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IDATE - LTE 2012 : Deployments stepping up

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This is the LTE overview from our expert : Frederic Pujol during MWC 2012. DigiWorld by IDATE have also teamed up to publish the new edition of its special White Paper: “LTE 2012 - Markets & Trends”, …

This is the LTE overview from our expert : Frederic Pujol during MWC 2012. DigiWorld by IDATE have also teamed up to publish the new edition of its special White Paper: “LTE 2012 - Markets & Trends”, available on our website : http://idate.org

Published in: Business, Technology

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  • 1. LTEDeployments stepping upMarkets & trendsContact: Frédéric PUJOL 28 February 2012+33 (0)4 67 14 44 50 - f.pujol@idate.org 1
  • 2. Content LTE commercial services LTE subscriptions - forecasts Devices MNOs’ strategies - Conclusions 2
  • 3. World LTE market : a watch servie from IDATE 3
  • 4. LTE deployment roadmap Geographical mapping of early LTE commercial deployment At the end of 2011 there were close to 10 million LTE subscriptions worldwide. More than 60% of the LTE subscribers were in Europe the USA and Verizon Wireless was representing close to 90% of this figure - 160 M pop. at mid- 2011 - nationwide by 2013 Canada and USA Today more than 50 commercial LTE networks Asia – both FDD and TDD USA, Japan and South Korea are leading the packMajor operators LTE commercial deployment schedule LTE subscribers 3Q 2011 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 Rank MNO Country Subscribers 3GPP WCDMA Operators 1 Verizon Wireless USA 3 165 000 2 NTT DoCoMo Japan 388 600 TD- SCDMA 3 SK Telecom South Korea 250 000 4 TeliaSonera Sweden 200 000 3GPP2 CDMA 5 Tele2 Sweden 105 000 operatorsSource: IDATE Source: IDATE 4
  • 5. Review of LTE devices availability Dongles & mobile hot-spots Mobile handsets & smartphones AT&T’s first smartphones Samsung’s first LTE dongle Novatel MiFi 4510L mobile hotspot Early LTE handsets: Samsung Craft and Galaxy Indulge AT&T’s first mobile hotspot and dongle HTC Thunderbolt, HTC Velocity Verizon, first LTE first LTE Smartphone Smartphone in EuropeDongles and personal hot-spot devices prove to Voice supported on 3G networksbe popular Tablets Other connected devices Motorola Xoom tablet Samsung’s GalaxyTab 10.1 Sierra Wireless M2M LTE gateway ZyXEL LTE fixed routerTablets are an important part of the device offer Routers for rural areas (Germany, Verizon)►30 Modules, 11 Tablets, 10 Notebooks, 2 PC Cards, 27 Smartphones, 70 Routers, 47 Dongles - Source: GSA 11/2011►700 MHz: 106, 800 MHz: 42, 1800 MHz: 41, 2600 MHz: 52, 800/1800/2600 MHz: 32, AWS: 35 5
  • 6. LTE subscriptions forecasts ► By the end of 2016, we forecast, there will be more than 830 million LTE subscriptions worldwide ► Of these, Asia-Pacific will represent 37.2% of the total, North America 23.8% and Western Europe 16.9% 6 Source: IDATE (February 2012)
  • 7. LTE tariffs GermanyPlan Monthly rate Network Data Device Plan Monthly Monthly Overage fee (EUR) cap rate data (USD)Mobile Internet 65 LTE 20 GB Dongle (USD) allowanceflat 50 4G mobile broadband 50 5 GB 10 per 1 GBMobile Internet 45 Includes use of 10 GB Dongle plans (for 4G USBflat 21.6 LTE modems and MiFi)Mobile Internet 35 Includes use of 7.5 GB Dongle 80 10 GB 10 per 1 GBflat 14.4 LTE 4G data plans for LTE 30 2 GB 10 per 1 GB smartphones (no tethering) 50 5 GB 10 per 1 GB 80 10 GB 10 per 1 GB 4G data plans for LTE 50 4 GB 10 per 1 GB smartphones with tethering 70 7 GB 10 per 1 GB 100 12 GB 10 per 1 GB Name and Speed/ USB- Data Monthly Monthly scope of modem volume rate rate ‘Surfzone rate plan (SEK) (EUR) ’ hotspot (for contract of 24 months) speed Mellan 4G Up to 20 Included 10 GB 249 28 (Intermediate Mbps 4G’) Stor 4G Up to 40 Included 20 GB 349 39 (‘Grand 4G’) Mbps Total 4G Included 30 GB 499 56 (‘Total 4G’) 7Source: IDATE (February 2012)
  • 8. The LTE wholesale model Many actors using new spectrum (satellite L-Band, S-band, 2.3 GHz…) Consolidation likely in the USA & LightSquared out of the game Difficulties in RussiaSharing and wholesale model can be combined Sharing agreement? Will sell LTE ? capacity Provides cells Sells LTE sites and capacity? helps building Sells Mobile theterrstrial WiMAX LTE network capacity Will sell LTE capacity to MVNOs and distributors Sells LTE capacity Plans to build a wholesale LTE network in the S-band (USA) Builds a wholesale LTE network in the 1800 MHz band (Poland) Builds a wholesale LTE network in the 2.3 GHz band for rural areas Build a common GSM and LTE network (Sweden) Source: IDATE 8
  • 9. Conclusions Mobile sector still dynamic in the USA & Asia, struggling in Europe Devices: > Smarphones representing a growing part of devices shipments > LTE devices coming slowly to the market > The US market is currently the priority for LTE device manufacturers LTE networks: > RAN available, LTE commercial networks in 2010 > IMS core networks being built, key to VoLTE offering > LTE delivers the expected data rates and latency > LTE-Advanced: probably earlier than expected LTE is seen as a solution to congestion and saturation network issues in dense areas LTE can be a differentiating tool in very competitive markets LTE spectrum: > Fragmentation risk > Regional harmonization likely MNOs strategies: > New technology path > More capacity / higher data rates > Network sharing developing and wholesale operators appearing 9
  • 10. Thank you! 10