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Multiparty Computation in 2029:
Boom, Bust, or Bonanza!
David Evans
mightBeEvil.org
University of Virginia
Microsoft Research
Applied Multiparty Computation
21 February 2014
1
Why 2029?

2
Why 15 years?

3
4
PODC '97

5
MPC in 2014

62014
MPC in 1999

1999

72014
PODC 1997

8
MPC in
1984

1984

1999

92014
MPC in 1969

1969

1984

1999

102014
Non-free NOR gate (from Apollo Guidance Computer)
11
Where should
multiparty computation
be in 2029?

12
US Government Investment in MPC
NSF:
~$25M
DARPA: ~$25M
AFOSR: ~$15M
IARPA, NSA: ?

$100M?

National Endowment for the Arts
$130M/year

13
US Government Investment in MPC
NSF:
~$25M
DARPA: ~$25M
AFOSR: ~$15M
IARPA, NSA: ?

$100M?

Virginia Snow Removal Last Week
> $100M

14
“Acceptable” Result (for “Us”)

Photo credit: Benny Pinkas

some significant papers
interesting intellectual problems

students get good jobs
15
“Acceptable” Result (for Taxpayers)

Photo credit: Benny Pinkas

Multi-billion dollar industry
Things that make everyday life better
16
Where should
multiparty computation
be in 2029?

17
Claim #1
Secure multi-party computation
industry should be bigger than
malware industry in 2029.

18
$ 300B
$ 250B
$ 200B
$ 150B

Worldwide IT
Security Market:
~$70B/year,
growing 8.7%/year
[Gartner]

$ 100B

2012
2013
2014
2015
2016
2017
2018
2019
2020
2021
2022
2023
2024
2025
2026
2027
2028
2029

$ 0B

Microsoft

$ 50B

19
$ 300B
$ 250B
$ 200B
$ 150B

Worldwide IT
Security Market:
~$70B/year,
growing 8.7%/year
[Gartner]

$ 100B
$ 50B
2012
2013
2014
2015
2016
2017
2018
2019
2020
2021
2022
2023
2024
2025
2026
2027
2028
2029

$ 0B
20
Claim #2
High cost is no longer the main
impediment to widespread use of
secure (two-party) computation.

21
(De)Motivating
Application:
“Genetic
Dating”
Bob

Alice
Genome Compatibility
Protocol

Your offspring will have
WARNING!
good immune systems!
Don’t Reproduce

Your offspring will have
WARNING!
good immune systems!
Don’t Reproduce
22
1982

Genetic Dating

Progress in MPC!

Millionaires’ Problem

1984

1999

23
Link
24
25
26

Nov 2013

Apr 2013

Sep 2012

Feb 2012

Jul 2011

Dec 2010

May 2010

Oct 2009

Mar 2009

Aug 2008

Jan 2008

Jun 2007

Nov 2006

Apr 2006

Sep 2005

Feb 2005

Jul 2004

Dec 2003

May 2003

Oct 2002

Mar 2002

Aug 2001

$100,000,000

$10,000,000

$1,000,000

$100,000

$10,000

$1,000
27

Nov 2013

Apr 2013

Sep 2012

Feb 2012

Jul 2011

Dec 2010

May 2010

Oct 2009

Mar 2009

Aug 2008

Jan 2008

Jun 2007

Nov 2006

Apr 2006

Sep 2005

Feb 2005

Jul 2004

Dec 2003

May 2003

Oct 2002

Mar 2002

Aug 2001

$100,000,000

$10,000,000

$1,000,000

$100,000

$10,000

$1,000
Apr 2013
28

Nov 2013

[SZ 2013]

Pipelining, etc.
[HEKM 2011]

Free XOR [KS 2008]

From $100M to $0.001
in less than a decade!
Sep 2012

Feb 2012

Jul 2011

Dec 2010

May 2010

Oct 2009

Mar 2009

Aug 2008

Jan 2008

Jun 2007

Nov 2006

Apr 2006

Sep 2005

Feb 2005

$1,000,000

Fairplay [MNPS 2004]

$10,000,000

Jul 2004

Dec 2003

$10,000

May 2003

$100,000

Oct 2002

Mar 2002

Aug 2001

$100,000,000

JustGarble [BHKR 2013]

$1,000
29

Nov 2013

Apr 2013

Sep 2012

Feb 2012

Jul 2011

Dec 2010

May 2010

Oct 2009

Mar 2009

Aug 2008

Jan 2008

Jun 2007

Nov 2006

Apr 2006

Sep 2005

Feb 2005

Jul 2004

Dec 2003

May 2003

Oct 2002

Mar 2002

Aug 2001

$100,000,000,000
$10,000,000,000
$1,000,000,000

$100,000,000

$10,000,000

$1,000,000

$100,000

$10,000

$1,000
30

Nov 2013

Apr 2013

Sep 2012

Feb 2012

Jul 2011

Dec 2010

May 2010

Oct 2009

Mar 2009

Aug 2008

Jan 2008

Jun 2007

Nov 2006

Apr 2006

Sep 2005

Feb 2005

Jul 2004

$10,000

Dec 2003

$100,000

May 2003

Oct 2002

Mar 2002

Aug 2001

$100,000,000,000
$10,000,000,000

$1,000,000,000
$100,000,000

$10,000,000

$1,000,000

From $80B to $0.005
in less than a decade!

$1,000
Costs that Still Matter
Many Parties: costs for > 3 parties are still way
off the charts (and interesting applications
need millions of parties)
Energy: MPC requires 10,000x (?) energy of
unencrypted computation
– Data centers today ~5M homes
31
Things That Really Matter
Understanding what outputs leak
Embedding auditing? Privacy models?
Meaningful end-user value
How do I trust the client code?
(Human) cost to build MPC systems
Easy integration/separation with
standard computation
32
Claim #3
We don’t yet know what the
“killer app” for MPC is.*
* Maybe we will after the Business Case panel today!
33
Claim #3
We don’t yet know what the
“killer app” for MPC is and its
probably not privacy.
34
Multi-Party Computation in 2029: Boom, Bust, or Bonanza?
36
Det er svært at spå, især
om fremtiden.
Robert Storm Petersen

It is difficult to predict, especially about the future
37
Theory vs. Practice
My New
Theory of Computation
Book!
39
plug book

Illustrations by
Kim Dylla

A Tragicomic Tale of
Combinatorics and
Computability
for Curious Children of All
Ages
dori-mic.org
“If only I had this book when I was
a young student, I might have
done something useful with my
life like discover a new complexity
class instead of dropping out and
wasting my life flipping pancakes,
playing with basic blocks, and
eradicating polo.”
Gill Bates,
Founder of Mic-Soft Corporation

MiniLEGO [FJNNO 2013]
Finding the “killer app”
for MPC…

42
“sending faxes
from the beach”

“tucking your baby in
from a phone booth”
43
WorldWideWeb
[Berners-Lee 1990]

multi-touch, pressure
interface
[Negroponte 1984]
David Evans
evans@virginia.edu

MightBeEvil.com
dori-mic.org
45

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Multi-Party Computation in 2029: Boom, Bust, or Bonanza?