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Special report by epic research 3 febuary 2014
1. DAILY REPORT
3rd FEBRUARY. 2014
Global markets at a glance
Japan's Nikkei .N225 again led the way with a loss of 1.2
percent, hurt in part by a firm yen. MSCI's broadest index
of Asia-Pacific shares outside Japan .MIAPJ0000PUS eased
0.2 percent, while Seoul's KOSPI lost 0.6 percent. The
FTSEurofirst 300 index of top European shares ended
down 0.2 percent at 1,291.17 points, posting a monthly
loss of 1.9 percent. The index dropped as much as 1.6 percent during the session, before short covering in late trade
helped it trim losses,
World Indices
Wall Street Update
the January loss followed the S&P 500's gain of 30 percent
in 2013 - its best year since 1997. It also marked the first
time that the S&P 500 ended January with a loss since
2010, when the benchmark index started the year with a
drop of 3.7 percent. In Friday's session, energy and consumer discretionary shares had the biggest declines of the
day after some disappointing earnings. The S&P energy
index ended the day down 1.5 percent, while the consumer discretionary index fell 1.3 percent. Chevron Corp
and Amazon.com were among the biggest drags.
Top Gainers
Previous day Roundup
The market ended on flat note while PSU banks stock
added strength to the indices. The Sensex is up 15.60
points at 20513.85, and the Nifty is up 15.80 points at
6089.50. About 1511 shares advanced, 1045 shares declined, and 205 shares were unchanged. Tata Steel , Tata
Power , GAIL , M&M and Bharti Airtel were top gainers in
the Sensex. Among the major laggards were Tata Motors ,
HDFC , NTPC , Hero Motocorp and Bajaj Auto
Index stats
The Market was down in yesterday session where Bankex
and Bank Nifty both closed almost flat (up93.63and 84.60
respectively). Among the sartorial indices the sectors
which were up are consumer Durables [up 19.94pts] Capital Good [up 78.79 pts], Healthcare [up 39.29pts], PSU [up
59.59 pts], TECK [ up 53.33 pts] , IT [ up 68.06 pts ]
Consumer FMCG [up 42.01 pts] Metals [up 114.41 pts],
Realty [up 19.41 Pts], Oil& Gas [up 98.87 pts]. power [up
11.07pts]. and the Auto [ down –50.36 pts],
Index
Value
% Change
15698.85
-0.94
S&P 500
1782.59
-0.65
NASDAQ
EURO STO
FTSE 100
4103.88
3013.95
6510.44
-0.47
-0.44
-0.43
Nikkei 225
Hong Kong
14914.53
22035.42
-0.62
-0.48
DJl
Company
CMP
Change
% Chg
PNB
553.45
35.85
6.93
BANKBARODA
550.70
19.35
3.64
1015.80
33.20
3.38
74.25
2.30
3.20
363.00
10.50
2.98
CMP
Change
% Chg
349.95
806.10
126.20
2563.80
473.00
-11.80
-23.05
-2.00
-25.70
-4.50
-3.26
-2.78
-1.56
-0.99
-0.94
Prev. Close
Change
%Chg
ABAN
375.45
75.05
19.99
GAIL
350.30
9.75
2.78
HCLTECH
1434.20
27.10
1.89
SAKSOFT
91.30
0.75
0.82
Prev. Close
Change
%Chg
33.40
48.95
-1.65
-4.05
-4.94
-8.27
CMP
Change
% Chg
6089.50
20513.85
15.80
15.60
0.26
0.08
ACC
TATAPOWER
BPCL
Top Losers
Company
TATAMOTORS
HDFC
NTPC
GRASIM
ASIANPAINT
Stocks at 52 Week’s high
Symbol
Stocks at 52 Week’s Low
Symbol
AGRITECH
ESSAROIL
Indian Indices
Company
NIFTY
SENSEX
YOUR MINTVISORY
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2. DAILY REPORT
3rd FEBRUARY. 2014
EQUITY CASH & FUTURE
STOCK RECOMMENDATIONS [FUTURE]
1.APOLLO TYRE FUTURE
STOCK RECOMMENDATION [CASH]
.
1.KAVERI SEED COMPANY LTD
APOLLO TYRE FUTURE is looking strong on charts, long build
up has been seen, we may see more upside, if it sustains
above 113 levels. We advise buying around 113-114 levels
with strict stop loss 111 for the targets of 116-118 levels.
2.VOLTAS FUTURE
KAVERI SEED COMPANY LTD is looking strong on charts. We
advice buying above 422 levels with strict stop loss of 405
for the targets of 435-445levels.
MACRO NEWS
VOLTAS FUTURE is looking strong on charts, long build up
has been seen, we may see more upside, if it sustains above
107 levels. We advise buying around 106-107 levels with
strict stop loss 104 for the targets of 109-112 levels.
YOUR MINTVISORY
Bharti Airtel , Vodafone, Reliance Jio Infocomm and five
other telecom firms will battle it out at the spectrum
auction today, from which the government expects to
garner at least Rs 11,300 crore. The Department of Telecom has put on the block around 385 MHz of radiowaves in the 1800 MHz band, and 46 MHz in the 900
MHz band.
After supermarket giant Walmart, it is online retail major Amazon which has begun lobbying with the US lawmakers to seek their support for facilitating its "foreign
direct investment in India".
the Cabinet Committee on Economic Affairs (CCEA) is
likely to consider on February 4 a proposal to give a
cash subsidy of Rs 2,000 per tonne for raw sugar exports. The Food Ministry in a Cabinet note has proposed
a cash incentive of Rs 2,000 per tonne to the beleaguered sugar industry for exporting four million tonnes
of raw sugar in two years.
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3. DAILY REPORT
FUTURE & OPTION
3rd FEBRUARY. 2014
MOST ACTIVE PUT OPTION
Symbol
Option
Type
Strike
Price
LTP
Traded
Volume
(Contracts)
Open
Interest
NIFTY
PE
6,000
61.4
2,34,343
57,53,650
NIFTY
PE
6,100
97
1,71,511
30,95,200
BANKNIFTY
PE
10,000
172
22,278
2,87,025
BANKNIFTY
PE
9,500
59.5
12,006
1,48,500
PNB
PE
500
8.9
3,304
4,63,500
SBIN
PE
1,500
45.35
3,283
3,03,875
MCDOWELL
-N
PE
2,400
75
2,191
1,09,250
PNB
PE
520
13.5
2,119
2,34,000
Traded
Volume
(Contracts)
STOCKS IN NEWS
Group of ministers is likely to meet today to discuss
ways of unlocking value of property held by BSNL
and MTNL
SKS Microfinance completes Rs 55.6 crore securitisation
BHEL will offload 5 percent stake sale in BHEL via
block deal
Supreme Court will resume final hearing in Tata
Power plea on Sasan on February 6
NIFTY FUTURE
Open
Interest
MOST ACTIVE CALL OPTION
Symbol
Option
Type
Strike
Price
LTP
NIFTY
CE
6,200
57.5
2,00,338 29,69,900
NIFTY
CE
6,300
28
1,69,518 31,68,850
BANKNIFTY
CE
10,500
185
15,083
1,82,750
BANKNIFTY
CE
11,000
59
13,661
2,88,525
SBIN
CE
1,600
29
3,797
4,56,375
SBIN
CE
1,550
45
3,736
PNB
CE
540
28.2
3,591
Nifty Future closed in the red in the last trading session.
2,11,250 We advise selling around 6150-6140 levels with strict
2,30,500 stop loss of 6180 for the targets of 6110-6080 levels.
RELIANCE
CE
840
17.9
2,524
5,03,500
FII DERIVATIVES STATISTICS
BUY
SELL
OPEN INTEREST AT THE END OF THE DAY
No. of Amount in
No. of Amount in
No. of
Contracts
Crores Contracts
Crores Contracts
Amount in
Crores
NET AMOUNT
INDEX FUTURES
54267
1609.94
62858
1890.53
395362
11896.40
-280.59
INDEX OPTIONS
330139
9812.17
324989
9724.48
1037242
31451.12
87.69
STOCK FUTURES
64208
1982.11
63499
1941.59
984084
29347.09
40.52
STOCK OPTIONS
26570
756.55
27431
776.49
21555
604.15
-19.94
TOTAL
-172.33
INDICES
NIFTY
S2
S1
PIVOT
R1
R2
6054.4
6071.95
6084.9
6102.45
6115.4
NIFTYJUNIOR
11693.38
11843.21
11930.23
12080.06
12167.08
BANK NIFTY
10075.34
10156.54
10211.5
10292.7
10347.65
YOUR MINTVISORY
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4. DAILY REPORT
3rd FEBRUARY. 2014
COMMODITY MCX
RECOMMENDATIONS
SILVER
COMMODITY ROUNDUP.
The prices of COMEX Gold declined by $ 1240.1 per troy
ounce, up 1.84%. The correction in metal was on account of
rise of US Dollar after the news of Federal stimulus cuts.
U.S. Federal Reserve decided to slash its monthly bondbuying program by a further $10 billion, as widely anticipated by economists. The euro ended lower against the dollar at $1.348 on Friday. In economic news from the U.S., the
Labor Department said initial jobless claims climbed to
348000, an increase of 19000 from the previous week's revised figure of 329000.
TRADING STRATEGY:
BUY SILVER ABOVE 43800 TGTS 44050/44400 SL 43500
SELL SILVER BELOW 43050 TGTS 42800/42500 SL 43400
GOLD
Copper corrected by a considerable margin in the week
ending 31 January 2014. The bears lashed on to the selling
positions after the US FOMC committee reported a decline
of $ 10 billion from the stimulus package. Though the fund
managers remained bullish last week, it will be interesting
to see the COT report after the US decision and Chinese PMI
numbers. The stimulus now stands at $ 65 billion. Though in
long run the metals are still being favored by the recovery in
US economy, immediate demand for risky asset classes will
take a backseat after Chinese manufacturing numbers.
The U.S. Energy Information Administration said in its
weekly report that U.S. crude oil inventories rose by 6.4 million barrels in the week ended Jan. 24, far beyond expectations for an increase of 2.3 million barrels. NYMEX Light
Sweet Crude Oil for March expiry gained sharply on the
back of recovery in the prospects of US economy.
MCX Gold futures are trading up , tracking the recovery in
the global prices. The yellow metal had dipped this week,
not being able to hold onto its two-month highs as worries
about emerging market growth hit the sentiments for risky
assets. However, reports of strong physical market demand
for gold across the major advanced economies is supportive
for the metal.
TRADING STRATEGY:
BUY GOLD(FEB) ABOVE 29680 TGTS 29750/29850 SL 29570
SELL GOLD(FEB) BELOW 29250 TGTS 29170/29070 SL 29360
YOUR MINTVISORY
COMEX Gold edged up on these counts, currently trading at
$ 1250.70, up $8.20 per ounce on the day. MCX Gold is
quoting at Rs 29500, up Rs 122 per 10 grams on the day
Gold fell sharply last night, easing well under $1250 per
ounce as the US gross domestic product, grew at a 3.2%
annual pace in the fourth quarter.
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5. DAILY REPORT
3rd FEBRUARY. 2014
NCDEX
RECOMMENDATIONS
CASTORSEED
NCDEX INDICES
Index
Value
% Change
Castor Seed
4143
-0.98
Chana
2888
-0.03
Coriander
8286
-0.58
Cotton Seed Oilcake
1524
-1.42
12070
-0.96
Maize– Feed/Industrial
Grade
1188
-0.92
Mustard seed
3317
-0.93
Soy Bean
3916.5
0.98
Turmeric
7342
0.03
Jeera
BUY CASTORSEED FEB ABOVE 4135 TGTS 4165,4215 SL 4085
SELL CASTORSEED FEB BELOW 4080 TGTS 4050,4000 SL 4130
DHANIYA
NCDEX ROUNDUP
Cardamom prices plunged 3.90% to Rs 757 per kg in futures
trade on Monday as speculators booked profits at prevailing
higher levels amid subdued demand in the spot market. At
the Multi Commodity Exchange, cardamom for delivery in
February declined by Rs 30.80, or 3.90%, to Rs 757 per kg in
a business turnover of 871 lots. Likewise, the spice for delivery in March shed Rs 29.80, or 3.64%, to Rs 788 per kg with
a trading volume of 813 lots
Crude palm oil prices fell 0.36% to Rs 522.80 per 10 kg in
futures trading on Monday as speculators offloaded positions due to subdued demand in the spot market against
higher supplies. At the Multi Commodity Exchange, crude
palm oil for delivery in January fell by Rs 1.90, or 0.36%, to
Rs 522.80 per 10 kg in a business turnover of 77 lots. Likewise, oil for delivery in February traded lower by Rs 1.10, or
0.20%, to Rs 531 per 10 kg in 63 lots.
BUY DHANIYA FEB ABOVE 8150 TGTS 8180,8230 SL 8100
SELL DHANIYA FEB BELOW 8010 TGTS 7980,7930 SL 8060
YOUR MINTVISORY
Soybean prices rose by Rs 42 to Rs 3,378 per quintal in futures trading on Monday on low levels buying amid firm
physical sentiment. apart from increased buying by traders,
limited supplies in spot markets mainly pushed up soybean
prices. At the National Commodity and Derivatives Exchange,
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6. DAILY REPORT
3rd FEBRUARY. 2014
CURRENCY
RBI Reference Rate
Currency
Rate Currency
Rupee- $
62.4768 Yen-100
Euro
84.6022 GBP
GBP/INR
BUY GBP/INR ABOVE 103.88 TGTS 104.02, 104.16 SL 103.58.
SELL GBP/INR BELOW 103.20 TGTS 103.04, 102.88 SL 103.50.
JPY/INR
BUY JPY/INR ABOVE 61.73 TGTS 61.86, 61.99 SL 61.44.
SELL JPY/INR BELOW 61.06 TGTS 60.94, 60.81 SL 61.35.
YOUR MINTVISORY
Rate
60.9600
102.9493
CURRENCY ROUNDUP
EUR/USD hit 1.3478, the weakest since November 22 and
was last down 0.49% to 1.3488. For the week, the pair lost
1.35%. The annual rate of euro zone inflation slowed to
0.7% in January, after a 0.8% gain in December. Analysts
had expected the inflation rate to tick up to 0.9%. It was the
fourth consecutive month the inflation rate came in at less
than 1% and was well below the ECB's target of 2%.
The ECB unexpectedly cut rates to a record low 0.25% when
inflation fell to a four-year low of 0.7% in October. The common currency fell to two-month lows against the yen, with
EUR/JPY dropping 1.07% to 137.75, extending the weeks
losses to 1.89%. The dollar was also lower against the yen as
euro's steep declines and a broad based selloff in emerging
economies bolstered safe haven demand. USD/JPY ended
Friday's session down 0.69% at 101.99, and finished the
week 0.63% lower.
The Canadian dollar fell to a fresh four-and-a-half year lows
against the U.S. dollar on Friday as the selloff in emerging
markets prompted investors to stage a broad retreat from
riskier assets. USD/CAD hit highs of 1.1224 before retracting
some of those gains to settle at 1.1125. NZD/USD fell 0.97%
to 0.8080 at the close of trade, while AUD/USD was down
0.50% to 0.8751. Emerging markets were hard hit by a combination of concerns over the impact of cuts to the Federal
Reserve's stimulus program and fears over a possible slowdown in China.
The dollar was higher against the pound and the Swiss franc
on Friday. GBP/USD was down 0.29% to 1.6436 at the close
and the pair lost 0.83% for the week. USD/CHF advance
0.39% to settle at 0.9064, extending the week's gains to
1.12%. In the week ahead, investors will be keenly anticipating Friday's U.S. nonfarm payrolls report for January after
December's report showed that the economy added far
fewer jobs than expected.
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7. DAILY REPORT
3rd FEBRUARY. 2014
CALL REPORT
PERFORMANCE UPDATES
Date
Commodity/ Currency
Pairs
Contract
Strategy
Entry Level
Target
Stop Loss
Remark
31/01/14
MCX GOLD
FEB.
BUY
29460
29640-29640
29340
BOOKED PROFIT
31/01/14
MCX GOLD
FEB.
SELL
29160
29160-29060
29360
NOT EXECUTED
31/01/14
MCX SILVER
MAR.
BUY
43550
42850-42550
43150
BOOKED FULL
PROFIT
31/01/14
MCX SILVER
MAR.
SELL
43050
42850-42250
43400
NOT EXECUTED
31/01/14
NCDEX CASTOR
SEED
FEB.
BUY
4200
4230-4280
4150
NOT EXECUTED
31/01/14
NCDEX CASTOR
SEED
FEB.
SELL
4140
4110-4060
4190
NO PROFIT NO LOSS
31/01/14
NCDEX DHANIYA
FEB.
BUY
8390
8420-8470
8340
NOT EXECUTED
31/01/14
NCDEX DHANIYA
FEB
SELL
8300
8270-82220
8350
SL TRIGGERED
31/01/14
EUR/INR
JAN.
SELL
85.50
85.37-85.23
85.79
BOOKED PROFIT
31/01/14
EUR/INR
JAN.
BUY
86.21
86.35-86.49
85.91
NOT EXECUTED
31/01/14
USD/INR
JAN.
SELL
62.85
62.72-62.58
63.14
BOOKED PROFIT
31/01/14
USD/INR
JAN.
BUY
63.29
63.43-63.57
63.00
NOT EXECUTED
CASH/
FUTURE/
OPTION
Strategy
Date
Scrip
Entry Level
Target
Stop Loss
Remark
31/01/14
NIFTY
FUTURE
SELL
6150
6110-6080
6180
NOT EXECUTED
31/01/14
HCL TECH
FUTURE
BUY
1440
1470-1490
1450
BOOKED PROFIT
31/01/14
VOLTAS
FUTURE
BUY
105
109-112
103
BOOKED PROFIT
31/01/14
EXCEL CROP CARE
CASH
BUY
442
452-465
425
NOT EXECUTED
YOUR MINTVISORY
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8. DAILY REPORT
ECONOMIC CALENDAR
3rd FEBRUARY. 2014
NEXT WEEK'S U.S. ECONOMIC REPORTS
TIME (ET)
REPORT
PERIOD
ACTUAL
CONSENSUS FORECAST
PREVIOUS
MONDAY, FEB. 3
10 AM
ISM
JAN.
57.0%
10 AM
CONSTRUCTION SPENDING
DEC.
1.0%
TBA
MOTOR VEHICLE SALES
JAN.
15.4 MLN
TUESDAY, FEB. 4
10 AM
FACTORY ORDERS
DEC.
1.8%
WEDNESDAY, FEB.5
10 AM
ISM NONMANUFACTURING
JAN.
53.0%
THURSDAY, FEB. 6
8:30 AM
WEEKLY JOBLESS CLAIMS
2/1
N/A
8:30 AM
TRADE DEFICIT
DEC.
-$34.3 BLN
8:30 AM
PRODUCTIVITY
4Q
3.0%
FRIDAY ,FEB 7
8:30 AM
NONFARM PAYROLLS
JAN.
74,000
8:30 AM
UNEMPLOYMENT RATE
JAN.
6.7%
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