MNI India Business Sentiment Indicator September 2013
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MNI India Business Sentiment Indicator September 2013

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MNI India Business Sentiment Indicator September 2013 MNI India Business Sentiment Indicator September 2013 Document Transcript

  • London, 25 September 2013 MNI INDIA BUSINESS SENTIMENT EMBARGOED UNTIL 9.45 A.M. NEW DELHI TIME, 25 SEPTEMBER 2013 MNI India Business Indicator Fell to 59.4 in September from 64.0 in August Rupee Hurts Businesses The MNI India Business Indicator fell to 59.4 in September from 64.0 in August, but remained significantly above the low seen in April. Most of the indicators in the report showed a continued recovery in September, and it is likely that the downturn in overall business conditions was due to concerns surrounding the rupee, with companies reporting further pain from the decline in the exchange rate. Both Production and New Orders recovered further in September rising to their highest level since the series began in November 2012, led by gains in manufacturing. Inflationary pressures increased in September with an increase in the Prices Received Indicator suggesting wholesale price inflation is likely to remain at raised levels for now. Companies reported that the depreciation in the rupee was hurting business with the indicator measuring the impact of the exchange rate hitting the lowest level since the series began in November 2012. Commenting on the latest survey, MNI Indicators Chief Economist Philip Uglow said, “In spite of the plunge in the rupee and the stream of negative headlines on India, our data shows that growth may have troughed in April.” “The economic recovery, though, is likely to be slow, given the relatively weak global outlook, high level of domestic inflation and the negative impact from the recent hike in the policy rate on growth,” he added. - ENDS - MediaRelease
  • Page 2 MNI Indicators | Deutsche Börse Group MediaRelease For further information, please contact: Naomi Kim, Public Relations naomi.kim@deutsche-boerse.com +1 212 669 6459 Arno Castanet, Marketing arno.castanet@mni-indicators.com +44 (0)20 7862 7434 Editorial Content: Philip Uglow, Chief Economist, MNI Indicators Notes to Editors Please source all information to MNI Indicators. MNI India Business Sentiment is a monthly poll of Indian business executives at companies listed on BSE (formerly known as the Bombay Stock Exchange). Companies are a mix of manufacturing, service, construction and agricultural firms. Respondents are asked their opinion on whether a particular business activity has increased, decreased or remained the same compared with the previous month as well as their expectations for three months ahead, e.g. is Production higher/same/lower compared with a month ago? Diffusion indicators are then calculated by adding the percentage share of positive responses to half the percentage of those respondents reporting no change. An indicator reading above 50 shows expansion, below 50 indicates contraction and a result of 50 means no change. Data is collected via telephone interviews. Around 200 companies are surveyed each month. About MNI Indicators MNI Indicators, part of Deutsche Börse Group, offers unique macro-economic data and insight to businesses and the investment community. We produce data and intelligence that is unbiased, pertinent and responsive. Our data moves markets. For more information, visit our website at www.mni-indicators.com.