SlideShare a Scribd company logo
1 of 16
Download to read offline
Methane Climate Task Force 16 Jan 2017
How we propose to become HD-46 volunteer climate
science advisers
• Inform with perspectives and significant new data.
http://nw-climate-methane-task-force.org/doku.php
Methane Climate Task Force 16 Jan 2017
Opportunities to Continue Progress on Climate
Oregon has good planning in place
• Environmental Quality Commission, DEQ
• Global Warming Commission
• Public Utilities Commission
Processes in place to conduct Greenhouse Gas Inventory
Has a strong climate community
Recognizes need to transition from Coal to Clean energy
Green energy base is growing
2
Methane Climate Task Force 16 Jan 2017
Opportunities to Continue Progress on Climate
What we think must happen
3
Issues:
West Coast Oysters gone in 2019
Oregon forests emitting, not sinking Carbon
CA forest die-off 66M trees since 2010
• Pine beetle, high temps, drought
Extensive forest die-off in Oregon
Methane Climate Task Force 16 Jan 2017
Opportunities to Continue Progress on Climate
• Alignment of activists and policymakers with science is
critical
• We see a need for more accurate GHG accounting
• Attention to energy conservation and demand side
reductions as near-term climate solutions
• Focus on near term threat of methane releases
Climate damage is not like other problems
4
Agenda
Methane Climate Task Force 16 Jan 2017
Opportunities to Continue Progress on Climate
5
Organization
Methane Climate Task Force 16 Jan 2017
Science is the Same for Activists, Legislators and Policy
Ideology plays no part in science or engineering
DEQ trying to tell OGWC where we are headed
Science should tell us … why there is no measurable
effect seen in data from decades of policymaking
• Engineering can build on facts to explain and refine
numbers and disclose risks (from knowns and
unknowns)
• Legislators and staff benefit from analysis when
independently verifiable
Activists are generally not numbers-driven
• Jordan Cove is an outstanding exception
Will benefit from climate science and analysis
6
Methane Climate Task Force 16 Jan 2017
Oregon's GHG Accounting
7
HB 3543 Establishes Global
Warming Commission (June 2007)
“By 2010, arrest the growth of
Oregon′s greenhouse gas emissions”
Methane Climate Task Force 16 Jan 2017
Oregon's GHG Accounting
8
Methane Climate Task Force 16 Jan 2017
More Accurate GHG Accounting
Oregon accounts for GHG using outdated standards
• As concern over a near-term climate tipping point has
increased in recent years, researchers have shifted from
the 100 year time horizon to a 20 year time horizon which
captures the greater near term threat from methane. Over
a 20 year time frame methane is 84 times as potent as CO2
(GWP20=84).
• Oregon’s GHG Inventory is reported with GWP = 28
Emissions below 2,500 m tons CO2e are dismissed,
without stipulating how CO2e is to be computed
http://www.deq.state.or.us/aq/climate/naturalGas.htm
• Emissions estimates are accepted in lieu of actual
measurements. Ref. DEQ Division 215 Rules
9
Methane Climate Task Force 16 Jan 2017
More Accurate GHG Accounting
Oregon PUC Greenhouse Gas Reduction Goal Rate
Impact Report 2016 completely omits gas delivery
infrastructure and its GHG leakage.
http://oregonpuc.granicus.com/MetaViewer.php?view_id=1&
Oregon GHG Inventory omits reporting by utilities of
life cycle GHG emissions prior to delivery. Commodity
delivery services do not measure their leaks or
releases.
http://www.keeporegoncool.org/sites/default/files/ogwc-st
10
Methane Climate Task Force 16 Jan 2017
More Accurate GHG Accounting
Externalities in natural gas infrastructure are just as
significant as coal.
• SB 1547B limits carbon-by-wire from Montana coal
• Methane releases prior to natural gas delivery are
pervasive in the supply chain
• Researchers report range from 1% to 12% of delivered
commodity (average 5%)
• Natural Gas could be phased out similar to coal-by-wire,
just extend SB 1547B rule making
In the meantime rule making must require reports on
upstream methane releases (i.e. with commodity invoice)
11
Methane Climate Task Force 16 Jan 2017
Energy Conservation and Demand Side Reductions
New residential and commercial buildings can achieve zero
net energy use.
• Relying on efficient insulation, heat pumps, and power
from onsite renewable energy generation
Affordable technologies allow utilities to source
renewable energy
• CA has directed deployment of utility-scale grid energy
storage
• PGE planning reported to OPUC includes renewable
energy sourcing for 3 of 4 near term options
Natural gas, 4th option, increases fossil demand for … 30 years
12
Methane Climate Task Force 16 Jan 2017
Near Term Threats Posed by Methane Releases
Although CH4 half life is 12 years, dissipated CH4 is
being replenished such that measured concentrations are
increasing.
Claims of methane leak reduction are not correlated in
satellite data.
When CH4 influence is factored into budget, CO2e
margins disappear by surprise.
Except for utility and industrial supply infrastructure
leaks, most CH4 releases are not controllable.
No one knows when historical tripping points will recur.
13
Methane Climate Task Force 16 Jan 2017
While working for more data, better conclusions, better
understanding on a broader scale, populations incurring
displacement and suffering have no part in root causation.
As the scale and depth of crises continues to grow, it
invites uninitiated deniers to mandate solutions with less
supporting data than what climate science has amassed to
date.
• We have seen no other problem with such uncertainty,
such a clear trend line, and with possible lifeform
extinctions if mishandled.
• Setting aside ideology is a moral obligation for anyone
capable of grasping the issues.
Nature bats last.
14
Climate Damage is Not Like Other Problems
Methane Climate Task Force 16 Jan 2017
Climate Damage is Not Like Other Problems
Therefore we need to pick 1.5 degree target:
1) OGWC needs staffing to drive achieving target
2) Oregon needs cost of carbon as hammer/enabler

If we miss 2-yr target, adjust cost of carbon

Money supports Env. Justice as well as transition
3) PUC needs instruction to enable

Life-cycle accounting on fossil fuels

Business planning must assume fossil fuel plants out of
service by 2035 – i.e. become stranded assets
4) Oregon won't support “growing the problem” with fossil
fuel exports
15
Methane Climate Task Force 16 Jan 2017
Climate Damage is Not Like Other Problems
Clarity of solution schedule has come slowly.
History of denial has slowed understanding.
Must work with available info in spite of fog. So:

Decisions must be made without fully agreed, fully complete
data, fully processed data

During research and analysis, the message keeps getting
worse and worse, increasing urgency.

Delays in intercepting root causes could throw us over
tipping points.
We make progress in the face of uncertainty in economic,
medical, military, or pharmaceutical research efforts in
order to avoid undesirable deniable problems, and must do so
for climate.
• With climate damage, this demands immediate action
based on current knowledge.
16

More Related Content

What's hot

Onondaga County GHG Emission Inventory
Onondaga County GHG Emission InventoryOnondaga County GHG Emission Inventory
Onondaga County GHG Emission Inventoryaskmaurerwhy
 
Emissions slowdown: Are we on the way to 2°C?
Emissions slowdown: Are we on the way to 2°C?Emissions slowdown: Are we on the way to 2°C?
Emissions slowdown: Are we on the way to 2°C?Glen Peters
 
Synthesis Report
Synthesis ReportSynthesis Report
Synthesis Reportipcc-media
 
Policymakers - Key messages on climate change mitigation
Policymakers - Key messages on climate change mitigationPolicymakers - Key messages on climate change mitigation
Policymakers - Key messages on climate change mitigationipcc-media
 
Organizzazione meteorologica mondiale, il report 2015
Organizzazione meteorologica mondiale, il report 2015Organizzazione meteorologica mondiale, il report 2015
Organizzazione meteorologica mondiale, il report 2015Agi
 
Mitigation in the context of the Paris Agreement
Mitigation in the context of the Paris AgreementMitigation in the context of the Paris Agreement
Mitigation in the context of the Paris AgreementJesbin Baidya
 
Key messages from the AR5 WGI with focus on Saudi Arabia and the region
Key messages from the AR5 WGI with focus on Saudi Arabia and the regionKey messages from the AR5 WGI with focus on Saudi Arabia and the region
Key messages from the AR5 WGI with focus on Saudi Arabia and the regionJesbin Baidya
 
Key messages from the AR5 WGIII with focus on Saudi Arabia and the region
Key messages from the AR5 WGIII with focus on Saudi Arabia and the regionKey messages from the AR5 WGIII with focus on Saudi Arabia and the region
Key messages from the AR5 WGIII with focus on Saudi Arabia and the regionJesbin Baidya
 
William Bloss (University of Birmingham) - WM-Air: West Midlands Air Quality ...
William Bloss (University of Birmingham) - WM-Air: West Midlands Air Quality ...William Bloss (University of Birmingham) - WM-Air: West Midlands Air Quality ...
William Bloss (University of Birmingham) - WM-Air: West Midlands Air Quality ...IES / IAQM
 
Basic Issues in climate science
Basic Issues in climate scienceBasic Issues in climate science
Basic Issues in climate scienceipcc-media
 
Global Carbon Budget 2017 (Tekna presentation)
Global Carbon Budget 2017 (Tekna presentation)Global Carbon Budget 2017 (Tekna presentation)
Global Carbon Budget 2017 (Tekna presentation)Glen Peters
 
Main findings of the Working Group III - Fifth Assessment Report
Main findings of the Working Group III - Fifth Assessment Report Main findings of the Working Group III - Fifth Assessment Report
Main findings of the Working Group III - Fifth Assessment Report ipcc-media
 
Key message on climate change: the physical science basis
Key message on climate change: the physical science basisKey message on climate change: the physical science basis
Key message on climate change: the physical science basisipcc-media
 
2013 Greenhouse Gas Inventory Report_Final
2013 Greenhouse Gas Inventory Report_Final2013 Greenhouse Gas Inventory Report_Final
2013 Greenhouse Gas Inventory Report_FinalStephen Senter
 
Greenhouse gas fluxes over managed grasslands in Central Europe
Greenhouse gas fluxes over managed grasslands in Central EuropeGreenhouse gas fluxes over managed grasslands in Central Europe
Greenhouse gas fluxes over managed grasslands in Central EuropeILRI
 
Basic issues in Climate Science
Basic issues in Climate ScienceBasic issues in Climate Science
Basic issues in Climate ScienceJesbin Baidya
 
Ipcc fifth assessment report in powerpoint slides 2014 11 02
Ipcc fifth assessment report in powerpoint slides 2014 11 02Ipcc fifth assessment report in powerpoint slides 2014 11 02
Ipcc fifth assessment report in powerpoint slides 2014 11 02Nick Dimmock
 
Developing a 'Natural Resources Management' Approach to Air Quality in Wales ...
Developing a 'Natural Resources Management' Approach to Air Quality in Wales ...Developing a 'Natural Resources Management' Approach to Air Quality in Wales ...
Developing a 'Natural Resources Management' Approach to Air Quality in Wales ...IES / IAQM
 
IPCC Fifth Assessment Report: Mitigation of Climate Change
IPCC Fifth Assessment Report: Mitigation of Climate ChangeIPCC Fifth Assessment Report: Mitigation of Climate Change
IPCC Fifth Assessment Report: Mitigation of Climate Changeipcc-media
 

What's hot (20)

Onondaga County GHG Emission Inventory
Onondaga County GHG Emission InventoryOnondaga County GHG Emission Inventory
Onondaga County GHG Emission Inventory
 
Emissions slowdown: Are we on the way to 2°C?
Emissions slowdown: Are we on the way to 2°C?Emissions slowdown: Are we on the way to 2°C?
Emissions slowdown: Are we on the way to 2°C?
 
Synthesis Report
Synthesis ReportSynthesis Report
Synthesis Report
 
Policymakers - Key messages on climate change mitigation
Policymakers - Key messages on climate change mitigationPolicymakers - Key messages on climate change mitigation
Policymakers - Key messages on climate change mitigation
 
Organizzazione meteorologica mondiale, il report 2015
Organizzazione meteorologica mondiale, il report 2015Organizzazione meteorologica mondiale, il report 2015
Organizzazione meteorologica mondiale, il report 2015
 
Mitigation in the context of the Paris Agreement
Mitigation in the context of the Paris AgreementMitigation in the context of the Paris Agreement
Mitigation in the context of the Paris Agreement
 
Key messages from the AR5 WGI with focus on Saudi Arabia and the region
Key messages from the AR5 WGI with focus on Saudi Arabia and the regionKey messages from the AR5 WGI with focus on Saudi Arabia and the region
Key messages from the AR5 WGI with focus on Saudi Arabia and the region
 
Key messages from the AR5 WGIII with focus on Saudi Arabia and the region
Key messages from the AR5 WGIII with focus on Saudi Arabia and the regionKey messages from the AR5 WGIII with focus on Saudi Arabia and the region
Key messages from the AR5 WGIII with focus on Saudi Arabia and the region
 
William Bloss (University of Birmingham) - WM-Air: West Midlands Air Quality ...
William Bloss (University of Birmingham) - WM-Air: West Midlands Air Quality ...William Bloss (University of Birmingham) - WM-Air: West Midlands Air Quality ...
William Bloss (University of Birmingham) - WM-Air: West Midlands Air Quality ...
 
Basic Issues in climate science
Basic Issues in climate scienceBasic Issues in climate science
Basic Issues in climate science
 
Global Carbon Budget 2017 (Tekna presentation)
Global Carbon Budget 2017 (Tekna presentation)Global Carbon Budget 2017 (Tekna presentation)
Global Carbon Budget 2017 (Tekna presentation)
 
Main findings of the Working Group III - Fifth Assessment Report
Main findings of the Working Group III - Fifth Assessment Report Main findings of the Working Group III - Fifth Assessment Report
Main findings of the Working Group III - Fifth Assessment Report
 
Key message on climate change: the physical science basis
Key message on climate change: the physical science basisKey message on climate change: the physical science basis
Key message on climate change: the physical science basis
 
2013 Greenhouse Gas Inventory Report_Final
2013 Greenhouse Gas Inventory Report_Final2013 Greenhouse Gas Inventory Report_Final
2013 Greenhouse Gas Inventory Report_Final
 
Greenhouse gas fluxes over managed grasslands in Central Europe
Greenhouse gas fluxes over managed grasslands in Central EuropeGreenhouse gas fluxes over managed grasslands in Central Europe
Greenhouse gas fluxes over managed grasslands in Central Europe
 
Basic issues in Climate Science
Basic issues in Climate ScienceBasic issues in Climate Science
Basic issues in Climate Science
 
Ipcc fifth assessment report in powerpoint slides 2014 11 02
Ipcc fifth assessment report in powerpoint slides 2014 11 02Ipcc fifth assessment report in powerpoint slides 2014 11 02
Ipcc fifth assessment report in powerpoint slides 2014 11 02
 
Developing a 'Natural Resources Management' Approach to Air Quality in Wales ...
Developing a 'Natural Resources Management' Approach to Air Quality in Wales ...Developing a 'Natural Resources Management' Approach to Air Quality in Wales ...
Developing a 'Natural Resources Management' Approach to Air Quality in Wales ...
 
Cuyahoga County Climate Change Action Plan Kick-Off
Cuyahoga County Climate Change Action Plan Kick-OffCuyahoga County Climate Change Action Plan Kick-Off
Cuyahoga County Climate Change Action Plan Kick-Off
 
IPCC Fifth Assessment Report: Mitigation of Climate Change
IPCC Fifth Assessment Report: Mitigation of Climate ChangeIPCC Fifth Assessment Report: Mitigation of Climate Change
IPCC Fifth Assessment Report: Mitigation of Climate Change
 

Viewers also liked

2015 Proposal Medial Prefrontal Cortex & Depression
2015 Proposal Medial Prefrontal Cortex & Depression2015 Proposal Medial Prefrontal Cortex & Depression
2015 Proposal Medial Prefrontal Cortex & DepressionEmily Anderson
 
Presentacion de slideshare
Presentacion de slidesharePresentacion de slideshare
Presentacion de slideshareblackgamer22
 
Cara membuat hotspot freshia putri
Cara membuat hotspot  freshia putriCara membuat hotspot  freshia putri
Cara membuat hotspot freshia putriFreshia Putri
 
Building a Boy Friendly School
Building a Boy Friendly SchoolBuilding a Boy Friendly School
Building a Boy Friendly SchoolDr Mark Merry
 
randikjaerjensen_BA
randikjaerjensen_BArandikjaerjensen_BA
randikjaerjensen_BARandi Kjær
 

Viewers also liked (9)

2015 Proposal Medial Prefrontal Cortex & Depression
2015 Proposal Medial Prefrontal Cortex & Depression2015 Proposal Medial Prefrontal Cortex & Depression
2015 Proposal Medial Prefrontal Cortex & Depression
 
Presentacion de slideshare
Presentacion de slidesharePresentacion de slideshare
Presentacion de slideshare
 
Landfills and housing
Landfills and housingLandfills and housing
Landfills and housing
 
Remedial kjd salfasalsabila
Remedial kjd salfasalsabilaRemedial kjd salfasalsabila
Remedial kjd salfasalsabila
 
Rangkuman pedoman pkm 2016
Rangkuman pedoman pkm 2016Rangkuman pedoman pkm 2016
Rangkuman pedoman pkm 2016
 
Cara membuat hotspot freshia putri
Cara membuat hotspot  freshia putriCara membuat hotspot  freshia putri
Cara membuat hotspot freshia putri
 
Histoire de la médecine
Histoire de la médecineHistoire de la médecine
Histoire de la médecine
 
Building a Boy Friendly School
Building a Boy Friendly SchoolBuilding a Boy Friendly School
Building a Boy Friendly School
 
randikjaerjensen_BA
randikjaerjensen_BArandikjaerjensen_BA
randikjaerjensen_BA
 

Similar to Ap -climate_history

Essay On Energy Consumption
Essay On Energy ConsumptionEssay On Energy Consumption
Essay On Energy ConsumptionAmber Wheeler
 
Where is global warming in relation to the long-term temperature goal?
Where is global warming in relation to the long-term temperature goal?Where is global warming in relation to the long-term temperature goal?
Where is global warming in relation to the long-term temperature goal?ipcc-media
 
Emissions slowdown: Are we on the way to 2°C?
Emissions slowdown: Are we on the way to 2°C?Emissions slowdown: Are we on the way to 2°C?
Emissions slowdown: Are we on the way to 2°C?Glen Peters
 
Bank of England Climate Change Visualisation Competition
Bank of England Climate Change Visualisation CompetitionBank of England Climate Change Visualisation Competition
Bank of England Climate Change Visualisation CompetitionAlfieCherry
 
final report non-co2 climate forcers
final report non-co2 climate forcersfinal report non-co2 climate forcers
final report non-co2 climate forcersJens Dinkel
 
EPA H2020 SC5 Info Day: Research requirements following COP21 - The Paris Agr...
EPA H2020 SC5 Info Day: Research requirements following COP21 - The Paris Agr...EPA H2020 SC5 Info Day: Research requirements following COP21 - The Paris Agr...
EPA H2020 SC5 Info Day: Research requirements following COP21 - The Paris Agr...Environmental Protection Agency, Ireland
 
Climate change presentation
Climate change presentationClimate change presentation
Climate change presentationTatiana Ivanova
 
GHG mitigation scenarios for major emitting countries - COP 23
GHG mitigation scenarios for major emitting countries - COP 23GHG mitigation scenarios for major emitting countries - COP 23
GHG mitigation scenarios for major emitting countries - COP 23NewClimate Institute
 
Koomey's talk at the Clean Tech Open SF event, April 2, 2014
Koomey's talk at the Clean Tech Open SF event, April 2, 2014Koomey's talk at the Clean Tech Open SF event, April 2, 2014
Koomey's talk at the Clean Tech Open SF event, April 2, 2014Jonathan Koomey
 
Sustainable energy trends and opportunities thomas eid_feb2019_li
Sustainable energy trends and opportunities thomas eid_feb2019_liSustainable energy trends and opportunities thomas eid_feb2019_li
Sustainable energy trends and opportunities thomas eid_feb2019_liThomas G. Eid
 
Assessment of NDCs and implemented policies - Side Event COP23
Assessment of NDCs and implemented policies - Side Event COP23Assessment of NDCs and implemented policies - Side Event COP23
Assessment of NDCs and implemented policies - Side Event COP23NewClimate Institute
 
The role of CCS/CCUS in the Climate Action Plan - Dr S. Julio Friedmann
The role of CCS/CCUS in the Climate Action Plan - Dr S. Julio FriedmannThe role of CCS/CCUS in the Climate Action Plan - Dr S. Julio Friedmann
The role of CCS/CCUS in the Climate Action Plan - Dr S. Julio FriedmannGlobal CCS Institute
 
Item 8. The new OECD Environmental Outlook.pdf
Item 8. The new OECD Environmental Outlook.pdfItem 8. The new OECD Environmental Outlook.pdf
Item 8. The new OECD Environmental Outlook.pdfOECD Environment
 
Green Talks LIVE - Global Material Resources Outlook to 2060
Green Talks LIVE - Global Material Resources Outlook to 2060Green Talks LIVE - Global Material Resources Outlook to 2060
Green Talks LIVE - Global Material Resources Outlook to 2060OECD Environment
 
Vancouver Presentation 4-21.pdf
Vancouver Presentation 4-21.pdfVancouver Presentation 4-21.pdf
Vancouver Presentation 4-21.pdfMalcolm Fabiyi
 

Similar to Ap -climate_history (20)

Ap -carbon_budget
Ap  -carbon_budgetAp  -carbon_budget
Ap -carbon_budget
 
Essay On Energy Consumption
Essay On Energy ConsumptionEssay On Energy Consumption
Essay On Energy Consumption
 
Where is global warming in relation to the long-term temperature goal?
Where is global warming in relation to the long-term temperature goal?Where is global warming in relation to the long-term temperature goal?
Where is global warming in relation to the long-term temperature goal?
 
Workshop climate variability and modeling in Laos
Workshop climate variability and modeling in LaosWorkshop climate variability and modeling in Laos
Workshop climate variability and modeling in Laos
 
Emissions slowdown: Are we on the way to 2°C?
Emissions slowdown: Are we on the way to 2°C?Emissions slowdown: Are we on the way to 2°C?
Emissions slowdown: Are we on the way to 2°C?
 
Ap -closing_pitch
Ap  -closing_pitchAp  -closing_pitch
Ap -closing_pitch
 
Bank of England Climate Change Visualisation Competition
Bank of England Climate Change Visualisation CompetitionBank of England Climate Change Visualisation Competition
Bank of England Climate Change Visualisation Competition
 
final report non-co2 climate forcers
final report non-co2 climate forcersfinal report non-co2 climate forcers
final report non-co2 climate forcers
 
EPA H2020 SC5 Info Day: Research requirements following COP21 - The Paris Agr...
EPA H2020 SC5 Info Day: Research requirements following COP21 - The Paris Agr...EPA H2020 SC5 Info Day: Research requirements following COP21 - The Paris Agr...
EPA H2020 SC5 Info Day: Research requirements following COP21 - The Paris Agr...
 
Climate change presentation
Climate change presentationClimate change presentation
Climate change presentation
 
GHG mitigation scenarios for major emitting countries - COP 23
GHG mitigation scenarios for major emitting countries - COP 23GHG mitigation scenarios for major emitting countries - COP 23
GHG mitigation scenarios for major emitting countries - COP 23
 
Koomey's talk at the Clean Tech Open SF event, April 2, 2014
Koomey's talk at the Clean Tech Open SF event, April 2, 2014Koomey's talk at the Clean Tech Open SF event, April 2, 2014
Koomey's talk at the Clean Tech Open SF event, April 2, 2014
 
Sustainable energy trends and opportunities thomas eid_feb2019_li
Sustainable energy trends and opportunities thomas eid_feb2019_liSustainable energy trends and opportunities thomas eid_feb2019_li
Sustainable energy trends and opportunities thomas eid_feb2019_li
 
Assessment of NDCs and implemented policies - Side Event COP23
Assessment of NDCs and implemented policies - Side Event COP23Assessment of NDCs and implemented policies - Side Event COP23
Assessment of NDCs and implemented policies - Side Event COP23
 
The role of CCS/CCUS in the Climate Action Plan - Dr S. Julio Friedmann
The role of CCS/CCUS in the Climate Action Plan - Dr S. Julio FriedmannThe role of CCS/CCUS in the Climate Action Plan - Dr S. Julio Friedmann
The role of CCS/CCUS in the Climate Action Plan - Dr S. Julio Friedmann
 
Item 8. The new OECD Environmental Outlook.pdf
Item 8. The new OECD Environmental Outlook.pdfItem 8. The new OECD Environmental Outlook.pdf
Item 8. The new OECD Environmental Outlook.pdf
 
7406 qr code_final
7406 qr code_final7406 qr code_final
7406 qr code_final
 
Green Talks LIVE - Global Material Resources Outlook to 2060
Green Talks LIVE - Global Material Resources Outlook to 2060Green Talks LIVE - Global Material Resources Outlook to 2060
Green Talks LIVE - Global Material Resources Outlook to 2060
 
UNFCCC
UNFCCCUNFCCC
UNFCCC
 
Vancouver Presentation 4-21.pdf
Vancouver Presentation 4-21.pdfVancouver Presentation 4-21.pdf
Vancouver Presentation 4-21.pdf
 

Recently uploaded

What Teenagers Have to Say about the Grandparents
What Teenagers Have to Say about the GrandparentsWhat Teenagers Have to Say about the Grandparents
What Teenagers Have to Say about the GrandparentsSERUDS INDIA
 
CBO’s Work on Health Care and a Call for New Research
CBO’s Work on Health Care and a Call for New ResearchCBO’s Work on Health Care and a Call for New Research
CBO’s Work on Health Care and a Call for New ResearchCongressional Budget Office
 
OECD Webinar - ESG to deliver well-being in resource-rich regions: the role o...
OECD Webinar - ESG to deliver well-being in resource-rich regions: the role o...OECD Webinar - ESG to deliver well-being in resource-rich regions: the role o...
OECD Webinar - ESG to deliver well-being in resource-rich regions: the role o...OECDregions
 
Item # 1a - March 18, 2024 Special CCM Minutes
Item # 1a - March 18, 2024 Special CCM MinutesItem # 1a - March 18, 2024 Special CCM Minutes
Item # 1a - March 18, 2024 Special CCM Minutesahcitycouncil
 
Children who live with Grandparents are really lucky
Children who live with Grandparents are really luckyChildren who live with Grandparents are really lucky
Children who live with Grandparents are really luckySERUDS INDIA
 
Water for Prosperity and peace - United Nations World Water Development Repo...
Water for Prosperity and peace -  United Nations World Water Development Repo...Water for Prosperity and peace -  United Nations World Water Development Repo...
Water for Prosperity and peace - United Nations World Water Development Repo...Christina Parmionova
 
World Happiness Report 2024- Full Report
World Happiness Report 2024- Full ReportWorld Happiness Report 2024- Full Report
World Happiness Report 2024- Full ReportEnergy for One World
 
Sensitivity Training for 2023 BSKE.pptx
Sensitivity Training for  2023 BSKE.pptxSensitivity Training for  2023 BSKE.pptx
Sensitivity Training for 2023 BSKE.pptxAllidaacLuap
 
Hub Design Inspiration Graphics for inspiration
Hub Design Inspiration Graphics for inspirationHub Design Inspiration Graphics for inspiration
Hub Design Inspiration Graphics for inspirationStephen Abram
 
Living life to the full: How can we make our longer lives healthier, happier ...
Living life to the full: How can we make our longer lives healthier, happier ...Living life to the full: How can we make our longer lives healthier, happier ...
Living life to the full: How can we make our longer lives healthier, happier ...ResolutionFoundation
 
Leveraging Water for Peace - World Water Day 2024
Leveraging Water for Peace - World Water Day 2024Leveraging Water for Peace - World Water Day 2024
Leveraging Water for Peace - World Water Day 2024Christina Parmionova
 
Water can create peace or spark conflict.
Water can create peace or spark conflict.Water can create peace or spark conflict.
Water can create peace or spark conflict.Christina Parmionova
 
DB9_BTR_Webinar_Slidedeck_20230320 (1).pptx
DB9_BTR_Webinar_Slidedeck_20230320 (1).pptxDB9_BTR_Webinar_Slidedeck_20230320 (1).pptx
DB9_BTR_Webinar_Slidedeck_20230320 (1).pptxNAP Global Network
 
National Women's Month Celebration for PENRO Quezon
National Women's Month Celebration for PENRO QuezonNational Women's Month Celebration for PENRO Quezon
National Women's Month Celebration for PENRO QuezonAryaCapale
 
2024: The FAR, Federal Acquisition Regulations - Part 16
2024: The FAR, Federal Acquisition Regulations - Part 162024: The FAR, Federal Acquisition Regulations - Part 16
2024: The FAR, Federal Acquisition Regulations - Part 16JSchaus & Associates
 
PPT Item # 2 -- Announcements Powerpoint
PPT Item # 2 -- Announcements PowerpointPPT Item # 2 -- Announcements Powerpoint
PPT Item # 2 -- Announcements Powerpointahcitycouncil
 
Managing Planning and Development of Citie- 26-2-24.docx
Managing Planning and  Development of  Citie-  26-2-24.docxManaging Planning and  Development of  Citie-  26-2-24.docx
Managing Planning and Development of Citie- 26-2-24.docxJIT KUMAR GUPTA
 
Item # 5&6 - 218 Canyon Drive replat prop.
Item # 5&6 - 218 Canyon Drive replat prop.Item # 5&6 - 218 Canyon Drive replat prop.
Item # 5&6 - 218 Canyon Drive replat prop.ahcitycouncil
 
The Federal Perspective on Coverage of Medications to Treat Obesity: Consider...
The Federal Perspective on Coverage of Medications to Treat Obesity: Consider...The Federal Perspective on Coverage of Medications to Treat Obesity: Consider...
The Federal Perspective on Coverage of Medications to Treat Obesity: Consider...Congressional Budget Office
 

Recently uploaded (20)

What Teenagers Have to Say about the Grandparents
What Teenagers Have to Say about the GrandparentsWhat Teenagers Have to Say about the Grandparents
What Teenagers Have to Say about the Grandparents
 
CBO’s Work on Health Care and a Call for New Research
CBO’s Work on Health Care and a Call for New ResearchCBO’s Work on Health Care and a Call for New Research
CBO’s Work on Health Care and a Call for New Research
 
OECD Webinar - ESG to deliver well-being in resource-rich regions: the role o...
OECD Webinar - ESG to deliver well-being in resource-rich regions: the role o...OECD Webinar - ESG to deliver well-being in resource-rich regions: the role o...
OECD Webinar - ESG to deliver well-being in resource-rich regions: the role o...
 
Item # 1a - March 18, 2024 Special CCM Minutes
Item # 1a - March 18, 2024 Special CCM MinutesItem # 1a - March 18, 2024 Special CCM Minutes
Item # 1a - March 18, 2024 Special CCM Minutes
 
Children who live with Grandparents are really lucky
Children who live with Grandparents are really luckyChildren who live with Grandparents are really lucky
Children who live with Grandparents are really lucky
 
How to Save a Place: Become an Advocate.
How to Save a Place: Become an Advocate.How to Save a Place: Become an Advocate.
How to Save a Place: Become an Advocate.
 
Water for Prosperity and peace - United Nations World Water Development Repo...
Water for Prosperity and peace -  United Nations World Water Development Repo...Water for Prosperity and peace -  United Nations World Water Development Repo...
Water for Prosperity and peace - United Nations World Water Development Repo...
 
World Happiness Report 2024- Full Report
World Happiness Report 2024- Full ReportWorld Happiness Report 2024- Full Report
World Happiness Report 2024- Full Report
 
Sensitivity Training for 2023 BSKE.pptx
Sensitivity Training for  2023 BSKE.pptxSensitivity Training for  2023 BSKE.pptx
Sensitivity Training for 2023 BSKE.pptx
 
Hub Design Inspiration Graphics for inspiration
Hub Design Inspiration Graphics for inspirationHub Design Inspiration Graphics for inspiration
Hub Design Inspiration Graphics for inspiration
 
Living life to the full: How can we make our longer lives healthier, happier ...
Living life to the full: How can we make our longer lives healthier, happier ...Living life to the full: How can we make our longer lives healthier, happier ...
Living life to the full: How can we make our longer lives healthier, happier ...
 
Leveraging Water for Peace - World Water Day 2024
Leveraging Water for Peace - World Water Day 2024Leveraging Water for Peace - World Water Day 2024
Leveraging Water for Peace - World Water Day 2024
 
Water can create peace or spark conflict.
Water can create peace or spark conflict.Water can create peace or spark conflict.
Water can create peace or spark conflict.
 
DB9_BTR_Webinar_Slidedeck_20230320 (1).pptx
DB9_BTR_Webinar_Slidedeck_20230320 (1).pptxDB9_BTR_Webinar_Slidedeck_20230320 (1).pptx
DB9_BTR_Webinar_Slidedeck_20230320 (1).pptx
 
National Women's Month Celebration for PENRO Quezon
National Women's Month Celebration for PENRO QuezonNational Women's Month Celebration for PENRO Quezon
National Women's Month Celebration for PENRO Quezon
 
2024: The FAR, Federal Acquisition Regulations - Part 16
2024: The FAR, Federal Acquisition Regulations - Part 162024: The FAR, Federal Acquisition Regulations - Part 16
2024: The FAR, Federal Acquisition Regulations - Part 16
 
PPT Item # 2 -- Announcements Powerpoint
PPT Item # 2 -- Announcements PowerpointPPT Item # 2 -- Announcements Powerpoint
PPT Item # 2 -- Announcements Powerpoint
 
Managing Planning and Development of Citie- 26-2-24.docx
Managing Planning and  Development of  Citie-  26-2-24.docxManaging Planning and  Development of  Citie-  26-2-24.docx
Managing Planning and Development of Citie- 26-2-24.docx
 
Item # 5&6 - 218 Canyon Drive replat prop.
Item # 5&6 - 218 Canyon Drive replat prop.Item # 5&6 - 218 Canyon Drive replat prop.
Item # 5&6 - 218 Canyon Drive replat prop.
 
The Federal Perspective on Coverage of Medications to Treat Obesity: Consider...
The Federal Perspective on Coverage of Medications to Treat Obesity: Consider...The Federal Perspective on Coverage of Medications to Treat Obesity: Consider...
The Federal Perspective on Coverage of Medications to Treat Obesity: Consider...
 

Ap -climate_history

  • 1. Methane Climate Task Force 16 Jan 2017 How we propose to become HD-46 volunteer climate science advisers • Inform with perspectives and significant new data. http://nw-climate-methane-task-force.org/doku.php
  • 2. Methane Climate Task Force 16 Jan 2017 Opportunities to Continue Progress on Climate Oregon has good planning in place • Environmental Quality Commission, DEQ • Global Warming Commission • Public Utilities Commission Processes in place to conduct Greenhouse Gas Inventory Has a strong climate community Recognizes need to transition from Coal to Clean energy Green energy base is growing 2
  • 3. Methane Climate Task Force 16 Jan 2017 Opportunities to Continue Progress on Climate What we think must happen 3 Issues: West Coast Oysters gone in 2019 Oregon forests emitting, not sinking Carbon CA forest die-off 66M trees since 2010 • Pine beetle, high temps, drought Extensive forest die-off in Oregon
  • 4. Methane Climate Task Force 16 Jan 2017 Opportunities to Continue Progress on Climate • Alignment of activists and policymakers with science is critical • We see a need for more accurate GHG accounting • Attention to energy conservation and demand side reductions as near-term climate solutions • Focus on near term threat of methane releases Climate damage is not like other problems 4 Agenda
  • 5. Methane Climate Task Force 16 Jan 2017 Opportunities to Continue Progress on Climate 5 Organization
  • 6. Methane Climate Task Force 16 Jan 2017 Science is the Same for Activists, Legislators and Policy Ideology plays no part in science or engineering DEQ trying to tell OGWC where we are headed Science should tell us … why there is no measurable effect seen in data from decades of policymaking • Engineering can build on facts to explain and refine numbers and disclose risks (from knowns and unknowns) • Legislators and staff benefit from analysis when independently verifiable Activists are generally not numbers-driven • Jordan Cove is an outstanding exception Will benefit from climate science and analysis 6
  • 7. Methane Climate Task Force 16 Jan 2017 Oregon's GHG Accounting 7 HB 3543 Establishes Global Warming Commission (June 2007) “By 2010, arrest the growth of Oregon′s greenhouse gas emissions”
  • 8. Methane Climate Task Force 16 Jan 2017 Oregon's GHG Accounting 8
  • 9. Methane Climate Task Force 16 Jan 2017 More Accurate GHG Accounting Oregon accounts for GHG using outdated standards • As concern over a near-term climate tipping point has increased in recent years, researchers have shifted from the 100 year time horizon to a 20 year time horizon which captures the greater near term threat from methane. Over a 20 year time frame methane is 84 times as potent as CO2 (GWP20=84). • Oregon’s GHG Inventory is reported with GWP = 28 Emissions below 2,500 m tons CO2e are dismissed, without stipulating how CO2e is to be computed http://www.deq.state.or.us/aq/climate/naturalGas.htm • Emissions estimates are accepted in lieu of actual measurements. Ref. DEQ Division 215 Rules 9
  • 10. Methane Climate Task Force 16 Jan 2017 More Accurate GHG Accounting Oregon PUC Greenhouse Gas Reduction Goal Rate Impact Report 2016 completely omits gas delivery infrastructure and its GHG leakage. http://oregonpuc.granicus.com/MetaViewer.php?view_id=1& Oregon GHG Inventory omits reporting by utilities of life cycle GHG emissions prior to delivery. Commodity delivery services do not measure their leaks or releases. http://www.keeporegoncool.org/sites/default/files/ogwc-st 10
  • 11. Methane Climate Task Force 16 Jan 2017 More Accurate GHG Accounting Externalities in natural gas infrastructure are just as significant as coal. • SB 1547B limits carbon-by-wire from Montana coal • Methane releases prior to natural gas delivery are pervasive in the supply chain • Researchers report range from 1% to 12% of delivered commodity (average 5%) • Natural Gas could be phased out similar to coal-by-wire, just extend SB 1547B rule making In the meantime rule making must require reports on upstream methane releases (i.e. with commodity invoice) 11
  • 12. Methane Climate Task Force 16 Jan 2017 Energy Conservation and Demand Side Reductions New residential and commercial buildings can achieve zero net energy use. • Relying on efficient insulation, heat pumps, and power from onsite renewable energy generation Affordable technologies allow utilities to source renewable energy • CA has directed deployment of utility-scale grid energy storage • PGE planning reported to OPUC includes renewable energy sourcing for 3 of 4 near term options Natural gas, 4th option, increases fossil demand for … 30 years 12
  • 13. Methane Climate Task Force 16 Jan 2017 Near Term Threats Posed by Methane Releases Although CH4 half life is 12 years, dissipated CH4 is being replenished such that measured concentrations are increasing. Claims of methane leak reduction are not correlated in satellite data. When CH4 influence is factored into budget, CO2e margins disappear by surprise. Except for utility and industrial supply infrastructure leaks, most CH4 releases are not controllable. No one knows when historical tripping points will recur. 13
  • 14. Methane Climate Task Force 16 Jan 2017 While working for more data, better conclusions, better understanding on a broader scale, populations incurring displacement and suffering have no part in root causation. As the scale and depth of crises continues to grow, it invites uninitiated deniers to mandate solutions with less supporting data than what climate science has amassed to date. • We have seen no other problem with such uncertainty, such a clear trend line, and with possible lifeform extinctions if mishandled. • Setting aside ideology is a moral obligation for anyone capable of grasping the issues. Nature bats last. 14 Climate Damage is Not Like Other Problems
  • 15. Methane Climate Task Force 16 Jan 2017 Climate Damage is Not Like Other Problems Therefore we need to pick 1.5 degree target: 1) OGWC needs staffing to drive achieving target 2) Oregon needs cost of carbon as hammer/enabler  If we miss 2-yr target, adjust cost of carbon  Money supports Env. Justice as well as transition 3) PUC needs instruction to enable  Life-cycle accounting on fossil fuels  Business planning must assume fossil fuel plants out of service by 2035 – i.e. become stranded assets 4) Oregon won't support “growing the problem” with fossil fuel exports 15
  • 16. Methane Climate Task Force 16 Jan 2017 Climate Damage is Not Like Other Problems Clarity of solution schedule has come slowly. History of denial has slowed understanding. Must work with available info in spite of fog. So:  Decisions must be made without fully agreed, fully complete data, fully processed data  During research and analysis, the message keeps getting worse and worse, increasing urgency.  Delays in intercepting root causes could throw us over tipping points. We make progress in the face of uncertainty in economic, medical, military, or pharmaceutical research efforts in order to avoid undesirable deniable problems, and must do so for climate. • With climate damage, this demands immediate action based on current knowledge. 16