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Epic research daily agri report 10 august 2015
1. DAILY AGRI COMMODITY REPORT
10 August 2015
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2. Market Views
2
MONTH OPEN HIGH LOW CLOSE % CHG VOL MONTH OPEN HIGH LOW CLOSE % CHG VOL
TURMERIC
AUG 7080 7362 7080 7362 +3.98 11530
INTRADAY
LEVELS
SUPPORT SUPP. 1
7174
SUPP. 2
6986
PIVOT
7268
Turmeric short term
trend is bullish and
May continue in
coming days.RESISTAN
CE
RES. 1
7456
RES. 2
7550
CORIANDER
SEP 10301 10662 10250 10662 +4.00 28320
INTRADAY
LEVELS
SUPPORT SUPP.1
10387
SUPP. 2
10113
PIVOT
10525
Coriander short term
trend is bullish and May
continue in coming
days.RESISTAN
CE
RES. 1
10799
RES. 2
10937
GUARGUM
OCT 8100 8300 8000 8120 +0.12 15601
INTRADAY
LEVELS
SUPPORT SUPP. 1
8045
SUPP. 2
7973
PIVOT
8173
Guargum short term
trend is bearish and
May continue in
coming days.RESISTAN
CE
RES. 1
8247
RES. 2
8373
CASTORSEED
AUG 3990 4000 3955 3963 -0.63 43570
INTRADAY
LEVELS
SUPPORT SUPP. 1
3945
SUPP. 2
3928
PIVOT
3973
Castorseed short term
trend is bullish and
May continue in
coming day.RESISTAN
CE
RES. 1
3990
RES. 2
4018
3. Most Active Contract
3
NCDEX INDICES
Index Value
Pre.
Close
%
Change
CASTORSEED 3963 3988 -0.63
CHANA 4356 4308 +1.11
CORIANDER 10495 10092 +3.99
GUARGUM 8120 8110 +0.12
JEERA 14660 14520 +0.96
MUSTARD
SEED
4052 4103 -1.24
SOYABEAN 3114 3096 +0.58
TURMERIC 7362 7080 +3.98
TOP LOSERS
SYMBOL EXPIRY DATE
CURRENT
PRICE
CHANGE
CHANGE
%
CASTOR SEED NEW 20-08-2015 3960.00 -35.00 -0.88%
RAPESEED-MUSTARD
SEED
20-08-2015 4067.00 -31.00 -0.76%
TOP GAINERS
SYMBOL EXPIRY DATE
CURRENT
PRICE
CHANGE CHANGE %
TURMERIC 20-08-2015 7362.00 286.00 4.04%
CORIANDER 20-08-2015 10495.00 309.00 3.03%
CHANA 20-08-2015 4355.00 54.00 1.26%
BARLEY 20-08-2015 1121.00 14.00 1.26%
JEERA 20-08-2015 14665.00 155.00 1.07%
COTTON SEED OIL CAKE
AKOLA
20-08-2015 1926.00 12.00 0.63%
SOYABEAN 20-08-2015 3108.00 12.00 0.39%
REFINED SOY OIL 20-08-2015 568.30 1.35 0.24%
4. Commodities In News
4
ECONOMIC NEWS
Tur will continue to pinch consumers through the festival season until
Diwali due to uncertainty about production amid poor rainfall and dismal
imports on account of high international prices.Domestic wholesale prices
of tur have risen, reducing the possibility of retail prices declining from
record high levels. Traders expect retail tur prices to go up to Rs 150/kg
from Rs 140/kg currently as the ex-mill price of top quality tur in Latur is
expected to rise to Rs 120/kg from Rs 114/kg within two months.Worries
about deficient rainfall in the main tur-growing areas in Maharashtra,
Telangana and Karnataka have driven wholesale tur prices to record high
levels since the last week of July.According to data from the India
Meteorological Department, monsoon rainfall deficiency in Marathwada
was 53 per cent as of August 5, the highest in the country.North Interior
Karnataka, Telangana and Rayalseema had a shortfall of 47 per cent, 25
per cent and 33 per cent, respectively.However, wholesale prices of moong
and urad have softened after good rainfall in areas of cultivation in
Rajasthan and Madhya Pradesh.Tur production in 2014-15 is expected to
be 2.71 million tonne as against 3.17 million tonne produced in 2013-14,
which is 14.5 per cent lower.
The government may allow sugar producers to export 4 million tonnes of
the sweetener to help them clear part of the stock ahead of the upcoming
cane-crushing season and pay arrears to sugarcane farmers.Mills have
threatened that they would not start crushing until the government helps
them in clearing the arrears, now totalling Rs 14,000 crore. They are hurt
badly by a fall in the price of sugar — exmill price is now as low as Rs 20
a kg, while mills claim their production cost is more than Rs 30. India is
expected to have more than 10 million tonnes of surplus sugar from this
year, which could put further pressure on the market price. "We want to
allow export of 4 million tonnes of sugar to those countries where there is
demand for the sweetener," food minister Ram Vilas Paswan said at an
event of industry association Assocham."We want to export sugar under
the barter system against import of agricultural commodities like edible
oils.
Chana settled down due to ample supplies from the major producing
states against subdued spot market demand. Besides, improvement in
Kharif pulses sowing also influenced chana prices. Moreover, the
production estimate of Gram in 2014-15 is only 910,000 tons as
compare to 1.64 million tons in 2013-14 which is around 45% lower
than last year. Rajasthan is the country's second producing state and
this decline in production will not make the prices to decline steeply in
near term. Meanwhile, government has no proposal to impose duty on
pulses imports in view of shortage, said Food Minister, Ramvilas
Paswan.India imported nearly 4.6 million ton pulses in 2014-15 up
from 3.17 million ton a year ago. In MP, as per state Agricultural
department, till 27th July ~13.24 lakh ha area has been sown under
pulses which is 20% higher vs last year’s 11.09 lakh ha. As per state
Agricultural Department of Rajasthan, around 20.95 lakh ha area has
been cultivated under pulses till 27th July which is 82% of the target
sowing area of 25.60 lakh ha.
Turmeric settled down tracking weakness in spot demand amid heavy
arrivals from producing regions. Turmeric sowing area reported high in
Maharashtra and Tamil Nadu state during the current sowing period.
However, prospects of weak monsoon in July – August may affect
turmeric production in rainfed areas while irrigated turmeric may not
affect much. However, excess rains during the vegetative and
harvesting may adversely affect the production and quality.As on week
ending 29 July, 2015, turmeric sowing In Andhra Pradesh, is recorded
at 6135 hectares, which is below normal area of 7888 hectares as on
date while in Telangana , 65 per cent sowing is completed at 35548
hectares , still below normal sowing. At Warangal market estimated
market supply was at 150 bags. At Sangli market total arrivals are at
800 quintals. At Nizamabad market total arrivals are at 1000
quintals.Spot turmeric prices at Erode markets decreased due to heavy
arrivals. Only 7,000 bags arrived for sale and the finger variety was
down by Rs. 200 a quintal.
5. 5
Fundamental Watch : Chana
CHANA ARRIVALS AT KEY SPOT MARKETNational Market Update
Government is expected to procure 5000 metric tonnnes of Tur from Malawi
in order to regulate the domestic prices. Tur prices have been increased by
around Rs 30 per kg as compared to the prices of last year across Delhi,
Kolkata and Mumbai. According to a official, government will import Tur
(Arhar) from Malawi, which will help prices to cool down and the procured
pulses will be provided to states from where it will be made available to
people at affordable price.
Area under Kharif pulses in Andhra Pradesh stood 0.67 Lakh Hectares as on
29 July this year, around 19% lower as compared to the area sown during
corresponding period last year which was 0.80 Lakh hectares. But the area of
Greern gram and Black gram has increased as compared to last year.
According to the Rajasthan Department of Agriculture, the production
estimate of Gram in 2014-15 is only 9.10 Lakh tonnes as compare to 16.40
Lakh tones in 2013-14 which is around 45% lower than last year. Rajasthan is
the country’s second producing state and this decline in production will not
make the prices to decline steeply in near term.
According to the local traders, no major damage occurred in Canadian
Pulses by frost and even the warm weather that followed has been ideal for
crop development. They are estimating 3.75 million acres of the lentil crop,
which is well above Statistics Canada’s 3.35 million acre estimate and 3.9
million acres of peas, comprising three million acres of yellow and 870,000
acres of green peas. That is higher in line with Statistics Canada’s 3.83 million
acre estimate.
CENTER 6-Aug-15 5-Aug-15 Change
AHMEDNAGAR 4200 4350 -150
AJMER NA 4300 -
BHIND 3950 4050 -100
JAIPUR 4475 4500 -25
KANPUR 4775 4800 -25
NAGPUR 4100 4200 -100
VIJAYWADA 4200 4200 UNCH
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