A Healthy Travel Industry •  The global economy is expected to record 3.1% growth in 2013, a stable performance compared to 2012. •  The IMF predicts global GDP to grow by 3.8% in 2014, thanks to positive growth in the Eurozone, the economy picking up in the US and a further increase in emerging markets. •  The long-term economic potential of the BRICs and other emerging markets remains solid and is expected to drive positive performance of the global economy over 2015-2017. •  Global tourist arrivals and inbound spending are predicted to continue to be vital over the 2012-2017 period, boosted by increasing demand from emerging markets. •  Advanced markets are recovering after the difficulties experienced since the crisis with tourism flows and spending from the US, Japan and Europe returning to growth. •  Online travel agencies are growing in importance, with Expedia and Priceline dominating this space. Players from emerging markets are also gaining ground, like the Chinese online travel agency Ctrip. •  Mobile travel bookings are becoming significant globally, reaching double-digit shares of online sales for some key players in the online travel agency and hotel categories in 2012. 8
  • 9. WTM. Means Business Official Partner 4-7 November 2013• ExCeL LONDON Global Overview - Steady Growth Ahead World  Economy  and  Travel  Performance  %  Value  Growth  2012-­‐2017   14   Real  GDP  Growth   % value growth 12   10   Incoming  Receipts   8   6   Arrivals   4   Online  Travel   2   0   2012   2013   2014   2015   2016   2017   Offline  Travel   Source: Euromonitor International Note: Travel comprises car rental, travel accommodation, transportation and tourist attraction sales, based on US$ at constant 2012 prices 9
  • 10. AMERICAS -­PANKS: A NEW DEMOGRAPHIC
  • 11. Official Partner WTM. Means Business 4-7 November 2013• ExCeL LONDON Americas - Overview Americas: Key Performance Indicators 2012-2014 % growth 2012 2013 2014 Real GDP Growth 2.2 1.9 2.6 Arrivals (Trips) 5.2 3.7 3.6 Incoming Tourist Receipts Value (US$) 7.0 6.7 6.3 Air Transport Value (US$) 4.0 7.4 6.5 Hotels Value (US$) 5.2 6.2 5.2 Travel Retail Value (US$) 5.3 6.8 5.6 Source: Euromonitor International •  •  •  Despite bumpy economic conditions, demand growth is likely to outpace supply expansion, pushing prices up and driving value sales. Incoming tourism will be a bright spot with strong growth in regional and long-haul travellers. Industries that have been consolidating, such as car rental and airlines, are expected to do well over the forecast period. 11
  • 12. Official Partner WTM. Means Business 4-7 November 2013• ExCeL LONDON Americas - PANKs Filled with Potential •  PANKs stands for ‘Professional Aunt, No Kids’. These are women over the age of 18 with no children, but have a close relationship with children of friends or relatives. •  As of 2010, in the US, 42.6% of women between the ages of 15-44 were childless, up from 40.1% in 2002, as women have children at older ages or choose not to have children at all. •  Research by Savvy Auntie – a US-based website community for aunts and godmothers estimates that there are 23 million PANKs in the US who spend US$9 billion annually on children (baseline of one child per PANK). Travel Ideal Product for PANKs •  Travel is a great way to foster these relationships. According to Savvy Auntie, 48% of PANKs enjoy travelling with nieces and nephews. •  This figure is likely to grow as the travel industry begins to target this segment more. •  In 2013, Intrepid Travel targeted the PANK market for its extended range of family adventure tours with web content, social media, dedicated emails and advertorials. 12
  • 13. Official Partner WTM. Means Business 4-7 November 2013• ExCeL LONDON US  %  of  Childless  Women  June  2010   100   “The PANK market is sizeable, has huge potential, and has yet to be exploited, especially in the travel vertical.” Jared Alster, Director of Marketing, Intrepid Travel 90   80   70   %  populaMon   “PANKs want to have meaningful experiences with the children in their lives and develop strong bonds with them, which makes travel an ideal product for this demographic.” Melanie Notkin, CEO, Savvy Auntie 60   50   40   30   20   10   0   15-­‐19   20-­‐24   25-­‐29   30-­‐34   35-­‐39   40-­‐44   years       years       years       years       years       years       Source: US Census Bureau, Current Population Survey 13
  • 14. Official Partner WTM. Means Business 4-7 November 2013• ExCeL LONDON Americas - Catering to PANKs •  The travel industry has to market to this demographic carefully, appealing to them in marketing and creating products that suit their needs. •  Lisa Bauer, Executive Vice President for Global Sales and Marketing at Royal Caribbean, says it focuses on females in advertising because women make most travel-related decisions. •  However, Royal Caribbean does not address them as mothers since the company wants women to draw their own relationship with the female population in the advertisements. •  Based on Intrepid Travel’s research in 2013, PANKs are interested in domestic travel, particularly Disney resorts and Hawaii, as well as Europe, especially the UK. Long-term Demographic Trend •  Women will likely continue to wait longer to have children, with some opting to remain childless. Thus PANKs are expected to grow in number, both in the US and globally. •  The travel industry has great expertise in creating and marketing family products and will reap the benefits by expanding the term ‘family’ to PANKs and other non-traditional family types. 14
  • 16. WTM. Means Business Official Partner 4-7 November 2013• ExCeL LONDON UK - Overview UK: Key Performance Indicators 2012-2014 % growth 2012 2013 2014 Real GDP Growth 0.2 0.6 1.4 Arrivals (Trips) -0.3 0.3 1.1 Incoming Tourist Receipts Value (US$) 4.8 5.1 4.6 Air Transport Value (US$) 2.4 3.9 2.5 Hotels Value (US$) 1.2 0.7 1.1 Travel Retail Value (US$) 1.6 2.6 2.5 Source: Euromonitor International •  •  •  The UK’s economy continues to expand slowly. Real GDP is expected to grow by 0.6% in 2013, attributed to the government’s programme of austerity and the bleak outlook for exports. Unemployment was 7.9% in 2012 and it will remain at that level in 2013. The average household income is still below levels prior to the recession in 2008-2009. Consumer expenditure per capita in the country was £15,307 (US$24,260) in 2012. It is expected to grow by 0.6% in real terms during 2013. 16
  • 17. Official Partner WTM. Means Business 4-7 November 2013• ExCeL LONDON UK - Travel Happiness Index •  A new flight metasearch site, www.routehappy.com, was launched in April 2013, combining traveller experience with low prices and flight availability. •  The start-up differs by providing flight Happiness Factors and Happiness Scores on a scale of one to ten to help consumers select flights based on comfort and suitability. •  Consumers are able to select higher quality in-flight service based on incentives such as earplugs, Wi-Fi, in-seat entertainment and leg room, amongst others. Price is Not All •  Routehappy uses ‘Flightpad’, a proprietary ‘Product Attribute Database’, which studies airlines and airplanes globally to build an accurate database of flight product attributes. •  With more than 100,000 unique visitors at launch and over 30% of visitors returning in July 2013, the site is a unique offering with the UK as the leading European source of demand. •  No other companies view transportation in this way. Alternatives are metasearch sites such as Kayak.com and Hipmunk.com, which lack Happiness Scores. •  The UK air transportation segment will record 2% growth over 2012-2017, to reach £31 billion air travel retail sales by 2017. 17
  • 18. Official Partner WTM. Means Business 4-7 November 2013• ExCeL LONDON Routehappy.com  Web  Visits     by  Region  July  2013   80%   70%   60%   %  share  of  web  visits   “Our Happiness Score is very important to airlines. Why? Airlines are working hard to move away from air travel being a commoditised, price and schedule-only decision.” Robert Albert, Founder and CEO, Routehappy 50%   40%   30%   20%   10%   0%   Americas   Europe   Asia   Oceania   Africa   Source: Routehappy.com 18
  • 19. Official Partner WTM. Means Business 4-7 November 2013• ExCeL LONDON UK - The TripAdvisor for Airlines •  The Routehappy.com business model paves the way for de-commoditisation of the flight sale, emphasising happiness as a key measurement. •  Studies show people are happier for longer when they spend money on experiences. •  Routehappy.com can become the airline industry benchmark for customer satisfaction, featuring its Happiness rating that airlines and travellers can adhere to. •  The aim for higher customer satisfaction/experience also resonates with the popularity of aircraft such as the Dreamliner and its differentiated products among customers.   Quest for Customer Satisfaction •  Routehappy.com works with some of the main GDS players, including Amadeus. The website tracks 180 types of planes, 4,000 airports and receives over 70,000 customer reviews. •  The advertising power of its Happiness Scores can be explored by both customers and trade who can use the classification as a means of achieving the perfect travel experience. •  Other transportation modes such as bus and cruising, as well as hotel and travel retail players, can follow suit and adopt the ‘Happiness Score’ approach. 19
  • 20. EUROPE: NEXT GENERATION PEER- TO-PEER TRAVEL
  • 21. Official Partner WTM. Means Business 4-7 November 2013• ExCeL LONDON Europe - Overview   Europe: Key Performance Indicators 2012-2014 % growth 2012 2013 2014 Real GDP Growth 0.3 0.4 1.6 Arrivals (Trips) 3.1 2.7 2.7 Incoming Tourist Receipts Value (US$) 1.4 2.4 2.8 Air Transport Value (US$) 1.6 1.7 1.8 Hotels Value (US$) -1.3 -0.2 0.2 Travel Retail Value (US$) -0.2 1.4 1.6 Source: Euromonitor International •  •  •  Europe continues to struggle with low GDP growth in 2012 and 2013. However, tourist arrivals and incoming receipts have started to pick up thanks to increasing flows from both advanced and emerging markets. Hotels sales are still suffering stagnation as austerity and consumer caution remains. Lowcost carriers are driving better performance in air transport. 21
  • 22. Official Partner WTM. Means Business 4-7 November 2013• ExCeL LONDON Europe - Next Gen Peer-to-Peer Travel •  Recent developments in online commerce and social media have made sharing travel services easier, leading to new business models involving peer-to-peer options. •  As Europeans seek cheaper travel options to counteract the continued austerity, the sharing economy offers opportunities at lower prices than ever before. •  Value for money is crucial as is the superior authenticity of the holiday experience offered. Wide Range of Peer-to-Peer Sites Now on Offer •  Rental accommodation offerings have become more numerous and diverse with Airbnb, HouseTrip and HomeAway meeting a larger set of consumer demands. •  Tours, guide services and unique travel experiences are also offered by sites such as Touristlink and Vayable where travellers can get in touch with local residents. •  Car sharing services are also growing in Europe. In August 2013, Blablacar.com had over 3 million members in 10 European countries with 600,000 members travelling monthly. •  TripAdvisor embraced the concept by acquiring FlipKey, as well as listing HouseTrip and Airbnb as trusted partners for rentals. •  Avis bought car sharing company Zipcar for US$500 million in 2013. 22
  • 23. Official Partner WTM. Means Business 4-7 November 2013• ExCeL LONDON “The future of peer-to-peer holiday rentals really depends on legislation, but I believe that there are very good prospects. Hosts earn extra money for their pocket and guests get more value from their travel dollar, so it is an attractive proposition.” Arnaud Bertrand, CEO, HouseTrip “This is what we do, which is empowering people to make a living doing what they love, monetising their resources and showing travellers a unique experience they would never have been able to access in guidebooks or through traditional tour operators.” Jamie Wong, CEO, Vayable Private  Travel  AccommodaMon  in  UK,   France,  Italy  and  Spain     %  CAGR  2012-­‐2017     Spain   France   UK   Italy   0   5   Outlets  2012-­‐2017   10   %  CAGR   15   20   Retail  Value  2012-­‐2017   Source: Euromonitor International Note: CAGR signifies compound annual growth rate 23
  • 24. Official Partner WTM. Means Business 4-7 November 2013• ExCeL LONDON Europe - Sharing Economy Expanding •  Forbes magazine estimates revenues across the sharing economy to grow by 25% in 2013. •  Travel services are expected to play a significant role in this performance. Value sales of private travel accommodation in Europe are forecast to reach US$15.4 billion by 2017. •  In cities like New York and Amsterdam, authorities tried to limit peer-to-peer accommodation services through regulations due to issues concerning local taxes and residents’ rights. •  However, these attempts are unlikely to succeed due to the strong popularity of the peer-topeer trend amongst consumers globally, which seems difficult to stop through regulation. Large Travel Players to Join the Movement •  It is likely more major travel retail and car rental companies will enter this category following the success of sharing services in the travel industry. •  Today holiday rental sites pose only a small threat to the hotel industry but hotels will need to keep an eye on how the category will develop in the next few years. •  The emergence of websites specialising in peer-to-peer travel is expected in the future. •  These are predicted to cater for all types of travel services including accommodation, transportation, car rental, tours and activities. 24
  • 26. WTM. Means Business Official Partner 4-7 November 2013• ExCeL LONDON Travel Technology - Overview   Travel Technology: World Key Performance Indicators 2012-2014 Internet value % growth (US$) 2012 2013 2014 Car Rental 4.9 9.6 7.8 Air Transport 8.0 12.3 8.7 Other Transportation 6.4 12.7 9.1 Hotels 10.5 13.0 9.9 Travel Retail Products 8.2 12.1 9.7 Source: Euromonitor International •  •  •  Online travel sales recorded another strong performance in 2012 growing by 8.4% globally to reach US$524 billion, or 25% of global travel and tourism value sales. Online travel growth was especially sharp in emerging markets, with Asia Pacific recording the highest increase at 19% in 2012. World online travel growth is expected to continue steady in the next five years at a 9.5% CAGR. 26
  • 27. Official Partner WTM. Means Business 4-7 November 2013• ExCeL LONDON Travel Technology - The Mobile Concierge •  Mobile internet devices represented a revolution for the travel industry as they introduced a new reservation channel but they also increased customer service expectations. •  Travel companies’ customers expect real-time answers and a higher level of customisation of services wherever they are and at any time, before, during and after the trip. •  Mobile concierge services are beneficial for travellers allowing them to improve their holiday experience and for travel companies, which can deepen relationships with customers. Addressing the New Needs of Mobile Travellers •  TUI Travel’s Digital Assistant app offers customers advice prior to their departure, during their holiday and on their return. •  TUI Travel plans to make the Digital Assistant app a concierge service helping customers with the holiday they booked but also a source of inspiration for their next trip. •  YourSingapore Guide app by the Singapore Tourism Board enables visitors to enjoy their personalised Singapore experience as smoothly as possible. •  InterContinental Hotels’ Concierge Insider Guides app offers insights provided by company concierges in its 127 world locations. 27
  • 28. Official Partner WTM. Means Business 4-7 November 2013• ExCeL LONDON 1,600   1,400   1,200   1,000   Million  units   “Mobile is revolutionising customer relationships… “We have developed a new product called the Digital Assistant. This is a tool where we think we can really build that intimacy of relationship of treating the customer as an individual and that is very different from the way typically today travel providers work.” Peter Long, CEO, TUI Travel Plc Forecast  Global  Sales  Volume  of  Internet   Access  Devices  by  Type  2012-­‐2017   800   600   400   200   0   2012   2013   2014   Smartphones   Tablets   2015   2016   Laptops   2017   Desktops   Netbooks   Source: Euromonitor International 28
  • 29. Official Partner WTM. Means Business 4-7 November 2013• ExCeL LONDON Travel Technology - Mobile at the Core of Customer Relationship •  Due to the mobile nature of travel, smartphones and tablets are expected to become the key customer service tool in the industry within the next five years. •  Euromonitor International forecasts global smartphone volume sales will post a 17% CAGR over 2012-2017, while sales of tablets are forecast at 14% CAGR. •  By 2017, the mobile channel is expected to account for over 30% of online travel value sales. •  The areas expected to grow most within mobile concierge services include personalised advice and customer assistance requests and feedback. Key Competitive Tool •  Travel players will need to quickly adopt mobile concierge services in the next few years to answer the growing need of their customers and not to lose out on business. •  Hotels are expected to use a mix of on-site and mobile concierge services in the future. Personalised services will be increasingly offered based on customer stored preferences. •  Airlines’ customer service through mobile apps is expected to develop to offer personal assistance 24/7 throughout the entire trip from planning and logistics to emergency assistance. 29
  • 30. MIDDLE EAST: LOW COST GOES UPMARKET
  • 31. Official Partner WTM. Means Business 4-7 November 2013• ExCeL LONDON Middle East - Overview Middle East: Key Performance Indicators 2012-2014 % growth 2012 2013 2014 Real GDP Growth 4.0 4.3 4.8 Arrivals (Trips) 4.3 6.7 6.9 Incoming Tourist Receipts Value (US$) 4.3 9.3 10.0 Air Transport Value (US$) 6.5 7.7 8.8 Hotels Value (US$) 6.6 9.2 9.6 Travel Retail Value (US$) 3.0 10.8 10.2 Source: Euromonitor International •  •  •  There is a visible recovery in travel and tourism across the Middle East in 2012, with a 4.3% increase in the number of inbound trips, despite the ongoing unrest. 2013 should see further growth, although there is a shift away from destinations such as Egypt, Syria and Lebanon towards the Gulf markets which have benefited from the crisis. However, ongoing hostilities in Syria, coupled with renewed tensions leading to violence and escalating sectarian strife in Egypt, remain a source of concern for future growth. 31
  • 32. Official Partner WTM. Means Business 4-7 November 2013• ExCeL LONDON Middle East - Low Cost Goes Upmarket •  Middle East and Africa was the second most dynamic region for value growth of luxury goods over 2007-2012, reaching US$15.2 billion, predicted to grow 37% over 2012-2017. •  Luxury brands are important, and high-end experiences offering comfort and personalised entertainment are favoured among Middle Eastern consumers. •  The penchant for luxury explains the widespread domination of four- and five-star hotels in key destinations, such as Dubai, where over 40% of hotels are luxury hotels. •  It is also evident in the large investments by regional airlines such as Qatar Airways and Emirates Airlines in their world-class business class operations. LCCs Embrace Luxury •  A less expected outcome of the luxury orientation of Middle Eastern travellers is the introduction of luxury services aboard low-cost carriers. •  Jazeera Airways was the first to introduce a business class in 2009, straying away from the low-cost model altogether, yet keeping lower prices and achieving good profitability. •  In 2013, flydubai is following suit with its new business class services. 32
  • 33. Official Partner WTM. Means Business 4-7 November 2013• ExCeL LONDON Low Cost Carriers in the Middle East 2012 Airline, Country Passengers 2012 Notes on Business Model Air Arabia, UAE 5.3 million Follows typical LCC model Jazeera Airways, Kuwait 1.1 million Shifted to full-service model including business class Nas Air, Saudi Arabia Flydubai, UAE 3 million 5.1 million RAK Airways, UAE 250,000 Follows LCC model, 2013 first profitable year since 2007 Introduced business class at lower price “Value for money" model, between low cost & traditional airline Source: Euromonitor International “A new business model had to be adopted, whereby the airline moved away from the low cost model. Jazeera cancelled the “pay for food” model, and introduced duty-free onboard as well as a business class.” Stefan Pichler, former CEO Jazeera Airways and Virgin, Thomas Cook and Lufthansa 33
  • 34. Official Partner WTM. Means Business 4-7 November 2013• ExCeL LONDON Middle East - Creating Affordable Luxury •  While the Jazeera shift towards a traditional model was the result of low profitability, the 2013 Flydubai business class tells another story, one of an LCC adding a luxury edge. •  ‘Affordable luxury’ aboard planes appears to be an attractive segment, as business class tickets introduced by these LCCs would be cheaper than traditional airlines’ business class. •  This way, LCCs would lure economy customers away from traditional airlines, who can afford a slightly more expensive ticket for a higher-end experience. Possible Contagion? •  Contagion can go two ways with this trend: –  Other categories may adopt affordable luxury e.g. budget hotels offering some higher-end rooms. –  LCCs from other regions could adopt the “hybrid model,” blending low cost and luxury, the most likely being Asia where luxury is favoured. •  Sceptics find it difficult to believe in the hybrid model, as it is seen having a negative impact on airlines’ profitability because of the higher costs incurred. •  The Flydubai experience will reveal how sustainable and contagious the model really is. 34
  • 35. AFRICA: THE BIG FIVE WITH YOUR LITTLE ONE
  • 36. WTM. Means Business Official Partner 4-7 November 2013• ExCeL LONDON Africa - Overview   Africa: Key Performance Indicators 2012-2014 % growth 2012 2013 2014 Real GDP Growth 4.7 5.4 6.1 Arrivals (Trips) 5.8 6.0 5.5 Incoming Tourist Receipts Value (US$) 2.2 5.9 6.5 Air Transport Value (US$) 1.0 5.0 5.9 Hotels Value (US$) -2.2 4.0 4.6 Travel Retail Value (US$) -5.5 2.5 2.1 Source: Euromonitor International •  •  Strong economic growth, particularly in East Africa, is helping grow business tourism throughout the region, while rising incomes and urbanisation are driving domestic travel. Source markets are changing and moving away from the traditional Europe and US focus, with visitors from the BRICs and the Middle East becoming more important. 36
  • 37. Official Partner WTM. Means Business 4-7 November 2013• ExCeL LONDON Africa - The Big Five with Your Little One •  With multi-generational holidays where parents, grandparents and children all travel together seeing growth globally, the potential of family-friendly safaris is finally being realised. •  The popularity of films and shows such as Madagascar and The Lion King amongst children across the world plays an important role in promoting African safari holidays for families. •  Long considered unsuitable for young children, safaris in Africa now offer itineraries altered to suit younger attention spans by avoiding long game drives. Wide Choice of Destinations •  South Africa is a key destination for family safaris as southern locations can offer malaria-free expeditions. •  Kenya, Malawi, Zambia and Tanzania are also jumping on board with many child-friendly options. •  Companies such as Africa on Foot and Rhino Africa organise child-friendly safaris throughout Africa, with the latter providing lodges, camps and activities catering specifically for children. 37
  • 38. Official Partner WTM. Means Business 4-7 November 2013• ExCeL LONDON Inbound  Arrivals  to  Top  Safari   DesMnaMons  2012/2017   "For each of the past three years, our family safari bookings have nearly doubled. People are getting more and more adventurous, and want more exciting experiences with their children. Not only parents, but grandparents too." Ben Morison, Managing Director, Imagine Africa South  Africa   Zimbabwe   Botswana   Kenya   Uganda   Namibia   Zambia   Tanzania   Malawi    -­‐          2,000      4,000      6,000      8,000      10,000     Trips  (‘000)   2012   2017   Source: Euromonitor International 38
  • 39. Official Partner WTM. Means Business 4-7 November 2013• ExCeL LONDON Africa - Growing Number of BRICs Families •  As growing numbers of visitors from the BRIC countries head to Africa, child-friendly safaris will become more numerous as many of these visitors travel in large family groups. •  Chinese visitors are now the fourth largest group of arrivals in South Africa with over 132,000 visitors in 2012 and is expected to reach over 180,000 by 2017. •  Indian visitors are also embracing safaris, with many lodges offering Indian food and opening their kitchens to guests wishing to prepare their own food. More Multi-Generational Holiday Options •  In the next few years, African hotels and travel retailers will need to expand the services to cater for the needs of this growing consumer segment. •  Combining family safaris in traditional locations like South Africa with activities in a different country such as Mozambique is a new concept, already embraced by Cedarberg Travel. •  Multi-generational holidays in Africa could expand in the next few years from safaris to volunteerism and more sustainable holidays, as well as cruises. 39
  • 40. GLOBAL VILLAGE: VACANCY ON DEMAND -­ CHASING THE 24HR TRAVELLER
  • 41. WTM. Means Business Official Partner 4-7 November 2013• ExCeL LONDON Global Village - Overview   Global Village: World Key Performance Indicators 2012-2014 Value % growth (US$) 2012 2013 2014 Car Rental 1.6 7.1 6.2 Hotels 2.2 6.9 5.1 Other Travel Accommodation 0.8 5.5 3.8 Source: Euromonitor International •  •  •  While 2012 saw a slow recovery across key indicators, 2013 is set to end on a very positive note, with as much as 6.9% growth in hotel value sales, and 7.1% in car rental value sales. Growth should stabilise at a lower level in 2014, and new emerging trends in leisure and business travel will help sustain positive growth. Hotels are pushing value sales growth via a number of innovative techniques, services and designs. 41
  • 42. Official Partner WTM. Means Business 4-7 November 2013• ExCeL LONDON Global Village - Vacancy on Demand – Chasing the 24-hour Traveller •  Hotels have learnt to adapt to difficult times and generate revenue from services such as spas, food and beverages, technologies and more recently from business travellers. •  Business travel has recorded a healthy rise since the downturn across the globe in 2009, to reach 212 million arrivals in 2012. •  Businesses continue to globalise, and despite the rising trend of video-conferencing, face-toface meetings are also still favoured for high-profile business meetings. •  According to Westin Hotels in the US, 75% of the workforce is on the move, with frequent travel and the global workforce is following suit. Day-use Fills the Gaps •  Hotels are reimagining their event spaces and time frames to rent out throughout the day when not in use, thus generating additional revenue. •  More business guests are seeking day-use rooms for a chance to relax between appointments and flights or workspaces for meetings at the hotels. •  Leisure tourists also take advantage of the flexibility, to get away from it all for a few hours. •  Hotels offer complementary services such as free access to printers and faxes. 42
  • 43. WTM. Means Business Official Partner 4-7 November 2013• ExCeL LONDON Dayuse Hotels: Key Performance Indicators 2012/2013 2012 2013 Number of hotels 200 250 Bookings per day n/a 250-300 % growth in bookings 120 270 2.2 million 4 million¹ Revenues (€) Source: Dayuse Hotels Notes: ¹ estimate “We see significant opportunities for growth in light of the increase in bookings and revenues. Our next move will be to target secondary cities in countries already serviced, including Washington, California, Baltimore and Miami, and new markets like Brazil, Russia and Canada.” David Lebbé, CEO and Founder, Dayuse Hotels 43
  • 44. Official Partner WTM. Means Business 4-7 November 2013• ExCeL LONDON Global Village - Microstays: How and Where •  While office-like and work spaces can be rented out to mobile businesses for US$50 an hour, room rates vary between US$95-200 for day-use of periods from 3-12 hours globally. •  These hours are generally chosen to match cleaning shifts. •  The cost of a room is 30-70% lower than an overnight stay. For example, InterContinental Hotels in France charges €150 for rent or day-use, instead of €400-500 for an overnight stay. •  Regionally speaking, the US and UK markets are the most advanced for business-related microstays, but the trend is catching on in many more markets in Western Europe. Offices of the Future •  Founded in 2010, Aggregator Dayuse Hotels has seen significant growth in sales with aggregators like Between5and9.com and ByHours.com offering similar services. •  Westin is testing an office concept called Tangent at Westin. Tangent provides upscale meeting space for small groups, and will also drive microstays at the hotel. •  Marriott introduced Workspace on Demand, an online platform allowing users to book workspaces across the US on an hourly basis. This is based on the assumption hotels will become “offices of the future”, and this is very much likely to become a global trend. 44
  • 45. ASIA: FIGHT FOR CRUISE CONTROL IN CHINA
  • 46. Official Partner WTM. Means Business 4-7 November 2013• ExCeL LONDON Asia - Overview   Asia: Key Performance Indicators 2012-2014 % growth 2012 2013 2014 Real GDP Growth 5.3 5.3 5.8 Arrivals (Trips) 7.0 5.6 5.5 Incoming Tourist Receipts Value (US$) 5.1 5.7 5.9 Air Transport Value (US$) 7.4 7.6 7.3 Hotels Value (US$) 5.5 5.9 5.9 Travel Retail Value (US$) 7.5 5.8 5.6 Source: Euromonitor International Note: GDP refers to Asia Pacific only, all others refer to Asia including Australia •  •  •  Asia remains the leading global region for economic growth, with all tourism categories showing consistent increases for the next few years. Online travel is shaking up the industry in the region, as growing consumer confidence combines with numerous internet opportunities within travel and tourism. Low-cost airlines are thriving, encouraging intra-regional travel. 46
  • 47. Official Partner WTM. Means Business 4-7 November 2013• ExCeL LONDON Asia - Fight for Cruise Control in China •  Cruising in China is relatively new, with consumer awareness still undeveloped yet registering healthy growth, as Chinese travellers show a strong appreciation of the concept. •  The Chinese government has declared 2013 as Marine Tourism Year, with the latest five-year plan dictating cruising should be encouraged. •  In 2012, there were 285 cruise ship arrivals at ports in China, up by 8.8% on 2011. International Cruise Operators Head to China •  International cruise companies vastly expanded their offerings in the region in 2012 and 2013. Carnival has opened offices in five Chinese cities to support its Princess Cruises brand. •  The number of Chinese passengers at Royal Caribbean quadrupled from 25,000 to 100,000 between 2011 and 2012, with numbers predicted to reach 200,000 for 2013. •  2013 saw HNA, a Chinese airline, hotel and property group, launch its first passenger cruise in January. •  One of the main challenges the Chinese government faces is ensuring the integration of airports, rail and roads to secure easy access for passengers to cruise terminals. 47
  • 48. Official Partner WTM. Means Business 4-7 November 2013• ExCeL LONDON “The market potential for cruising in Asia is huge as the total potential number of cruise passengers could reach 3.7 million by 2017, and double to over 7 million by 2020.” 300   250   Number  of  ships   “There’s good weather here, lots of islands to visit and a lot of experiences. Southeast Asia is not too different from the Caribbean in terms of these basic conditions.” Pier Luigi Foschi, Chairman and CEO, Carnival Asia InternaMonal  Cruise  Ships  Received  by   Chinese  Ports  2009-­‐2012   200   150   100   50   0   2009   2010   2011   2012   Source: Chinese Cruise and Yacht Industry 48
  • 49. Official Partner WTM. Means Business 4-7 November 2013• ExCeL LONDON Asia - Chinese Cruise to Become World’s Second Largest •  Industry sources predict China will become the second largest global cruise market after the US by 2017. •  Currently only 6-7% of global cruise passengers are from Asia, expected to increase to 20%. •  Carnival Asia expects at least seven million cruise passengers to come from Asia by 2020. •  Lack of infrastructure is the biggest impediment to growth, requiring government intervention to improve and ensure a more integrated transportation solution. Unchartered Territories to Explore •  International companies are leading the charge into the Chinese market but need to take into account specific local preferences, including dining, shopping and leisure options. •  Hong Kong is a leading destination with its new US$1 billion Kai Tak Cruise Terminal. •  The Asian Cruise Association identified 80 further cities as potential Asian cruise stops, including destinations in China, Myanmar, Malaysia, South Korea and Vietnam. •  Destinations further afield in Europe, the US and the Caribbean are predicted to be the next focus area for development. 49
  • 50. India: The Travel Social Shake-Up
  • 51. WTM. Means Business Official Partner 4-7 November 2013• ExCeL LONDON India - Overview   India: Key Performance Indicators 2012-2014 % growth 2012 2013 2014 Real GDP Growth 3.8 4.2 6.0 Arrivals (Trips) 11 10.7 10.5 Incoming Tourist Receipts Value (US$) 4.3 11.7 10.1 Air Transport Value (US$) 5.0 15.6 15.7 Hotels Value (US$) 1.4 9.2 8.3 Travel Retail Value (US$) 2.8 10.4 11.3 Source: Euromonitor International •  •  •  After a slight decline in growth in 2012, India’s travel and tourism industry is rebounding with strong results for 2013. Inbound travel is benefiting from the rupee’s devaluation, recording very robust growth. Air travel is a key success story, with increasing numbers of travellers taking to the skies especially with low-cost carriers. 51
  • 52. Official Partner WTM. Means Business 4-7 November 2013• ExCeL LONDON India - The Travel Social Shake-Up •  While only 12% of the Indian population is online, Facebook claims to have 82 million users in the country, which makes India its third largest global market after the US and Brazil. •  The vast majority of users are young urban consumers targeted by online travel companies, which are using social media to engage with them and encourage bookings. Southeast Asia Reaps the Benefits •  Proximity and lower costs are helping young Indian netizens opt for Southeast Asian destinations such as Thailand, Vietnam, Cambodia and Bhutan. •  These are being promoted extensively by online travel companies through social media. •  Expedia India has led the way, advertising 50% off holiday prices to Thailand via Facebook. •  The company also launched the contest “travel like a boss”, where participants can win a free trip to Bangkok by sharing on the site. •  MakeMyTrip is also very active on Facebook, with over 1.2 million likes. Recent promotions by the Indian OTA included budget package trips to Thailand, Singapore and Malaysia. 52
  • 53. Official Partner WTM. Means Business 4-7 November 2013• ExCeL LONDON Online  Travel  %  Value  Sales  Growth     in  India  2012-­‐2017   “Leads through social media have risen from nil about two years ago to about 20% now.” Arjun Sharma, Managing Director, TUI India 20   %  value  growth   “Social media gives the power to the customer; that is a clear-cut advantage over traditional media. Social media engagement with the customer is now imperative for any business that wishes to be seen as modern and new age.” Pratik Mazumder, Head of Marketing, Yatra.com 25   15   10   5   0   2012   2013   Transportaon   2014   2015   2016   2017   Travel  Accommodaon   Travel  Retail   Source: Euromonitor International 53
  • 54. Official Partner WTM. Means Business 4-7 November 2013• ExCeL LONDON India - Social Media Changing the Travel Scene •  India is predicted to have over 300 million internet users by 2017, with more than 75% active on social media. •  Online travel retail sales in India are forecast to reach US$14.7 billion in 2017, following a 19% CAGR from 2012. •  As smartphones and tablets become more mainstream among Indian travellers, the mobile booking channel is expected to take off. •  MakeMyTrip saw over 1 million downloads of its mobile travel app by May 2013. Government on Board •  The Indian Ministry of Tourism recently started using social media to promote tourism sites throughout the country. It joined Facebook in January 2013. •  70% of all 4- and 5-star hotels in first-tier cities in India had established their presence in social media by August 2013. •  Leading Indian airline Jet Airways put social media at the centre of its marketing, involving 10 different departments in its social media activities targeting consumers. 54
  • 55. Official Partner WTM. Means Business 4-7 November 2013• ExCeL LONDON For more information: Caroline Bremner Head of Travel and Tourism Research Euromonitor International caroline.bremner@euromonitor.com @CarolineBremner @Euromonitor www.euromonitor.com/travel-and-tourism www.linkedin.com/groups?about=&gid=4316858 Paul Nelson Press & PR Manager World Travel Market paul.nelson@reedexpo.co.uk www.wtmlondon.com   Publisher’s note: At a time of macroeconomic instability, forecast data for 2013-2017 used for the purpose of this report are provisional and are subject to revision before publication in Euromonitor International’s Passport Travel and Tourism 2014 edition 55
  • 56. Official Partner WTM. Means Business 4-7 November 2013• ExCeL LONDON WTM Global Trends Report 2013 In association with 56