Kaz Fukui - GE Power & Water - IEA Workshop

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Presentation by Kaz Fukui from GE Power & Water

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Kaz Fukui - GE Power & Water - IEA Workshop

  1. 1. GE Power & WaterSIEW 2012IEA WorkshopKaz FukuiMarketing Director, Asia-PacificGE Power & Water 25th October 2012 GE Proprietary Information All Rights Reserved © General Electric Company 2012
  2. 2. Overview 1 ASEAN power needs & role of clean technologies 2 Available clean technology options for ASEAN 3 Key for enabling decarbonization of ASEAN power industry 2 10/31/2012 © General Electric Company 2012
  3. 3. ASEAN capacity new addition forecast(2012-2021) Vietnam Other Thailand SE Asia Philippines 6 GW 21 GW 45 GW 9 GW Malaysia Indonesia 10 yr addition (GW) Coal 64 Gas 41 Hydro 13 Renewables 17 12 GW Oil 2 Nuclear 6 TOTAL ~140 49 GW Source: GE Energy Strategic Marketing forecasting & other sources 3 (Based on the expected order figures) 10/31/2012 © General Electric Company 2012
  4. 4. ASEAN CO2 emission forecast Figures = Power related(2012-2021) Mt/yr Vietnam CO2 emission in Mt/yr Thailand Mt/yr Philippines Mt/yr 11% CAGR 3% CAGR 3% CAGR +46Mt +10Mt +30Mt Indonesia Mt/yr Malaysia Mt/yr 6% CAGR 4% CAGR Mt/yr 2012 2021 CAGR Japan 550 590 1%ASEAN 5 430 670 5% +39Mt +118Mt Source: GE Energy Global Strategy & Planning forecast, Jan 2012 4 10/31/2012 © General Electric Company 2012
  5. 5. Clean technology … tendency to focus onmainstream solar & wind300 US$B CAGR 258 „04-‟11250 220 Marine 30%200 Geothermal 12% 167 161 Small hydro 22%150 133 Biomass & w-t-e 8% 97 Biofuels 10%100 61 Solar 40% 50 40 Wind 30% 0 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 Source: “Global trend in renewable investment 2012”, UNEP (With 5 Bloomberg New Energy Finance) 10/31/2012 © General Electric Company 2012
  6. 6. Critical to evaluate & embrace a toolboxof options to drive decarbonization…. Wind Geothermal SolarBiomass Biofuel Clean technology Hydro Energy Other future … efficiency Emission Microbial coal-to-gas Smart Grid / Micro-grids reduction Waste plasmasification Waste Heat Recovery Energy storage Cleaner coal Liquid air energy CCS storage etc. etc. …. 6 10/31/2012 © General Electric Company 2012
  7. 7. Portfolio approach Healthcare Transportation • evolution locomotive • Digital X Ray • Trip Optimizer • Voluson Ultrasound • Movement PlannerOil & Gas • WAVE Bioreactor• Ibox Home & Business• Oregen Waste Solutions Heat Recovery • LED Light Sources Systems • High Eff. CFLs• PGT25+ gas • Smart Appliances turbines for compression $140B+ Eco Revenues ($21B ) Focused on technology and innovationAviation• GEnx• TrueCourse Capital Flight • Environmental Management Performance Services • Arden Access System Energy • Australia eco Mastercard• Passport • Flex Efficiency 50 Integrated Water • Wind Turbines • Zeeweed Membranes Propulsion • Jenbacher Alternative Fuel gas engines • Pro/Titan Reverse Osmosis • SmartGrid • ABMet – Advanced Biological • WattStation/DuraStation EV charging Metals Removal 7 10/31/2012 products © General Electric Company 2012
  8. 8. Cleaner coalImproved plant efficiency through efficient engineering andimproved materials • Supercritical steam turbines achieve net plant efficiencies of 42-44% (LHV) • Typically reduce emissions by 20% compared to existing subcritical plants • Stepping up the temperature and pressure to Ultra-supercritical leads to even greater efficiencies of 44-46% and environmental benefits Source: GE Power & Water 8 10/31/2012 © General Electric Company 2012
  9. 9. Technology integrationExpanding infrastructure synergies … gas + renewables 9 10/31/2012 © General Electric Company 2012
  10. 10. Flexible & efficient gasRenewable enabler & bridging technology Large units Small units • 61%+ baseload efficiency … 510MW • High efficiency 50MW combined cycle • One-button start in <30 minutes • Full power in 5 minutes • 51 MW/min ramp rate … 50% faster • Fuel flexibility than industry benchmark • Lower emissions with zero water • Central & distributed • Flexible supply to grid • Proven technology • Dispatchable and low cost power • Lower carbon footprint than coal Source: GE Power & Water 10 10/31/2012 © General Electric Company 2012
  11. 11. Other clean technologies for ASEAN Waste-to-energy with gasification Biomass gasifier Micro-grid More flexible smart-grid deploymentPower from Waste heat recoverywaste heat Renewables (e.g. dieselgenerators) Core traditional renewables 11 10/31/2012 © General Electric Company 2012
  12. 12. How to promote best available cleantechnologies in ASEAN?Hurdles Require • Demonstration of the value of the technology (inc. pilot) • Alliance network & demand creation • Support mechanism & drivers No single “best” technology … enable portfolio of clean technologies to be deployable with references & clear demonstration of values 12 10/31/2012 © General Electric Company 2012
  13. 13. The private sector is keen to help ASEANdevelop cooperation in energy sector The key policy elements that need to be embraced by all ASEAN members to ensure greater cooperation: 1. Encourage a diversification of energy resources and the use of clean energy technologies 2. Encourage the development of renewable energy through policies that support FiTs and pilot projects 3. Promote open trade and eliminate barriers in environmental goods and services 4. Adopt transparent processes in facilitating the development of energy projects 5. Set energy efficiency targets and enforce them 6. Work with other multilateral organizations, such as APEC, to promote clean energy policies 13 10/31/2012 © General Electric Company 2012
  14. 14. 14 10/31/2012© General Electric Company 2012

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