SlideShare a Scribd company logo
1 of 2
Download to read offline
Weekly Market Recap                                                      December 17, 2012

The week in review                              Weekly data center                                                            Index returns                                                                            Index characteristics
- European Finance Ministers agreed on the
                                                Equities                                    Last     1 week           QTD           YTD         1 year        3 years          P/E Forward                                P/B       Div. Yld. Mkt. Cap (bn)
  ECB's role as sole regulator of large         S&P 500                                     1414       -0.32          3.77       12.40           16.65          26.88             12.64                                  2.29          2.31       102.81
  banks.                                        Dow Jones 30                               13135        -0.15        -2.25          7.51         11.09          25.08              11.84                                 2.82         2.46           N/A
- Jobless claims fell to 343k.                  Russell 2000                              823.75         0.18        -1.64         11.18         16.27          35.09              16.57                                 1.69         1.49           1.28
                                                Russell 1000 Growth                       651.86       -0.56         -2.75        12.22           15.81         31.24             14.66                                  4.70         1.80          95.71
- Retail sales increased 0.3% for November.     Russell 1000 Value                        709.56       -0.04         -0.18        13.34          18.48          25.08               11.57                                 1.54        2.56          87.19
- Answer to last week's question: +1.7tn in     MSCI EAFE                                 763.61        0.69          5.61        11.94          14.64          -0.42               11.91                                 1.43        3.54         44.14
  3Q12                                          MSCI EM                                   46329          1.61        4.09         12.96          13.80           8.64              10.73                                  1.75         2.81        39.89
                                                Fixed income                                Last     1 week           QTD          YTD          1 year        3 years                                                                       Levels
The week ahead                                  U.S. Aggregate                            109.32       -0.28         -0.56        0.30            0.28           4.38       Currencies                                   Latest                 -1 month                                              -1 year
-   Empire State Manufacturing Survey           U.S. Corporates                           113.86       -0.33         -0.54         3.47            3.75          7.10       $ per €                                        1.31                      1.27                                                 1.30
-   Housing Starts                              Municipals (10yr)                         114.70       -1.04          0.61         2.93           3.59           7.42       $ per £                                        1.61                     1.58                                                  1.54
-   Existing home sales                         High Yield                                104.57        0.27          1.24         6.79           7.80          10.91       ¥ per $                                      83.50                     80.22                                                 78.11
                                                2-yr U.S. Treasuries                        0.25        0.00          6.96         1.23            5.13        -70.95
-   Philly Fed Manufacturing Survey                                                                                                                                         Commodities                                  Latest                          -1 month                                     -1 year
                                                10-yr U.S. Treasuries                        1.71       4.92          4.53        -9.16         -10.38         -51.88
-   3Q12 Real GDP, final estimate               30-yr U.S. Treasuries                       2.87         2.14          1.77      -0.69            -1.37        -35.94       Oil (WTI)                                     86.73                             86.32                                      94.95
-   Personal income and consumer spending       10-yr German Bund                           1.35        4.02         -7.88      -26.98          -29.17         -57.83       Gasoline                                        3.35                             3.39                                         3.29
-   Consumer sentiment, final estimate                                                                                                                                      Natural Gas                                     3.15                             3.66                                         3.07
                                                Key rates                                   Last     1 week          QTD          YTD           1 year        3 years       Gold                                           1696                              1726                                        1603
                                                3-mo. LIBOR                                 0.31        0.31         0.36         0.58            0.56           0.25
Thought of the week                             3-mo. EURIBOR                               0.19        0.19         0.22         1.38            1.44           0.73
                                                                                                                                                                            Silver                                        32.52                             32.48                                       29.92
                                                                                                                                                                            Copper                                        8048                               7635                                        7350
Last week, the Federal Reserve announced        6-mo. CD rate                               0.32        0.33         0.34         0.64            0.67           0.30       Corn                                            7.34                             7.20                                         5.67
it would begin purchasing longer-dated U.S.     30-yr fixed mortgage                        3.47        3.52         3.53         4.07             4.12          4.92
Treasuries at a pace of $45bn per month to      Prime Rate                                  3.25        3.25         3.25         3.25            3.25           3.25
offset the end of Operation Twist, while also
continuing to buy agency mortgage-backed        Chart of the week                                                                Style returns                         S&P 500 sector returns
securities next year. In aggregate, these       New Bond Buying Program Could Push Fed Assets to $4tn by 2014                         V        B          G




                                                                                                                                                                                     1.7
                                                                                                                                                                        2
actions are expected to expand the Federal




                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                         Technology
                                                Assets held by the Federal Reserve, trillions USD




                                                                                                                                                                                                               Consumer

                                                                                                                                                                                                               Consumer




                                                                                                                                                                                                                                            Financials
                                                                                                                                  L   0.0     -0.3    -0.5




                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                            S&P 500
Reserve's balance sheet by $85bn per            $4.0                                   Jan. 2014 estimate: $4.0tn*




                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                Utilities
                                                                                                                                                                                                               Staples
                                                                                                                                                                            Energy




                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                      0.5
                                                                                                                                                                                                 0.4
                                                                                                                                                                        1




                                                                                                                                                                                                               Discr.




                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                       1 week
month, driving the Fed's assets to nearly




                                                                                                                                                                                                                              0.1
                                                                                                                                                              1 week
                                                $3.5                                                                             M    0.0     0.1     0.1              0
$4tn by January 2014. Since the financial




                                                                                                                                                                                     Materials

                                                                                                                                                                                                 Industrials




                                                                                                                                                                                                                              Health Care




                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                      Telecom
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                            -0.2
crisis, the Fed's balance sheet has




                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                            -0.3
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                         -0.4
                                                $3.0




                                                                                                                                                                            -0.5




                                                                                                                                                                                                                       -0.6
                                                                                                                                                                       -1




                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                -0.7
increased +350%, but the effectiveness of                                                                                         S   0.3     0.2     0.2




                                                                                                                                                                                                                -1.2
the Fed's quantitative easing remains           $2.5                                                                                                                   -2

debatable. With additional unprecedented                                                                                              V        B          G




                                                                                                                                                                                                                                            24.9
                                                $2.0




                                                                                                                                                                                                                21.6




                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                      19.6
                                                                                                                                                                                                                              19.0
                                                                                                                                                                       30
monetary policy on the horizon, it is




                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                            14.9
                                                                                                                                                                                                 13.9



                                                                                                                                                                                                                       13.0




                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                         12.8
                                                                                                                                  L 16.2      14.9    14.1




                                                                                                                                                                                     11.2
important to remain cognizant of the risks      $1.5                                                                                                                   20




                                                                                                                                                                            4.2




                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                0.9
                                                                                                                                                                       10
associated with these measures. For better




                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                       YTD
                                                                                                                                                              YTD
                                                $1.0                                                                             M 16.5       15.3    13.9             0
or for worse, the Federal Reserve is in




                                                                                                                                                                            Energy

                                                                                                                                                                                     Materials

                                                                                                                                                                                                 Industrials
                                                                                                                                                                                                               Consumer
                                                                                                                                                                                                                   Discr.
                                                                                                                                                                                                               Consumer
                                                                                                                                                                                                                 Staples
                                                                                                                                                                                                                              Health Care

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                            Financials

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                         Technology

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                      Telecom

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                Utilities

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                            S&P 500
unchartered territory, and as such, it is as    $0.5
                                                                                                                                  S 14.2      12.7    11.2
important as ever that investors stay
balanced in an effort to grapple with the       $0.0
                                                       '07      '08       '09       '10       '11   '12     '13
uncertainty created by unconventional
monetary policy.
Please see important disclosure on next page.                                                                                 Note: All returns represent total return including dividends.
Weekly Market Recap                                                         December 17, 2012

Chart of the Week: Source: Federal Reserve, J.P. Morgan Asset Management.                                             Style Returns: Style box returns based on Russell Indexes with the exception of the Large-Cap Blend box, which
                                                                                                                      reflects the S&P 500 Index. All values are cumulative total return for stated period including the reinvestment of
Thought of the Week: Source: Federal Reserve, J.P. Morgan Asset Management.
                                                                                                                      dividends. The Index used from L to R, top to bottom are: S&P 500 Index (Index represents the 500 Large Cap
Equity Price Levels and Returns: All data represents total return including the reinvestment of dividends for         portion of the stock market, and is comprised of 500 stocks as selected by the S&P Index Committee), Russell
stated period. Index: S&P 500; provided by: Standard & Poor’s. Index: Dow Jones Industrial 30 (The Dow Jones is       1000 Value Index (Measures the performance of those Russell 1000 companies with lower price-to-book ratios
a price-weighted index composing of 30 widely-traded blue chip stocks.) ; provided by: Dow Jones & Company.           and lower forecasted growth values), Russell 1000 Growth Index (Measures the performance of those Russell
Index: Russell 2000; provided by: Russell Investments. Index: Russell 1000 Growth; provided by: Russell               1000 companies with higher price-to-book ratios and higher forecasted growth values), Russell Mid Cap Value
Investments. Index: Russell 1000 Value; provided by: Russell Investments. Index: MSCI – EAFE; provided by: MSCI       Index (Measures the performance of those Russell Mid Cap companies with lower price-to-book ratios and lower
– gross official pricing. Index: MSCI – EM; provided by: MSCI – gross official pricing.                               forecasted growth values), Russell Mid Cap Index (The Russell Midcap Index includes the smallest 800 securities
                                                                                                                      in the Russell 1000), Russell Mid Cap Growth Index (Measures the performance of those Russell Mid Cap
(MSCI EAFE is a Morgan Stanley Capital International Index that is designed to measure the performance of the         companies with higher price-to-book ratios and higher forecasted growth values), Russell 2000 Value Index
developed stock markets of Europe, Australia, and the Far East).                                                      (Measures the performance of those Russell 2000 companies with lower price-to-book ratios and lower
                                                                                                                      forecasted growth values), Russell 2000 Index (The Russell 2000 includes the smallest 2000 securities in the
Bond Returns: All data represents total return. Index: Barclays US Aggregate; provided by: Barclays Capital. Index:   Russell 3000), Russell 2000 Growth Index (Measures the performance of those Russell 2000 companies with
Barclays Investment Grade Credit; provided by: Barclays Capital. Index: Barclays Municipal Bond 10 Yr; provided       higher price-to-book ratios and higher forecasted growth values).
by: Barclays Capital. Index: Barclays Capital High Yield Index; provided by: Barclays Capital.
                                                                                                                      Contact JPMorgan Distribution Services, Inc. at 1-800-480-4111 for a fund prospectus. You can
Bond Rates: 2 Year Treasury, FactSet; 10 Year Treasury, FactSet; 30 Year Treasury, FactSet; 10 Year German            also visit us at www.jpmorganfunds.com. Investors should carefully consider the investment
Bund, FactSet.                                                                                                        objectives and risks as well as charges and expenses of the mutual fund before investing. The
                                                                                                                      prospectus contains this and other information about the mutual fund. Read the prospectus
Consumer Rates: 3 Month LIBOR, British Bankers’ Association; 3 Month EURIBOR, European Banking Federation; 6          carefully before investing.
Month CD, Federal Reserve; 30 Year Mortgage, Mortgage Bankers Association (MBA); Prime Rate: Federal
Reserve.                                                                                                              Past performance does not guarantee future results.
                                                                                                                      Diversification does not guarantee investment returns and does not eliminate the risk of loss.
Commodities: Gold, FactSet; Crude Oil (WTI), FactSet; Gasoline, FactSet; Natural Gas, FactSet; Silver, FactSet;
Copper, FactSet; Corn, FactSet.                                                                                       Opinions and estimates offered constitute our judgment and are subject to change without notice, as are
                                                                                                                      statements of financial market trends, which are based on current market conditions. We believe the information
Currency: Dollar per Pound, FactSet; Dollar per Euro, FactSet; Yen per Dollar, FactSet.                               provided here is reliable, but do not warrant its accuracy or completeness. This material is not intended as an
                                                                                                                      offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument. The views and strategies described may
S&P Index Characteristics: Dividend Yield provided by FactSet Pricing database. Fwd. P/E is a bottom-up weighted      not be suitable for all investors. This material has been prepared for informational purposes only, and is not
Harmonic average using First Call Mean estimates for the "Next 12 Months" (NTM) period. Market cap is a bottom-       intended to provide, and should not be relied on for, accounting, legal or tax advice. References to future returns
up weighted average based on share information from Compustat and Price information from FactSet's Pricing            are not promises or even estimates of actual returns a client portfolio may achieve. Any forecasts contained
database as provided by Standard & Poor's.                                                                            herein are for illustrative purposes only and are not to be relied upon as advice or interpreted as a
                                                                                                                      recommendation.
MSCI Index Characteristics: Dividend Yield provided by FactSet Pricing database. Fwd. P/E is a bottom-up              The price of equity securities may rise, or fall because of changes in the broad market or changes in a company's
weighted Harmonic average for the "Next 12 Months" (NTM) period. Market cap is a bottom- up weighted average          financial condition, sometimes rapidly or unpredictably. International investing involves a greater degree of risk
based on share information from MSCI and Price information from FactSet's Pricing database as provided by             and increased volatility. There is no guarantee that companies that can issue dividends will declare, continue to
MSCI.                                                                                                                 play, or increase dividends. Investments in commodities may have greater volatility than investments in
                                                                                                                      traditional securities, particularly if the instruments involve leverage.
Russell 1000 Value Index, Russell 1000 Growth Index, and Russell 2000 Index Characteristics: Trailing P/E is
provided directly by Russell. Fwd. P/E is a bottom-up weighted harmonic average using First Call Mean estimates       J.P. Morgan Asset Management is the marketing name for the asset management businesses of JPMorgan Chase
for the "Next 12 Months" (NTM) period. Market cap is a bottom-up weighted average based on share information          & Co. Those businesses include, but are not limited to, J.P. Morgan Investment Management Inc., Security Capital
from Compustat and Price information from FactSet's Pricing database as provided by Russell.                          Research & Management Incorporated and J.P. Morgan Alternative Asset Management, Inc.
                                                                                                                      JPMorgan Distribution Services, Inc., member FINRA/SIPC
Sector Returns: Sectors are based on the GICS Classification model. Return data are calculated by FactSet using
constituents and weights as provided by Standard & Poor’s. Returns are cumulative total return for stated period,     © JPMorgan Chase & Co., December 2012.
including reinvestment of dividends.
Unless otherwise stated, all data is as of December 14, 2012 or as of most recently available.

 NOT FDIC INSURED | NO BANK GUARANTEE | MAY LOSE VALUE

More Related Content

What's hot

Home Sales Report for Spring Texas | October 2012 | Zip Code 77386
Home Sales Report for Spring Texas | October 2012 | Zip Code 77386Home Sales Report for Spring Texas | October 2012 | Zip Code 77386
Home Sales Report for Spring Texas | October 2012 | Zip Code 77386Ken Brand
 
77386springrealestatemarketreportsoctober2012 121023082045-phpapp02
77386springrealestatemarketreportsoctober2012 121023082045-phpapp0277386springrealestatemarketreportsoctober2012 121023082045-phpapp02
77386springrealestatemarketreportsoctober2012 121023082045-phpapp02Tanya Lavoie Bugbee
 
Real Estate Report: Homes Sales in Magnolia TX
Real Estate Report: Homes Sales in Magnolia TXReal Estate Report: Homes Sales in Magnolia TX
Real Estate Report: Homes Sales in Magnolia TXTatianaLavoie
 
Napco Better Result
Napco Better ResultNapco Better Result
Napco Better Resultpmoskie
 
ato1q08_slides
ato1q08_slidesato1q08_slides
ato1q08_slidesfinance35
 
Chevron 2008 3Q Earnings Supplement
Chevron 2008 3Q Earnings SupplementChevron 2008 3Q Earnings Supplement
Chevron 2008 3Q Earnings Supplementfinance1
 
Historical performance april 2011
Historical performance april 2011Historical performance april 2011
Historical performance april 2011gchawla
 
Bc home sales steady in june 2011
Bc home sales steady in june 2011Bc home sales steady in june 2011
Bc home sales steady in june 2011Matt Collinge
 
walt disney Quarter 2008 2nd
walt disney  Quarter 2008 2ndwalt disney  Quarter 2008 2nd
walt disney Quarter 2008 2ndfinance7
 

What's hot (11)

Home Sales Report for Spring Texas | October 2012 | Zip Code 77386
Home Sales Report for Spring Texas | October 2012 | Zip Code 77386Home Sales Report for Spring Texas | October 2012 | Zip Code 77386
Home Sales Report for Spring Texas | October 2012 | Zip Code 77386
 
77386springrealestatemarketreportsoctober2012 121023082045-phpapp02
77386springrealestatemarketreportsoctober2012 121023082045-phpapp0277386springrealestatemarketreportsoctober2012 121023082045-phpapp02
77386springrealestatemarketreportsoctober2012 121023082045-phpapp02
 
Homes sales reports magnolia april 2013
Homes sales reports magnolia april 2013Homes sales reports magnolia april 2013
Homes sales reports magnolia april 2013
 
Real Estate Report: Homes Sales in Magnolia TX
Real Estate Report: Homes Sales in Magnolia TXReal Estate Report: Homes Sales in Magnolia TX
Real Estate Report: Homes Sales in Magnolia TX
 
Napco Better Result
Napco Better ResultNapco Better Result
Napco Better Result
 
ato1q08_slides
ato1q08_slidesato1q08_slides
ato1q08_slides
 
Chevron 2008 3Q Earnings Supplement
Chevron 2008 3Q Earnings SupplementChevron 2008 3Q Earnings Supplement
Chevron 2008 3Q Earnings Supplement
 
Historical performance april 2011
Historical performance april 2011Historical performance april 2011
Historical performance april 2011
 
Bc home sales steady in june 2011
Bc home sales steady in june 2011Bc home sales steady in june 2011
Bc home sales steady in june 2011
 
Hlee1018 page1
Hlee1018 page1Hlee1018 page1
Hlee1018 page1
 
walt disney Quarter 2008 2nd
walt disney  Quarter 2008 2ndwalt disney  Quarter 2008 2nd
walt disney Quarter 2008 2nd
 

Viewers also liked (11)

Tecnologia para Licenciamento
Tecnologia para LicenciamentoTecnologia para Licenciamento
Tecnologia para Licenciamento
 
Res 45 MGJyC-2015
Res 45 MGJyC-2015Res 45 MGJyC-2015
Res 45 MGJyC-2015
 
Hello
HelloHello
Hello
 
Angkor Thom & Angkor Wat cycling 01 day
Angkor Thom & Angkor Wat cycling 01 dayAngkor Thom & Angkor Wat cycling 01 day
Angkor Thom & Angkor Wat cycling 01 day
 
Infographic Resume 2015
Infographic Resume 2015Infographic Resume 2015
Infographic Resume 2015
 
Risk assessment sheet
Risk assessment sheetRisk assessment sheet
Risk assessment sheet
 
Bases Concurs fotogràfic Memorial Jesús Gómez- Granollers Cup 2014
Bases Concurs fotogràfic Memorial Jesús Gómez- Granollers Cup 2014Bases Concurs fotogràfic Memorial Jesús Gómez- Granollers Cup 2014
Bases Concurs fotogràfic Memorial Jesús Gómez- Granollers Cup 2014
 
Presentation 15
Presentation 15Presentation 15
Presentation 15
 
new doc 8
new doc 8new doc 8
new doc 8
 
Popochas arepas rellenas
Popochas arepas rellenasPopochas arepas rellenas
Popochas arepas rellenas
 
Equipos primer periodo
Equipos primer periodoEquipos primer periodo
Equipos primer periodo
 

Similar to Weekly Market Recap December 17, 2012

Similar to Weekly Market Recap December 17, 2012 (16)

Kbank daily jan 28
Kbank daily jan 28Kbank daily jan 28
Kbank daily jan 28
 
KBank Daily Update Dec 7
KBank Daily Update Dec 7KBank Daily Update Dec 7
KBank Daily Update Dec 7
 
KBank daily Update Dec 7,2010
KBank daily Update Dec 7,2010KBank daily Update Dec 7,2010
KBank daily Update Dec 7,2010
 
K bank daily jan 25
K bank daily jan 25K bank daily jan 25
K bank daily jan 25
 
KBank daily feb 1
KBank daily feb 1KBank daily feb 1
KBank daily feb 1
 
Kbank daily feb 1
Kbank daily feb 1Kbank daily feb 1
Kbank daily feb 1
 
K bank daily feb 2
K bank daily feb 2K bank daily feb 2
K bank daily feb 2
 
77354 november 2012 market report collection
77354 november 2012 market report collection77354 november 2012 market report collection
77354 november 2012 market report collection
 
77354 november 2012 market report collection
77354 november 2012 market report collection77354 november 2012 market report collection
77354 november 2012 market report collection
 
Finance Stocks And Bonds (Portfolio)
Finance Stocks And Bonds (Portfolio)Finance Stocks And Bonds (Portfolio)
Finance Stocks And Bonds (Portfolio)
 
Weekly Currency Report : 25 Jan 2013
Weekly Currency Report : 25 Jan 2013Weekly Currency Report : 25 Jan 2013
Weekly Currency Report : 25 Jan 2013
 
77354 real estate market report october 2012 magnolia tx
77354 real estate market report october 2012 magnolia tx77354 real estate market report october 2012 magnolia tx
77354 real estate market report october 2012 magnolia tx
 
Magnolia Real Estate Report 2012
Magnolia Real Estate Report 2012Magnolia Real Estate Report 2012
Magnolia Real Estate Report 2012
 
K bank daily nov 22
K bank daily nov 22K bank daily nov 22
K bank daily nov 22
 
Report market 21 oct_cogent consulting
Report market 21 oct_cogent consultingReport market 21 oct_cogent consulting
Report market 21 oct_cogent consulting
 
Weekly Market Recap December 10, 2012
Weekly Market Recap December 10, 2012Weekly Market Recap December 10, 2012
Weekly Market Recap December 10, 2012
 

More from DWilkins

Tax Planning Strategies for 2013
Tax Planning Strategies for 2013Tax Planning Strategies for 2013
Tax Planning Strategies for 2013DWilkins
 
Some Fiscal Cliff Scenarios
Some Fiscal Cliff ScenariosSome Fiscal Cliff Scenarios
Some Fiscal Cliff ScenariosDWilkins
 
2 Biggest Retirement Misconceptions
2 Biggest Retirement Misconceptions2 Biggest Retirement Misconceptions
2 Biggest Retirement MisconceptionsDWilkins
 
Stocks & Presidential Elections
Stocks & Presidential ElectionsStocks & Presidential Elections
Stocks & Presidential ElectionsDWilkins
 
JP Morgan Fiscal Cliff White Paper
JP Morgan Fiscal Cliff White PaperJP Morgan Fiscal Cliff White Paper
JP Morgan Fiscal Cliff White PaperDWilkins
 
Kodak Bankruptcy Answers
Kodak Bankruptcy AnswersKodak Bankruptcy Answers
Kodak Bankruptcy AnswersDWilkins
 

More from DWilkins (6)

Tax Planning Strategies for 2013
Tax Planning Strategies for 2013Tax Planning Strategies for 2013
Tax Planning Strategies for 2013
 
Some Fiscal Cliff Scenarios
Some Fiscal Cliff ScenariosSome Fiscal Cliff Scenarios
Some Fiscal Cliff Scenarios
 
2 Biggest Retirement Misconceptions
2 Biggest Retirement Misconceptions2 Biggest Retirement Misconceptions
2 Biggest Retirement Misconceptions
 
Stocks & Presidential Elections
Stocks & Presidential ElectionsStocks & Presidential Elections
Stocks & Presidential Elections
 
JP Morgan Fiscal Cliff White Paper
JP Morgan Fiscal Cliff White PaperJP Morgan Fiscal Cliff White Paper
JP Morgan Fiscal Cliff White Paper
 
Kodak Bankruptcy Answers
Kodak Bankruptcy AnswersKodak Bankruptcy Answers
Kodak Bankruptcy Answers
 

Weekly Market Recap December 17, 2012

  • 1. Weekly Market Recap December 17, 2012 The week in review Weekly data center Index returns Index characteristics - European Finance Ministers agreed on the Equities Last 1 week QTD YTD 1 year 3 years P/E Forward P/B Div. Yld. Mkt. Cap (bn) ECB's role as sole regulator of large S&P 500 1414 -0.32 3.77 12.40 16.65 26.88 12.64 2.29 2.31 102.81 banks. Dow Jones 30 13135 -0.15 -2.25 7.51 11.09 25.08 11.84 2.82 2.46 N/A - Jobless claims fell to 343k. Russell 2000 823.75 0.18 -1.64 11.18 16.27 35.09 16.57 1.69 1.49 1.28 Russell 1000 Growth 651.86 -0.56 -2.75 12.22 15.81 31.24 14.66 4.70 1.80 95.71 - Retail sales increased 0.3% for November. Russell 1000 Value 709.56 -0.04 -0.18 13.34 18.48 25.08 11.57 1.54 2.56 87.19 - Answer to last week's question: +1.7tn in MSCI EAFE 763.61 0.69 5.61 11.94 14.64 -0.42 11.91 1.43 3.54 44.14 3Q12 MSCI EM 46329 1.61 4.09 12.96 13.80 8.64 10.73 1.75 2.81 39.89 Fixed income Last 1 week QTD YTD 1 year 3 years Levels The week ahead U.S. Aggregate 109.32 -0.28 -0.56 0.30 0.28 4.38 Currencies Latest -1 month -1 year - Empire State Manufacturing Survey U.S. Corporates 113.86 -0.33 -0.54 3.47 3.75 7.10 $ per € 1.31 1.27 1.30 - Housing Starts Municipals (10yr) 114.70 -1.04 0.61 2.93 3.59 7.42 $ per £ 1.61 1.58 1.54 - Existing home sales High Yield 104.57 0.27 1.24 6.79 7.80 10.91 ¥ per $ 83.50 80.22 78.11 2-yr U.S. Treasuries 0.25 0.00 6.96 1.23 5.13 -70.95 - Philly Fed Manufacturing Survey Commodities Latest -1 month -1 year 10-yr U.S. Treasuries 1.71 4.92 4.53 -9.16 -10.38 -51.88 - 3Q12 Real GDP, final estimate 30-yr U.S. Treasuries 2.87 2.14 1.77 -0.69 -1.37 -35.94 Oil (WTI) 86.73 86.32 94.95 - Personal income and consumer spending 10-yr German Bund 1.35 4.02 -7.88 -26.98 -29.17 -57.83 Gasoline 3.35 3.39 3.29 - Consumer sentiment, final estimate Natural Gas 3.15 3.66 3.07 Key rates Last 1 week QTD YTD 1 year 3 years Gold 1696 1726 1603 3-mo. LIBOR 0.31 0.31 0.36 0.58 0.56 0.25 Thought of the week 3-mo. EURIBOR 0.19 0.19 0.22 1.38 1.44 0.73 Silver 32.52 32.48 29.92 Copper 8048 7635 7350 Last week, the Federal Reserve announced 6-mo. CD rate 0.32 0.33 0.34 0.64 0.67 0.30 Corn 7.34 7.20 5.67 it would begin purchasing longer-dated U.S. 30-yr fixed mortgage 3.47 3.52 3.53 4.07 4.12 4.92 Treasuries at a pace of $45bn per month to Prime Rate 3.25 3.25 3.25 3.25 3.25 3.25 offset the end of Operation Twist, while also continuing to buy agency mortgage-backed Chart of the week Style returns S&P 500 sector returns securities next year. In aggregate, these New Bond Buying Program Could Push Fed Assets to $4tn by 2014 V B G 1.7 2 actions are expected to expand the Federal Technology Assets held by the Federal Reserve, trillions USD Consumer Consumer Financials L 0.0 -0.3 -0.5 S&P 500 Reserve's balance sheet by $85bn per $4.0 Jan. 2014 estimate: $4.0tn* Utilities Staples Energy 0.5 0.4 1 Discr. 1 week month, driving the Fed's assets to nearly 0.1 1 week $3.5 M 0.0 0.1 0.1 0 $4tn by January 2014. Since the financial Materials Industrials Health Care Telecom -0.2 crisis, the Fed's balance sheet has -0.3 -0.4 $3.0 -0.5 -0.6 -1 -0.7 increased +350%, but the effectiveness of S 0.3 0.2 0.2 -1.2 the Fed's quantitative easing remains $2.5 -2 debatable. With additional unprecedented V B G 24.9 $2.0 21.6 19.6 19.0 30 monetary policy on the horizon, it is 14.9 13.9 13.0 12.8 L 16.2 14.9 14.1 11.2 important to remain cognizant of the risks $1.5 20 4.2 0.9 10 associated with these measures. For better YTD YTD $1.0 M 16.5 15.3 13.9 0 or for worse, the Federal Reserve is in Energy Materials Industrials Consumer Discr. Consumer Staples Health Care Financials Technology Telecom Utilities S&P 500 unchartered territory, and as such, it is as $0.5 S 14.2 12.7 11.2 important as ever that investors stay balanced in an effort to grapple with the $0.0 '07 '08 '09 '10 '11 '12 '13 uncertainty created by unconventional monetary policy. Please see important disclosure on next page. Note: All returns represent total return including dividends.
  • 2. Weekly Market Recap December 17, 2012 Chart of the Week: Source: Federal Reserve, J.P. Morgan Asset Management. Style Returns: Style box returns based on Russell Indexes with the exception of the Large-Cap Blend box, which reflects the S&P 500 Index. All values are cumulative total return for stated period including the reinvestment of Thought of the Week: Source: Federal Reserve, J.P. Morgan Asset Management. dividends. The Index used from L to R, top to bottom are: S&P 500 Index (Index represents the 500 Large Cap Equity Price Levels and Returns: All data represents total return including the reinvestment of dividends for portion of the stock market, and is comprised of 500 stocks as selected by the S&P Index Committee), Russell stated period. Index: S&P 500; provided by: Standard & Poor’s. Index: Dow Jones Industrial 30 (The Dow Jones is 1000 Value Index (Measures the performance of those Russell 1000 companies with lower price-to-book ratios a price-weighted index composing of 30 widely-traded blue chip stocks.) ; provided by: Dow Jones & Company. and lower forecasted growth values), Russell 1000 Growth Index (Measures the performance of those Russell Index: Russell 2000; provided by: Russell Investments. Index: Russell 1000 Growth; provided by: Russell 1000 companies with higher price-to-book ratios and higher forecasted growth values), Russell Mid Cap Value Investments. Index: Russell 1000 Value; provided by: Russell Investments. Index: MSCI – EAFE; provided by: MSCI Index (Measures the performance of those Russell Mid Cap companies with lower price-to-book ratios and lower – gross official pricing. Index: MSCI – EM; provided by: MSCI – gross official pricing. forecasted growth values), Russell Mid Cap Index (The Russell Midcap Index includes the smallest 800 securities in the Russell 1000), Russell Mid Cap Growth Index (Measures the performance of those Russell Mid Cap (MSCI EAFE is a Morgan Stanley Capital International Index that is designed to measure the performance of the companies with higher price-to-book ratios and higher forecasted growth values), Russell 2000 Value Index developed stock markets of Europe, Australia, and the Far East). (Measures the performance of those Russell 2000 companies with lower price-to-book ratios and lower forecasted growth values), Russell 2000 Index (The Russell 2000 includes the smallest 2000 securities in the Bond Returns: All data represents total return. Index: Barclays US Aggregate; provided by: Barclays Capital. Index: Russell 3000), Russell 2000 Growth Index (Measures the performance of those Russell 2000 companies with Barclays Investment Grade Credit; provided by: Barclays Capital. Index: Barclays Municipal Bond 10 Yr; provided higher price-to-book ratios and higher forecasted growth values). by: Barclays Capital. Index: Barclays Capital High Yield Index; provided by: Barclays Capital. Contact JPMorgan Distribution Services, Inc. at 1-800-480-4111 for a fund prospectus. You can Bond Rates: 2 Year Treasury, FactSet; 10 Year Treasury, FactSet; 30 Year Treasury, FactSet; 10 Year German also visit us at www.jpmorganfunds.com. Investors should carefully consider the investment Bund, FactSet. objectives and risks as well as charges and expenses of the mutual fund before investing. The prospectus contains this and other information about the mutual fund. Read the prospectus Consumer Rates: 3 Month LIBOR, British Bankers’ Association; 3 Month EURIBOR, European Banking Federation; 6 carefully before investing. Month CD, Federal Reserve; 30 Year Mortgage, Mortgage Bankers Association (MBA); Prime Rate: Federal Reserve. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Diversification does not guarantee investment returns and does not eliminate the risk of loss. Commodities: Gold, FactSet; Crude Oil (WTI), FactSet; Gasoline, FactSet; Natural Gas, FactSet; Silver, FactSet; Copper, FactSet; Corn, FactSet. Opinions and estimates offered constitute our judgment and are subject to change without notice, as are statements of financial market trends, which are based on current market conditions. We believe the information Currency: Dollar per Pound, FactSet; Dollar per Euro, FactSet; Yen per Dollar, FactSet. provided here is reliable, but do not warrant its accuracy or completeness. This material is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument. The views and strategies described may S&P Index Characteristics: Dividend Yield provided by FactSet Pricing database. Fwd. P/E is a bottom-up weighted not be suitable for all investors. This material has been prepared for informational purposes only, and is not Harmonic average using First Call Mean estimates for the "Next 12 Months" (NTM) period. Market cap is a bottom- intended to provide, and should not be relied on for, accounting, legal or tax advice. References to future returns up weighted average based on share information from Compustat and Price information from FactSet's Pricing are not promises or even estimates of actual returns a client portfolio may achieve. Any forecasts contained database as provided by Standard & Poor's. herein are for illustrative purposes only and are not to be relied upon as advice or interpreted as a recommendation. MSCI Index Characteristics: Dividend Yield provided by FactSet Pricing database. Fwd. P/E is a bottom-up The price of equity securities may rise, or fall because of changes in the broad market or changes in a company's weighted Harmonic average for the "Next 12 Months" (NTM) period. Market cap is a bottom- up weighted average financial condition, sometimes rapidly or unpredictably. International investing involves a greater degree of risk based on share information from MSCI and Price information from FactSet's Pricing database as provided by and increased volatility. There is no guarantee that companies that can issue dividends will declare, continue to MSCI. play, or increase dividends. Investments in commodities may have greater volatility than investments in traditional securities, particularly if the instruments involve leverage. Russell 1000 Value Index, Russell 1000 Growth Index, and Russell 2000 Index Characteristics: Trailing P/E is provided directly by Russell. Fwd. P/E is a bottom-up weighted harmonic average using First Call Mean estimates J.P. Morgan Asset Management is the marketing name for the asset management businesses of JPMorgan Chase for the "Next 12 Months" (NTM) period. Market cap is a bottom-up weighted average based on share information & Co. Those businesses include, but are not limited to, J.P. Morgan Investment Management Inc., Security Capital from Compustat and Price information from FactSet's Pricing database as provided by Russell. Research & Management Incorporated and J.P. Morgan Alternative Asset Management, Inc. JPMorgan Distribution Services, Inc., member FINRA/SIPC Sector Returns: Sectors are based on the GICS Classification model. Return data are calculated by FactSet using constituents and weights as provided by Standard & Poor’s. Returns are cumulative total return for stated period, © JPMorgan Chase & Co., December 2012. including reinvestment of dividends. Unless otherwise stated, all data is as of December 14, 2012 or as of most recently available. NOT FDIC INSURED | NO BANK GUARANTEE | MAY LOSE VALUE