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PM-O5 Assessing the Economic Impact of Case Management on Diabetics in a  Commercially Insured Population Felix J. Bradbury, RN, MHA, ScD*, CHE Blue Cross Blue Shield of Louisiana 2004
AGENDA ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
The Three Questions We’re Working to Answer : ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
A Few Definitions… ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
BCBSLA Population (Q1-2004 Membership) ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
QUESTION 1: What is the ROI for the Various Departments within  Medical Management?
Summary of Medical Management Cost Savings, 2003 Medical management cost-savings are generated via a combination of the following activities: ( Note that cost savings due to non-certified days and changes in level of care (LOC) are based on per diem reimbursement.  Case rates and DRG rates are not included in the current cost savings methodology.) -Changes in level of care, i.e., acute day to sub-acute day using M&R criteria and directly attributable to care management activities. -Non-certified care, i.e., denied days or services because of lack of medical necessity or pre-existing condition. Any admission day this was subsequently denied.  Non-certification days may be applied to acute care, rehabilitation, SNF, LTAC, home health or hospice rates -Medical policy review, i.e., denial based on experimental or investigational procedures, or therapeutics. -Pharmacy benefit management, i.e., increasing generic utilization relative to brand utilization and leveraging pharmacy tiers.
Examples of Cost Savings from LOC Changes or Non-Certified Care in Per Diem Facilities Cost-savings are calculated by subtracting the median value for a lower level of care from the median value for a higher level of care.  For example, the median allowed amount for a SNF day is $500/day; the median allowed amount for an acute day is $1,592.50.  The difference between $1,592.50 and $500 is the cost savings.  In this example, the cost savings for this change in level-of-care is $1,092.50 per change in level-of-care.  All cost-saving estimates are based on the median allowed dollars.  Median values across levels-of-care were used to generate estimated reimbursement amounts; median values were used in lieu of averages because the former is less susceptible to the influences of outlier values.
Medical Management  Cost-Savings Model Assumptions ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
QUESTION 2: What is the Cost-Benefit of Case Management Activities for Diabetic Members Over the Short-term Period of a Single Year?
What are We Attempting to Demonstrate? ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
The Impact of Diabetes in Louisiana ,[object Object]
Diabetes and Case Management in a Commercially-Insured population ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],Note: Historical costs are simply annualized costs and represent the sum of all allowed medical and pharmacy costs for a member observed during the 12-month period.  These allowed costs are computed as the total allowed PMPM cost multiplied by 12.
The Basic Methodologies for Looking at Short-Term and Long-Term Savings ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
The Basic Model
The Retrospective (Case-Control)  Study Design ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],Notes: The “0s” represent observations on the dependent variable, in this case the average allowed costs for diabetic members each month within each of the two groups, and the “Xs” represent interventions from case management.  The dotted lines indicate the study participants are  not randomly   selected  but are assigned to either case group or a control group depending on whether or not they elected to participate in a case management program, i.e., the members are self-selecting.  Self-selection may be controlled for using the Heckman approach to self-selection bias, i.e., the Heckman two-step consistent estimator for modeling with censored data.
Why a Retrospective Study Design? ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Study Design, Continued ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
The CRMS Data ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
An Example of the Data
What Do We Hope to See? 1500 Estimated Savings in Dollars 2.6 2.8 3 3.2 3.4 RR Score 0 5 10 15 Time Period (Months) Baseline Score Observed_RR_Score Savings Source: Blue Cross Blue Shield of Louisiana, MMRD, 2003 N=2,500 active members from January 1-December 31, 2003 Hypothetical ROI Analysis for High-Risk Members 0 500 1000
The Math Model ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Summary Statistics for CM Enrolled vs. Not Enrolled Claims paid or incurred between August 2003 and July 2004  Members enrolled in CM at any time during study period ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],Hx costs are annualized costs and represent the sum of all medical and pharmacy costs for a member observed during the 12-month period.  These costs are computed as the total allowed PMPM cost multiplied by 12.  Data are age-sex adjusted using OLS regression. The CV is coefficient of variation and is calculated as the standard deviation divided by the mean and is another measure of variation.
Incremental Savings? ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Conclusions ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
QUESTION 3: How Can We Model the Cost-Benefit of the Long-term Savings Associated with Case Management Activities?
Markov Modeling and Cost Savings ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Markov Transition State Models for Diabetics Enrolled and Not Enrolled in  Case Management Programs
Setting Up the Markov Model (Cohort Simulation model)
The Markov Model -  Continued
 
QUESTION &  ANSWER SESSION
Bibliography ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Bibliography - Continued ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
THE END

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Presentation for Mckesson Payor Solutions Conference on Case Management, 2004

  • 1. PM-O5 Assessing the Economic Impact of Case Management on Diabetics in a Commercially Insured Population Felix J. Bradbury, RN, MHA, ScD*, CHE Blue Cross Blue Shield of Louisiana 2004
  • 2.
  • 3.
  • 4.
  • 5.
  • 6. QUESTION 1: What is the ROI for the Various Departments within Medical Management?
  • 7. Summary of Medical Management Cost Savings, 2003 Medical management cost-savings are generated via a combination of the following activities: ( Note that cost savings due to non-certified days and changes in level of care (LOC) are based on per diem reimbursement. Case rates and DRG rates are not included in the current cost savings methodology.) -Changes in level of care, i.e., acute day to sub-acute day using M&R criteria and directly attributable to care management activities. -Non-certified care, i.e., denied days or services because of lack of medical necessity or pre-existing condition. Any admission day this was subsequently denied. Non-certification days may be applied to acute care, rehabilitation, SNF, LTAC, home health or hospice rates -Medical policy review, i.e., denial based on experimental or investigational procedures, or therapeutics. -Pharmacy benefit management, i.e., increasing generic utilization relative to brand utilization and leveraging pharmacy tiers.
  • 8. Examples of Cost Savings from LOC Changes or Non-Certified Care in Per Diem Facilities Cost-savings are calculated by subtracting the median value for a lower level of care from the median value for a higher level of care. For example, the median allowed amount for a SNF day is $500/day; the median allowed amount for an acute day is $1,592.50. The difference between $1,592.50 and $500 is the cost savings. In this example, the cost savings for this change in level-of-care is $1,092.50 per change in level-of-care. All cost-saving estimates are based on the median allowed dollars. Median values across levels-of-care were used to generate estimated reimbursement amounts; median values were used in lieu of averages because the former is less susceptible to the influences of outlier values.
  • 9.
  • 10. QUESTION 2: What is the Cost-Benefit of Case Management Activities for Diabetic Members Over the Short-term Period of a Single Year?
  • 11.
  • 12.
  • 13.
  • 14.
  • 16.
  • 17.
  • 18.
  • 19.
  • 20. An Example of the Data
  • 21. What Do We Hope to See? 1500 Estimated Savings in Dollars 2.6 2.8 3 3.2 3.4 RR Score 0 5 10 15 Time Period (Months) Baseline Score Observed_RR_Score Savings Source: Blue Cross Blue Shield of Louisiana, MMRD, 2003 N=2,500 active members from January 1-December 31, 2003 Hypothetical ROI Analysis for High-Risk Members 0 500 1000
  • 22.
  • 23.
  • 24.
  • 25.
  • 26. QUESTION 3: How Can We Model the Cost-Benefit of the Long-term Savings Associated with Case Management Activities?
  • 27.
  • 28. Markov Transition State Models for Diabetics Enrolled and Not Enrolled in Case Management Programs
  • 29. Setting Up the Markov Model (Cohort Simulation model)
  • 30. The Markov Model - Continued
  • 31.  
  • 32. QUESTION & ANSWER SESSION
  • 33.
  • 34.