Comp Plan 2013 Existing Conditions Report

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Comp Plan 2013 Existing Conditions Report

  1. 1. Regular Agenda #7 Comprehensive Plan – 5 Year Review Existing Conditions Report
  2. 2. Existing Conditions Assessment • Locational Context & the Land • Demographics • Economic Development • Existing Land Use • Public Facilities, Infrastructure & Services • Transportation
  3. 3. Plan Monitoring and Progress • Annual Progress Report (P&Z to Council) • 5-year Evaluation Report • Thorough Plan update at least every 10 years • Ongoing community outreach and engagement
  4. 4. 5-Year Evaluation & Appraisal Report  Existing Conditions Report • Evaluation and Appraisal Report • Scope included in the Comp Plan • Led by Sub-Committee of P&Z • Public Involvement • Joint P&Z / Council Task Force • Anticipated Completion May/June 2014
  5. 5. Planning Assumptions • Projected 2030 population = 134,000 • Projected Texas A&M enrollment cap = 50,000 students • Fastest growing age group = 50 and older 100K • Student population continues to grow, but their share of population is declining (less than 50% today versus 60% in 1990). • % of 2000-08 platted lots in ETJ = 18%
  6. 6. Demographics 2.47% Current Population: 99,889 (based on COs issued through November 30, 2013) Average growth rate 2003 to current: 2.47% (with current 2013 estimates)
  7. 7. Demographics • Increase in percentage of senior population (aged 65 and over) • TAMU - Fall 2013 saw a 4% increase in first time student enrollment, with an overall increase of 7% in total enrollment (53,786 record enrollment) • Fall 2013 - CSISD enrollment up 5.5%
  8. 8. Economic Development • Major Employers College Station-Bryan MSA: – TAMU – CSISD / BISD – Reynolds & Reynolds – City of College Station – Sanderson Farms – St. Joseph Regional Hospital • Over 51% of College Station residents have a college degree
  9. 9. Economic Development • Unemployment rate is 6.1%, lower than both the Texas and National rate • Employment growing in the College StationBryan MSA at an average rate of 1.3% over the past 10 years
  10. 10. Land Use Land Use - 49% of land area designated for residential uses, approximately 33% of land developed as residential • 9% of land area designated for commercial uses, approximately 6% of land developed as residential Platting Activity: - From 2000-2010 over 9,000 lots platted (18% in ETJ) - From 2010-2013 over 1,700 lots platted (7.5% in ETJ)
  11. 11. Public Facilities • Police: – 133,538 police incidents in 2012 – Major crime offenses down 19% from 2011 – Arrests down 4% from 2011 • Fire: – 6,800 calls for service in 2012 – 5.5 minute response time achieved 87% of the time
  12. 12. Public Facilities Parks & Recreation: - 57 parks totaling 1,356 acres of park land - 13.59 acres of parkland per 1000 residents Utilities: - CSU serves more than 36,000 customers
  13. 13. Transportation • 525 miles of existing and planned streets in the City and ETJ • 156 miles of existing sidewalks • 44 miles of striped bike lanes
  14. 14. Changing Assumptions • 2010 Census – 93,857 2010 • Current Estimate – 99,889 • Texas A&M enrollment cap no longer exists – 53,672 Fall 2013 • 4% increase in new enrollment – Fall 2013 • College of Engineering’s 25 by 25 Plan • CSISD Fall 2013 5.5% growth
  15. 15. Projected Population Growth 250,000 200,000 150,000 100,000 50,000 0 High Growth (6.08%) 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 103,388 109,674 116,342 123,415 130,919 138,879 147,323 156,280 165,782 175,861 186,554 197,896 209,928 Medium Growth (3.06%) 100,447 103,524 106,695 109,963 113,331 116,802 120,380 124,067 127,868 131,784 135,821 139,981 144,268 Low Growth (1.28%) 98,710 99,973 101,253 102,549 103,861 105,191 106,537 107,901 109,282 110,681 112,098 113,532 114,986 High growth 2000-2001 Low growth 2009-2010 124,000+ by 2020
  16. 16. Next Steps • • • • • Form Council Subcommittee (Jan) Focus group meetings (Jan/Feb) P&Z & Council Subcommittee meetings Evaluation & Appraisal Report Public hearings & anticipated completion May/June 2014 www.cstx.gov/compplan
  17. 17. 5-Year Evaluation & Appraisal Report  Existing Conditions Report • Evaluation and Appraisal Report • Scope included in the Comp Plan • Led by Sub-Committee of P&Z • Public Involvement • Joint P&Z / Council Task Force • Anticipated Completion May/June 2014

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