Why are we here today? For those already using automation, you will be better equipped to continue with technological advances. For those new to automation to give you focus, purpose and approach to introducing automation to your group. Because no organization is exactly the same, while not everything I say will apply to everyone, I consider this meeting a success if each of you goes home with at least six new ideas or ways to consider automation.
How many of you have at some time asked: Why automate? How many of you have been asked the SMA question? Here are some of my reasons: Do you want to add anything to this list?
GUI - are like multiple choice tests. Ideally they are intuitive and have a shorter learning curve. Wireless: When the first cellular system was activated in 1983 in Chicago, AT&T predicted fewer than 1 million people would use such service by 2000. The reality by the end of 1993 there were over 16 million users with 14,000 new users joining every day!
In a recent article in the Communications Week trade publication, Vice President Al Gore told the story about Michael Faraday, the inventor of the electric generator. Once he was showing Benjamin Disraeli, the great statesman, through his lab, taking pleasure in demonstrating all the effects he could produce. At the end of his tour, Disraeli said, "Well, what good are all these things?" Faraday answered, "What good is a baby?" HAL in 2001: A Space Odyssey. Acc. to Voice Information Association voice recognition marketplace will reach $750 million in 1997 and synthesis of $550 by 1997. Used now in education i.e. Microsoft’s Encarla CD-ROM that has single disk for the 29 volume Funk & Wgnall’s encyclopedia. “ Multimedia is a timely and necessary solution to information access, presentation, and communication problems.” Robert Aston President Market Vision Ben Delaney, Publisher & Editor of CyberEdge Journal said in a October 4 article: “VR now is like the PC in 1979 -- a solution looking for a problem. You’ll see things like spreadsheet add-ins that give you better ways to look at data, network access front ends for data cruising, and software for almost any training scenario.” Videoconferencing - face-to-face = trust
Drive carefully on your way home.
Trends in technology 1997
HAL 9000 and More:HAL 9000 and More:
Trends in TechnologyTrends in Technology
presented bypresented by
Grabush, Newman & Co., P.A.Grabush, Newman & Co., P.A.
Certified Public Accountants & Management ConsultantsCertified Public Accountants & Management Consultants
Chaim Yudkowsky, CPA
To provide you with a look at
new technologies and trends
Discussion of business,
cultural, and social impacts of
those technologies to the
Why (continue to) useWhy (continue to) use
Increase recreation and entertainment
Improve clarity and neatness
Any sufficiently advanced technology
is indistinguishable from magic.
Arthur L. Clarke,
The Lost Worlds of 2001
Fundamental societal shift to
being “Knowledge based.”
The Post Capitalist Society
Technology -Technology - ExistingExisting
Personal computers and GUI
VCR / TV
The Internet seems pervasive, but...The Internet seems pervasive, but...
. . . it involves many technologies!. . . it involves many technologies!
Vision is the art of seeing things
Thoughts on Various Subjects
Technology -Technology -Near-term emergingNear-term emerging
Personal digital assistants
Internet push technology
“In the world of the Internet, is there a place for a
packager of services? Does the customer want to go
surf the Net and go to every one of 50,000 Web sites?
Or will people pay a reasonable amount for somebody
to go out and preselect and package what they want?
My guess is that both will coexist.”
CEO IBM / Prodigy Services Partner
Business Week Oct 30, 1995
Technology -Technology - Longer-term emergingLonger-term emerging
– Experiment in Orlando
– Niche segment appeal for next 5 years
Technology -Technology - Ongoing emergingOngoing emerging
Chips -- Pentium MMX, II, and beyond
Data warehouse leveraging
Voice synthesis & recognition
Intranet / Extranet
PCS extension of wireless
Technology -Technology - Novelty and NicheNovelty and Niche
Fanny pack PC
TruePosition geographical positioning
The Information Highway will
transform our culture as dramatically
as Gutenberg’s press did in the middle
Bill Gates, CEO, Microsoft
The Road Ahead
Today, many technologyToday, many technology
innovations seem to involveinnovations seem to involve
information and communication.information and communication.
A man’s feet must be planted in his
country, but his eyes should survey
George Santayana, philosopher
Technology DriversTechnology Drivers
Globalization and global competition
Pace of change / pace of communication
Continuous pressure to outperform
Downsizing of resources
Hunger for knowledge
Knowledge has become the “key
resource” of the world economy. The
traditional factors - land, labor, capital
- are becoming restraints rather than
Decision Information OverloadDecision Information Overload
Quality of information
Technology changingTechnology changing
Mass customization / mass niche marketing
Info-intensive value chain
Who is using it?Who is using it?
Xers, Boomers, and Matures
“Technology sometimes intimidates me.” -
Xers = practicality
Boomers = efficiency
Matures = accessibility
Overall technology issuesOverall technology issues
Speed and degradation
Quality of life
AICPA IT Committee 1997AICPA IT Committee 1997
Top 10Top 10
2. Image Processing.
3. General communication technology.
4. The Internet and public online services.
5. Training and technology competency.
AICPA IT Committee 1997AICPA IT Committee 1997
Top 10Top 10
6. The Year 2000.
7. Electronic commerce.
9. Private networks, including intranets.
10. Electronic data interchange (EDI).
Specific technologySpecific technology
Point to ponderPoint to ponder
Senior managers who do not make
information technology an integral
part of their business strategy will
find their future seriously threatened
by competitors who do.
Jaak Juison, Asst Professor of IS
Reader of Business Week