D&B US Economic Health Tracker (June 2014)

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The D&B U.S. Economic Health Tracker exhibited resilience in May 2014. Readings on the small business community continued to stabilize although the anticipated bounce back has so far failed to materialize. In the meantime, some 297,000 new non-farm jobs were created, driven by strong gains in the business services and trade/transportation/utilities segments. Finally, the U.S. Business Health Index strengthened once again in May, registering a 54-percent index value, the highest recorded level since the index began in December 2010. U.S. businesses show sustained balance sheet and financial health, based on the weighted average of D&B's Viability Rating, Delinquency Predictor, and Total Loss Predictor. In spite of accelerating business expansion, lackluster economic growth and uncertainty remain significant restraints and should be monitored closely heading into the third quarter.

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D&B US Economic Health Tracker (June 2014)

  1. 1. 3.0% 8.5% 4.4% Payment Delinquency Credit Card Delinquency Credit Card Use Manufacturing Retail Real Estate Construction Business Services Trade, Transportation & Utilities Small Business Health Index U.S. Jobs Health D&B U.S. Economic Health Tracker A multi-dimensional view of the U.S. Economy D&B’s Small Business Health Index continued to stabilize during the reporting period as small businesses delivered on-time bill and credit-card payments. Access to traditional forms of credit remains a challenge, however. D&B estimates 297,000 new jobs were added to U.S. payrolls in May 2014, with substantial gains in business services and trade/transportation/utilities. June 2014 Small Business Health Index: Overall Source: D&B Global Data, Insights & Analytics 60 80 100 120 May '14Dec '10Dec '08Dec '06Dec '04 0.3points US Jobs Health: Overall Source: D&B Global Data, Insights & Analytics 140000 180000 220000 260000 300000 May '14Apr '14Mar '14Feb '14Jan '14Dec '13 297,000 www.dnb.com/tracker
  2. 2. The D&B U.S. Economic Health Tracker exhibited resilience in May 2014. Readings on the small business community continued to stabilize although the anticipated bounce back has so far failed to materialize. In the meantime, some 297,000 new non-farm jobs were created, driven by strong gains in the business services and trade/transportation/ utilities segments. Finally, the U.S. Business Health Index strengthened once again in May, registering a 54-percent index value, the highest recorded level since the index began in December 2010. U.S. businesses show sustained balance sheet and financial health, based on the weighted average of D&B’s Viability Rating, Delinquency Predictor, and Total Loss Predictor. In spite of accelerating business expansion, lackluster economic growth and uncertainty remain significant restraints and should be monitored closely headed into the third quarter. The Small Business Health Index measures year-over-year small business performance through equally weighted payment patterns and credit use. U.S. Jobs Health combines Small Business Health Index industry data with BLS figures to forecast monthly nonfarm payroll employment. The U.S. Business Health Index provides a year-over-year equally weighted average of D&B’s Viability Score, Delinquency Predictor and Total Loss Predictor. The index ranges from zero (with all businesses recording high levels of risk) to 100% (with all businesses recording low levels of risk). Data available as of May 30, 2014. Methodology www.dnb.com/trackerJune 2014 About Dun & Bradstreet® (D&B) The Dun & Bradstreet Corporation is the world’s leading source of commercial data, analytics and insight on businesses, or “content.”Our global commercial database contains more than 235 million business records. We transform commercial data into valuable insight which is the foundation of our global solutions that customers rely on to make critical business decisions. © Dun & Bradstreet, Inc. 2014. All rights reserved. (DB-3819 6/14) U.S. Business Health Index To learn more, visit www.dnb.com/tracker Perspectives 15.1% 2.4% Viability Delinquency 4.0%Total Loss US Business Health Index: Overall Source: D&B Global Data, Insights & Analytics 45 50 55 May '14Jan '13Feb' 12 IMPROVEMENT NEUTRAL DETERIORATION 7.3% TOTAL INDEX VALUE 54.0 Y/Y U.S. business health improved 7.3 percent year-over-year in May 2014. Lower risk of future business failure and strong balance sheets continue to be the trend. How to read this indicator: A reading of 50% represents “neutral.” A reading of more than 50% reflects improvement and a reading of less than 50% reflects deterioration.

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