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Economics, Commerce and Trade Management: An International Journal (ECTIJ)
Special report by epic research 20 january 2014
1. DAILY REPORT
20st JANUARY. 2013
World Indices
Global markets at a glance
European stocks were higher on Friday, as comments by
European Central Bank governing council member Jens
Weidmann continued to support, as well as remarks by
Federal Reserve Chairman Ben Bernanke. During European
morning trade, the EURO STOXX 50 edged up 0.14%,
France's CAC 40 added 0.20%, while Germany's DAX 30
rose 0.28%.On Thursday, ECB governing council member
Weidmann played down fears over the threat of deflation in the
currency bloc, saying the risk of broad deflation was limited. The
comments came as data confirmed the annual rate of consumer
inflation remained well below the ECB's 2% target in December.
Index
Value
% Change
16,458.56
+0.25
S&P 500
1838.70
-0.39
NASDAQ
EURO STO
FTSE 100
4197.58
3154.10
6829.30
-0.50
+0.12
+0.20
Nikkei 225
Hong Kong
15734.45
23,133.35
-0.08
+0.64
DJl
Top Gainers
Company
Wall Street Update
Wall Street stocks fell on Friday as quarterly earnings of
Intel and General Electric disappointed, contributing to a
decline in a measure of global equity markets, while the
dollar hit a seven-week high against the euro. The S&P 500
and Nasdaq fell, led by losses in Intel and General Electric
after disappointing results. But both indexes managed to
end the week slightly higher.
CMP
Change
% Chg
BPCL
340.00
9.65
2.92
CIPLA
420.45
7.80
1.89
BAJAJ-AUTO
1,934.05
26.30
1.38
HINDUNILVR
559.50
7.40
1.34
M&M
900.00
7.35
0.82
CMP
Change
% Chg
2,219.85
155.20
596.55
556.70
1,034.50
-130.45
-6.90
-20.40
-14.85
-24.40
-5.55
-4.26
-3.31
-2.60
-2.30
Prev. Close
Change
%Chg
BHARATFORG
948.00
-7.00
-2.01
INFY
3,725.0
15.95
0.43
HCLTECH
1,390.70
2.30
0.17
DRREDDY
2,644.50
10.50
0.40
743.15
11.95
1.61
Prev. Close
Change
%Chg
CMP
Change
% Chg
6261.65
21063.62
-57.25
-201.56
-0.91
-0.95
Top Losers
Company
Previous day Roundup
The market ended on a lower note. The Sensex is down
201.56 points at 21063.62, and the Nifty is down 57.25
points at 6261.65. About 869 shares have advanced, 1717
shares declined, and 245 shares are unchanged. Coal India
lost 10 percent, TCS fell 6 percent in Monday's
trade. Wipro , HDFC and ICICI Bank are major laggards in
the Sensex. Among the gainers are Bajaj Auto , BHEL , Cipla , HUL and M&M.
Index stats
The Market was down in Monday session where Bankex
and Bank Nifty both closed almost flat (down –1.57% and
down-1.63 % respectively). Among the sartorial indices
almost the sectors which were down are; Realty [down4.50 pts], TECK [down-119.83 pts]. Health care [down 18.21 pts], Consumer Durables [down-64.98 pts], Capital
Goods [down-24.56 pts], , PSU [down-19.07 pts], , Metals
[down-57.82 pts], Power [down –0.90 pts], and the index
advanced were Oil & Gas [ up 21.87pts] AUTO [up 4.19 pts]
IT [-246.11 pts], FMCG [up 4.26 pts]
TCS
DLF
PNB
WIPRO
ICICI BANK
Stocks at 52 Week’s high
Symbol
CERA
Stocks at 52 Week’s Low
Symbol
--
Indian Indices
Company
NIFTY
SENSEX
YOUR MINTVISORY
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2. DAILY REPORT
20st JANUARY. 2013
EQUITY CASH & FUTURE
STOCK RECOMMENDATIONS [FUTURE]
1. AXIS BANK FUTURE
STOCK RECOMMENDATION [CASH]
1. ALL CARGO LOGISTICS
AXIS BANK FUTURE is looking weak on charts, short build up
has been seen, we may see more downside, if it sustains
below 1145 levels. We advise selling on rise around 11601170 levels with strict stop loss 1200 for the targets of
1130-1105 levels.
ALL CARGO LOGISTICS is looking strong on charts. We advice buying above 138 levels with strict stop loss of 132 for
the targets of 144-148 levels.
2.BAJAJ AUTO FUTURE
BAJAJ AUTO FUTURE is looking strong on charts, long build
up has been seen, we may see more upside, if it sustains
above 1950 levels. We advise buying above 1950 levels
with strict stop loss 1890 for the targets of 1990-2040 levels.
YOUR MINTVISORY
MACRO NEWS
Mahindra and Mahindra , India's largest utility vehicle
maker, said it would halt production for up to three days
this month at its automotive factories to align output
with sales requirements.
Intel Corp plans to reduce its global workforce of 107,000
by about 5 percent this year as the chipmaker, struggling
with falling personal-computer sales, shifts focus to
faster-growing areas
Moody's says that it maintains a stable outlook for India.
Though Moody's is concerned about the government's
populist measures, it does not think that these policies
warrant a downgrade yet. Moody's senior economist Atsi
Sheth expects even if the deficit was missed by a 0.1 percent of GDP, that number would have been within the
rating agency’s range. “So, it would not have been a factor that would rive a rating change by itself
Reliance Industries (RIL) today confirmed that it will be
offering Voice as one of the service as part of its telecom
rollout.
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3. DAILY REPORT
FUTURE & OPTION
20st JANUARY. 2013
STOCKS IN NEWS
Coal India goes ex-dividend (Rs 29 per share)
TCS reports lower than expected revenues and operating profit margin but PAT beats forecast
KRBL's Q3 consolidated net profit rose to Rs 71 crore
versus Rs 21 crore YoY
Govt will sell 10 percent stake in IOC to oil companies via block deals
NIFTY FUTURE
MOST ACTIVE PUT OPTION
Symbol
Option
Type
Strike
Price
LTP
Traded
Volume
(Contracts)
Open
Interest
NIFTY
PE
6,200
34.5
4,26,281 56,72,650
NIFTY
PE
6,300
74.5
4,04,859 35,61,350
NIFTY
PE
6,100
14.65
2,10,180 53,45,300
BANKNIFTY
PE
11,000 205.25
18,351
2,11,725
BANKNIFTY
PE
10,800 110.15
13,481
1,34,625
BANKNIFTY
PE
10,500
39
12,559
2,92,900
TCS
PE
2,200
26
19,260
5,93,000
TCS
PE
2,250
50
12,200
4,21,875
Traded
Volume
(Contracts)
MOST ACTIVE CALL OPTION
Symbol
Option
Type
Strike
Price
LTP
Open
Interest
NIFTY
CE
6,300
46.55
4,34,032 52,77,800
NIFTY
CE
6,400
16.05
3,99,616 51,41,200
NIFTY
CE
6,500
4.55
2,11,314 43,39,200
BANKNIFTY
CE
11,500
29
28,519
4,06,550
BANKNIFTY
CE
1,800
144
17,417
2,34,425
TCS
CE
900
4
15,170
8,98,875
TCS
CE
2,200
6.75
13,376
RELIANCE
CE
1,100
10
TCS
CE
2,200
58.60
Nifty Future closed in the red in the last trading session.
4,73,625 We advise selling around 6290-6300 levels with strict
9,470 15,65,750 stop loss of 6350 for the targets of 6240-6200 levels.
1,357
1,70,000
FII DERIVATIVES STATISTICS
BUY
SELL
OPEN INTEREST AT THE END OF THE DAY
No. of Amount in
No. of Amount in
No. of
Contracts
Crores Contracts
Crores Contracts
Amount in
Crores
NET AMOUNT
INDEX FUTURES
55051
1718.55
43294
1351.11
492282
15401.18
367.45
INDEX OPTIONS
329247
10196.47
318082
9821.18
1277577
40104.61
375.29
STOCK FUTURES
49563
1671.37
50445
1692.63
1060928
33634.72
-21.26
STOCK OPTIONS
47023
1481.99
47929
1516.70
99270
3233.97
-34.70
TOTAL
686.77
INDICES
NIFTY
S2
S1
PIVOT
R1
R2
6275.1
6297.0
6321.75
6343.65
6368.4
NIFTYJUNIOR
12362.4
12426.4
12537.9
12601.9
12713.4
BANK NIFTY
10995.65
11044.09
11118.45
11166.89
11241.24
YOUR MINTVISORY
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4. DAILY REPORT
20st JANUARY. 2013
COMMODITY MCX
RECOMMENDATIONS
SILVER
COMMODITY ROUNDUP
Gold managed to end the week with marginal gains as the
prices cheered the data of housing starts showing unexpected decline. Consumer sentiments decrease also benefited the sentiments for Gold. Gold for February delivery,
the most actively traded contract, gained $11.70 or 0.9 percent to close at $1,251.90 an ounce Friday on the Comex
division of the New York Mercantile Exchange.
In US, consumer sentiment in the U.S. unexpectedly deteriorated in January, a report from Thomson Reuters and the
University of Michigan said Friday. The consumer sentiment
index dropped to 80.4 in January from 82.5 in December.
Economists expected the index to climb to 83.5. The decrease was attributed to lowered expectations among lower
- and middle-income families.
TRADING STRATEGY:
BUY SILVER ABOVE 45350 TGTS 45600/45950 SL 45000
SELL SILVER BELOW 44800 TGTS 44550/44200 SL 45150
GOLD
TRADING STRATEGY:
BUY GOLD ABOVE 29350 TGTS 29430/29530 SL 29250
SELL GOLD BELOW 29150 TGTS 29070/28970 SL 29250
YOUR MINTVISORY
Housing starts fell 9.8% to an annual rate of 999000 in December after jumping 23.1% to the revised November estimate of 1.107 million. Economists expected housing starts
to drop to an annual rate of 985000 from the 1.091 million
originally reported for the previous month, reflecting a 9.7%
decrease.
Crude Oil prices showed a good performance in the week
ending 17 January 2014 on the back of fall in Crude stockpiles and rise in US economic data. Light Sweet Crude Oil for
February expiry closed at $ 94.37 per barrel, up 1.8% in the
week. Inventories maintained by Energy Information Administration showed a decline of 7.7 million barrels, to
350.2 million barrels for the week ending 10 January 2014.
The report also showed that total motor gasoline inventories increased by 6.18 million barrels, above expectations
for a gain of 2.54 million barrels. Meanwhile, the record low
temperatures in US resulted in a sharp spike in the demand
of Natural Gas. A record withdrawal of 287 billion (BCF) was
recorded from Gas storage facilities.
MCX Natural gas futures slipped today as the global prices
witnessed some profit selling ahead of the weekends amid
mixed movement in global stock markets. The commodity
had gained yesterday after US government data showed
that supplies of the heating fuel fell by a record amount last
week on frigid temperatures. Natural gas for February delivery climbed 5.7 cents
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5. DAILY REPORT
20st JANUARY. 2013
NCDEX
RECOMMENDATIONS
CASTORSEED
NCDEX INDICES
Index
Value
% Change
Castor Seed
4309
-0.81
Chana
3065
0.07
Coriander
7949
0.35
Cotton Seed Oilcake
1554
-1.08
12567.5
-0.18
Maize– Feed/ Industrial grade
1185
-0.59
Mustard seed
3630
-0.35
Soy Bean
3720
-0.35
Turmeric
6680
-1.01
Jeera
BUY CASTORSEED FEB ABOVE 4360 TGTS 4390,4440 SL
4310
SELL CASTORSEED FEB BELOW 4270 TGTS 4240,4190 SL
4320
DHANIYA
NCDEX ROUNDUP
The turmeric futures extended the losses as short selling
continued at higher side. The turmeric futures for the April
delivery ended the day at Rs 6680, down Rs 68 or 1.01%.
Stockiest are currently active in Turmeric markets. The
mandies in Andhra Pradesh opened yesterday after a short
Holiday on account of local festivities owing to Pongal. Nizamabad has seen some new crop arrivals and such arrivals
are expected to increase in coming days. Spot prices are
lingering at Rs 5876, down Rs 29 per quintal on the day.
The market sources suggested that the total production of
turmeric in the current year is estimated at 52 lakh bags
against 70 lakh bags that were estimated in the last year.
The sources added that poor rainfall in Erode during the
sowing period will reduce the total production of the turmeric crop in the current year. The lower opening stocks in
major mandies also witnessed strong stockiest demand.
BUY DHANIYA FEB ABOVE 8090 TGTS 8120,8170 SL 8030
SELL DHANIYA FEB BELOW 8115 TGTS 8085,8035 SL 8165
YOUR MINTVISORY
Wheat and Rice sowing is continuing at a good pace. According to latest updates, the acreage under wheat has
gone up by 6.34% to 3.13.69 lakh hectres while that of rice
has jumped by 37% to 10.51 lakh hectares.
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6. DAILY REPORT
20st JANUARY. 2013
CURRENCY
RBI Reference Rate
Currency
Rate Currency
Rupee- $
61.3518 Yen-100
Euro
83.5223 GBP
Rate
57.7800
100.2120
GBP/INR
CURRENCY ROUNDUP
BUY GBP/INR ABOVE 101.43 TGTS 101.58,101.76 SL
101.08.
SELL GBP/INR BELOW 100.56 TGTS 100.39,100.21 SL
100.91
JPY/INR
BUY JPY/INR ABOVE 59.12 TGTS 59.26, 59.40 SL 58.82.
SELL JPY/INR BELOW 58.83 TGTS 58.69, 58.51 SL 59.13.
YOUR MINTVISORY
The Asian equity markets this morning are trading mostly in
the negative and down in the range of 0.25 percent-1.00
percent tracking mixed to mostly negative cues out of the
US equity indices overnight . While the Dow Jones and the
S&P 500 ended lower at 16417 and 1845 levels respectively ,down by 0.39 percent and 0.13 percent the Nasdaq
outperformed by closing marginally higher at 4218 ,up by
0.09 percent. Tracking the same the SGX NIFTY futures too
is trading lower by 18 points indicating a negative start for
the domestic equity indices .From the currency space the
Dollar index too is trading a little subdued at the 80.95
mark, up marginally by 0.05 percent while the Euro and the
Pound sterling are trading at 1.3612 and 1.6331 levels ,down by 0.15 percent and 0.08 percent respectively.
However most of the emerging market currencies this
morning are on an marginally appreciating note but the 1
month rupee forward which is at the 61.82 mark is trading
on a flat to marginally negative note against the dollar.
.From the Economic data perspective we have the Retail
sales number from the UK while from the Euro zone we
have only the construction output number, Industrial production number M-O-M (expected to grow at a slower pace
of 0.3 percent while the prior number stood at 1.1 percent)
and the University of Michigan confidence number
(expected to show slight improvement) So basically as per
the market estimate the numbers are not expected to be
encouraging for the dollar. However any surprises might
instill volatility in the currency.
The pound rose against the dollar on Friday after data revealed U.K. retail sales came in much stronger in December
than expected. In U.S. trading on Friday, GBP/USD was trading at 1.6420, up 0.41%, up from a session low of 1.6310
and off a high of 1.6458. Cable was likely to find support at
1.6310, the earlier low, and resistance at 1.6508, Monday's
high.
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8. DAILY REPORT
20st JANUARY. 2013
ECONOMIC CALENDAR
NEXT WEEK'S U.S. ECONOMIC REPORTS
TIME (ET)
REPORT
PERIOD
ACTUAL
CONSENSUS FORECAST
PREVIOUS
MONDAY, JAN 20
MARTIN LUTHER KING JR. DAY
NONE SCHEDULED
TUESDAY, JAN 21
NONE SCHEDULED
WEDNESDAY, JAN.22
NONE SCHEDULED
THURSDAY, JAN. 23
8:30 AM
WEEKLY JOBLESS CLAIMS
1/18
N/A
N/A
9 AM
MARKIT "FLASH" PMI
JAN.
--
55.0
9 AM
FHFA HOME PRICES
NOV.
--
8.2% Y-O-Y
10 AM
EXISTING HOME SALES
DEC.
4.95 MLN
4.90 MLN
10 AM
LEADING INDICATORS
DEC.
--
0.8%
FRIDAY, JAN. 24
NONE SCHEDULED
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