Noel Yuhanna Senior Analyst Forrester Research

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Noel Yuhanna Senior Analyst Forrester Research

  1. 1. February 9, 2005. Call in at 12:55 p.m. Eastern Time Noel Yuhanna Senior Analyst Forrester Research ForrTel: Future of DBMS: Highly Intelligent Database Systems
  2. 2. Theme Although DBMS technology is mature, more innovation lies ahead.
  3. 3. Agenda <ul><li>DBMS drivers and trends </li></ul><ul><li>DBMS market and top vendors </li></ul><ul><li>History of DBMS </li></ul><ul><li>Highly automated databases </li></ul><ul><li>Integrated data storage engine </li></ul><ul><li>Grid-enabled and policy-driven DBMSes </li></ul><ul><li>Stack level administration </li></ul><ul><li>Future staff requirements </li></ul><ul><li>Summary </li></ul>
  4. 4. DBMS drivers and trends <ul><li>Data volume continues to grow </li></ul><ul><li>Security — a key concern </li></ul><ul><li>Increasing complexity of environments </li></ul><ul><li>Increased demand for availability </li></ul><ul><li>Low price — a growing trend </li></ul><ul><li>Database consolidation still visible </li></ul><ul><li>Increased adoption of open source DBMS </li></ul><ul><li>Automated tools in demand </li></ul><ul><li>Integrated administration </li></ul>
  5. 5. DBMS market forecast
  6. 6. <ul><ul><li>DBMS technology leader </li></ul></ul><ul><ul><li>Linux — key focus, struggling in Windows platform </li></ul></ul><ul><ul><li>RAC grows in adoption </li></ul></ul><ul><ul><li>Improves on manageability </li></ul></ul><ul><ul><li>Improving on Linux/UNIX/Window’s deployment </li></ul></ul><ul><ul><li>Improved on performance </li></ul></ul><ul><ul><li>Continues to rollout more automation features </li></ul></ul><ul><ul><li>Lacks RAC like HA solution </li></ul></ul>Oracle DB2 UDB
  7. 7. <ul><ul><li>Easy-to-use DBMS </li></ul></ul><ul><ul><li>Growing adoption in the high-end </li></ul></ul><ul><ul><li>Yukon likely to address performance and scalability issues </li></ul></ul><ul><ul><li>Security still a concern </li></ul></ul><ul><ul><li>Reliable DBMS technology </li></ul></ul><ul><ul><li>Strong in financial sector </li></ul></ul><ul><ul><li>Focusing on heterogeneous DBMS play </li></ul></ul><ul><ul><li>Less innovative; customer concerns exist </li></ul></ul>Microsoft SQL Server Sybase
  8. 8. History of DBMS Relational Object-oriented Object-relational XML IMDB Java Network Hierarchical 1960’s 1970’s 1990’s CMDB Mobile Embedded 1995+
  9. 9. Top relational DBMSes SQL Server 1992 Oracle 1979 DB2 1983 Sybase 1988 1970 1980 1990 2000 High Low Current adoption First product rollout
  10. 10. RDBMS will continue to dominate RDBMS IMDB Java XML Embedded Object CMDB Mobile Specialized DBMSes
  11. 11. Future: highly automated DBMS Automation Self-managing Zero-admin Advisors and wizards Adaptive, corrective actions No outages
  12. 12. Future: DBMS automation <ul><li>Performance and tuning </li></ul><ul><li>Backup and recovery </li></ul><ul><li>Replication </li></ul><ul><li>Patch deployment </li></ul><ul><li>Upgrades </li></ul>
  13. 13. Future: database administration challenges 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 Performance and tuning B&R Patch/upgrade Security 2009 2010 Challenging Less More
  14. 14. Integrated Data Storage Engine (IDSE) RDBMS Semi-Structured Data handler Structured Semi-Structured Unstructured Rows and columns Storage engine
  15. 15. Defining the term grid — Forrester survey 30% 32% 38% 20% 15% 11% 15%
  16. 16. Grid-enabled databases (GED) Grid infrastructure DBMS Heterogeneous platform Middleware Application Manageable, available, scalable and secure (MASS) Data independence Data sharing In-memory/cache
  17. 17. Policy-driven databases (PDD) Policies repository Applications Data policies SLA’s Business rules DBMS Middleware
  18. 18. Integrated end-to-end administration DBMS Middleware Application Network Server Storage Security Performance Availability
  19. 19. Future of staff requirements <ul><li>DBAs will become data administrators </li></ul><ul><li>Technology stack layer focus </li></ul><ul><li>More generalized than specialized administrators </li></ul><ul><li>More involved in planning and implementations </li></ul><ul><li>More mobile </li></ul>
  20. 20. Summary <ul><li>RDBMS will continue to dominate </li></ul><ul><li>Specialized databases will coexist </li></ul><ul><li>Integrated data storage engine will support more apps </li></ul><ul><li>Demand for policy-driven databases will grow </li></ul><ul><li>Grid-enabled databases will emerge </li></ul><ul><li>Automation will minimize resource requirements </li></ul>
  21. 21. Thank you Noel Yuhanna [email_address] www.forrester.com Entire contents © 2005 Forrester Research, Inc. All rights reserved.

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