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Introduction to Farming Futures - Claire Wyatt (Farming Futures)
 

Introduction to Farming Futures - Claire Wyatt (Farming Futures)

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This presentation formed part of the Farming Futures event 'FarmWater Futures'.

This presentation formed part of the Farming Futures event 'FarmWater Futures'.

30th March 2010

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    Introduction to Farming Futures - Claire Wyatt (Farming Futures) Introduction to Farming Futures - Claire Wyatt (Farming Futures) Presentation Transcript

    • Farm Water Futures What can you do to make your business fit for the future? 30th March 2010 Claire Wyatt Forum for the Future
    • Outline of presentation • Why hold an event like today? • How does agriculture contribute to climate change? • The political landscape • Opportunities and Risks • What are some farmers already doing? Profitable business in a changing climate
    • What is Farming Futures? Profitable business in a changing climate
    • Information and inspiration • Partnerships • Fact sheets • Case studies • On-farm events • Media profile Profitable business in a changing climate
    • Profitable business in a changing climate
    • So, why is everyone talking about climate change?
    • The indisputable truth… Its warmer… >1°C Figure: Changes in Central England Temperature from 1877 to 2006 relative to the average over the 1961-90 baseline period (about 9.5 ºC). (Source: Met Office Hadley Centre)
    • Profitable business in a changing climate
    • 50% believe climate change is having an effect now Profitable business in a changing climate
    • 50% believe 63% think climate climate change is change will having an have an effect effect now in next 10 years Profitable business in a changing climate
    • 50% believe 63% think climate climate change is 31% are taking change will having an action to adapt have an effect effect now to the impacts in next 10 of climate years change Profitable business in a changing climate
    • Agriculture and climate change • Agriculture contributes 7% of the UK’s greenhouse gas emissions: • < 1% of carbon dioxide (CO2) • ~ 1/3rd of methane (CH4) • ~ 2/3rds of nitrous oxide (N2O) Profitable business in a changing climate
    • And it’s going to keep on changing… 2020: +1.3°C Max summer Average winter temperature temperature by 2050: +2.2°C 2050 up 3-4°C 2080: +3°C Medium emissions scenario – OPTIMISTIC! High emissions scenario mean summer temp by 2080: +4.9°C Profitable business in a changing climate
    • What about rainfall? 2020: -8% Winter rainfall Summer rainfall up 10-20% by 2050 2050: -20% 2080: -24% Medium emissions scenario – OPTIMISTIC! High emissions scenario by 2080: -30% Profitable business in a changing climate
    • The political landscape Profitable business in a changing climate
    • Targets and action plans • Renewable Energy Strategy - 15% total energy by 2020 • 30-40% of our elec from renewables • Low carbon transition plan – 11% by 2020 • GHG Action Plan (Climate change task force) • Campaigns and services • Act on CO2 • Defra Advisory Service • Carbon Trust loans • Food security • Increase production Profitable business in a changing climate
    • Low Carbon Transition Plan Profitable business in a changing climate
    • What about water? • 1.3 million hectares of farmland in floodplains • 40% loss of produce (2007) – £7-19m • Climate change could increase demand for irrigation by 50% by 2050 • This is for all farmers • Prices going up • Abstraction licences • Opportunities to save Profitable business in a changing climate
    • Who’s here to help? • Environment Agency - Water resources strategy • Environment Agency - Rainwater as a resource • Farming Futures - Water management fact sheet • UK Irrigation Association - reports and publications Profitable business in a changing climate
    • How? • Improved efficiency and productivity • Renewables • Flood management • Soil and Manure management • Water management and harvesting • Read the fact sheets and booklets! Profitable business in a changing climate
    • What are farmers already doing? Case study farmer – Elwyn Griffiths Profitable business in a changing climate
    • Conclusions • Good news for UK farmers: • Convergence of the food economy and the energy economy • Wider environmental goals • Global effects on world agriculture, and energy security issues • Potential for increased yields under warming + CO2 • Cost savings via adaptation, efficiencies and mitigation tech • Uncertainties remain: • Drought • Need to adapt and mitigate – costs and risks • Plan for uncertainties through more conserved feeds and mix of crops and harvest / sowing times. Multi-purpose land use. Profitable business in a changing climate
    • Any questions? • www.farmingfutures.org.uk • Claire Wyatt (project manager): c.wyatt@forumforthefuture.org.uk 07825 204434 0207 324 3670 Thank you! Profitable business in a changing climate