Printed and Chipless RFID Forecasts, Technologies & Players to 2021

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The next ten years will see a rapid gain in market share of mainstream printed and chipless RFID tags. The numbers sold globally will rise from 40 million in 2009 to 624 billion in 2019. By value, printed and chipless versions will rise from less than $5 million in 2009 to $3.93 billion in 2019, one third of all income from RFID tags in 2019 because most of the increase in penetration will be by price advantage. In 2019, the average price of an item level tag will be 1 cent but chipless versions will be less - particularly so when printed directly onto packaging.

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Printed and Chipless RFID Forecasts, Technologies & Players to 2021

  1. 1. Printed and Chipless RFID Forecasts, Technologies & Players 2011-2021 The biggest opportunity for RFID The biggest opportunity for RFID is the item level tagging of all things. This ultimately calls for a very low cost tag, something that printed and chipless RFID technologies have already demonstrated or have the potential to achieve this. Interestingly, few of the biggest chip RFID suppliers are working on these technologies. Instead, printers, packagers and electronics companies are leading development, some seeing the ultra low cost RFID tag as just the beginning - with integrated ultra low cost components such as displays, sensors and power to come. This is the only report to cover the technologies, players, opportunities and challenges of what will be the most widely used RFID technologies. Detailed forecasts are given and global progress assessed. Ten year forecasts RFID tags that do not contain a silicon chip are called chipless tags - some of which can be printed. The primary potential benefit of the most promising chipless tags is that eventually they could be printed directly on products and packaging for 0.1 cents and replace ten trillion barcodes yearly with something far more versatile and reliable. The next ten years will see a rapid gain in market share of mainstream printed and chipless RFID tags. The numbers sold globally will rise from 40 million in 2009 to 624 billion in 2019. By value, printed and chipless versions will rise from less than $5 million in 2009 to $3.93 billion in 2019, one third of all income from RFID tags in 2019 because most of the increase in penetration will be by price advantage. In 2019, the average price of an item level tag will be 1 cent but chipless versions will be less - particularly so when printed directly onto packaging. However, only a small proportion will be directly printed onto packaging by 2019. Chip versions will be about 4 cents for highest volumes in 2019 and chipless versions about 0.4 cents. This report gives the penetration of printed and chipless RFID into many different market verticals over the next ten years. It gives assessment of the different technology options and profiles of the main companies developing these. Forecasts by technology type For the lowest cost technologies, we consider how the cost structure will probably not be on a per tag basis, where the value of the tags in hundreds of billions is only a few million dollars, but those involved will make money on licensing the technology, readers, data management etc. What you will learn The world's only in depth report covering printed and chipless RFID technologies and companies Detailed market forecasts by printed and chipless technology from 2009 to 2019 available only from IDTechEx Analysis of the technologies being implemented today Detailed case histories and company profiles of the many trials and sales successes of printed and chipless RFID Sales leads and opportunities Unbiased assessment of who will be the winners and losers in the shakeout and what the future will bring Network Equipment Industry in the United States table Of Contents Printed and Chipless RFID Forecasts, Technologies & Players 2011-2021
  2. 2. executive Summary And Conclusions 1. Introduction 1.1. Roadmap For Rfid 2010-2021 1.2. What Are Printed And Chipless Rfid Tags? 1.3. Why Are They Needed In Supply Chains? 1.3.1. Consumer Packaged Goods (cpg) 1.3.2. Pharmaceuticals 1.4. Where Else Will Chipless Rfid Be Needed? 1.4.1. Ubiquitous Sensor Networks 1.4.2. Transit 1.4.3. Self Adjusting Use By Date 1.4.4. Assets 1.4.5. Laundry And Rented Garments 1.4.6. Books At Manufacture 1.4.7. Postal Items 1.4.8. Conveyances, Logistics, Traffic Management 1.5. Silicon Chips And Epcglobal 1.5.1. Shortcomings Of Silicon Chip Rfid 1.5.2. Shortcomings Of Gen2 Epc - Universality By Tag Complexity 1.5.3. Robustness Of The Layered Approach Backed By Epcglobal 1.5.4. Implications 1.6. Constraints On Market Growth 1.6.1. Impediments To Highest Volume Rfid 1.7. Ultimate Potential 1.7.1. Potential For Different Applications 1.7.2. Tag Price Sensitivity At Highest Volumes 1.7.3. Price Sensitivity Curve For Rfid (adoption Curve) 2. Printed And Chipless Rfid Technologies 2.2. Comparison - First Generation 2.3. Commercial Successes 2.3.1. Acoustomagnetic Tags - Error Prevention 2.3.2. Saw Tags - X-cyte, Microdesign, Iray Technologies, Thoronics, Ctr 2.4. Hid Barkhausen Cards - Secure Access 2.5. Lessons From The Limited Success Or Failure Of Other Approaches 2.6. Electromagnetic - Flying Null, Link-sure, Confirm Technologies, Remoso, Holotag, Zebra Technologies, Scipher Tssi, Mxt, Fuji Electric, Unitika 2.7. Swept Rf Lc Array - Miyake, Lintec, Cwosrfid, Navitas, Checkpoint, Tagsense, Rfcode Printed and Chipless RFID Forecasts, Technologies & Players 2011-2021
  3. 3. 3. Second Generation Chipless Rfid - Potentially Open Systems 3.1. The Main Contenders Compared 3.2. Electromagnetic Conductive Ink Stripe Rfid - Mreal, Vtt, Panipol, Acreo, Somark Innovations, Menippos, Printed Systems 3.2.1. New Ink Stripe Format 3.2.2. Potential Advantages And Disadvantages Vs Silicon 3.2.3. Market Thrust 3.2.4. Technical Development 3.2.5. The Somark Innovations Product 3.2.6. The Mreal/ Vtt Technologies/ Panipol Product 3.2.7. Acreo 3.2.8. Printechnologics (formerly Menippos) 3.3. Printed Radar Arrays, Inksure, Nicanti And Vubiq 3.3.1. Inksure 3.3.2. Nicanti 3.3.3. Vubiq 3.4. Surface Acoustic Wave - Rfsaw, Thoronics 3.4.1. Potential Advantages And Disadvantages Vs Silicon 3.4.2. Market Thrust 3.4.3. Technical Development 3.4.4. Saw Standards Epcglobal 3.4.5. Companies Seeking Saw Open Systems - Rfsaw, Ibm Global Services, Thoronics 3.4.6. Case Study: Highway Non-stop Tolling Usa - Rfsaw 3.4.7. Case Study: Saw Tags In Space On The International Space Station 3.5. Thin Film Transistor Circuits (tftcs) 3.6. Other 3.6.1. How To Eat Rfid 3.7. Lowest Cost Antenna Design 3.7.1. Choice Of Electrodes And Interconnects 3.8. Inorganic Conductors 3.8.2. Comparison Of Metal Options 3.8.3. Polymer - Metal Suspensions 3.8.4. Silver Solution 3.9. Progress With New Conductive Ink Chemistries And Cure Processes 4. Thin Film Transistor Circuits (tftcs) 4.1. Potential Advantages And Disadvantages Vs Silicon 4.2. Technical Development - Geometry, Carrier Mobility, Substrate 4.2.1. Transistor Geometry Or Mobility? 4.2.2. The Compromises In Choosing Substrates 4.2.3. Tftcs Best Suited For Non-rfid Applications In The Short Term? 4.2.4. A Key Limitation Is Frequency Printed and Chipless RFID Forecasts, Technologies & Players 2011-2021
  4. 4. 4.2.5. Low Cost Not Guaranteed 4.3. Why Tftcs Will Be The Biggest Breakthrough In Electronic Smart Packaging 4.4. Thin Film Silicon Vs Organics Or Inorganics 4.4.1. First Came Thin Film Silicon 4.4.2. Organic Semiconductors - Two Choices 4.4.3. Polyic Developments 4.4.4. Dai Nippon Printing Semiconductor Development 4.4.5. Organicid, Weyerhauser 4.4.6. Power Conservation - Cmos 4.4.7. Progress Towards Flexible/biodegradable Substrates For Organic Tfts 4.4.8. Move To Inorganic Semiconductors 4.4.9. Kovio - Inorganic Semiconductors 4.4.10. Carbon Nanotubes 4.5. The Main Options For The Printed Semiconductor 4.5.2. Do Organic Transistors Have A Future? 4.5.3. Rfid Printed Directly On Products And Packaging 4.6. Opportunities For Active Tftc Rfid 4.6.1. Company Strategy And Value Chain 4.7. Tftc Players Compared 4.8. Printed Memory For Rfid- Hp, Ricoh, Matsushita, Thin Film Electronics, Fuji Film And others 5. Displays And Sensors For Printed Rfid 5.1. Choice Of Displays 5.1.2. Thermochromic 5.1.3. Electrochromic 5.1.4. Electrophoretic 5.1.5. Applications Of E-paper Displays 5.2. Choice Of Sensors 6. Markets For Chipless Rfid 2011-2021 6.1. Historical Sales Of Chipless Tags 6.1.2. Cumulative Sales Chip Vs Chipless 6.2. Chipless Share Of Rfid Market By Numbers 2011-2021 6.3. Chipless Rfid By Technology 2011-2021 6.4. Unit Price Trends By Chipless Technology 2011-2021 6.5. Chipless Share Of Total Rfid Market Value 2011-2021 6.6. Chipless Vs Chip Share Of Total Rfid Market By Value 2011-2021 6.7. Rfid Market By System Component 2011-2021 6.8. Rfid Market By Location Of Tag 2011-2021 And Chipless Targets 6.9. Move Of Markets To East Asia 2011, 2016, 2021 Printed and Chipless RFID Forecasts, Technologies & Players 2011-2021
  5. 5. 6.10. Market For Epc And Other Interrogators 2011-2021 6.11. Ultra Low Cost Rfid Labels - Market Size 6.12. Rfid Printed Directly Onto Products And Packaging - Market Size 6.13. Low Cost Active Rfid - Market Size 6.14. Radiation Tolerant Rfid - Market Size 6.15. Fault Tolerant Rfid - Market Size 6.16. Ultra Thin Low Cost Rfid - Market Size 6.17. Real Time Locating Systems (rtls) - Market Size 7. Timelines For Printed And Chipless/printed Rfid Market Penetration 7.1. Timelines For Developments In Second Generation Chipless Rfid 7.2. Timeline For Printed Rfid 7.3. Timeline For Printed Organic Electronics 7.4. Timeline For Direct Printing Of Chipless Rfid Onto Products And Packaging 8. Supplier And Developer Profiles 8.1. 3m, Usa 8.2. Acreo, Sweden 8.3. Basf 8.4. Dai Nippon Printing 8.5. Ibm, Usa 8.6. Inksure, Israel And Usa 8.7. Kovio Usa 8.8. M-real, Sweden 8.9. Organicid, Usa 8.10. Panipol, Finland 8.11. Philips 8.12. Polyic, Germany 8.13. Rfsaw, Usa 8.14. Soligie 8.15. Toppan Forms 8.16. Toppan Printing 8.17. Vtt Technology, Finland 8.18. Vubiq, Usa appendix 1: Idtechex Publications And Consultancy appendix 2: Principles Of Operation Of First Generation Chipless Rfid Printed and Chipless RFID Forecasts, Technologies & Players 2011-2021
  6. 6. appendix 3 The Astrazeneca - Scientific Generics Success appendix 4 Glossary ResearchMoz(http://www.researchmoz.us/) is the one stop online destination to find and buy market research reports & Industry Analysis. We fulfill all your research needs spanning across industry verticals with our huge collection of market research reports. We provide our services to all sizes of organizations and across all industry verticals and markets. Our Research Coordinators have in-depth knowledge of reports as well as publishers and will assist you in making an informed decision by giving you unbiased and deep insights on which reports will satisfy your needs at the best price. Contact: M/s Sheela, 90 State Street, Suite 700, Albany NY - 12207 United States Tel: +1-518-618-1030 USA - Canada Toll Free 866-997-4948 Email: sales@researchmoz.us Website: http://www.researchmoz.us/ Printed and Chipless RFID Forecasts, Technologies & Players 2011-2021

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