Cisco Visual Networking Index Global IP Traffic Forecast (2012-2017)Posted by Kellie Wong on May 29, 2013 10:55:51 AMThe Visual Networking Index (VNI) Global IP Traffic Forecast for 2012-2017 is part of thecomprehensive Cisco VNI forecast, an ongoing initiative to track and forecast the impact of visualnetworking applications on global networks. The new study includes global fixed IP traffic growth andservice adoption trends, complementing the VNI Global Mobile Data Traffic Forecast released earlier thisyear. Here are some of the key findings from the Cisco VNI Global IP Traffic Forecast (2012-2017):Key HighlightsAnnual global IP traffic will surpass the zettabyte threshold (1.4 zettabytes) by the end of 2017. In2017, global IP traffic will reach 1.4 zettabytes per year, or 120.6 exabytes per month. Global IP trafficwill reach 1.0 zettabytes per year or 83.8 exabytes per month in 2015.Global IP traffic has increased more than fourfold in the past 5 years, and will increase threefoldover the next 5 years. Overall, IP traffic will grow at a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 23percent from 2012 to 2017.Nearly half of all IP traffic will originate with non-PC devices by 2017. In 2012, only 26 percent ofconsumer IP traffic originated with non-PC devices, but by 2017 the non-PC share of consumer IP trafficwill grow to 49 percent. PC-originated traffic will grow at a CAGR of 14 percent, while TVs, tablets,mobile phones, and machine-to-machine (M2M) modules will have traffic growth rates of 24 percent,104 percent, 79 percent, and 82 percent, respectivelyTraffic from wireless and mobile devices will exceed traffic from wired devices by 2016. By 2017,wired devices will account for 45 percent of IP traffic, while Wi-Fi and mobile devices will account for 55percent of IP traffic. In 2012, wired devices accounted for the majority of IP traffic at 59 percent.
The number of devices connected to IP networks will be nearly three times as high as theglobal population in 2017.There will be nearly three networked devices per capita in 2017, up fromnearly two networked devices per capita in 2012. Accelerated in part by the increase in devices and thecapabilities of those devices, IP traffic per capita will reach 16 gigabytes per capita in 2017, up from 6gigabytes per capita in 2012.Mobile HighlightsGlobally, mobile data traffic will increase 13-fold between 2012 and 2017. Mobile data traffic will growat a CAGR of 66 percent between 2012 and 2017, reaching 11.2 exabytes per month by 2017.Global mobile data traffic will grow three times faster than fixed IP traffic from 2012 to 2017. Globalmobile data traffic was 2 percent of total IP traffic in 2012, and will be 9 percent of total IP traffic in2017.Mobile Data TrafficMobile data traffic includes handset-based data traffic, such as text messaging, multimedia messaging,and handset video services (Table below). Mobile Internet traffic is generated by wireless cards forportable computers and handset-based mobile Internet usage.
Regional HighlightsIP traffic is growing fastest in the Middle East and Africa, followed by Asia Pacific. Traffic in the MiddleEast and Africa will grow at a CAGR of 38 percent between 2012 and 2017.IP traffic in North America will reach 40.7 exabytes per month by 2017, at a CAGR of 23percent. Monthly Internet traffic in North America will generate 7 billion DVDs’ worth of traffic, or 26.3exabytes per month.IP traffic in Western Europe will reach 16.8 exabytes per month by 2017, at a CAGR of 17percent. Monthly Internet traffic in Western Europe will generate 3 billion DVDs’ worth of traffic, or 13.6exabytes per month.IP traffic in Asia Pacific will reach 43.4 exabytes per month by 2017, at a CAGR of 26percent. Monthly Internet traffic in Asia Pacific will generate 9 billion DVDs’ worth of traffic, or 35.8exabytes per month.IP traffic in Latin America will reach 7.4 exabytes per month by 2017, at a CAGR of 17percent. Monthly Internet traffic in Latin America will generate 2 billion DVDs’ worth of traffic, or 6.7exabytes per month.IP traffic in Central and Eastern Europe will reach 8.8 exabytes per month by 2017, at a CAGR of 21percent. Monthly Internet traffic in Central and Eastern Europe will generate 2 billion DVDs’ worth oftraffic, or 7.4 exabytes per month.Discover all findings by accessing the full White Paper: Cisco Visual Networking Index: Forecast andMethodology, 2012-2017 (PDF)
More ResourcesPress Release: Ciscos Visual Networking Index Forecast Projects Nearly Half the Worlds Population WillBe Connected to the Internet by 2017Video Animation: Cisco VNI Global IP Traffic Forecast Highlights (2012-2017)Infographic: Consumer Mobile Service Adoption TrendsVideo: Cisco VNI Forecast 2012-2017 Key Takeaways (sound bytes)Video: Summary Discussion of Cisco VNI Forecast 2012-2017More Info: Cisco VNI PageFollow the conversation on Twitter using #CiscoVNI and follow @CiscoVNI and the Cisco VNI FacebookPageFor more discussions and topics around SP Mobility, please visit our Mobility Community:http://cisco.com/go/mobilitycommunity