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  • The numbers in this sample balance sheet are based on the 2004 annual report for McGraw-Hill. The categories were condensed for simplicity.
  • This sample income statement is based on information from the McGraw-Hill 2004 annual report. The net income figure above ignores a 587 loss from discontinued operations.
  • The firm is just barely able to cover current liabilities with its current assets. A short-term creditor might find this a bit disconcerting and may reduce the likelihood that they would lend money to the company. The ratio should be compared to the industry – it’s possible that this industry has a substantial amount of cash flow and that they can meet their current liabilities out of cash flow instead of relying solely on the liquidation of current assets that are on the books. The quick ratio is a little lower than the current ratio. Inventory seems to be a small component of current assets. The “cash” balance used on the slide is the “cash and equivalents” item from the balance sheet. Note 1 indicates that much of this is actually in the form of marketable securities with 3-month or shorter maturities. This company actually carries a very low cash balance, consistent with investing in assets that will provide higher returns. We need to make sure that we have enough cash to meet our obligations, but too much cash reduces the return earned by the company.
  • Note that these are often called leverage ratios. TE = total equity and TA = total assets, the numerator in the total debt ratio could also be found by adding all of the current and long-term liabilities. Another way to compute the D/E ratio if you already have the total debt ratio: D/E = Total debt ratio / (1 – total debt ratio) = .491 / (1 - .491) = .964 The equity multiplier (EM) is one of the ratios that is used in the Du Pont Identity as a measure of the firm’s financial leverage.
  • Even though the company is financed with over 49% debt, they have a substantial amount of operating income available to cover the required interest payments. Remember that depreciation and amortization are non-cash deductions. A better indication of a firm’s ability to meet interest payments may be to add back the depreciation and amortization to get an estimate of cash flow before taxes.
  • Inventory turnover can be computed using either ending inventory or average inventory when you have both beginning and ending figures. It is important to be consistent with whatever benchmark you are using to analyze the company’s strengths or weaknesses. It is also important to consider seasonality in sales. If the balance sheet is prepared at a time when there is a large inventory build-up to meet seasonal demand, then the inventory turnover will be understated and you might believe that the company is not performing as well as it is. On the other hand, if the balance sheet is prepared when inventory has been drawn down due to seasonal sales, then the inventory turnover would be overstated and the company may appear to be doing better than it really is. Averages using annual data may not fix this problem. If a company has seasonal sales, you may want to look at quarterly averages to get a better indication of turnover.
  • Technically, the sales figure should be credit sales. This is often difficult to determine from the income statements provided in annual reports. If you use total sales instead of credit sales, you will overstate your turnover level. You need to recognize this bias when credit sales are unavailable, particularly if a large portion of the sales are cash sales. As with inventory turnover, you can use either ending receivables or an average of beginning and ending receivables. You also run into the same seasonal issues when analyzing inventory. Probably the best benchmark for days’ sales in receivables is the company’s credit terms. If the company offers a discount (1/10 net 30), then you would like to see days’ sales in receivables less than 30. If the company does not offer a discount, but offers net 30, then you would like to see days’ sales in receivables close to the net terms. If days’ sales in receivables is substantially larger than the net terms, then you first need to look for biases, such as seasonality in sales. If this does not provide an explanation for the difference, then the company may need to take another look at its credit policy (to whom it grants credit, and its collection procedures).
  • Having a total asset turnover (TAT) of less than one is not a problem for most firms. Fixed assets are expensive and are meant to provide sales over a long period of time. This is why the matching principle indicates that they should be depreciated instead of immediately expensed. This is one of the ratios that will be used in the Du Pont identity.
  • You can also compute the gross profit margin and the operating profit margin. Profit margin (PM) is one of the components of the Du Pont identity and is a measure of operating efficiency. It measures how well the firm controls the costs required to generate the revenues. It tells how much the firm earns for every dollar in sales. In the example, the firm earns over $0.14 for each dollar in sales. Note that the ROA and ROE are returns on accounting numbers. As such, they are not directly comparable with returns found in the marketplace. ROA is sometimes referred to as ROI (return on investment). As with many of the ratios, there are variations in how they can be computed. The most important thing is to make sure that you are computing them the same way as the benchmark you are using. ROE will always be higher (in absolute value) than ROA as long as the firm has debt. The greater the leverage, the larger the difference will be. ROE is often used as a measure of how well management is attaining the goal of owner wealth maximization. The Du Pont identity is used to identify factors that affect the ROE.
  • Be sure to point out that the numbers in the tables are presented in thousands, so the BV of equity has to have the extra three zeros in order for the market-to-book ratio to work.
  • Improving our operating efficiency or our asset use efficiency will improve our return on equity. If the TAT is low compared to our benchmark, then we can break it down into more detail by looking at inventory turnover and receivables turnover. If those areas are strong, then we can look at fixed asset turnover and cash management. We can also improve our ROE by increasing our leverage – up to a point. Debt affects a lot of other factors, including profit margin, so we have to be a little careful here. We want to make sure we have enough debt to utilize our interest tax credit effectively, but we don’t want to overdo it. The choice of leverage is discussed in more detail in chapter 13.
  • Note that these ratios can be computed either on a per share basis or on an actual basis.
  • This firm could grow assets at 4.11% without raising additional external capital. Relying solely on internally generated funds will increase equity (retained earnings are part of equity) and assets without an increase in debt. Consequently, the firm’s leverage will decrease over time. If there is an optimal amount of leverage, as we will discuss in chapter 13, then the firm may want to borrow to maintain that optimal level of leverage. This idea leads us to the sustainable growth rate.
  • Note that no new equity is issued. The sustainable growth rate is substantially higher than the internal growth rate. This is because we are allowing the company to issue debt as well as use internal funds.
  • The first three components come from the ROE and the Du Pont identity. It is important to note at this point that growth is not the goal of a firm in and of itself. Growth is only important so long as it continues to maximize shareholder value.
  • SIC codes have been used many years to identify industries and allow for comparison with industry average ratios. The SIC codes are limited however and have not kept pace with a rapidly changing environment. Consequently, the North American Industry Classification System was introduced in 1997 to alleviate some of the problems with SIC codes. www: Click on the web surfer to go the NAICS home page. It provides information on the change to the NAICS and conversion between SIC and NAICS codes.
  • www: The link will take you to Yahoo! Finance’s page for Hughes Supply, Inc. The financials can be accessed using the links at the bottom left of the page. It would be a good exercise to have the students print the balance sheet and income statement for the latest year and work through these ratios in class. They could then compare the ratios to the table in the book. If you do this, be sure to point out that you should technically use benchmark data for the same time period.
  • The industry number reported above is the median from the table. I also used the 25MM and over column to better match size. Liquidity ratio: Hughes has a current ratio well above the median. Is this good or bad? Short-term creditors like high current ratios, so the company should have little difficulty receiving short-term financing. However, short-term assets also tend to earn lower returns than do long-term assets, so the company may be passing up returns by holding more short-term assets. Finally, a high current ratio may be indicative of too much inventory, or receivables problems. Fortunately, Hughes’ current ratio is not above the upper quartile, so it is likely in a very good liquidity position. Quick ratio: Hughes is above both the industry median and the upper quartile. This may be an indication of substantial amounts of non-inventory liquidity relative to the industry. Debt/Equity ratio: Hughes is well below the industry average in debt usage. Creditors like this; however, the firm may be forgoing valuable tax benefits associated with interest payments. Based on industry figures, Hughes may have substantial unused debt capacity and might be able to increase shareholder wealth by taking on some additional debt. Times Interest Earned: Hughes’ times interest earned is substantially higher than the industry median and is another indication that the company may have significant debt capacity available.
  • Inventory Turnover: The inventory turnover is above the industry median and is slightly above the upper quartile. This indicates that Hughes is using its inventory efficiently. Total Asset Turnover: The company’s TAT is lower than the industry median and the lower quartile, which indicates an excess of assets or an inability to use the assets efficiently to produce sales. The ROE is slightly below the industry average. This is consistent with Hughes’ low debt ratios, because the firm’s ROA is slightly above average for the industry. The Du Pont analysis indicates that more leverage would boost the ROE farther above the ROE, so an “average” amount of debt could boost ROE toward the industry average.

Chp 3 Chp 3 Presentation Transcript

  • Chapter 3 Working With Financial Statements
  • Key Concepts and Skills
    • Know how to standardize financial statements for comparison purposes
    • Know how to compute and interpret important financial ratios
    • Know the determinants of a firm’s profitability and growth
    • Understand the problems and pitfalls in financial statement analysis
  • Chapter Outline
    • Standardized Financial Statements
    • Ratio Analysis
    • The Du Pont Identity
    • Internal and Sustainable Growth
    • Using Financial Statement Information
  • Standardized Financial Statements
    • Common-Size Balance Sheets
      • Compute all accounts as a percent of total assets
    • Common-Size Income Statements
      • Compute all line items as a percent of sales
    • Standardized statements make it easier to compare financial information, particularly as the company grows
    • They are also useful for comparing companies of different sizes, particularly within the same industry
  • Ratio Analysis
    • Ratios also allow for better comparison through time or between companies
    • As we look at each ratio, ask yourself what the ratio is trying to measure and why that information is important
    • Ratios are used both internally and externally
  • Categories of Financial Ratios
    • Short-term solvency or liquidity ratios
    • Long-term solvency or financial leverage ratios
    • Asset management or turnover ratios
    • Profitability ratios
    • Market value ratios
  • Sample Balance Sheet Numbers in thousands 5,862,989 Total Liab. & Equity 5,862,989 Total Assets 2,984,513 C/S 3,415,159 Net FA 909,814 LT Debt 2,447,830 Total CA 1,968,662 Total CL 415,310 Other CA 1,645,748 Other CL 300,459 Inventory 4,613 N/P 1,051,438 A/R 318,301 A/P 680,623 Cash
  • Sample Income Statement Numbers in thousands, except EPS & DPS 3.92 EPS 2,046,645 Cost of Goods Sold 124,647 Depreciation & Amortization 1.20 Dividends per share 756,410 Net Income 412,495 Taxes 1,168,905 Taxable Income 5,785 Interest Expense 1,174,690 EBIT 1,904,556 Expenses 5,250,538 Revenues
  • Computing Liquidity Ratios
    • Current Ratio = CA / CL
      • 2,447,830 / 1,968,662 = 1.24 times
    • Quick Ratio = (CA – Inventory) / CL
      • (2,447,830 – 300,459) / 1,968,662 = 1.09 times
    • Cash Ratio = Cash / CL
      • 680,623 / 1,968,662 = .346 times
  • Computing Leverage Ratios
    • Total Debt Ratio = (TA – TE) / TA
      • (5,862,989 – 2,984,513) / 5,862,989 = .491 times or 49.1%
      • The firm finances slightly over 49% of their assets with debt.
    • Debt/Equity = TD / TE
      • (5,862,989 – 2,984,513) / 2,984,513 = .964 times
    • Equity Multiplier = TA / TE = 1 + D/E
      • 1 + .964 = 1.964
  • Computing Coverage Ratios
    • Times Interest Earned = EBIT / Interest
      • 1,174,900 / 5,785 = 203 times
    • Cash Coverage = (EBIT + Depr. & Amort.) / Interest
      • (1,174,900 + 124,647) / 5,785 = 225 times
  • Computing Inventory Ratios
    • Inventory Turnover = Cost of Goods Sold / Inventory
      • 2,046,645 / 300,459 = 6.81 times
    • Days’ Sales in Inventory = 365 / Inventory Turnover
      • 365 / 6.81 = 54 days
  • Computing Receivables Ratios
    • Receivables Turnover = Sales / Accounts Receivable
      • 5,250,538 / 1,051,438 = 4.99 times
    • Days’ Sales in Receivables = 365 / Receivables Turnover
      • 365 / 4.99 = 73 days
  • Computing Total Asset Turnover
    • Total Asset Turnover = Sales / Total Assets
      • 5,250,538 / 5,862,989 = .896 times
    • Measure of asset use efficiency
    • Not unusual for TAT < 1, especially if a firm has a large amount of fixed assets
  • Computing Profitability Measures
    • Profit Margin = Net Income / Sales
      • 756,410 / 5,250,538 = .1441 times or 14.41%
    • Return on Assets (ROA) = Net Income / Total Assets
      • 756,410 / 5,862,989 = .1290 times or 12.90%
    • Return on Equity (ROE) = Net Income / Total Equity
      • 756,410 / 2,984,513 = .2534 times or 25.34%
  • Computing Market Value Measures
    • Market Price (12/31/04) = $91.54 per share
    • Shares outstanding = 189,813,459
    • PE Ratio = Price per share / Earnings per share
      • 91.54 / 3.92 = 23.35 times
    • Market-to-book ratio = market value per share / book value per share
      • 91.54 / (2,984,513,000 / 189,813,459) = 5.82 times
  • Table 3.5
  • Deriving the Du Pont Identity
    • ROE = NI / TE
    • Multiply by 1 and then rearrange
      • ROE = (NI / TE) (TA / TA)
      • ROE = (NI / TA) (TA / TE) = ROA * EM
    • Multiply by 1 again and then rearrange
      • ROE = (NI / TA) (TA / TE) (Sales / Sales)
      • ROE = (NI / Sales) (Sales / TA) (TA / TE)
      • ROE = PM * TAT * EM
  • Using the Du Pont Identity
    • ROE = PM * TAT * EM
      • Profit margin is a measure of the firm’s operating efficiency – how well does it control costs
      • Total asset turnover is a measure of the firm’s asset use efficiency – how well does it manage its assets
      • Equity multiplier is a measure of the firm’s financial leverage
  • Payout and Retention Ratios
    • Dividend payout ratio (“b”) = Cash dividends / Net income
      • 1.20 / 3.92 = .3061 or 30.61%
    • Retention ratio (“1 – b”) = Addn. to R/E / Net income = (EPS – DPS) / EPS
      • (3.92 – 1.20) / 3.92 = .6939 = 69.39%
    • Or: Retention ratio = 1 – Dividend Payout Ratio
      • 1 - .3061 = .6939 = 69.39%
  • The Internal Growth Rate
    • The internal growth rate tells us how much the firm can grow assets using retained earnings as the only source of financing.
  • The Sustainable Growth Rate
    • The sustainable growth rate tells us how much the firm can grow by using internally generated funds and issuing debt to maintain a constant debt ratio.
  • Determinants of Growth
    • Profit margin – operating efficiency
    • Total asset turnover – asset use efficiency
    • Financial leverage – choice of optimal debt ratio
    • Dividend policy – choice of how much to pay to shareholders versus reinvesting in the firm
  • Table 3.7
  • Why Evaluate Financial Statements?
    • Internal uses
      • Performance evaluation – compensation and comparison between divisions
      • Planning for the future – guide in estimating future cash flows
    • External uses
      • Creditors
      • Suppliers
      • Customers
      • Stockholders
  • Benchmarking
    • Ratios are not very helpful by themselves; they need to be compared to something
    • Time-Trend Analysis
      • Used to see how the firm’s performance is changing through time
      • Internal and external uses
    • Peer Group Analysis
      • Compare to similar companies or within industries
      • SIC and NAICS codes
  • Real World Example - I
    • Ratios are figured using financial data from the 1/31/05 Annual Report for Hughes Supply, Inc.
    • Hughes is in SIC 507, which is a component of NAICS 444130
    • Compare the ratios to the median industry ratios in Table 3.9 in the book (pp. 70 - 72)
    • Hughes’ sales for the year ended January 5, 2005 were 4.42 billion, so we compare it to the right-most column.
  • Real World Example - II
    • Liquidity ratios
      • Current ratio = 2.36x; Industry = 1.8x
      • Quick ratio = 1.42x; Industry = .6x
    • Long-term solvency ratio
      • Debt/Equity ratio (Debt / Worth) = 1.02x; Industry = 1.4x.
    • Coverage ratio
      • Times Interest Earned = 7.22x; Industry = 4.8x
  • Real World Example - III
    • Asset management ratios:
      • Inventory turnover = 5.34x; Industry = 4.2x
      • Total asset turnover = 1.75x; Industry = 2.8x
    • Profitability ratios
      • ROE = (profit before taxes / tangible net worth) = 15.81%; Industry = 16.8%
      • ROA (profit before taxes / total assets) = 7.84%; Industry = 7.3%
  • Work the Web Example
    • The Internet makes ratio analysis much easier than it has been in the past
    • Click on the web surfer to go to Moneycentral.com
      • Choose a company and enter its ticker symbol
      • Click on “Financial Results” and “Key Ratios” to compare the firm to its industry and the S&P 500 for various ratio categories
      • Change the ratio category using the links to the left of the chart.
  • Quick Quiz
    • How do you standardize balance sheets and income statements and why is standardization useful?
    • What are the major categories of ratios and how do you compute specific ratios within each category?
    • What are the major determinants of a firm’s growth potential?
    • What are some of the problems associated with financial statement analysis?