Adapting to Climate Change: Local and Global Perspectives Dr Simon Gerrard Chief Technical Officer Low Carbon Innovation Centre

2ºC 5ºC?

What effects are predicted? UKCIP02 The UK will continue to get warmer Hotter, drier summers with more very hot summer days and droughts Milder, wetter winters with more bouts of heavy precipitation and floods Sea levels will continue to rise; storm surges becoming more frequent UK CIP08 scenarios coming soon!

UKCIP02

The UK will continue to get warmer

Hotter, drier summers with more very hot summer days and droughts

Milder, wetter winters with more bouts of heavy precipitation and floods

Sea levels will continue to rise; storm surges becoming more frequent

UK CIP08 scenarios coming soon!

Impacts in Norfolk Agriculture; food preparation and storage Tourism Built environment – working/home/transport Outdoor vs. indoor Logistics and supply chains Finance - insurance Living with Climate Change in the East of England. East of England Sustainability Round Table. 2002

Agriculture; food preparation and storage

Tourism

Built environment – working/home/transport

Outdoor vs. indoor

Logistics and supply chains

Finance - insurance

Response of wider systems SEMBE Scenarios Co-evolution of social, political, economic, technological and environmental drivers Climate change, energy security, and fuel poverty are key drivers Range of decarbonisation mechanisms Foresight Sustainable Energy Management and the Built Environment Project (2008). Final Project Report. The Government Office for Science, London.

SEMBE Scenarios

Co-evolution of social, political, economic, technological and environmental drivers

Climate change, energy security, and fuel poverty are key drivers

Range of decarbonisation mechanisms

Scenarios Will the world be open, interdependent and multi-lateral in outlook or will fragmentation occur, with strongly independent states or regions engaging in bi-lateral approaches? Will the focus of future investments and innovation in the UK favour disruptive new technologies which stimulate new systems, or technologies targeted on exploitation of existing systems?

Norfolk - a resourceful region? ‘ Fortress Norfolk’ mentality will help create local focus on energy security Opportunity for trade in 2 nd generation biofuel from agriculture though food supplies take precedence Retrofitting existing buildings is a major challenge Rural characteristics and low population density are beneficial

‘ Fortress Norfolk’ mentality will help create local focus on energy security

Opportunity for trade in 2 nd generation biofuel from agriculture though food supplies take precedence

Retrofitting existing buildings is a major challenge

Rural characteristics and low population density are beneficial

Norfolk – a sunshine state? Local focus is strong Significant opportunities for innovation (Norwich Research Park; Hethel Engineering Centre etc.) Increased carbon literacy through smart metering Carbon trading system proposed for Rackheath Eco-town is extended county-wide Opportunity for trade in 2 nd generation biofuel from agriculture though food supplies take precedence New community structures empower local focus on decision-making

Local focus is strong

Significant opportunities for innovation (Norwich Research Park; Hethel Engineering Centre etc.)

Increased carbon literacy through smart metering

Carbon trading system proposed for Rackheath Eco-town is extended county-wide

Opportunity for trade in 2 nd generation biofuel from agriculture though food supplies take precedence

New community structures empower local focus on decision-making

Norfolk – greener growth? Norfolk contributes to large scale renewable energy generation (UEA, Rackheath & Power House biomass; offshore wind) Rackheath Eco-town is a demonstrator for the nation, Europe and rest of the world Eco-innovation hub(s) on the Norwich Research Park Stimulated by widespread community engagement, Norwich, market towns and coastal areas are demonstration test-beds for new approaches to reduce carbon emissions and adapt to climate change Norfolk pride in eco-innovation taken worldwide

Norfolk contributes to large scale renewable energy generation (UEA, Rackheath & Power House biomass; offshore wind)

Rackheath Eco-town is a demonstrator for the nation, Europe and rest of the world

Eco-innovation hub(s) on the Norwich Research Park

Stimulated by widespread community engagement, Norwich, market towns and coastal areas are demonstration test-beds for new approaches to reduce carbon emissions and adapt to climate change

Norfolk pride in eco-innovation taken worldwide

Norfolk – creative carbon? Carbon capture and storage industry takes off in Norfolk – offshore (gas fields) and onshore (biochar) Carbon management expertise at UEA, Research Park, Hethel provides a focal point. London is the centre of world carbon trading but some carbon specialists in finance industry relocate to Norfolk. Limited opportunity for urban renewal projects (Anglia Square?) for new mixed use developments. New low carbon community at Rackheath inspires others throughout Norfolk.

Carbon capture and storage industry takes off in Norfolk – offshore (gas fields) and onshore (biochar)

Carbon management expertise at UEA, Research Park, Hethel provides a focal point.

London is the centre of world carbon trading but some carbon specialists in finance industry relocate to Norfolk.

Limited opportunity for urban renewal projects (Anglia Square?) for new mixed use developments.

New low carbon community at Rackheath inspires others throughout Norfolk.

Climate Change – Threat or Opportunity? Need to act now Norfolk playing catch-up on climate change strategy but is well placed to capitalise on opportunities Innovation in energy and agri-sectors New opportunities in carbon finance Significant local threats from sea level rise and flooding Ageing building stock, population and agriculture are vulnerable to hotter summer temperatures Disruption to global systems (energy, food, supply chains) will impact Norfolk Need widespread public engagement programme to generate and maintain momentum

Need to act now

Norfolk playing catch-up on climate change strategy but is well placed to capitalise on opportunities

Innovation in energy and agri-sectors

New opportunities in carbon finance

Significant local threats from sea level rise and flooding

Ageing building stock, population and agriculture are vulnerable to hotter summer temperatures

Disruption to global systems (energy, food, supply chains) will impact Norfolk

Need widespread public engagement programme to generate and maintain momentum