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1.1 Sandra Odendahl
 

1.1 Sandra Odendahl

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  • So, you may ask, what does banking have to do with water. Well, there are 3 reasons why a bank is interested in water: Risk management – water issues can impact our clients, which in turn cam impact us Corporate responsibility – water is an important issue social and environmental issue for some of the regions where we do business and so we are interested in it too Business opportunities - markets for water-related products and services are growing, and present business opportunities in lending, project finance, and investing
  • When the bank evaluates risks, we do so on a sector, a company/borrower, and a transaction basis. When looking at water related risks, we need to include in our analysis some undertanding of the regional water issues and risks affecting the company or transaction we are looking at. We need to understand water risks.
  • We know that there is a constant quantity of water on earth, and it is constantly being recycled via the hydrologic cycle. It is always being moved from one state to another or one location to another. The problem is it’s not equally distributed. Some regions have lots, some not enough, and some regions have both extremes, depending on the year or the time of year.
  • This chart shows national data on water use, renewable water supply, and the ration of how much of that water supply is used each year. You can see how even national averages vary enormously. Water use tends to be a function of population, amount of water intensive agriculture and other industry. China tops the list with almost 550 cubic km/year. But, since China also has relatively generous amounts of renewable water, it uses only about 19% of its renewable supply each year. On the other hand, Israel is a water miser using only 2 cubic km/year. Unfortunately, Israel has even less renewable water, so they use more that 100% of their renewable water supply. These data are typically comprised of both renewable surface water and groundwater supplies, including surface inflows from neighboring countries. The UN FAO refers to this as total natural renewable water resources. Flows to other countries are not subtracted from these numbers.
  • In addition to understanding water issues, we must of course look at which sectors are vulnerable to water-related risks. However, just because a sector uses a lot of water, doesn’t mean that it’s facing water realted risks. It’s very location specific. So we move to a company and facility level analysis.
  • When we conduct a company or transaction risk assessment, we are looking to identify, quantify, and mitigate where possible risks that impact the financial position of the borrower. In other words, we are interested in risks that could result in (1) business interruption, (2) increase costs, or (3) limits to growth Drivers of water related risks are physical issues like scarcity, poor water quality, flooding concerns and access problems. These physical risks give rise to risks in 3 categories:
  • Examples of water-related risks to companies are shown here: (one example in each category)
  • Credit risk is the risk that the counterparty will be unable to meet its obligations i.e. repay its debt on time

1.1 Sandra Odendahl 1.1 Sandra Odendahl Presentation Transcript

  • Sandra Odendahl Director, Corporate Environmental Affairs Royal Bank of Canada Reflections on Water Risk: Assessing Water Risk in Financing
  • RBC’s Environmental Strategy Objectives
    • RBC’s environmental strategy is based on our environmental aspects, our stakeholders and our priority issues. Its objectives are to:
      • Manage risks
      • Drive returns
      • Protect and enhance reputation
    • The strategy is led by Corporate Environmental Affairs and activated through the RBC Environmental Blueprint …
    Climate Change Forests/Biodiversity Water
  • Why Does a Bank Care About Water?
    • Risk Management
    • Corporate Responsibility
    • Business Opportunities
  • Risk Management Approach in Lending
    • Sector Assessment
    • What sectors are sensitive to Water-related Risks?
    • Company Assessment
    • Risks that could result in increased costs, business interruption or curtailed growth
    Transaction Review Regional Water Info
    • Understanding Regional Water Issues
    Water isn’t equally distributed
  • 1. Regional Water Issues Water scarcity in different countries National averages do not indicate sub-regional water stresses Reference: The Pacific Institute “Total Renewable Freshwater Supply, by Country (2006 Update)” http://www.worldwater.org/data.html 2830 410 2 8233 139 3300 3069 457 832 14 Renew. Water km3/year 549.76 82.75 2.05 59.3 3.15 44.72 477 78.22 0.36 6.07 Water Use km3/yr 0.04 43.40 Congo Algeria Africa 0.72 2.27 Brazil Uruguay South America 1.36 15.54 17.12 Canada USA Mexico North America 19.43 20.18 120.60 China Thailand Israel Asia Use as a % of renewable supply Country Region
  • 2. Understanding Water Risks in Sectors
    • Water Infrastructure
      • Dams, water utilities
    • Major Users of water
      • Agriculture, food and beverage, hydro power generation, steel, etc
    • Suppliers of equipment, materials and services to Water users
    • Water quality sensitive sectors
      • Sectors requiring specific input water quality (mineral water bottlers, semi-conductors manufacturers),
      • Sectors with large pollution loads in effluent
    • Sectors with water sensitive supply chain or customers
      • Eg: Food and beverage requires irrigated agriculture, aluminum requires hydroelectric power
      • Demand for swimming pools, washing machines, boats may “dry up” in water scarce situation
    Combine Regional and Sector analysis
  • Example: Sector and Region Assessment Water Scarcity Risks For Business, RBC Report, October 2008 etc Primarily coal. No significant concerns Natural gas, hydroelectric, coal Water shortages in Ca (utilities in general) Coal, natural gas, nuclear. No significant concerns Hydroelectric, nuclear, coal, natural gas, wind Potential fresh water shortages in AB, SK and PEI Power Generation Depletion of Ogallala Aquifer threatens agriculture production Irrigation may be curtailed in California - demands on the Colorado R. Irrigation for citrus crops in FL could be impacted by aquifer depletion Potential water shortages in AB and SK Agriculture Central Plains US Southwest US Southeast US Canada Sector
  • 3. Understanding Water Risks in Companies
    • Water Risk Drivers
    • Supply scarcity
    • Poor water quality
    • Flooding
    • Access concerns
    • Water Risks
    • Physical
    • Political
    • Regulatory
    • Reputation
    • $ Impacts
    • Business Interruption
    • Increased costs
    • Limits to growth
  • 3. Water Risks in Companies What Are the Risks to our Clients?
    • Physical Risk
      • Unanticipated water shortages or flooding
      • Unanticipated contamination of intake water
    • Political Risk
      • Expropriation of privately owned utility
      • Revocation of water rights or contracts
      • Changes to taxation
    • Regulatory Risk
      • Water withdrawal caps
      • Changes to water permit availability and cost
      • Changes to effluent standards
      • Effluent discharge permit availability
      • Changes to water tariffs
    • Reputational Risk
      • Community opposition to industrial water taking
  • What Is the Risk to a Bank? Credit Risk Physical Regulatory Political Reputation Client’s Risks Bank’s Risk
  • Water Risks in Credit Risk Assessment
    • For Corporate Borrowers in Medium and High Environmental Risk Sectors
    • Overall environmental management framework and abilities
    • Material environmental liabilities
    • Anticipated significant new legislation governing ….water….
    • How relationships are managed with nearby communities, including aboriginal
    • Do borrower’s processes rely heavily on water or operate in water scarce regions
    Results combined with other assessments including broader environmental risk, quality of management, financial analysis, legal review, etc
  • Beyond Credit Risk Where else can we make a difference?
      • Gray-water reuse in new buildings
      • Low flow toilets
      • Waterless urinals
      • Automatic taps
    Operational Footprint
      • Fund academic research
      • Fund awareness and outreach
      • Fund innovation contests
      • Support public policy re water
    Corporate Responsibility
      • Public sector finance
      • Infrastructure PPPs
      • Business retrofits
      • Water technology firms
    Business Opportunities
    • www.rbc.com/environment