Golobal Financial Crisis

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    Golobal Financial Crisis - Presentation Transcript

    1. GOLOBAL FINANCIAL CRISIS
      REASONS AND ISLAMIC SOLUTIONS
    2. WHEN DID IT BEGIN?
      Early signs appeared in 2007
      Very reason was funding of external wars
      Bush administration spent >$ 5 trillion in 7 years of military expeditions
      It lead to increase in public debt of > $4.5 trillion between FY 2002-2008
      This is a crisis of accumulated debts beyond the capacity of US financial system
    3. Steps which led to this crisisCollapse of Real Estate Market
      Undue burden of real estate funding contracts
      • Loan guarantee contracts
      • Securitization
      • Debt securities trading
      • Credit derivatives
      • Credit default swaps
    4. Collapse of semi-wholesale finance institutions
      Mortgage corporations like Fannie Mae & Freddie Mae
      Collapse of other banks
      Confidence upon financial institutions deteriorated
      Banks ceased to give short term loans to companies and institutions
    5. Crisis in services and production sectors
      Down sizing and closure of businesses
      Reducing employment and laying off workers
      Decline in demand for consumer goods
      More decrease in employment
    6. Structural causes that aggravated the crisis
      1-Large expansion in speculation transactions in financial markets
      Including conducted through internet
      They overshadowed the real transactions
      Real transactions affect the fluidity of capital and moving investments
      Speculation transactions are unproductive since they merely move capital from the losers to the winners.
    7. 2-Emergence of many transactions merely for speculations on prices
      These transactions do not produce any added value to the market
      Huge amount of money and great human capacities are invested in them
    8. 3- Culture of quick profits
      Without consideration to the long term results of the transactions
      Deficiency of laws, regulations and administrative oversight on the methods of creating new forms of transactions
      When there are no laws or regulations to control people’s behavior then why would they not extract maximum profits
    9. 4-Shift of capital from service and production to financial institutions
      There was inflation of financial sector profits
      It led investors to believe that this is the way to make quick gain of wealth
      Layers of mere financial transactions accumulated and ballooned moving capital away from production sector
      This brought the theory of upside down pyramid- which is very unstable
    10. Upside down pyramid
    11. 5-Dependence on interest based loans
      This has been the foundation of funding in capitalist system
      It does not produce any added value by itself
    12. 6-Securitization
      There was prevalence of securitization
      It led to culture of “strike and place the burden upon others”
      It created interconnection among the financial institutions. So all the institutions fell with the fall of first piece of domino
    13. 7- Exchange and trade of debts
      Enormous investments were attracted to such transactions
      It does not result in any real increase in productions
      These are often quickly influenced by the media and political events
      These would not happen if interest was not adopted as the part of finance and re finance
    14. 8-Investors trend towards being more cautious
      This led to increase in the processes of derivatives
      It inflated the size of mere financial swaps
      There was more interconnection among institutions
      Hence the retrogressive impact spread from one institution to the other
    15. 9-Dependence upon public debt rather than taxes
      This led to inflation in the process of financial exchange at both levels:
      1- Local
      2- International
    16. 10- Exorbitant rise in US military spending
      No doubt it increases labor and employment in defense sector
      However, it does not tend to improve the productive capacity of the economy
      Competitive capacity of US products in foreign markets diminished
      Deficit in the balance of trade accumulated
      This undermined the confidence in US economy
    17. Short Term Solutions(Usurious) by experts in capitalist milieu
      1-Rescuing the failing banks, specially retail banks.
      • They can resume short term loans to companies
      • This will alleviate the financial crisis in the production sector
    18. 2-Income increasing program specially for middle class
      • Enable the debtors to overcome the housing crisis
      • Ease the problem of diminishing demand for consumer goods
      • This will send signal to the factories not to cut productivity or to lay off workers
      • Increase spending on service sector ( education and healthcare) which has large workforce
    19. 3-Freeze installments and interest rates for buyers of houses
      Interest be frozen, decreased or cancelled for a short period of time
      Give respite to debtors who took house loans
      Real Estate pricing will regain stability
      Real estate construction will resume
    20. 4-Decrease the public debt
      Avoid increase in public debt
      Measures be taken to decrease public debt
      Taxes be imposed upon wealthy
    21. 5- Dealing in derivatives
      Dealing in derivatives be immediately stopped
      Their remnants must be gradually dissolved, specially the credit derivatives
    22. Long term solutions1- New legislations and oversight
      1-New legislation to curb expansion of financing beyond the capacity of the debtor
      2- This is specially needed in real estate and credit card market
      3- Retail banks and finance companies must be forced to abide by strict standards
      4- These institutions should be under strict Government oversight and be held accountable for any attempt to lure customers into contracts beyond their capacity
    23. 2-Turning the financial markets to support goods production and services
      Ban or minimize the deals based on mere speculations:
      . Index related deals
      Contracts on differences
      Credit derivatives
      Short term deals
      Future deals
      Restricting choices as means of caution, in a way that is based or linked to an existing situation in assets or liabilities
    24. Turning the financial markets
      Limiting or banning the currency trade on the internet and cancelling licenses for platform of currency speculations on the internet
      Platforms of goods and stock speculations on the internet should also be banned
      Generally, the financial markets be turned back to support services and goods production and not at investments and profits involving speculations
    25. 3- Limiting Securitization
      Securitization of debts be banned
      Only taskik ( financial documentation) be used. In taskik, the financial documents represent real assets excepting debts and money.
    26. 4- Legislation to ban circulation and trade in debts
      These processes do not create any added value.
      Strict restrictions be placed for discounting and rediscounting of debts
    27. 5-Developing institutional funding from banks and non institutional funding from the markets
      This is to be bound by 2 main constraints:
      Establishing a direct connection with the real market of services and goods. This way the funding in the society does not go down the drain or transform into financial accumulations that turns away from the real market
      Giving preference to moral criteria in funding over the criteria for mere profit gains. It means funding be withheld from goods and services which are harmful to the society and environment.
    28. 6-Individual’s right of ownership is a fundamental right
      It is improper for an individual to cede this right or right to freely benefit from it.
      Only exception to this rule is if individual wants to give it up voluntarily
      Contractual increase in debts and loans for deferred payment is unjust. It is not compatible with the requirement of rights to property and entitlement.
      Debts should not be susceptible to increase. No added value is generated from them.
    29. Islamic Banks and current crisis of debts
      Islamic banks were less affected because:
      They do not buy financial papers based on debts
      They do not deal with usurious debts
    30. Setbacks for Islamic Banks in this crisis
      Islamic banks which dealt with traditional banks through goods Murabihah have billions of dollars to be paid by the latter
      Banks that dealt in Tawarruq (securitization) with their clients and holders of credit cards also have lot of inflated debts to be paid by ailing clients
      Banks that invested in global stock markets are also affected
      Islamic banks are affected by the financial difficulties of their clients (falling income etc)
    31. Lessons for Islamic Finance
      1- There is deep seated confidence in the correctness of Islamic finance because:
      • Its adherence to funding by sales leases and partnership
      • Avoidance of usurious loans
      • Avoidance of loans that takes away finance from real market of production and exchange
      • Its rejection of circulation and securitization of debts
    32. 2-Stop imitation of financial practices devoid of reality of goods
      Avoid contracts that produce no added value but only shift wealth from one hand to other
      Funds of Islamic caution
      Contracts of compound promises
      Imaginary contracts of investment
      Other practices founded upon no real production or exchange
    33. 3-Re evaluate certain financial dealings adopted by some Islamic banks
      Dealings which separate finance from real market and avoid relying on the production of an added value
      Avoid dealings which rely on accumulation of debts not accompanied by movement in services or goods
      These dealings widen the gap between the real market and the financial market. This leads to financial instability.
    34. 4-Transactions of Tawarruq and Murabaha for local and international commodities
      These represent debts not based on real exchange of goods but on overlapping contracts
      They result in illusory financial accumulations
      They do not reflect the true identity and goal of Islamic finance
      Islamic finance, hence, would fail to maintain its moral purity and fail to apply its moral standards to the measures it follows
    35. 5-Financial markets in Muslim countries must be reviewed
      Financial speculations should be limited and restrictions should be laid down on their different types
      Transactions that do not involve real investment should be banned
      Systems in some Muslim markets do not allow many derivatives which is one of the most important causes of the crisis
    36. 6-Views,opinions and some practices be revised
      Short term sale
      Derivatives and dealings on the same day
      Markets of caution
      Mudawalat (speculations) via the internet using currency
      These practices create mentality of quick profits with spirit of selfishness and speculations
    37. 7-Principles of Islamic finance should be presented to the world
      This is part and parcel of true image of Islam
      This message is directed to all mankind
      This is a message of mercy to the world
      Implementation of these principles guarantee elimination of oppression
      They guarantee justice and human rights.
      These rights include reaping the fruits of one’s property, protection against encroachment upon personal property.
    38. 8-Re evaluation of financial documents from Sharia perspective is needed
      Attempts are to be made to perfect their (documents) rules
      We need to lay down the organizational and jurisprudential regulations
      These regulations should ensure that they will not slip into forms of securitization that dominated the Western financial markets
    39. 9-Firm stance against selling debts
      There must not be any selling of debts
      There should be no discounting and rescheduling the debts even under false names
    40. Islam’s Guidance
      There hath come to you from Allah a (new) Light and a perspicuous Book.
      Wherewith Allah guides all who seek His good pleasure to ways of peace and safety and leads them out of darkness by His Will unto the light guides them to a Path that is Straight.
      Surah Al Maidah 5:15,16
    41. Contrast of financial systems
      Conventional Finance
      Islamic Finance
      Interest and interests based transactions
      Deposits and loans
      Banks create and destroy money
      Interest is forbidden and so no interest based transactions
      Equity shares and ownership of real assets in investment projects
      Banks do not create or destroy money
    42. Contrast of financial systems
      Conventional Finance
      Islamic Finance
      Asset-liability mismatch, illiquid
      Money multiplier depends on reserve ratio, very high; infinite with securitization
      Speculation, a casino, debt trading
      No asset-liability mismatch, liquid
      Money multiplier depends on the savings ratio, very low
      No speculation, no debt trading
    43. Contrast of financial systems
      Conventional Finance
      Islamic Finance
      Interest rate not related to real economy, high price distortion
      Social inequality: inflation tax, redistributive issues, food riots
      Highly cyclical: booms and busts, uncertainties, unpredictable growth
      Profit rate determined by real economy, no price distortion
      Social equality: no inflation tax, no redistribution
      Stable economic growth, predictable
    44. Contrast of Financial Systems
      Conventional Finance
      Islamic Finance
      Massie bankruptcies, contagions, bailouts
      Interest rate policy, highly destabilizing
      No systemic bankruptcies, no bailouts
      No interest policy, money aggregates are used, highly stable

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