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Adelaide cbd office research forecast report   second half 2012
 

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    Adelaide cbd office research forecast report   second half 2012 Adelaide cbd office research forecast report second half 2012 Document Transcript

    •                                                                                                                                             
    •                                                                                                        50,000 Forecast 3.5% 40,000 3.0% 2.5% 30,000 2.0% 20,000 1.5% 1.0% 10,000 0.5% 0 0.0% -0.5% -10,000 -1.0% -20,000 -1.5% 6 month Net Absorption Adelaide CBD White Collar Employment   
    •                      Overall White Collar Health Care and Social Assistance Professional, Scientific and Technical Services Arts and Recreation Services Other Services Agriculture and mining Construction Electricity, Gas, Water and Waste Services Information Media and Telecommunications Retail Trade Transport, Postal and Warehousing Education and Training Rental, Hiring and Real Estate Services Manufacturing Accommodation and Food Services Administrative and Support Services Financial and Insurance Services Wholesale Trade Public Administration and Safety -300 -200 -100 0 100 200 300 400 500 Change in persons               
    •   40,000 2011 2012 2013 2014 Mooted 35,000 30,000 25,000 20,000 15,000 10,000 5,000 0 New or U/C Leased New or U/C Vacant Refurb/Backfill Leased Refurb/Backfill Vacant   
    •                                                                                                                                                                              
    •                                                                                           
    •   16.00% 15.0% 14.00% 12.1% 12.00% 10.00% 8.00% 6.8% 6.00% 4.00% 3.3% 2.4% 2.00% 0.00% Premium A Grade B Grade C Grade D Grade Jul-11 Jan-12 Jul-12  22.00% Forecast 20.00% 18.00% 16.00% 14.00% 12.0% 12.00% 10.00% 8.00% 7.7% 6.00% 4.00% 2.00% 0.00% CBD Total Vacancy Rate 20 Year Historical Average   
    •             $600 Forecast $550 $500 $450 Premium $400 A Grade $350 B Grade $300 $250 $200 $150 $100 $50 $0 Premium A Grade B Grade   
    •              $6,000 12.0% $5,000 10.0% $4,000 8.0% $3,000 6.0% $2,000 4.0% $1,000 2.0% $0 0.0% Average A Grade Capital Value Average A Grade Yield   
    •   15 10 5 0 -5 -10 -15 Capital Return Income Return   100% 33% 20% 25% 33% 20% 50% 22% 33% Syndicate 20% Corporate Foreign 44% Private 40% Institution 33% 25% 0% 0% 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 YTD     
    •                                                                                                                                                                             
    •                                                                           