Noel Yuhanna Senior Analyst Forrester Research
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  • 1. February 9, 2005. Call in at 12:55 p.m. Eastern Time Noel Yuhanna Senior Analyst Forrester Research ForrTel: Future of DBMS: Highly Intelligent Database Systems
  • 2. Theme Although DBMS technology is mature, more innovation lies ahead.
  • 3. Agenda
    • DBMS drivers and trends
    • DBMS market and top vendors
    • History of DBMS
    • Highly automated databases
    • Integrated data storage engine
    • Grid-enabled and policy-driven DBMSes
    • Stack level administration
    • Future staff requirements
    • Summary
  • 4. DBMS drivers and trends
    • Data volume continues to grow
    • Security — a key concern
    • Increasing complexity of environments
    • Increased demand for availability
    • Low price — a growing trend
    • Database consolidation still visible
    • Increased adoption of open source DBMS
    • Automated tools in demand
    • Integrated administration
  • 5. DBMS market forecast
  • 6.
      • DBMS technology leader
      • Linux — key focus, struggling in Windows platform
      • RAC grows in adoption
      • Improves on manageability
      • Improving on Linux/UNIX/Window’s deployment
      • Improved on performance
      • Continues to rollout more automation features
      • Lacks RAC like HA solution
    Oracle DB2 UDB
  • 7.
      • Easy-to-use DBMS
      • Growing adoption in the high-end
      • Yukon likely to address performance and scalability issues
      • Security still a concern
      • Reliable DBMS technology
      • Strong in financial sector
      • Focusing on heterogeneous DBMS play
      • Less innovative; customer concerns exist
    Microsoft SQL Server Sybase
  • 8. History of DBMS Relational Object-oriented Object-relational XML IMDB Java Network Hierarchical 1960’s 1970’s 1990’s CMDB Mobile Embedded 1995+
  • 9. Top relational DBMSes SQL Server 1992 Oracle 1979 DB2 1983 Sybase 1988 1970 1980 1990 2000 High Low Current adoption First product rollout
  • 10. RDBMS will continue to dominate RDBMS IMDB Java XML Embedded Object CMDB Mobile Specialized DBMSes
  • 11. Future: highly automated DBMS Automation Self-managing Zero-admin Advisors and wizards Adaptive, corrective actions No outages
  • 12. Future: DBMS automation
    • Performance and tuning
    • Backup and recovery
    • Replication
    • Patch deployment
    • Upgrades
  • 13. Future: database administration challenges 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 Performance and tuning B&R Patch/upgrade Security 2009 2010 Challenging Less More
  • 14. Integrated Data Storage Engine (IDSE) RDBMS Semi-Structured Data handler Structured Semi-Structured Unstructured Rows and columns Storage engine
  • 15. Defining the term grid — Forrester survey 30% 32% 38% 20% 15% 11% 15%
  • 16. Grid-enabled databases (GED) Grid infrastructure DBMS Heterogeneous platform Middleware Application Manageable, available, scalable and secure (MASS) Data independence Data sharing In-memory/cache
  • 17. Policy-driven databases (PDD) Policies repository Applications Data policies SLA’s Business rules DBMS Middleware
  • 18. Integrated end-to-end administration DBMS Middleware Application Network Server Storage Security Performance Availability
  • 19. Future of staff requirements
    • DBAs will become data administrators
    • Technology stack layer focus
    • More generalized than specialized administrators
    • More involved in planning and implementations
    • More mobile
  • 20. Summary
    • RDBMS will continue to dominate
    • Specialized databases will coexist
    • Integrated data storage engine will support more apps
    • Demand for policy-driven databases will grow
    • Grid-enabled databases will emerge
    • Automation will minimize resource requirements
  • 21. Thank you Noel Yuhanna [email_address] www.forrester.com Entire contents © 2005 Forrester Research, Inc. All rights reserved.