Trends in technology 1997

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Chaim Yudkowsky, CPA, CITP, CGMA - Byte of Success

Delivered multiple times in 1997 - looks at technology trends of the time.

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  • Why are we here today? For those already using automation, you will be better equipped to continue with technological advances. For those new to automation to give you focus, purpose and approach to introducing automation to your group. Because no organization is exactly the same, while not everything I say will apply to everyone, I consider this meeting a success if each of you goes home with at least six new ideas or ways to consider automation.
  • How many of you have at some time asked: Why automate? How many of you have been asked the SMA question? Here are some of my reasons: Do you want to add anything to this list?
  • GUI - are like multiple choice tests. Ideally they are intuitive and have a shorter learning curve. Wireless: When the first cellular system was activated in 1983 in Chicago, AT&T predicted fewer than 1 million people would use such service by 2000. The reality by the end of 1993 there were over 16 million users with 14,000 new users joining every day!
  • In a recent article in the Communications Week trade publication, Vice President Al Gore told the story about Michael Faraday, the inventor of the electric generator. Once he was showing Benjamin Disraeli, the great statesman, through his lab, taking pleasure in demonstrating all the effects he could produce. At the end of his tour, Disraeli said, "Well, what good are all these things?" Faraday answered, "What good is a baby?" HAL in 2001: A Space Odyssey. Acc. to Voice Information Association voice recognition marketplace will reach $750 million in 1997 and synthesis of $550 by 1997. Used now in education i.e. Microsoft’s Encarla CD-ROM that has single disk for the 29 volume Funk & Wgnall’s encyclopedia. “ Multimedia is a timely and necessary solution to information access, presentation, and communication problems.” Robert Aston President Market Vision Ben Delaney, Publisher & Editor of CyberEdge Journal said in a October 4 article: “VR now is like the PC in 1979 -- a solution looking for a problem. You’ll see things like spreadsheet add-ins that give you better ways to look at data, network access front ends for data cruising, and software for almost any training scenario.” Videoconferencing - face-to-face = trust
  • Drive carefully on your way home.
  • Trends in technology 1997

    1. 1. HAL 9000 and More:HAL 9000 and More: Trends in TechnologyTrends in Technology presented bypresented by Grabush, Newman & Co., P.A.Grabush, Newman & Co., P.A. Certified Public Accountants & Management ConsultantsCertified Public Accountants & Management Consultants Chaim Yudkowsky, CPA
    2. 2. ObjectivesObjectives To provide you with a look at new technologies and trends Discussion of business, cultural, and social impacts of those technologies to the communication field
    3. 3. Why (continue to) useWhy (continue to) use technology?technology? Increase recreation and entertainment Improve productivity Improve convenience Improve accuracy Improve efficiency Improve clarity and neatness Increase timeliness Increase accessibility Reduce costs
    4. 4. Any sufficiently advanced technology is indistinguishable from magic. Arthur L. Clarke, The Lost Worlds of 2001
    5. 5. TrendTrend Fundamental societal shift to being “Knowledge based.” Peter Drucker, The Post Capitalist Society
    6. 6. Technology -Technology - ExistingExisting Personal computers and GUI VCR / TV CD-ROM services Color printing E-mail Fax Voice mail Wireless OCR Scanning Internet
    7. 7. The Internet seems pervasive, but...The Internet seems pervasive, but...
    8. 8. . . . it involves many technologies!. . . it involves many technologies!
    9. 9. Vision is the art of seeing things invisible. Jonathan Swift, Thoughts on Various Subjects
    10. 10. Technology -Technology -Near-term emergingNear-term emerging Groupware Multimedia Animation Personal digital assistants Kiosks DVD Internet push technology
    11. 11. “In the world of the Internet, is there a place for a packager of services? Does the customer want to go surf the Net and go to every one of 50,000 Web sites? Or will people pay a reasonable amount for somebody to go out and preselect and package what they want? My guess is that both will coexist.” Lou Gerstner CEO IBM / Prodigy Services Partner Business Week Oct 30, 1995
    12. 12. Technology -Technology - Longer-term emergingLonger-term emerging Video conferencing Virtual reality Imaging Interactive TV – Experiment in Orlando Intelligent agent Web TV – Niche segment appeal for next 5 years
    13. 13. Technology -Technology - Ongoing emergingOngoing emerging Chips -- Pentium MMX, II, and beyond Electronic commerce Data warehouse leveraging High-definition TV Voice synthesis & recognition Intranet / Extranet Two-way paging PCS extension of wireless
    14. 14. Technology -Technology - Novelty and NicheNovelty and Niche Fanny pack PC Virtual pets TruePosition geographical positioning Net games Child playgrounds
    15. 15. The Information Highway will transform our culture as dramatically as Gutenberg’s press did in the middle ages. Bill Gates, CEO, Microsoft The Road Ahead
    16. 16. Today, many technologyToday, many technology innovations seem to involveinnovations seem to involve information and communication.information and communication.
    17. 17. A man’s feet must be planted in his country, but his eyes should survey the world. George Santayana, philosopher
    18. 18. Technology DriversTechnology Drivers Globalization and global competition Pace of change / pace of communication Collaboration Continuous pressure to outperform Downsizing of resources Hunger for knowledge
    19. 19. Knowledge has become the “key resource” of the world economy. The traditional factors - land, labor, capital - are becoming restraints rather than driving forces. Peter Drucker
    20. 20. Decision Information OverloadDecision Information Overload High High Low Low Ability to Make a Decision Quality of knowledge Quality of information Low High
    21. 21. Technology changingTechnology changing expectationsexpectations Mass customization / mass niche marketing Infotainment Telecomputer convergence Info-intensive value chain Telecommuting Virtual corporation Virtual shopping
    22. 22. Who is using it?Who is using it? Xers, Boomers, and Matures “Technology sometimes intimidates me.” - 55:57:64 Simplicity sells Xers = practicality Boomers = efficiency Matures = accessibility
    23. 23. Overall technology issuesOverall technology issues Speed and degradation Privacy Confidentiality Security Permanency Copyright Usage policy Quality of life
    24. 24. AICPA IT Committee 1997AICPA IT Committee 1997 Top 10Top 10 1. Security. 2. Image Processing. 3. General communication technology. 4. The Internet and public online services. 5. Training and technology competency.
    25. 25. AICPA IT Committee 1997AICPA IT Committee 1997 Top 10Top 10 6. The Year 2000. 7. Electronic commerce. 8. Workflow. 9. Private networks, including intranets. 10. Electronic data interchange (EDI).
    26. 26. Specific technologySpecific technology implementationsimplementations Database management Document preparation Electronic mail Contact management Presentations
    27. 27. Point to ponderPoint to ponder Senior managers who do not make information technology an integral part of their business strategy will find their future seriously threatened by competitors who do. Jaak Juison, Asst Professor of IS Fordham University Reader of Business Week
    28. 28. Discussion / QuestionsDiscussion / Questions
    29. 29. THE ENDTHE END

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