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Emerging Mobile Trends:

What is 4G and will it change
        everything?
  and some other “stuff”

         Steve Furminger

           @furminger
WHAT IS THE HISTORY LEADING TO 4G?
         (apologies for the acronyms)
4G IS THE FOURTH
   VERSION OF MOBILE
      STANDARDS
G is simply “Generation”

We have experienced 1G, 2G, 2.5G, 3G, 3.5G and now 4G is here

LTE is the standard chosen in the UK it refers to “Long Term Evolution”

Nokia Siemens have a good intro video...
THE SIMPLE TRUTH ABOUT LTE
THE MOBILE EVOLUTION TIMELINE
1G - was the first generation of mobile
network created in the very early1980’s.

Data transfer was analogue at 4.6kbps
which allowed voice and text messaging.

Poor quality and service.
THE MOBILE EVOLUTION TIMELINE

2G (GSM) launched early 1992
introduced digital modulation, converting
the analogue sound into digital and then
back again.

Better devices with cameras, music players
embedded.



         * global system for mobile communications
THE MOBILE EVOLUTION TIMELINE

2.5G (GPRS) launched around1999
introduced packet switching technology
allowing data rates 56kbps-115kbps

Devices starting to become more than
phones - maps, MMS and WAP - not quite
“smart” but useful.



               * general packet radio system
THE MOBILE EVOLUTION TIMELINE

2.75G (EDGE) launched around 2002
improved data rates further.

More of a “Bolt-On” to 2.5G but increased
data throughput to 384kbps




            * enhanced data for gsm evolution
THE MOBILE EVOLUTION TIMELINE
And then came 3G... the BIG change to
the mobile ecosphere.

First offered in 2002 in S. Korea it very
slowly rolled out globally. (new frequencies
meant new towers and networks)

By 2007, the 200 millionth 3G subscriber
was connected cross only 190 networks in
40 countries.
THE MOBILE EVOLUTION TIMELINE
3G standard included:

Revolutionary new protocols - non
backwards compatible - UMTS based on
GSM standards and CDMA based on 2G
standards.

Evolved EDGE - based on original EDGE
networks with improved speed of up to
1Mbps
               * universal mobile telecommunications system
                        code division multiple access
THE MOBILE EVOLUTION TIMELINE
However in the background things haven’t
stood still, networks have improved, new
and update standards have been
introduced.
THE MOBILE EVOLUTION TIMELINE
3.5G arrived quietly....

HSPA offered 14 Mbit/s downlink and
supported by 200 carriers in 80 countries.

Many HPSA rollouts were a simple
software upgrade to 3G networks

By 2010 over 1000 devices were available
supporting this standards.


                      * high speed packet access
THE MOBILE EVOLUTION TIMELINE
3.5G continued to improve

HSDPA provides up to 28 Mbit/s

HSPA+ (another evolution) provides an
updated HSPA standard allowing for data
rates of up to 42 Mbit/s down and with
5.4 Mbit/s uplink.

By Jan 2012 200 carriers had released or
announced plans to support HSPA+.

       * high speed downlink packet access
THE MOBILE EVOLUTION TIMELINE
Is 3G dead in the medium term?

Doubtful as new standards are still being or are planned to be introduced
and all are based on 3G tech so require a smaller outlay.

Dual Cell HSDPA allows for 84 Mbit/s and increased call quality in poor
reception areas.

Dual Cell and MIMO will double that connectivity if adopted.

Further planned HSPA+ networks will provide 672 Mbit/s downstream.
THE MOBILE EVOLUTION TIMELINE




         So... What Happens Next....
THE NEXT EVOLUTION
4G is being released (although we should
actually be calling it 3.9G?)

Most networks acknowledge it is the
platform for the immediate future.

Lots of hype and marketing behind it but
in reality it is an evolution NOT a
revolution in mobile communication
standards.

It is part of the Long Term Evolution of
previous technologies.
SO WHAT IS 4G EXACTLY?
In March 2008, the ITU specified the
requirements for 4G setting peak speeds
at 100 Mbit/s for mobile and 1 Gbit/s for
stationary and low mobility use.

2 current standards brand as 4G, WiMAX
and LTE, although both fall short of the full
standards.

The ITU has since allowed much lower
specs to be referred to as 4G.
ONE QUICK SLIDE ON WIMAX
WiMAX - World Interoperability for Microwave Access

Designed to provide up to 1 Gbit/s data rates (with latest update).

“Wi-Fi on steroids” with large distances available - city wide in some
cases - a single connection you don’t drop out.

Due to frequencies in use, signals inside buildings are affected

Large initial uptake in USA, Malaysia and Indonesia.

In USA the mobile networks on WiMAX have announced LTE plans.
4G LTE EXPLAINED
1st Release of LTE networks typically boast downstream connections
of 300 Mbit/s. In reality, this is nearer 10 - 20 Mbit/s.

LTE is a redesign of 3G architecture so that all data and voice is now
transferred via IP, this makes things simpler than 3G’s distinct voice and
data channels.

In the US HSPA+ is also badged as 4G although it is slower than LTE.

However, 4G needs new towers and with the delayed UK auction, the
timescales for release in the UK have been slow.
4G LTE EXPLAINED
SO WHAT CAN YOU EXPECT?




      Faster Speeds! in reality...
A REAL WORLD EXAMPLE
THE MOBILE DEVICES THEMSELVES
                                     As with all new technologies, the roll
                                     out of hardware is initially expensive
                                     and most are high end phones

                                     EE has launched with 8 4G phones

                                     LTE is now infamous for its battery
                                     drain
The Samsung Galaxy Nexus in the US
                                     Slightly bigger than their 3G variants
AND JUST TO MIX THINGS UP
     The UK 4G spectrum isn’t the same as the US and other European countries.

 The iPhone 5 wont work on O2 and Vodafone 4G networks next year as it currently
                       stands as uses different frequencies.

We may be back to the days of a device will only be launched on one UK network due
                                 to the hardware.

Apple had to withdraw the 4G reference from the iPad 3 in the UK as it doesn’t support
                              the UK 4G frequencies.
SO WHAT WILL CAN WE DO WITH 4G?
                   As you would expect, most
                   potential applications lend
                   themselves towards video and
                   cloud computing. Faster speeds
                   will improve experiences with
                   these platforms.

                   Online gaming will experience
                   benefits due to lower latency
                   times and overall network
                   responsiveness.
HD VIDEO STREAMING




Watching video on a smartphone with 3G service often means tolerating pixelation, jerky
                        movement, and even screen freezes

3G service cannot establish a large enough data pipe to the end device to deliver a high
number of video data packets fast enough to create high definition on the small screen
VIDEOCONFERENCING




   Real time low latency bi-directional video streaming really is suited to the faster 4G
                                         networks.

Like HD Video streaming it requires a certain downstream and upstream connections, 4G
                      should cater for this as of its first release.

    Videoconferencing on mobile devices (a decent quality Skype call) should work
MOBILE AND ONLINE GAMING




            Finally the pale gamer types have no excuse to stay indoors.

 4G has introduced the first generation of real time mobile games that operate over
                                 mobile networks.

The high throughput allows for gamers positions and HD video assets to be delivered
LIVE TV




Existing LiveTV applications such as Sky Go will automatically become a better experience
           and provide the same journey and quality as if the user were on wi-fi.
BUT...
IT WONT BE THIS JUST YET
This will be another 4-6 years before LTE Advanced is rolled out providing a much bigger
                           speed gain. Then it will be true 4G!!
IT DOESN’T STOP AT
          4G

Korea is already investing heavily in potential new standards so as to push the boundaries
 of mobile connectivity. Universities in the UK have had £25million initial funding into 5G
                                         technologies.

The new standards are currently with the ITU and others for agreement, but note each
major upgrade to mobile networks has been 10 years apart since the 1982 and the 1st
        generation networks so we should see 4.5G in 2016 and 5G in 2022.
AND FOR SOMETHING A LITTLE
        DIFFERENT
IPAD MINI RELEASE NEXT WEEK?
The iPhone 5 rumours were spot on
so....

7.85” inch screen
A5 processor as in iPad 2
£179 and up?
Front and Rear cameras
Usual 8GB, 16GB, 32GB and 64GB
Retina display?
SAMSUNG GALAXY S3 MINI
A smaller brother to the popular S3, but still
same size as iPhone 5


4”screen
5 megapixel rear camera
4G LTE compatible
1GHz processor
4.1.1 Android Jellybean
ASUS PADFONE 2 RELEASE Q1 2013
         is it a phone or it a tablet?
                   Its BOTH!
MOBILE PHONE INSIDE MAGAZINE
                                                     CW Television is
                                                    promoting its new
                                                autumn line up with a live
                                                twitter feed display inside
                                                 the latest Entertainment
                                                    Weekly magazine.

                                                 Using the mobile display
                                                  it shows the latest 6
                                                     tweets in a loop.

 Theres only 1000 of these special version being printed in NY and LA
         Phone is a custom made Android device from China.
LASTLY...... MICROSOFT SURFACE RT
             Windows 8 new touchscreen tablet

             Available now for pre-order from £399

             new Metro interface as used in Windows Phone 7+
             10.6” screen
             1920x1080p full HD screen
             more expensive Pro version due in the new year
             ships next week for arrival on the 30th October
THANK YOU

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Digital Berkshire, October 2012: Emerging Mobile Trends

  • 1. Emerging Mobile Trends: What is 4G and will it change everything? and some other “stuff” Steve Furminger @furminger
  • 2. WHAT IS THE HISTORY LEADING TO 4G? (apologies for the acronyms)
  • 3. 4G IS THE FOURTH VERSION OF MOBILE STANDARDS G is simply “Generation” We have experienced 1G, 2G, 2.5G, 3G, 3.5G and now 4G is here LTE is the standard chosen in the UK it refers to “Long Term Evolution” Nokia Siemens have a good intro video...
  • 4. THE SIMPLE TRUTH ABOUT LTE
  • 5. THE MOBILE EVOLUTION TIMELINE 1G - was the first generation of mobile network created in the very early1980’s. Data transfer was analogue at 4.6kbps which allowed voice and text messaging. Poor quality and service.
  • 6. THE MOBILE EVOLUTION TIMELINE 2G (GSM) launched early 1992 introduced digital modulation, converting the analogue sound into digital and then back again. Better devices with cameras, music players embedded. * global system for mobile communications
  • 7. THE MOBILE EVOLUTION TIMELINE 2.5G (GPRS) launched around1999 introduced packet switching technology allowing data rates 56kbps-115kbps Devices starting to become more than phones - maps, MMS and WAP - not quite “smart” but useful. * general packet radio system
  • 8. THE MOBILE EVOLUTION TIMELINE 2.75G (EDGE) launched around 2002 improved data rates further. More of a “Bolt-On” to 2.5G but increased data throughput to 384kbps * enhanced data for gsm evolution
  • 9. THE MOBILE EVOLUTION TIMELINE And then came 3G... the BIG change to the mobile ecosphere. First offered in 2002 in S. Korea it very slowly rolled out globally. (new frequencies meant new towers and networks) By 2007, the 200 millionth 3G subscriber was connected cross only 190 networks in 40 countries.
  • 10. THE MOBILE EVOLUTION TIMELINE 3G standard included: Revolutionary new protocols - non backwards compatible - UMTS based on GSM standards and CDMA based on 2G standards. Evolved EDGE - based on original EDGE networks with improved speed of up to 1Mbps * universal mobile telecommunications system code division multiple access
  • 11. THE MOBILE EVOLUTION TIMELINE However in the background things haven’t stood still, networks have improved, new and update standards have been introduced.
  • 12. THE MOBILE EVOLUTION TIMELINE 3.5G arrived quietly.... HSPA offered 14 Mbit/s downlink and supported by 200 carriers in 80 countries. Many HPSA rollouts were a simple software upgrade to 3G networks By 2010 over 1000 devices were available supporting this standards. * high speed packet access
  • 13. THE MOBILE EVOLUTION TIMELINE 3.5G continued to improve HSDPA provides up to 28 Mbit/s HSPA+ (another evolution) provides an updated HSPA standard allowing for data rates of up to 42 Mbit/s down and with 5.4 Mbit/s uplink. By Jan 2012 200 carriers had released or announced plans to support HSPA+. * high speed downlink packet access
  • 14. THE MOBILE EVOLUTION TIMELINE Is 3G dead in the medium term? Doubtful as new standards are still being or are planned to be introduced and all are based on 3G tech so require a smaller outlay. Dual Cell HSDPA allows for 84 Mbit/s and increased call quality in poor reception areas. Dual Cell and MIMO will double that connectivity if adopted. Further planned HSPA+ networks will provide 672 Mbit/s downstream.
  • 15. THE MOBILE EVOLUTION TIMELINE So... What Happens Next....
  • 16. THE NEXT EVOLUTION 4G is being released (although we should actually be calling it 3.9G?) Most networks acknowledge it is the platform for the immediate future. Lots of hype and marketing behind it but in reality it is an evolution NOT a revolution in mobile communication standards. It is part of the Long Term Evolution of previous technologies.
  • 17. SO WHAT IS 4G EXACTLY? In March 2008, the ITU specified the requirements for 4G setting peak speeds at 100 Mbit/s for mobile and 1 Gbit/s for stationary and low mobility use. 2 current standards brand as 4G, WiMAX and LTE, although both fall short of the full standards. The ITU has since allowed much lower specs to be referred to as 4G.
  • 18. ONE QUICK SLIDE ON WIMAX WiMAX - World Interoperability for Microwave Access Designed to provide up to 1 Gbit/s data rates (with latest update). “Wi-Fi on steroids” with large distances available - city wide in some cases - a single connection you don’t drop out. Due to frequencies in use, signals inside buildings are affected Large initial uptake in USA, Malaysia and Indonesia. In USA the mobile networks on WiMAX have announced LTE plans.
  • 19. 4G LTE EXPLAINED 1st Release of LTE networks typically boast downstream connections of 300 Mbit/s. In reality, this is nearer 10 - 20 Mbit/s. LTE is a redesign of 3G architecture so that all data and voice is now transferred via IP, this makes things simpler than 3G’s distinct voice and data channels. In the US HSPA+ is also badged as 4G although it is slower than LTE. However, 4G needs new towers and with the delayed UK auction, the timescales for release in the UK have been slow.
  • 21. SO WHAT CAN YOU EXPECT? Faster Speeds! in reality...
  • 22. A REAL WORLD EXAMPLE
  • 23. THE MOBILE DEVICES THEMSELVES As with all new technologies, the roll out of hardware is initially expensive and most are high end phones EE has launched with 8 4G phones LTE is now infamous for its battery drain The Samsung Galaxy Nexus in the US Slightly bigger than their 3G variants
  • 24. AND JUST TO MIX THINGS UP The UK 4G spectrum isn’t the same as the US and other European countries. The iPhone 5 wont work on O2 and Vodafone 4G networks next year as it currently stands as uses different frequencies. We may be back to the days of a device will only be launched on one UK network due to the hardware. Apple had to withdraw the 4G reference from the iPad 3 in the UK as it doesn’t support the UK 4G frequencies.
  • 25. SO WHAT WILL CAN WE DO WITH 4G? As you would expect, most potential applications lend themselves towards video and cloud computing. Faster speeds will improve experiences with these platforms. Online gaming will experience benefits due to lower latency times and overall network responsiveness.
  • 26. HD VIDEO STREAMING Watching video on a smartphone with 3G service often means tolerating pixelation, jerky movement, and even screen freezes 3G service cannot establish a large enough data pipe to the end device to deliver a high number of video data packets fast enough to create high definition on the small screen
  • 27. VIDEOCONFERENCING Real time low latency bi-directional video streaming really is suited to the faster 4G networks. Like HD Video streaming it requires a certain downstream and upstream connections, 4G should cater for this as of its first release. Videoconferencing on mobile devices (a decent quality Skype call) should work
  • 28. MOBILE AND ONLINE GAMING Finally the pale gamer types have no excuse to stay indoors. 4G has introduced the first generation of real time mobile games that operate over mobile networks. The high throughput allows for gamers positions and HD video assets to be delivered
  • 29. LIVE TV Existing LiveTV applications such as Sky Go will automatically become a better experience and provide the same journey and quality as if the user were on wi-fi.
  • 31. IT WONT BE THIS JUST YET This will be another 4-6 years before LTE Advanced is rolled out providing a much bigger speed gain. Then it will be true 4G!!
  • 32. IT DOESN’T STOP AT 4G Korea is already investing heavily in potential new standards so as to push the boundaries of mobile connectivity. Universities in the UK have had £25million initial funding into 5G technologies. The new standards are currently with the ITU and others for agreement, but note each major upgrade to mobile networks has been 10 years apart since the 1982 and the 1st generation networks so we should see 4.5G in 2016 and 5G in 2022.
  • 33. AND FOR SOMETHING A LITTLE DIFFERENT
  • 34. IPAD MINI RELEASE NEXT WEEK? The iPhone 5 rumours were spot on so.... 7.85” inch screen A5 processor as in iPad 2 £179 and up? Front and Rear cameras Usual 8GB, 16GB, 32GB and 64GB Retina display?
  • 35. SAMSUNG GALAXY S3 MINI A smaller brother to the popular S3, but still same size as iPhone 5 4”screen 5 megapixel rear camera 4G LTE compatible 1GHz processor 4.1.1 Android Jellybean
  • 36. ASUS PADFONE 2 RELEASE Q1 2013 is it a phone or it a tablet? Its BOTH!
  • 37. MOBILE PHONE INSIDE MAGAZINE CW Television is promoting its new autumn line up with a live twitter feed display inside the latest Entertainment Weekly magazine. Using the mobile display it shows the latest 6 tweets in a loop. Theres only 1000 of these special version being printed in NY and LA Phone is a custom made Android device from China.
  • 38. LASTLY...... MICROSOFT SURFACE RT Windows 8 new touchscreen tablet Available now for pre-order from £399 new Metro interface as used in Windows Phone 7+ 10.6” screen 1920x1080p full HD screen more expensive Pro version due in the new year ships next week for arrival on the 30th October

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