High Feed Cost Webinar: Locking in corn soybean and milk prices strategies Byers 080803

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  • + DairyScienceMark Mark Varner 9 months ago
    Click here to contact Dr. Byers for more information about his presentation or to get his ’Commodity Report’ by e-mail.
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High Feed Cost Webinar: Locking in corn soybean and milk prices strategies Byers 080803 - Presentation Transcript

  1. Strategies with Future Corn, Soybean Meal and Milk Prices Dave Byers [email_address] Galax, VA
  2. Bull/Bull Market
    • Someone who thinks market prices will rise
    • A period of rising prices
  3. Bear/Bear Market
    • Someone who thinks market prices will decline
    • A period of declining market prices
  4. What Lies Ahead?
    • The BIG QUESTION in the financial markets is to know,
    • People want a financial “Crystal Ball”
    • What will be the price of corn, SBM and milk
      • 3 months
      • 6 months
      • 12 months
  5.  
  6. What Lies Ahead?
    • Nevertheless, there are systems that attempt to predict
    • Two main schools in the financial markets:
      • Fundamental Analysis
      • Technical Analysis
  7. Fundamental Analysis
    • Looks at economic factors, known as fundamentals
      • Dollar
      • Acres coming out of CRP
      • Number of ethanol plants coming into production
    • In short, it examines the forces of supply and demand
  8. Technical Analysis
    • Looks at the price movement of a commodity and uses this data to predict its future movements
    • Extensive use graphs of data to “make invisible visible”--called chartists
  9. Key to Technical Analysis
    • Identifying a trend
    • In fact, technical analysis can be summed up in the saying, “The trend is your friend.”
    • Future price movement is MORE LIKELY to be in the same direction as the trend
  10. Technical Analysis
    • Something that has always fascinated me
    • In recent years, I have found it a useful tool to increase profitability of dairy operations
    • I send weekly commodity updates dealing with corn, soybean meal, and milk to clients and other interested individuals
  11. Bullish alignment “ Technical buy” signals
  12.  
  13.  
  14. Interest in Commodity Reports
    • [email_address]
    • No charge--the price is right

+ Mark VarnerMark Varner, 2 years ago

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