Climate change impact assessment in agriculture – MOSAICC development and
pilot test in Morocco.
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Climate change impact assessment in agriculture – MOSAICC development and pilot test in Morocco.

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Information on potential impacts of climate change is key in the elaboration of national adaptation plans and policies. Given the large uncertainties about the future of the climate and the response of human systems, model simulations offer interesting possibilities to test scenarios, explore potential impacts and understand how different processes interact with each other. In agriculture in particular, assessing climate change impacts requires to take into consideration its multiple aspects (crop response, irrigation and field management, pests and diseases, socio-economic context etc.) to obtain the overall picture of the issue. In the framework of the joint EU-FAO programme on improving global governance for hunger reduction, FAO is developing an integrated system to carry out climate change impact assessments at national level called MOSAICC. Delivered through capacity strengthening activities, MOSAICC is designed to provide information to support decision making in adaptation, Land and Water Days in Near East & North Africa, 15-18 December 2013, Amman, Jordan

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Climate change impact assessment in agriculture – MOSAICC development and pilot test in Morocco.

  1. 1. Climate change impact assessment in agriculture – MOSAICC development and pilot test in Morocco. Agenda Background Information on potential impacts of climate change is key in the elaboration of national adaptation plans and policies. Given the large uncertainties about the future of the climate and the response of human systems, model simulations offer interesting possibilities to test scenarios, explore potential impacts and understand how different processes interact with each other. In agriculture in particular, assessing climate change impacts requires to take into consideration its multiple aspects (crop response, irrigation and field management, pests and diseases, socio-economic context etc.) to obtain the overall picture of the issue. In the framework of the joint EU-FAO programme on improving global governance for hunger reduction, FAO is developing an integrated system to carry out climate change impact assessments at national level called MOSAICC. Delivered through capacity strengthening activities, MOSAICC is designed to provide information to support decision making in adaptation. Objective of the session This session is aimed at presenting the system MOSAICC and showing the basic principles of the interfaces. The tool: MOSAICC MOSAICC (Modelling System for Agricultural Impacts of Climate Change) is a server based tool built in association with various scientific institutions in Europe (universities, research centers) and that combines climate data downscaling, hydrological, crop yield and economic models. Low resolution climate data serves as primary input for the whole model structure. These datasets will feed the hydrological and crop model, which needs information on elevation, land cover, crop phenology parameters and soil. The outputs of these models serve subsequently as an input for the economic impact assessment. The architecture of the system has been designed as a collaborative tool facilitating data processing and exchange among the different users. Results that can be obtained using the system include downscaled scenarios and projections of crop yields, water resources and various economic indicators. Transferred to national institutions through extensive capacity development activities, MOSAICC is undergoing a full pilot experiment in Morocco. Results will be presented to decision makers in the first semester of 2013. Programme (1hour) The session will be divided in three parts: - Presentation of the system and its components - Demo of the interfaces (Morocco version) - Questions and answers

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