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Uganda presentation3

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  • 1. The Role and Influence of Research Organizations in the National Trade Policy making process Davis Ddamulira Senior Policy Analyst Centre for Development Initiatives (CDI)
  • 2. Trade Policy in Context
    • National Trade Policy Framework e.g. 2007 Uganda National Trade Policy
    • Trade Related Policies e.g. Poverty Eradication Action Plan (PEAP) or National Development Plan (NDP)
    • National Financing (Taxes, Expenditure, Donor Conditions etc.)
    • The thrust of National Economic growth/Development e.g.
      • Oil exploration,
      • Nature, level and focus of Economic liberalisation etc
  • 3. Dynamics of Trade Policy
    • Existing and Guiding Framework (written)
    • Pronouncements by key government officials
    • International and Bilateral trade/Economic obligations
    • Commitments from Commercial Diplomatic processes
    • Trade Negotiations
  • 4. Highlights on the Role & Influence of Policy Research Institution
    • Understand short-term and long-term trade interests of a particular country/group
    • Carry out “Independent” Research to guide policy development, implementation and review
    • Provide quick analysis on on-going trade processes
    • Generate policy options (especially for Advocacy)
    • Be the body of knowledge
    • Ugandan Context:
      • In-put into the Trade Development Policy (CSO position)
      • Support Trade Negotiations (WTO & EPAs) including Trade Policy Reviews
      • In-put into Trade Negotiations
  • 5. Example of Quick Response Analysis Nature of Liberalisation Timeframe Value of Trade Liberalized Tariff Lines Liberalized Period No. of Yrs Value (USD) % No. of TL % Raw Materials & Capital Goods 2008-2010 3 1,721,267,718 65% 1,916 37% o/w Agric products 79,771,747 3% 117 2% o/w Industrial products 1,641,495,971 62% 1,799 35%             Goods (from 10%-0%) 2015-2023 9 395,111,599 15% 1,022 20% o/w Agric products 7,177,337 0% 99 2% o/w Industrial products 387,934,261 15% 923 18%             Goods (from 25%-0%) 2020-2033 14 65,507,218 2% 865 17% o/w Agric products 6,780,639 0% 146 3% o/w Industrial products 58,726,579 2% 719 14%               Total EAC Trade Liberalized     2,181,886,535 82% 3,803 74% o/w Agric products     93,729,724 4% 362 7% o/w Industrial products     2,088,156,811 79% 3,441 67%
  • 6. Example of Quick Response Analysis Nature of Liberalisation Timeframe Value of Trade Liberalized Tariff Lines Liberalized Period No. of Yrs Value (USD) % No. of TL % Raw Materials & Capital Goods 2008-2010 3 1,721,267,718 65% 1,916 37% o/w Agric products 79,771,747 3% 117 2% o/w Industrial products 1,641,495,971 62% 1,799 35%             Goods (from 10%-0%) 2015-2023 9 395,111,599 15% 1,022 20% o/w Agric products 7,177,337 0% 99 2% o/w Industrial products 387,934,261 15% 923 18%             Goods (from 25%-0%) 2020-2033 14 65,507,218 2% 865 17% o/w Agric products 6,780,639 0% 146 3% o/w Industrial products 58,726,579 2% 719 14%               Total EAC Trade Liberalized     2,181,886,535 82% 3,803 74% o/w Agric products     93,729,724 4% 362 7% o/w Industrial products     2,088,156,811 79% 3,441 67%
  • 7. Example of Quick Response Analysis Nature of Liberalisation Timeframe Value of Trade Liberalized Tariff Lines Liberalized Period No. of Yrs Value (USD) % No. of TL % Raw Materials & Capital Goods 2008-2010 3 1,721,267,718 65% 1,916 37% o/w Agric products 79,771,747 3% 117 2% o/w Industrial products 1,641,495,971 62% 1,799 35%             Goods (from 10%-0%) 2015-2023 9 395,111,599 15% 1,022 20% o/w Agric products 7,177,337 0% 99 2% o/w Industrial products 387,934,261 15% 923 18%             Goods (from 25%-0%) 2020-2033 14 65,507,218 2% 865 17% o/w Agric products 6,780,639 0% 146 3% o/w Industrial products 58,726,579 2% 719 14%               Total EAC Trade Liberalized     2,181,886,535 82% 3,803 74% o/w Agric products     93,729,724 4% 362 7% o/w Industrial products     2,088,156,811 79% 3,441 67%
  • 8. Challenges facing Trade Policy Research Institution
    • Building and Sustaining Credibility status as a “relevant” knowledge base
    • Being able to anchor yourselves on a “neutral” ideological setting
    • Untied Financing
    • Recruit and retain competent researchers/analysts
    • Creating a balance between monitoring trade processes/trends and generating new and relevant knowledge