CTAR Residential Market Update - 2011 Year in Review

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Presentations from the Charleston Trident Association of REALTORS 2011 Year in Review Residential Market Update. …

Presentations from the Charleston Trident Association of REALTORS 2011 Year in Review Residential Market Update.

Includes presentations from Raymond Owens, senior research economist with the Federal Reserve Bank of Richmond and Dr. Joseph Von Nessen, a research economist with the University of South Carolina's Moore School of Business.

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  • Federal Reserve Bank of Richmond CONFIDENTAL
  • Federal Reserve Bank of Richmond CONFIDENTAL
  • Federal Reserve Bank of Richmond CONFIDENTAL

Transcript

  • 1.  
  • 2. An Update on Economic Conditions Raymond Owens February 15, 2012
  • 3. Real Gross Domestic Product Source: Bureau of Economic Analysis/Haver Analytics
  • 4. Quarterly average of monthly changes, thousands of persons Jan. Nonfarm Payroll Employment Source: Bureau of Labor Statistics/Haver Analytics
  • 5. Personal Income & Expenditures Source: Bureau of Economic Analysis/Haver Analytics 12 Month % Change Real Personal Consumption Expenditure Real Personal Income Dec.
  • 6. Autos and Light Trucks Light Trucks Autos Jan. 14.1 mil. Sales of Automobiles & Light Trucks Millions of Vehicles Source: Bureau of Economic Analysis/Haver Analytics
  • 7. New & Existing Single-Family Home Sales Millions of Homes Source: Census Bureau, National Association of Realtors, & Haver Analytics Millions of Homes Existing Home Sales (Left Axis) New Home Sales (Right Axis) Dec. 4.1 mln. 0.3 mln.
  • 8. Housing Starts Single-Family Building Permits & Housing Starts Source: Census Bureau/Haver Analytics Millions of Units Building Permits Dec.
  • 9. Private Multi-Family Starts & Building Permit s Source: Census Bureau/Haver Analytics Millions Permits Starts December (millions) Permits 0.24 Starts 0.19 Dec.
  • 10. Net Absorptions & Employment Source: Torto Wheaton, Bureau of Labor Statistics, & Haver Analytics Thousands of Employees, Quarterly Averages Millions of Square Feet Notes: Office employment is the sum of employment in information, financial activities, and professional and business services. Net Absorptions, Office Buildings (Right Axis) Changes in Employment (Left Axis)
  • 11. Office Vacancies & Rents Source: Torto Wheaton Research Percent Index Vacancy Rate (Left Axis) Torto Weaton Real Rent Index (Right Axis)
  • 12. Retail Vacancies & Rents Source: Torto Wheaton Research Percent Index Vacancy Rate (Left Axis) Torto Weaton Real Rent Index (Right Axis)
  • 13. Industrial Vacancies & Rents Source: Torto Wheaton Research Percent Index Vacancy Rate (Left Axis) Torto Weaton Real Rent Index (Right Axis)
  • 14. South Carolina Existing Home Sales Source: National Association of Realtors/Haver Analytics
  • 15. South Carolina House Price Index—FHFA Source: Federal Housing Finance Agency/Haver Analytics
  • 16. South Carolina Building Permits Single-Family Homes Source: US Census Bureau/Haver Analytics
  • 17. South Carolina Housing Starts Source: Bank of Tokyo-Mitsubishi UFJ/Haver Analytics
  • 18. South Carolina Mortgage Delinquency Rate 90+ days delinquent Source: Mortgage Bankers Association/Haver Analytics
  • 19. Feb. 10 10-Yr. Treasury Bond Rate Corporate BBB Bond Rate 30 Year Conventional Mortgage Rate Corporate AAA Bond Rate Capital Market Rates Percent Source: BofA Merrill Lynch, Board of Governors, Haver Analytics
  • 20. An Update on Economic Conditions Raymond Owens February 15, 2012
  • 21. An Update on Economic Conditions Raymond Owens February 15, 2012
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  • 67. Question and Answer
  • 68. Find today’s presentations on: Slideshare.net/CharlestonRealtors Facebook.com/CharlestonRealtors
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