2012 apr saewc_pres
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2012 apr saewc_pres

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2012 apr saewc_pres 2012 apr saewc_pres Presentation Transcript

  • Growth & Development Trends of Automotive Aluminum Randall SchepsChairman, The Aluminum Association’s Transportation Group Marketing Director – Automotive 1
  • Who We Are 2 AluminumInTransportation.org
  • Aluminum Builds a Better Vehicle Mass Better Fuel Reduction Economy Infinitely Recyclable Reduced Emissions Improved Enhanced Safety Performance 3 AluminumInTransportation.org
  • OEMs Weigh in on Weight Plans to use more aluminum to cut vehicle weight. BMW, Reuters Audi relies on aluminum… to achieve benefits of down weighting as seen in the 2011 A8, such as a 25% increase in “Based on our current body stiffness, while reducing understanding, we believe we’re weight by up to 20%. approaching the practical limits ofAudi/ATG, Joint press release the application of high-strength steels,” says Frank Paluch, senior vice president at Honda R&D Americas at the International Automotive Body Congress. 4 AluminumInTransportation.org
  • North American Aluminum Use Survey Conducted by Ducker Worldwide Primary ObjectiveAccurate estimate of 2012 light vehicle aluminum content Secondary Objective Estimate “most likely” material mix through 2025 5 AluminumInTransportation.org
  • Aluminum Content in 2012 Wheels 790 Transmissions 785 Cylinder Blocks 636 Cylinder Heads 588 Heat Transfer 516 Other Engine 371 Brake Parts 130 Closures 126 Steering Knuckles 115 Intake Manifolds 112 Control Arms & Links 89 Transfer Cases 88 Bumpers 70 Differential Carriers 69 Other Steering 60 Engine Mounts 49Cradles & Crossmembers 24 IP Structure 23 Drive Shafts & Yokes 14 All Other Compnents 125 0 100 200 300 400 500 600 700 800 900 Millions of Pounds 6 AluminumInTransportation.org
  • Aluminum Share Expected to Double 100% 8% 11% 90% 16%Percent of Material Mix 80% 70% Aluminum 60% 58% 54% 46% 50% Steel 40% 30% All Other 20% 34% 35% 38% Materials 10% 0% 2008 2015 2025 Source: Ducker Worldwide 2011 7 AluminumInTransportation.org
  • 40 Years of Uninterrupted 600 Growth The trend linePounds per Vehicle continues 500 to be supported by 2012: 343 lbs new aluminum 400 applications 300 Average increase of 7 lbs per year for 35 years 200 100 0 1975 1980 1985 1990 1995 2000 2005 2010 2015 2020 2025 8 AluminumInTransportation.org
  • Content Growth 2009-2012 (over 50%Body, Bumper & Closure 58% from closures) Crossmembers 19% Suspension 16% Steering 10% Average Increase 5% Wheels & Brakes 3%Transmission & Driveline 3% Engine 3% Heat Transfer 1% 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% Total Pounds 9 AluminumInTransportation.org
  • Growth: Hoods, Trunks, Doors & Bumpers 25Pounds per Vehicle 20 Pounds per Vehicle New Applications 11 (Primarily body, bumper & closure components) 8 15 4 10 12 1 12 10 11 10 5 6 8 5 3 2 3 0 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 10 AluminumInTransportation.org
  • Aluminum is a Cost Effective SolutionIncreased use of aluminum is necessary and costeffective in achieving 400 lb Average Cost of Direct weight reduction by 2025 Weight Savings Cost Dollar/Pound Saved Primary $2.00 Secondary ($1.82) Net Cost $0.18 11 AluminumInTransportation.org
  • Aluminum is a Safe Solution Downweighting is Pound for pound necessary to meet aluminum can absorb demands without two times thesacrificing safety or energy in a crash functionality. compared to steel. Aluminum provides According to a study benefits that span conducted by the Univ. many aspects of design, of Aachen, aluminum including providing has a ~40% weight stronger, safer, reduction potential. more durable Steel has ~11%. vehicles. 12 AluminumInTransportation.org
  • Conclusions OEMs efforts to meet 35.5 mpg by 2016 coupled with the uncertainty surrounding the fuel economy standards beyond2016 has caused a flurry of down weighting activity in the last two years.OEMs don’t want expensive alternative powertrains to be forced on consumers,but they see the commercial and political value of saving weight.2025 – Average vehicle will get lighter by 400 lbs- Aluminum: sheet & extrusions/closures, body-in-white, bumper & suspension- AHSSAluminum will grow to 16% of curb weight- 2012 – 343 lbs / 2025 – 550 lbs- Industry added 200 lbs per vehicle from 1990 to 2012- Increase of 207 lbs in 13 yearsThe aluminum industry has the capacity to support an aluminum intensive fleetin 2017-2025. 13 AluminumInTransportation.org
  • Thank YouQuestions www.AluminumInTransportation.org 14