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The manager of the future
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We are standing at a turning point that leads to a dramatically different world created by technology. Progress has already provided many gadgets that influence today’s organizations. With the …

We are standing at a turning point that leads to a dramatically different world created by technology. Progress has already provided many gadgets that influence today’s organizations. With the much-cited second machine age ahead, work as we know it today is likely to change. Consequently, a different set of skills and competencies will be required of managers. In this session we will attempt to develop scenarios of future management development.

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  • 1. The Manager of the Future Interactive session at ESMT’s Annual Forum 2014 Dr. Kirsten B. Fischer ESMT Campus Berlin, July 3, 2014
  • 2. #esmt2050 3 Megatrends have impact on the way enterprises are operating in the future 7/3/2014 Dr. Kirsten B. Fischer 1 2nd machine age* - Moore‘s Law - Digitization - Innovation (Re-) Urbanization** - Mobility - Health/ Infrastructure - Community Services Demographic Change - Smart seniors - Young job nomads Sources: * Brynjolfsson, E./McAffee, A (2014): The Second Machine Age: Work, Progress, and Prosperity in a Time of Brilliant Technologies, W.W. Norton & Company ** UNO Report on urban concentrations 2007, Illustration of The Guardian Trendspot #57, Zukunftsinstitut, Frankfurt
  • 3. #esmt2050 Trends on the market for skilled knowledge workers 7/3/2014 Dr. Kirsten B. Fischer 2 maintain innovative capability for quick market response: mix of fluid & cristalline intelligence market structure changes towards a demand market: shift of negotiation power from employer to employee new criteria of job attractiveness: 1. personal challenge 2. purposeful tasks 3. excellent colleagues life expectancy of 90+: abundancy of „smart seniors“ willing to work part-time beyond their 60s universal availability of ICT leads to „dematerialized“ office work new work relations: 1. share of permanent contracts drops from 80% to 30-40% 2. number of independent persons/ „e-lancers“ rises Sources: Malone, T.W./Laubacher, R.J., (1998): The dawn of the E- Lance Economy, HBR, Vol.76, No.5, pp.145-153 Jánszky, S.G./Abicht, L. (2013): 2025 So arbeiten wir in der Zukunft, Berlin/Wien, Goldegg Verlag
  • 4. #esmt2050 Two likely scenarios of future organizational designs 7/3/2014 Dr. Kirsten B. Fischer 3 Fluid Organi- zations** objective: attract the best, foster „best ideas“ & innovation small team of admin staff; specialized independent project workers change as a rule: permanent onboarding & release of personnel „crowd“ recruiting based on web portals & recom- mendation by others heterarchy***: neither network nor hierarchy Caring Companies* objective: retain valuable talents „corporate life“ culture: (family) values, loyalty sabbaticals, lifetime working time accounts, flextime, lifelong L&D support re: child care, care for the elderly, finance, housing etc. Sources: * Spath, D. (Hg.2012): Arbeitswelten 4.0, Stuttgart, Fraunhofer Verlag ** Kakihara, M. (2004): The rise of the fluid organization? Jánszky, S.G./Abicht, L. (2013): 2025 So arbeiten wir in der Zukunft, Berlin/Wien, Goldegg Verlag *** Stephenson, K. (2009): Neither Hierarchy nor Network: An Argument for Heterarchy
  • 5. #esmt2050 What kind of leadership is required in a fluid organization? 7/3/2014 Dr. Kirsten B. Fischer 4 facilitator innovation coordinator people developer change officer scout/developer of competencies … … … lead in a subtle, almost invisible way provide counselencourage people offer experience/ insight (not imposed) eliminate organizational/ cultural barriers provide recognition & reward Roles Styles
  • 6. #esmt2050 7/3/2014 Dr. Kirsten B. Fischer 5 Thank you! Dr. Kirsten B. Fischer Head of Open Program Counseling Head of Business Development DACH kirsten.fischer@esmt.org +49 2235 406-240 ESMT European School of Management and Technology Campus Berlin Schlossplatz 1 10178 Berlin Campus Schloss Gracht Fritz-Erler-Str. 1 50374 Erftstadt kirsten.fischer@esmt.org www.esmt.org/executive-education