Philly Stat Stateofthe City126 1

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A 35 page presentation from PhillyStat on the State of Philadelphia made on January 26, 2009

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Philly Stat Stateofthe City126 1

  1. 1. State of Philadelphia: FY10 Budget State of the City Date: January 26, 2009
  2. 2. State of Philadelphia: FY10 Budget Table of Contents State of the City  Economic Rates and Economic Trends Slide 3 ̶ Demographic Trends Slide 7 ̶ Educational Attainment Slide 13 ̶ Public Safety Trends Slide 19 ̶ City’s Strategic Assets Slide 27 ̶ Reform Agenda Slide 32 ̶
  3. 3. State of the City Employment Rates and Economic Trends
  4. 4. State of the City Employment Rates and Economic Trends Monthly Unemployment Rates, U.S. vs. Philadelphia, July 2007 – December 2008 9.0% 8.0% 8.0% 7.0% 6.0% 7.2% 6.0% 5.0% US 4.7% Philadelphia 4.0% 3.0% Jul 07 Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul 08 Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec 07 07 07 07 07 08 08 08 08 08 08 08 08 08 08 08 Source: Bureau of Labor Statistics, “Selected unemployment indicators”, December 2008
  5. 5. State of the City Employment Rates and Economic Trends High unemployment is concentrated in Philadelphia’s central neighborhoods
  6. 6. State of the City Employment Rates and Economic Trends Per capita income in the past 12 months (in 2007 inflation-adjusted dollars) for Select Metropolitan Statistical Areas $50,000 $45,000 $40,000 $35,000 U.S. Per Capita Income = $26,178 $30,000 $25,000 $20,000 $15,000 $10,000 $5,000 $- Source: American Community Survey
  7. 7. State of the City Demographic Trends
  8. 8. State of the City Demographic Trends Philadelphia has lost a portion of its population from 1990 - 2006 City Population Growth, Selected Cities, 1990 to 2006 -8.7% Philadelphia, PA -10.4% Milwaukee, WI 8.3% Los Angeles, CA -1.2% Chicago, IL 12.2% New York City, NY -4.2% Washington, DC 7.9% Indianapolis, IN -18.9% Detroit, MI 2.8% San Francisco, CA 45.4% Phoenix, AZ -14.2% Baltimore, MD -30.0% -20.0% -10.0% 0.0% 10.0% 20.0% 30.0% 40.0% 50.0% Annual Growth Rate Source: U.S. Census Bureau
  9. 9. Philadelphia - Camden- Wilmington, 8% PA-NJ-DE-MD (MSA) Milwaukee- Waukesha- has not grown as West Allis, WI 9% metropolitan areas (MSA) State of the City Greater Philadelphia Los Angeles - Long Beach- rapidly as comparative Santa Ana, CA Demographic Trends (MSA) 34% Chicago- Naperville- Joliet, IL-IN-WI (MSA) 17% New York - Northern New Jersey -Long 9% Island, NY-NJ- PA (MSA) Indianapolis - Carmel, IN (MSA) 31% Detroit - Warren- Livonia, MI 1% (MSA) San Francisco- Oakland- Fremont, CA 25% (MSA) Phoenix - Mesa- Metropolitan Statistical Area Population % Change 1970 - 2006 Scottsdale, AZ (MSA) 74% Baltimore- Towson, MD (MSA) 21% Washington- Arlington- Alexandria, DC-VA-MD- 40% WV (MSA) Source: Bureau of Economic Analysis
  10. 10. State of the City Demographic Trends Population Change, 1960 - 2000 Many of Philadelphia’s neighborhoods have lost population Source: U.S. Census Bureau
  11. 11. State of the City Demographic Trends Foreign Born Population vs. Total Population – Select Regions (2006) 7,000,000 Foreign Born % = Foreign Born population/Total Population Total Pop. 6,000,000 5,000,000 Population 4,000,000 3,000,000 2,000,000 21.5% 29.6% 18% 20.1% 13% 15.9% 1,000,000 8.7% 0 Philadelphia Wash. D.C. San Fran. Houston Boston Dallas Atlanta Metropolitan Statistical Area (2006 American Community Survey Data)
  12. 12. State of the City Demographic Trends Percent Population Age 65+ in Cities (source Census ACS 2005-2007 estimates) 16% 15% 13% 14% 12% 12% 12% 12% 11% Percentage of Total Pop 11% 10% 10% 10% 10% 8% 8% 6% 4% 2% 0% Philadelphia, Milwaukee, Los Angeles, Chicago, IL New York Washington, Indianapolis, Detroit, MI San Phoenix, AZ Baltimore, PA WI CA City, NY D.C. IN Francisco, MD CA Source: American Community Survey
  13. 13. State of the City Educational Attainment
  14. 14. State of the City Educational Attainment Financial and Administrative Structure of Public Education in Philadelphia In 2001, the Commonwealth of Pennsylvania transferred control of  the Mayor-appointed School Board to the School Reform Commission — a five-member entity led by individuals appointed by the Mayor and the Governor. The Mayor holds two of five appointees on the School Reform  Commission and played a key role in selecting Dr. Ackerman as Superintendent in collaboration with Governor Rendell. The Mayor’s Office and several departments within the City  collaborate closely with the School District on our services to children and families. For the 2008-09 year, the City of Philadelphia must contribute $837  million in tax and non-tax revenue to the School District of Philadelphia.
  15. 15. State of the City Educational Attainment Percent of Population over 25 with College Degrees for Selected Cities 60% 1970 2007 50.1% 48.4% 50% 40% 33.1% 29.9% 29.7% 30% 27.4% 24.5% 23.7% 21.3% 17.8% 20% 16.7% 13.9% 11.7% 11.5% 11.9% 10.6% 8.1% 7.2% 10% 6.8% 6.2% 0% Philadelphia, Los Angeles, Chicago, IL New York Washington, Indianapolis, Detroit, MI San Phoenix, AZ Baltimore, MD PA CA City, NY DC IN Francisco, CA Note: 2007 data are based on a sample. All data are of principal/central city. Source: 2007 American Community Survey and State of the Cities Data Systems (SOCDS)
  16. 16. State of the City Educational Attainment School District of Philadelphia – Graduation Rates 70% 60% 59.7% 58.9% 57.9% 57.8% 57.2% 55.9% 50% 40% 58.7% 54.5% 52.3% 48.9% 48.3% 49.3% 47.9% 30% 44.2% 20% 10% 0% Class of 2001 Class of 2002 Class of 2003 Class of 2004 Class of 2005 Class of 2006 Class of 2007 Class of 2008 Students graduating in six or less years One-time graduates Source: The School District of Philadelphia (2009)
  17. 17. State of the City Educational Attainment On average, a Philadelphia dropout earns $457,000 in lifetime income, barely one-half  that of a Philadelphia high school graduate - $871,000. The annual net fiscal contribution** of an average Philadelphia working-age adult without  a HS diploma is - $6,780, compared to +$5,790 for a HS graduate. Over a working lifetime, an average Philadelphia dropout makes a net fiscal contribution  of -$319,000, while a HS graduate contributes +$261,000, yielding a total savings to government of $580,000. Philadelphia dropouts pay only $.39 in taxes for every dollar received in transfer  payments and institutionalization costs, while HS graduates contribute $2.64 for every dollar received. Converting a Philadelphia dropout to a high school graduate would produce a potential gain of $580,000 over a working lifetime* *Gain to local, state and federal governments Source: Center for Labor Market Studies, 2009 **Taxes paid vs. transfer payments received and costs of institutionalization
  18. 18. State of the City Educational Attainment Percent of Residents Age 25 and Over with Bachelor’s Degree or Higher, 2000 Lower educational attainment is concentrated in targeted police districts
  19. 19. State of the City Public Safety Trends
  20. 20. State of the City Public Safety Trends The targeted police districts were chosen because in 2007, the following percentages of the listed crimes (citywide) occurred in the targeted areas combined: - Homicides – 65% - Robbery – 64% - Aggravated Assault – 55% Legend - Shooting victims – 59% District 9 Districts Parks Water
  21. 21. State of the City Public Safety Trends 2008 Violent Crime Concentrations ¼ Mile Density of Violent Crime 1-1-2008 – 12-31-2008 Including Homicides, Rapes, Robberies & Aggravated Assaults
  22. 22. State of the City Public Safety Trends City of Philadelphia 2008 Shooting Victims - 1-1-2008 – 12-31-2008 Shootings are concentrated in the high crime districts
  23. 23. State of the City Public Safety Trends Violent Crime Rate, Selected Cities, 2003 - 2007 2500 2289 2003 2007 2008 2018 Violent Crime Rate-Per 100,000 Population 2000 1735 1631 1569 1475 1403 1500 1378 1347 1324 1300 1272 1234 1179 1000 874 883 890 742 734 693 724 718 614 500 0 Source: FBI Publication – Crime in the U.S. Violent Crime: Murder, Rape, Robbery, Agg. Asslt *Does not include Rape totals **Philadelphia – Jan – Nov 2008
  24. 24. State of the City Public Safety Trends Comparison of 2008 Crime Rates v. Targets (changes versus 2007) Nine Targeted Citywide % Districts % Nine Targeted Category change (2008 v. Citywide Target change (2008 v. District targets 2007) 2007) Homicides -15.10 -25 -26.10 -25 Shooting -9.9 -20 -14.9 -20 Victims Part I Violent -2.5 -20 0.6 -20 Crimes Guns Seized 1.90 5% -2.60 5% Source: Philadelphia Police Department
  25. 25. State of the City Public Safety Trends Philadelphia Prison System – Average Monthly Inmate Population January 2004 – December 2008
  26. 26. State of the City Public Safety Trends Philadelphia Prison System’s inmates are coming from the targeted crime districts
  27. 27. State of the City Philadelphia’s Strategic Assets
  28. 28. State of the City Philadelphia’s Strategic Assets Eds & Meds One third of all Philadelphia jobs are in Educational Services and Health  Care and Social Assistance Philadelphia’s Strategic Advantage:  Philadelphia has a concentration of over five times more Educational ̶ Services jobs and almost twice as many Health Care & Social Assistance jobs as the national average Source: 2008 Philadelphia Non-farm Employment and Labor Force Data, Bureau of Labor Statistics of the U.S. Dept. of Labor
  29. 29. State of the City Philadelphia’s Strategic Assets Transportation Links Acela High Speed Trains to Washington, DC  only take 90 minutes and to New York City only 70 minutes SEPTA’s average daily ridership in December  2008 was 815,000 passengers Philadelphia is within a day's drive of 40% of  the U.S. population Fastest growing airport in the Northeast  Corridor
  30. 30. State of the City Philadelphia’s Strategic Assets Arts and Culture/Recreation Amenities 69% of businesses surveyed said that the City’s cultural attractions are  the most important factor for locating their business in Philadelphia (Source: Chamber of Commerce, Annual Economic Outlook, 2007) ̶ The regional non-profit cultural sector generates:  $1.3 billion in annual expenditures ̶ 40,000 jobs ̶ $158.5 million in State and local taxes ̶ (Source: Greater Philadelphia Cultural Alliance, 2007 Prosperity Report) ̶ Fairmount Park is largest urban park in U.S. with over 9,000 acres  Philadelphia’s waterfronts represent a tremendous asset to the City  through new trails, programming and new development in the surrounding areas
  31. 31. State of the City Philadelphia’s Strategic Assets Room to Grow – New Development Projects Waterfronts  Station Square ̶ Navy Yard  Convention Center/Market East  Hotel Development ̶ Children’s Hospital Expansion  Temple University  Penn Connects: UPenn Expansion 
  32. 32. State of the City Reform Agenda
  33. 33. State of the City Reform Agenda Reform Plan and Goals To achieve our vision with  the constraints we have developed a 5-year Reform Agenda Current Vision Conditions Establish reform teams ̶ Engage the public ̶ Incorporate innovative ̶ ideas in FY 2010 budget and the 5-year plan Reform Agenda
  34. 34. State of the City Reform Agenda Decision Making and Public Engagement Review budget targets from City departments (10%, 20%, 30% reductions)  Evaluate best practices from other cities  Receive input from City employees on revenue-generating and cost-  saving ideas Receive public input regarding budget tradeoffs 
  35. 35. State of the City Reform Agenda Civic Engagement Dialog Sessions Thursday, February 12th:  St. Dominic's School Frankford Avenue near Benson Street, Holmesburg Wednesday, February 18th  Mastery Charter School, Pickett Campus, Wayne and W. Chelten Avenues, Germantown Thursday, February 19th  St. Monica's Catholic School, 16th and Porter Streets, South Philadelphia Monday, February 23rd  Pinn Memorial Baptist Church 54th Street near Woodcrest Avenue, Overbrook

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