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The Future of Information Technology Presentation
 

The Future of Information Technology Presentation

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    The Future of Information Technology Presentation The Future of Information Technology Presentation Presentation Transcript

    • Emerging Technologies to Watch
      • Ballistic Magnetoresistance (BMR)-based drives: 50+ DVDs on a hard drive the size of a credit card
      • Wireline: 10GB Ethernet (802.3ae) approved by IEEE in 2002
      • Wireless
        • “ 3G” cell phones: 11.4 million by 2003; 66.4 million by 2005; 250 million+ by 2007
        • TI expects single-chip cell phones by end of 2004
        • WIFI continues to expand in corporate and community settings
      • Radio Frequency ID (RFID) – new “Auto ID” standards
      • Biometrics: face, fingerprints, hand geometry, handwriting, iris, retinal, vein and voice
      • Network Services Architecture-bases systems (UDDI, WSDL, XML, and more)
      • E-paper, Smart-paper, Flexible Displays
    • Standing At the Crossroads
      • Variable-Price Vending Machines at Amusement Parks
      • Explosion in e-mail (2002: 31 billion/day, 2006: 60 billion/day)
      • By 2010, over 27 million e-workers in European Union (est. 3 million in 2000)
      • Online consumer sales ($1.5 billion/week in late August 2002) continuing to accelerate
      • Households paying e-Bills to reach 52 million by 2006 (up from 18 million in 2001)
      • Smart-Paper, wireless signs in department stores and elsewhere
      • Computerized, implanted, drug-delivery chips
    • Words of Wisdom
      • Clinging to the Past and Present:
        • “ Computers in the future may weigh no more than 1.5 tons” (Popular Mechanics, 1949)
        • “ 640K ought to be enough for anybody.” (Bill Gates, 1981)
      • Seeking the Future:
        • "At every crossroads on the path that leads to the future, tradition has placed 10,000 men to guard the past."    -- Count Maurice Maeterlink
        • Life is what's coming, not what was .
    • Through the Looking Glass… WFS Technology Timeline
      • 2005:
        • Retinal implants linked to video cameras
        • 100 teraflop computers
        • All patients tagged (RFID) in hospitals
        • Voice synthesis quality up to human standards
        • 80% of U.S. homes have PCs
    • Through the Looking Glass… WFS Technology Timeline
      • 2010:
        • 25% of TV celebrities are synthetic
        • All government services delivered electronically (2008)
        • Optical neurocomputers mimic brain functions
        • Electronic supercomputers as fast as human brain
        • First Net War fought between cybercommunities
        • Effective prediction of most natural disasters
        • Emotionally responsive toys & robots (2006)
    • Through the Looking Glass… WFS Technology Timeline
      • 2015:
        • Satellite location devices implanted into pets
        • 3-D videoconferencing
        • Desktop computer as fast as human brain
        • ID cards replaced by biometric scanning
        • DNA computer
    • Through the Looking Glass… WFS Technology Timeline
      • 2020:
        • Machine knowledge exceeds human knowledge (2017)
        • Electronic life forms given basic rights
        • Only 15% of deaths worldwide due to infectious diseases
        • Sensors widely used in countryside to monitor environment
        • Computers linked to biological sensory organs
        • Reservations required to use some key roads
        • Computer-enhanced dreaming
    • Through the Looking Glass… WFS Technology Timeline
      • 2025:
        • Fully functioning artificial eyes
        • Learning superseded by transparent interface to smart computers
        • Robots surpass developed-world population
        • VR becomes popular entertainment in nursing homes
        • Holographic TV