Ireland in 2050: A low carbon future - A greenhouse gas neutral Ireland by 2050

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  • Skip over quickly. Refer back to earlier presentations.
  • Energy 418.5Residential 496.3Industry and Commercial 240.6Agriculture 10387.8Transport 351.8Waste 390.53TOTAL 12285.53That is still 1.25Mt over 20% of 1990 levels but is actually 1.6Mt below 20% of 2005 levels.
  • Unmanaged intact peat/wetland is not represented here because it is estimated to be GHG neutral currently and to remain so up to 2050.Rough Grazing land management, cropland and intact peat/wetland – are assumed to be GHG neutral – being in their current landuse for over 100years, they would have reached an equilibrium state of carbon flux.Current Net = 6.3Mt Sink2050 Net = 8.9Mt Sink
  • Still a residual of 3.4 Mt which could be addressed through further landuse measures, further efforts in agriculture, or limited offset purchase. As developing countries will only be attempting a deviation from business as usual, it could be expected that offset units at a reasonable price would still be available somewhere in world.
  • Irish ODA in 2011 was €659m
  • Ireland in 2050: A low carbon future - A greenhouse gas neutral Ireland by 2050

    1. 1. Ireland in 2050: A Low Carbon Future A Greenhouse Gas Neutral Ireland by 2050Gemma O’ReillyClimate Change Research November 14th, 2012Programme
    2. 2. Outline Existing Irish Goals & Targets The Imperative for Action 80% reduction by 2050 The Role of Landuse A GHG neutral Ireland Climate Finance Challenges The Green Economy Connecting the Dots
    3. 3. Existing Irish Goals and Targets 2020 Mitigation Latest EPA projections suggest a cumulative shortfall Targets of 2-20Mt CO2e up to 2020Longterm Low At least an 80% reduction in GHGs from 1990 levels byCarbon 2050 (EU, 2009)Transition Under the UNFCCC, Ireland is commited with other 2020 Climate developed countries to jointly mobilise $100bn by 2020 Finance Targets from a variety of sources
    4. 4. The Imperative for Action
    5. 5. EU analysis
    6. 6. An 80% Reduction by 2050
    7. 7. Estimated Potential Role of Landuse10 Forest Pre-1990 Forest since 1990 5 Sources Managed Peat/wetland 0 Unmanaged Degraded Current 2050 Peat/Wetland Sinks Cropland -5 Grazing Land Mgmt; organic soils-10 Rough Grazing Land Mgmt; mineral soils Improved Grazing Land Mgmt; mineral soils-15
    8. 8. A GHG Neutral Ireland by 2050120%100% Landuse80% Waste Energy60% Residential Industry &40% Commercial20% 0% 2010 2050-20%
    9. 9. Climate Finance Challenges Ireland as a member of the EU, voluntarily pledged up to €100m over the period 2010-2013, as part of an EU and developed country voluntary commitment In 2010, developed countries under the UNFCCC committed to a goal of jointly mobilising $100bn p.a. by 2020 from a variety of sources; public, private, innovative
    10. 10. The Green Economy2020 Mitigation Use efforts towards the 2020 goal to contribute toTargets longer term low carbon and green economy objectivesLongterm Low Use long term ambition to drive development of IrishCarbon expertise in climate products and services, and toTransition underpin green branding of Irish produce Recognise the €100bn commitment as a large new2020 Climate market for climate products and services, providingFinance Targets impetus to green economy goals
    11. 11. Connecting the Dots Turn challenges into opportunities Green economy strategy should be linked to;  Early efforts  Long term ambition  Climate finance strategy Mitigation ambition should be linked to;  Green branding  Attracting FDI  Selling Irish climate products and services
    12. 12. Questions Welcome Email: g.oreilly@epa.ie

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