0
)(
#CDF2026
Final view of
Cardiff’s
LDP
Cardiff
Civic
Society
Cymdeithas
Ddinesig
Caerdydd
1Wednesday, 9 October 13
)(
#CDF2026
Mark Barry
 Consultant
Transport for
Cardiff
2Wednesday, 9 October 13
Mark Barry
M&G Barry Consulting Ltd
Cardiff Civic Society 8th October 20137th October
V 1.0
The Metro Consortium
A Cardiff...
This document contains company confidential and/or proprietary information. Do not copy, distribute or otherwise communica...
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Central Cardiff EZ
22Wednesday, 9 October 13
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)(
#CDF2026
For
information
contact
Cardiff
Civic
Society
Cymdeithas
Ddinesig
Caerdydd
www.cardiffcivicsociety.org
TW @card...
Mark Barry - A Cardiff City Region Metro - at #cdf2026 08102013
Mark Barry - A Cardiff City Region Metro - at #cdf2026 08102013
Mark Barry - A Cardiff City Region Metro - at #cdf2026 08102013
Mark Barry - A Cardiff City Region Metro - at #cdf2026 08102013
Mark Barry - A Cardiff City Region Metro - at #cdf2026 08102013
Mark Barry - A Cardiff City Region Metro - at #cdf2026 08102013
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Mark Barry - A Cardiff City Region Metro - at #cdf2026 08102013

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Presentation by Keynote speaker Mark Barry at the joint Cardiff Civic Society/Institute of Wales #CDF2026 event held at the Royal College of Music and Drama, Cardiff 8 October 2013. The event was organised to promote debate about Cardiff's Local Development Plan (LDP).
Transcripts and videos from the event are available at http://www.cardiffcivicsociety.org.
For details email vice-chair@cardiffcivicsociety.org

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Transcript of "Mark Barry - A Cardiff City Region Metro - at #cdf2026 08102013"

  1. 1. )( #CDF2026 Final view of Cardiff’s LDP Cardiff Civic Society Cymdeithas Ddinesig Caerdydd 1Wednesday, 9 October 13
  2. 2. )( #CDF2026 Mark Barry  Consultant Transport for Cardiff 2Wednesday, 9 October 13
  3. 3. Mark Barry M&G Barry Consulting Ltd Cardiff Civic Society 8th October 20137th October V 1.0 The Metro Consortium A Cardiff City Region Metro: transform | regenerate | connect 3Wednesday, 9 October 13
  4. 4. This document contains company confidential and/or proprietary information. Do not copy, distribute or otherwise communicate the contents of this document without prior written express consent from M&G Barry Consulting Limited. 1Metro Presentation CONFIDENTIAL - Prepared by M&G Barry Consulting V1.2 Sep 2013 Since  then….  Valley Lines Electrification  GWML Wires to Swansea  City Region Debate  SEWTA Metro+  Metro Discussions  Task Forces  Metro Consortium Now,  new  report  for  Minister…. In  2011… A Cardiff City Region Metro: transform | regenerate | connect Background… 4Wednesday, 9 October 13
  5. 5. This document contains company confidential and/or proprietary information. Do not copy, distribute or otherwise communicate the contents of this document without prior written express consent from M&G Barry Consulting Limited. 2Metro Presentation CONFIDENTIAL - Prepared by M&G Barry Consulting V1.2 Sep 2013 A Cardiff City Region Metro: transform | regenerate | connect The Metro Consortium... CAPITA SYMONDS 5Wednesday, 9 October 13
  6. 6. This document contains company confidential and/or proprietary information. Do not copy, distribute or otherwise communicate the contents of this document without prior written express consent from M&G Barry Consulting Limited. 3Metro Presentation CONFIDENTIAL - Prepared by M&G Barry Consulting V1.2 Sep 2013 Cardiff/ValeGwent Valleys Change in GVA by UK Nation and Region 70 90 110 130 150 170 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 East Midlands East of England London North East North West Northern Ireland Scotland South East South West Wales West Midlands Yorkshire and the Humber  GVA /head in Wales lowest in the UK at ~74% of UK average, the valleys <60%  Aggregate figure for Cardiff City Region ~80%  Cardiff falling behind cities across the UK (102& vs >120% in Belfast, Edinburgh, etc)  Also, lowest levels of M&A, listed companies, exports, R&D...... A Cardiff City Region Metro: transform | regenerate | connect The Economic Challenge... Wales ! “It’s  the  economy   stupid…..” 6Wednesday, 9 October 13
  7. 7. This document contains company confidential and/or proprietary information. Do not copy, distribute or otherwise communicate the contents of this document without prior written express consent from M&G Barry Consulting Limited. 4Metro Presentation CONFIDENTIAL - Prepared by M&G Barry Consulting V1.2 Sep 2013 The trend: Cardiff Vs Other UK cities, GVA 2001 – 2011 Cardiff lags behind the main regional centres “It’s  the  economy   stupid…..” 7Wednesday, 9 October 13
  8. 8. This document contains company confidential and/or proprietary information. Do not copy, distribute or otherwise communicate the contents of this document without prior written express consent from M&G Barry Consulting Limited. 5Metro Presentation CONFIDENTIAL - Prepared by M&G Barry Consulting V1.2 Sep 2013 A Cardiff City Region Metro: transform | regenerate | connect Cardiff City Region, Snapshot – to  inform  Metro  Planning… Demographics Employment Commuting Development Opportunities 8Wednesday, 9 October 13
  9. 9. This document contains company confidential and/or proprietary information. Do not copy, distribute or otherwise communicate the contents of this document without prior written express consent from M&G Barry Consulting Limited. 6Metro Presentation CONFIDENTIAL - Prepared by M&G Barry Consulting V1.2 Sep 2013 A Cardiff City Region Metro: transform | regenerate | connect Regional    population  over  1.4M…  Cardiff rapid population rise >10% since 2001; most dense in region  to ~430,000 by 2030 from 348,000 in 2012, only 310,000 in 2001  More modest or zero growth elsewhere in region 9Wednesday, 9 October 13
  10. 10. This document contains company confidential and/or proprietary information. Do not copy, distribute or otherwise communicate the contents of this document without prior written express consent from M&G Barry Consulting Limited. 7Metro Presentation CONFIDENTIAL - Prepared by M&G Barry Consulting V1.2 Sep 2013 A Cardiff City Region Metro: transform | regenerate | connect Workplace  employment…  1/3 of  region’s  workforce  (210,000) work in Cardiff (stats wales)  80% net regional increase since 2001 from 180,000 to 210,000  Small rise, no change or falls elsewhere in region But….. 10Wednesday, 9 October 13
  11. 11. This document contains company confidential and/or proprietary information. Do not copy, distribute or otherwise communicate the contents of this document without prior written express consent from M&G Barry Consulting Limited. 8Metro Presentation CONFIDENTIAL - Prepared by M&G Barry Consulting V1.2 Sep 2013 More jobs in Cardiff 2011 Vs 2001 But  lower  GVA/Capita  …? From 110% GVA/capita Vs UK average in 2001 to 102% in 2011 11Wednesday, 9 October 13
  12. 12. This document contains company confidential and/or proprietary information. Do not copy, distribute or otherwise communicate the contents of this document without prior written express consent from M&G Barry Consulting Limited. 9Metro Presentation CONFIDENTIAL - Prepared by M&G Barry Consulting V1.2 Sep 2013 The Future: High Value Job Growth, 2012-2017 Cardiff lags behind the main regional centres -3% -2% -1% 0% 1% 2% 3% 4% 5% 6% Growthinhighvaluejobs,2012-2017 Source: Jones Lang LaSallle & Oxford Economics, 2013 12Wednesday, 9 October 13
  13. 13. This document contains company confidential and/or proprietary information. Do not copy, distribute or otherwise communicate the contents of this document without prior written express consent from M&G Barry Consulting Limited. 10Metro Presentation CONFIDENTIAL - Prepared by M&G Barry Consulting V1.2 Sep 2013  Increasing levels of commuting to/in Cardiff -Expect 110,000 daily i/w commuters by 2026 Vs 80,000 today -Expect >150,000 within the city today by 2026 Vs 120,000 today  30,000 into Newport….but  not  to  city  centre!  Commuting flows between all local authorities A Cardiff City Region Metro: transform | regenerate | connect Commuting… 13Wednesday, 9 October 13
  14. 14. This document contains company confidential and/or proprietary information. Do not copy, distribute or otherwise communicate the contents of this document without prior written express consent from M&G Barry Consulting Limited. 11Metro Presentation CONFIDENTIAL - Prepared by M&G Barry Consulting V1.2 Sep 2013 A Cardiff City Region Metro: transform | regenerate | connect Commuting Vs other  UK  cities/regions… 14Wednesday, 9 October 13
  15. 15. This document contains company confidential and/or proprietary information. Do not copy, distribute or otherwise communicate the contents of this document without prior written express consent from M&G Barry Consulting Limited. 12Metro Presentation CONFIDENTIAL - Prepared by M&G Barry Consulting V1.2 Sep 2013 City Region “Ideopolis” Good Transport Connectivity Access to Capital High Quality Urban Environment Leading University & Skilled Workforce Entrepreneurs Ideas & Opportunities Diverse, Multicultural, Critical Mass Population Leadership & Vision A Cardiff City Region Metro: transform | regenerate | connect Ingredients  of  a  successful  economy… The  Work  Foundation,  “Welcome  to  the  Ideopolis” Richard  Florida,  “Rise  of  the  Creative  Classes” EU,    “State  of  European  Cities” The Centre for Cities 15Wednesday, 9 October 13
  16. 16. This document contains company confidential and/or proprietary information. Do not copy, distribute or otherwise communicate the contents of this document without prior written express consent from M&G Barry Consulting Limited. 13Metro Presentation CONFIDENTIAL - Prepared by M&G Barry Consulting V1.2 Sep 2013 A Cardiff City Region Metro: transform | regenerate | connect Metro  Phase  1:  Valley  Lines  Electrification  by  2020… “phase  1”  of  Metro   is VLE and CASR TBC…by  2020? 16Wednesday, 9 October 13
  17. 17. This document contains company confidential and/or proprietary information. Do not copy, distribute or otherwise communicate the contents of this document without prior written express consent from M&G Barry Consulting Limited. 14Metro Presentation CONFIDENTIAL - Prepared by M&G Barry Consulting V1.2 Sep 2013 A Cardiff City Region Metro: transform | regenerate | connect Only  ~40%  pop  within  1.2Km  of  station  post  VLE/CASR… An opportunity for Metro to connect the most densely populated  “unconnected”     parts of the region Source: Capita Symonds, Metro Consortium 17Wednesday, 9 October 13
  18. 18. This document contains company confidential and/or proprietary information. Do not copy, distribute or otherwise communicate the contents of this document without prior written express consent from M&G Barry Consulting Limited. 15Metro Presentation CONFIDENTIAL - Prepared by M&G Barry Consulting V1.2 Sep 2013 A Cardiff City Region Metro: transform | regenerate | connect Road  network  experiences  congestion  at  key  times… An opportunity for Metro to help address peak time congestion? Source: SEWTA, ARUP 18Wednesday, 9 October 13
  19. 19. This document contains company confidential and/or proprietary information. Do not copy, distribute or otherwise communicate the contents of this document without prior written express consent from M&G Barry Consulting Limited. 16Metro Presentation CONFIDENTIAL - Prepared by M&G Barry Consulting V1.2 Sep 2013 Metro What is it? Connect more people, to more places and  also  to… Enable Development Stimulate Regeneration Deliver Modal Shift 19Wednesday, 9 October 13
  20. 20. This document contains company confidential and/or proprietary information. Do not copy, distribute or otherwise communicate the contents of this document without prior written express consent from M&G Barry Consulting Limited. 17Metro Presentation CONFIDENTIAL - Prepared by M&G Barry Consulting V1.2 Sep 2013 Metro – a catalyst for investment? 20Wednesday, 9 October 13
  21. 21. This document contains company confidential and/or proprietary information. Do not copy, distribute or otherwise communicate the contents of this document without prior written express consent from M&G Barry Consulting Limited. 18Metro Presentation CONFIDENTIAL - Prepared by M&G Barry Consulting V1.2 Sep 2013  Strategic Developments in Cardiff -NW//N/NE Cardiff, St Mellons, Bay, City Centre, etc -150,000 people with no rail access -40,000+ new homes to 2026  Ebbw Vale Enterprise Zone  Regeneration/development in Pontypridd  Newport City Centre  Aggregate new valley housing in fewer higher density locations near Metro stations A Cardiff City Region Metro: transform | regenerate | connect Some  development  opportunities… 21Wednesday, 9 October 13
  22. 22. Central Cardiff EZ 22Wednesday, 9 October 13
  23. 23. This document contains company confidential and/or proprietary information. Do not copy, distribute or otherwise communicate the contents of this document without prior written express consent from M&G Barry Consulting Limited. 20Metro Presentation CONFIDENTIAL - Prepared by M&G Barry Consulting V1.2 Sep 2013 Merthyr Tydfil – accessible housing? 23Wednesday, 9 October 13
  24. 24. This document contains company confidential and/or proprietary information. Do not copy, distribute or otherwise communicate the contents of this document without prior written express consent from M&G Barry Consulting Limited. 21Metro Presentation CONFIDENTIAL - Prepared by M&G Barry Consulting V1.2 Sep 2013 A Cardiff City Region Metro: transform | regenerate | connect Focussed  economic  interventions… NW Cardiff /Lower RCT & St Mellons Pontypridd Newport  most accessible location in 1.4M City Region  Best location for access to London/Heathrow  Location for Corporate HQ, Financial Services, etc Public sector economic interventions and support to focus on locations most likely to engage private sector & create most jobs: Ebbw Vale AirportBridgend Cardiff  Enterprise  Zone  &  Bay… 24Wednesday, 9 October 13
  25. 25. This document contains company confidential and/or proprietary information. Do not copy, distribute or otherwise communicate the contents of this document without prior written express consent from M&G Barry Consulting Limited. 22Metro Presentation CONFIDENTIAL - Prepared by M&G Barry Consulting V1.2 Sep 2013 A Cardiff City Region Metro: transform | regenerate | connect Benefits    the  whole  region…  Connected City Region  Enable a coherent city region plan  Catalyst for development & regeneration  Reverse a long term decline  Modal shift and CO2 reductions  Plan out to 2030 New Metro report now with the Minister for consideration 25Wednesday, 9 October 13
  26. 26. This document contains company confidential and/or proprietary information. Do not copy, distribute or otherwise communicate the contents of this document without prior written express consent from M&G Barry Consulting Limited. 23Metro Presentation CONFIDENTIAL - Prepared by M&G Barry Consulting V1.2 Sep 2013 Some challenges Vision Ambition Realism Governance Organisation Funding 26Wednesday, 9 October 13
  27. 27. This document contains company confidential and/or proprietary information. Do not copy, distribute or otherwise communicate the contents of this document without prior written express consent from M&G Barry Consulting Limited. 24Metro Presentation CONFIDENTIAL - Prepared by M&G Barry Consulting V1.2 Sep 2013 …not  a  new  idea,    from,  “South  Wales  Needs  a  Plan”,  by    H  A   Marquand published by George Allen & Unwin Ltd in 1936! Seems  even  more  appropriate  today…! “  …  a more rapid movement of population up and down the valleys must be encouraged, so as to save the inhabitants of the northern towns from economic isolation. How that rapidity of movement can best be secured should be decided by an authority responsible for a co-ordinated transport service throughout the Region. No such authority exists. “With  rapid transport, it should be no more difficult for workers from Aberdare or Ebbw Vale to reach Cardiff or Newport than it is for clerks to travel to their daily work in the City of London from Wimbledon or Ealing” …”  political and social institutions have failed to adopt themselves with sufficient rapidity to the economic changes that have taken place. One small symptom of this is the maintenance of local government boundaries which have long lost their significance and of authorities which are inadequate to the larger tasks which  need  to  be  undertaken.” 27Wednesday, 9 October 13
  28. 28. This document contains company confidential and/or proprietary information. Do not copy, distribute or otherwise communicate the contents of this document without prior written express consent from M&G Barry Consulting Limited. 25Metro Presentation CONFIDENTIAL - Prepared by M&G Barry Consulting V1.2 Sep 2013 For further information please contact: Mark Barry T: +44 (0)7771 893292 E: mark@mgbarryconsulting.com W: www.mgbarryconsulting.com Twitter: www.twitter.com/markdafyddbarry M&G Barry Consulting Ltd Contact Details Mark Barry was born and grew up in Cardiff. He left in 1981 to study at Manchester University where he graduated in Physics and The Analysis of Science and Technology in 1985 before working in London and overseas in the IT/Software industry. From 1997, Mark spent five years in Management Consultancy working for the PA Consulting Group leading projects for blue chip and government clients in both Europe and North America. In 2003 he founded and was, until 2009, Chief Executive of Cardiff Biotech Company, Q Chip Ltd. Mark now has his own consultancy business offering services including strategic economic and transport policy development, programme management, business strategy, and fund raising, especially for new technology companies. Mark is the author of the paper, “A Metro for Wales’ Capital City Region – Connecting Cardiff, Newport and The Valleys” published by the Cardiff Business Partnership and the Institute of Welsh Affairs in February 2011. He also wrote “A Cardiff City Region Metro: transform | regenerate | connect” with The Metro Consortium. www.metroconsortium.com 28Wednesday, 9 October 13
  29. 29. )( #CDF2026 For information contact Cardiff Civic Society Cymdeithas Ddinesig Caerdydd www.cardiffcivicsociety.org TW @cardiffcivicsoc www.iwa.org.uk TW @iwa 29Wednesday, 9 October 13
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