Sustainable Mobility Trends around the World - Dario Hidalgo - EMBARQ

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Sustainable urban transport creates more inclusive and prosperous cities. We seem to have a consensus of what is required. However, urban society as a whole is still far away from achieving what we need. This presentation by Dario Hidalgo explores some of the key elements in advancing sustainable mobility and urban development and the status of some practices around the world: transport demand management, mass transit, and shared mobility. The question is whether these good practices will be mainstreamed or not.
Related reading: "Sustainable Urban Transport On The Move” blog series: http://bit.ly/1axQzxC
"Urbanism Hall of Fame" blog series: http://bit.ly/1q0xScJ

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Sustainable Mobility Trends around the World - Dario Hidalgo - EMBARQ

  1. 1. Sustainable Mobility Trends around the World Darío Hidalgo, PhD Director Research and Practice EMBARQ
  2. 2. We Insist in a Paradigm Shift Moving Cars Moving People
  3. 3. Global Report on Human Settlements 2013 http://www.unhabitat. org/content.asp?typeid=19&catid=555&cid=12336
  4. 4. We think we have it clear how Avoid Shift Improve Quantity and length of motorized trips To the most efficient modes Technology and operations
  5. 5. But not enough change is happening
  6. 6. Why? Dispersed single land use Increased urban area Inncreased Motorization [Predicton of Vehicular Flows] Provision of Road Capacity
  7. 7. Soultion of Obesity Eating Lack of Exercise Getting FAT Expanding the Size of The Pants Lewis Mumford 1895 - 1990
  8. 8. Some champions of putting cities on “diet”
  9. 9. Political Will – Community Support Technical Capacity to Plan, Implement, Improve Finance – Infrastructure and Operations Capturing the Trends Keys for a paradigm shift
  10. 10. Something is already happening to our younger genrations
  11. 11. Proportion of licensed drivers by age (1998-2008) Driving is not as cool as it used to be Sivak and Schoettle, 2011 http://deepblue.lib.umich.edu/bitstream/handle/2027.42/86680/102764.pdf
  12. 12. Passenger Car Travel (1990=100) Peak Travel? Source: International Transport Forum 2012
  13. 13. Photo by Alan Crawford, http://www.bikeleague.org/
  14. 14. Cycling on the Rise - USA http://www.bikeleague.org/content/acs- bike-commuting-continues-rise
  15. 15. Really shy compared with Western Europe http://www.fietsberaad.nl/library/repository/bestanden/Fietsberaad_ publicatie7_Engels.pdf
  16. 16. http://citymaus.tumblr.com/post/1986376111/cphbikehighways
  17. 17. New trends picking up
  18. 18. Vehicle demand management
  19. 19. Congestion pricing – emerging Year
  20. 20. Received wide implementation due to EU’s health-based air quality standard; Additional 100 EU cities will implement LEZs Low emission zones - tipping in European Union
  21. 21. Caps the number of new vehicle registrations Formats Beijing, Guiyang – Lottery Singapore, Shanghai – Auction Guangzhou and Tianjin – Auction and Lottery Vehicle quota system – on the rise in China Year
  22. 22. http://churumuri.files.wordpress.com/2011/07/11july07kpn78.jpg
  23. 23. TransMilenio, Bogotá, 104 km 2 million pax/day
  24. 24. Metro rail - tipping in China London 1863; 189 cities - 10,500 kilometers - 112 million pax/day; 189 Cities 10,500 km 112 MM pax/day 168 Cities 4,424 km 31 MM pax/day
  25. 25. Global Growth of Car Sharing 2000-2012
  26. 26. Urban design for access
  27. 27. Multimodal Integration Touch and ride with the newest innovation from Google. Photo by yoshinari.
  28. 28. The future is not what it used to be; we see some indications of change, but not enough is happening!
  29. 29. Our Role
  30. 30. www.bogotacomovamos.org
  31. 31. Today 2041 Automobility Sustainable Transport Population (millions) 5.4 13.2 13.2 Trips (millions/yr) 5.6 39.75 39.75 Area (Sq. Km.) 1330 6484 3242 Emissions (million Tons CO2/yr) 0.33 12.32 1.97 Traffic Fatalities (per yr) 175 5,232 1,225 Ahmedabad – Future Scenarios If all of this happens you end up with very different cities: liveable, affordable, safe
  32. 32. And a very different planet 42,971 33,194 0 5,000 10,000 15,000 20,000 25,000 30,000 35,000 40,000 45,000 50,000 2000 2005 2010 2015 2020 2025 2030 2035 2040 2045 2050 Road Travel (Billion Veh-Km) 4 Degree Scenario 2 Degree Scenario Source: IEA (2012) Energy Technology Perspectives 22,8% reduction in vehicle-km USD 20 Trillion Savings
  33. 33. With 1.3 million people not killed in traffic 3,783,009 5,098,418 0 1,000,000 2,000,000 3,000,000 4,000,000 5,000,000 6,000,000 2005 2010 2015 2020 2025 2030 2035 2040 2045 2050 Worldwide annual traffic fatalities 2 Degree Scenario 4 Degree Scenario Source: EMBARQ Analysis, Duduta and Hidalgo (2013) 1.315.409 lives/year saved due to the reduction in VKT
  34. 34. Streets for people not roads for cars
  35. 35. Thank You! ¡Muchas Gracias! धन्यवाद
  36. 36. http://gehlarchitects.files.wordpress.com/2012/09/header.jpg

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